The psychological framework of what is required for EarthCoin to be worth anything? It is a GREAT question and topic of discussion which should be moved to the EarthCoinTalk Forums soon.
I went to 10 different stores yesterday and bought a coffee, another coffee, a sandwich, took a cab, etc. In each of these scenarios I asked the operator if they accepted EarthCoin? None did, half asked what it was and so I name dropped EarthCoin a few more times in the delivery and went on my way. That is how you create value although none of you saw that reflected on Cryptsy.
We need to understand that in the beginning of the life of EarthCoin, its stewards are the miners. They bottle feed, burp and take care of the coin and maintain its integrity and in return they get appreciation for their love in the form of EarthCoin but it is essentially valueless. It has the ability to develop into a bright mind and yield dividends later in life just like a child. Later in life meaning around the time it reaches adult hood, which is around the moment of the havling of the money supply where the tangent line of creation begins to decelerate and the reward starts to be produced from the trading of the coin itself.
Through adolescence and its teenage moments it must be taught, educated and definitely exposed to travel and culture, religion, volunteer work. All of it. The miners become less of a role as the collective community of "adults" becomes more involved at which point eventually, the coin becomes self-sufficient and begins to yield results on its own.
So If I were to suggest a psychological framework this would definitely be it. Hope the analogy isn't too crazy! Haha
Mathematically we can avoid that qualitative reference and focus more on the numbers and it is quite easy. You must of course make some assumptions like the total base of collective participants being around 5000 people right now (not sure what it is). Then you take the daily USD traded volume in a rolling 24 hour period and divide it by its market cap to get the percentage of turnover. Today that is at about 2%, yesterday it was at about 10%. What this number tells you is the average amount of days to have a total turn over of the market cap, suggesting a total turn over of psychology for a longer term time horizon. Eg, people buying today are looking to next week where people buying last week wish to leave now.
So at a daily turn over of 2%, it would take roughly 50 days to turn over the entire market cap, suggesting over the course of the year this could only occur 7 times (350 days) which would suggest that in one year at 2% daily turn over, the amount of collective participants involved in EarthCoin would be approximately 5000*2^7 or 640,000 people. Who knows maybe there are only 2000 people with EarthCoins now.
The calculus comes in to play with the daily variability of the USD trading volume and the variability of the creation of the money supply further complicated by the complex math of the creation of the money supply. It can be modeled but requires some time of course, as well you would have to be able to find out with some reasonable certainty how many people you are starting with and it could be built upon to offer a little more statistical significance but in essence that is a quantitative way of measuring the psychology above.
And the WHOLE POINT of it, is to determine the rate of growth of adoption. How do we get to 5 million people trading EarthCoins. It is a big job. Rather where is that number that the coin begins to yield dividends.
That was fun.