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Topic: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It - page 1202. (Read 3917029 times)

legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1001
https://gliph.me/hUF
Well, at least 163,962 shares belong to other people. And from the remaining we can only speculate how many friedcat is holding himself since he has some partners.

Well I know it's not only him... and the shareholders...
but still... 47 600 000 USD ? ? ?
It's just related to the BTCUSD exchange rate. Nothing to do with ASICMINER.
full member
Activity: 236
Merit: 100
www.bitcoingem.com
Well, at least 163,962 shares belong to other people. And from the remaining we can only speculate how many friedcat is holding himself since he has some partners.

Well I know it's not only him... and the shareholders...
but still... 47 600 000 USD ? ? ?

Have you seen how many bitcoins ASICMINER mines in a day? How about a week or a month?

The valuation of the shares price also includes the public's expectation for the future plans for the company.
full member
Activity: 254
Merit: 100
Well, at least 163,962 shares belong to other people. And from the remaining we can only speculate how many friedcat is holding himself since he has some partners.

Well I know it's not only him... and the shareholders...
but still... 47 600 000 USD ? ? ?
legendary
Activity: 2271
Merit: 1363
Please tell me - am I correct?

There are 400 000 shares of ASICMINER
each worth more than 0.7btc

400 000*0.7 = 280 000 BTC
BTC is at least 170 USD each

280 000 * 170 = 47 600 000 USD

2013 Ferrari is $379 800
http://cgi.ebay.com/ebaymotors/Ferrari-458-SPIDER-2013-FERRARI-458-SPIDER-1K-MILES-330K-MSRP-PLUS-/190820213175?pt=US_Cars_Trucks&hash=item2c6dc561b7

well...
ASICMINER is worth 47600000/379800 = 125 Ferrari cars...

is friedcat very rich? am I dreaming this?

Well, at least 163,962 shares belong to other people. And from the remaining we can only speculate how many friedcat is holding himself since he has some partners.
full member
Activity: 254
Merit: 100
Please tell me - am I correct?

There are 400 000 shares of ASICMINER
each worth more than 0.7btc

400 000*0.7 = 280 000 BTC
BTC is at least 170 USD each

280 000 * 170 = 47 600 000 USD

2013 Ferrari is $379 800
http://cgi.ebay.com/ebaymotors/Ferrari-458-SPIDER-2013-FERRARI-458-SPIDER-1K-MILES-330K-MSRP-PLUS-/190820213175?pt=US_Cars_Trucks&hash=item2c6dc561b7

well...
ASICMINER is worth 47600000/379800 = 125 Ferrari cars...

is friedcat very rich? am I dreaming this?
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Sounds legit man. If you build it they may come.
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1035
we are at 7,1 TH/s, so only 4,9 TH/s remains Cheesy But it was promised to be deployed by the end of march and we are in second third of april :-(

True, but it's still better that BFL's promises by an infinite order of magnitude Cheesy

I was thinking maybe it would be nice to have a separate topic to follow the dividends history, comments and maybe speculation about them. As valuable as it is, this thread is growing overly large IMHO. So what do you think?
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Hi guys,

I've been out for a while, and was wondering how to manage my shares since GLBSE is out; I have around 100shares, and I've seen sites like BTC-TC and Bitfunder, that offer the possibility to manage them (asking first to friedcat)... Which one do you prefer? is there one better? regarding Security, fees, dividends, minimun shares or restrictions, etc...

Thanks  Wink

This topic has been done to absolute death. While it's a pain to read through page after page of this thread to get to the meat of that subject there's so much valuable insight it's well worth the read. If however you're unwilling to devote the time to doing so then at least read this thread:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/asicminer-for-dummies-159194
member
Activity: 117
Merit: 10
bitarchitect
Hi guys,

I've been out for a while, and was wondering how to manage my shares since GLBSE is out; I have around 100shares, and I've seen sites like BTC-TC and Bitfunder, that offer the possibility to manage them (asking first to friedcat)... Which one do you prefer? is there one better? regarding Security, fees, dividends, minimun shares or restrictions, etc...

