I have a feeling we're on to something.
Yup. There's supposedly ~$30T (yes, "Trillion") stored as "offshore" (ie, hidden) money globally. With Swiss banks no longer maintaining secrecy, Cyprus, and the IMF publicly making noise about the potential need to haircut all EU depositors, it should already be obvious how much store-of-value potential bitcoin has.
Every crises, seizure, government over-reach, capital control, and "haircut" will make this more obvious to more people.
But nothing good has emerged from the Cyprus hair-cuts... At that time, a lot of people here were posting about how Bitcoin will become hugely popular there. What happened? Bitcoin remains in the shadows in Cyprus.
Bryant: bitcoin's market cap has increased by a factor of 10 and its generalized user base by a factor of √10 since talk of the Cyprus confiscations began. I think your statement "nothing good has emerged" is false.
I find these kinds of rationalizations to be hilarious. Bitcoin will succeed on it's own merits, not because "zomg wall street/putin/buffet/gates/justin bieber" are going to discover bitcoin and invest in it.
If you think they would be investing, you missed the point. Bitcoin represents a useful way to store and move wealth outside the western financial system.
This doesn't make a whole lot of sense - why would Putin keep his stash in a country where the US could get to it?
Is it possible to store value in the western financial system any other way? If you have USD, euros, pounds, etc., in any bank account anywhere, I believe they are at risk due to the US's influence over the western financial system. This question is above my pay grade, but I believe that unless you have physical US $100 bills, your wealth can be "sanctioned" by the US's influence over SWIFT, the IMF, and in part due to US dollar's role as reserve currency.
This idea of Putin moving his $40B into BTC is just nuts.
That wasn't the idea. The idea is that the elite begin to move small portions of their financial wealth into bitcoin, due to its useful properties as a store of value.
Usually when someone is said to be worth $40B. It's probably the net of their assets. Not a pile of cash sitting in a bank somewhere. It's probably distributed in stocks, bonds, real estates, cash.
Vladimir's personal wealth is estimated as high as
$70 billion. $40 billion could be the component stored as financial assets.
The idea that Putin or any other elite will go into bitcoin is at best a fantasy. BTC is used primarily as an investment tool not a store of wealth. Anyone who is using BTC as a store of wealth is sweating bullets right now, and obviously no one who has that kind of money can possibly be that stupid. BTC has to stopped being used as an investment tool if it ever hopes to become all of the things you people are talking about.
Imagine that tomorrow everyone knew for a fact that bitcoin would no longer increase in value. But they also knew that it would no longer decrease in value. 1 BTC would forever buy the same basket of goods. What would happen? Aggregate demand would increase simply due to bitcoin's useful properties as a store of value. But of course if aggregate demand increases, so must the price.
The only reason the price of bitcoin isn't much higher is because people believe it could also be a lot lower.
Putin wouldn't put his money into Bitcoin because more than likely his address(s) would be blacklisted by mining pools, which will be enforced by governments.
Why would anyone necessarily know which addresses are controlled by Putin? For all we know, he could control certain addresses now (although I'm not suggesting he does).