Coins are constantly siphoned off for new masternodes and considering there are only about 2880 coins minted per day, and 1154 goto masternode holders who probably hold onto theirs to build more nodes, this only leaves 1728 per day spare.
http://178.254.18.153/~pub/masternode_count.pngSo using Crowning's masternode data and selecting 2 points that fullfil recent gradient trend lines we have:
7th February = 2100 nodes
21st March = 2400 nodes
Time interval =42 days
So, nodes per day coming online = 300 / 42 =
7.143 masternodesCoins needed for new nodes = 7143 Dash
subtracting the total coin mint per day to offset,
7143 - 2880 = 4266 coins required per day fresh into the market to maintain current masternode climb rate,
Conclusions1) This is an unsustainable climb, at some point all the reclusive coins must be used up for new nodes
2) when the coins are used up, the incremental node gradient will taper off and masternodes will be harder to acquire due to shortage.
SpeculationsWhen there is a shortage to further increase the masternode count, there will a 'Dash' run on the last few thousand available from bag holders resulting in a wild frenzy for whats left before the miners and node holders have almost complete control of any new coins to the market.
Very interesting but how much of this was due to Otoh?
Also I suspect as price increases due to coin shortage you'll start to see mn's decrease as some sellout and take profits.
As far as I see it this is pretty much the main 'killer' hypothetical situation with Dash which could allow the NSA to deanonymize transactions, ie the NSA could continuously buy up coins, regardless of price, until enough masternode owners cash out (rich as f*ck) and the NSA then makes up the vast majority of mn's.
JL