Thanks  Wink
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
I think you need to look at your math again. If he buys BTC75 worth of shares at BTC0.75, that would give him 100 shares exactly. Using the last dividend, that would net him BTC0.25555300. Which, as you pointed out was small. Using the lowest dividend from a week without lots of expenses (March 7th) of BTC0.01917149, would have earned him...

Counting on future dividends of 0.01917149 is an unrealistic estimation. This amount was paid back when friedcat was trying to return all the money (or, as much as possible) to the IPO investors. Since then, friedcat has reduced dividends significantly. As others have estimated, dividends are expected to be around 0.006-0.007 (assuming no large expenses) given that AM has about 10% of the total hash rate.

Why unrealistic? If they manage to solve the power and network problems they can bring online the other 6 TH and it would be 20% or so beyond the initial dividends then. Then there are the 50TH... i dont think its too unrealistic. Only because 240000 shares came to it now doesnt mean that this cant be compensated...

we are at 7,1 TH/s, so only 4,9 TH/s remains Cheesy But it was promised to be deployed by the end of march and we are in second third of april :-(
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 1083
Legendary Escrow Service - Tip Jar in Profile
I think you need to look at your math again. If he buys BTC75 worth of shares at BTC0.75, that would give him 100 shares exactly. Using the last dividend, that would net him BTC0.25555300. Which, as you pointed out was small. Using the lowest dividend from a week without lots of expenses (March 7th) of BTC0.01917149, would have earned him...

Counting on future dividends of 0.01917149 is an unrealistic estimation. This amount was paid back when friedcat was trying to return all the money (or, as much as possible) to the IPO investors. Since then, friedcat has reduced dividends significantly. As others have estimated, dividends are expected to be around 0.006-0.007 (assuming no large expenses) given that AM has about 10% of the total hash rate.

Why unrealistic? If they manage to solve the power and network problems they can bring online the other 6 TH and it would be 20% or so beyond the initial dividends then. Then there are the 50TH... i dont think its too unrealistic. Only because 240000 shares came to it now doesnt mean that this cant be compensated...
vip
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1043
👻
That's at the current rates. You should look at future expansion too.
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
At present time (current diff and hash power) how many bitcoin does 1 share equate to weekly and how often are payouts delivered?

thanks!

something around 5 - 7 mBTC per share per week (depending on costs - electricity and so on). Dividends are payed weekly.
hero member
Activity: 696
Merit: 500
At present time (current diff and hash power) how many bitcoin does 1 share equate to weekly and how often are payouts delivered?

thanks!
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
Yes Franktank, except that the start was promised to be 12 TH, but only half is mining (publicly?) for months now.

True but friedcat did mention the "vacuum of deployment" and things were in process for the data center. I was just calculating the numbers mentioned. Note that this is only gross income from mining; it doesn't not account for hardware sales, electricity cost, potential downtime, wiring issues, etc. Giving everyone an idea of potential share value and how it may compare with the rest of the incoming mining landscape
legendary
Activity: 2072
Merit: 1001
Maybe they are more clever then i think...

But why in the heck would they not negotiate a deal with btcguild to get lower fees? 1% lets say.
full member
Activity: 222
Merit: 100
Yes Franktank, except that the start was promised to be 12 TH, but only half is mining (publicly?) for months now.
mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1028
I think you need to look at your math again. If he buys BTC75 worth of shares at BTC0.75, that would give him 100 shares exactly. Using the last dividend, that would net him BTC0.25555300. Which, as you pointed out was small. Using the lowest dividend from a week without lots of expenses (March 7th) of BTC0.01917149, would have earned him...

Counting on future dividends of 0.01917149 is an unrealistic estimation. This amount was paid back when friedcat was trying to return all the money (or, as much as possible) to the IPO investors. Since then, friedcat has reduced dividends significantly. As others have estimated, dividends are expected to be around 0.006-0.007 (assuming no large expenses) given that AM has about 10% of the total hash rate.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
I just thought I would do some speculative math for what's been announced. Now, friedcat has announced some numbers of the incoming hashing power for the next few months. To determine the hash rate per share, I've enclosed the following table:

Note: Used 100 shares for easier math; Mh/s is [total hash rate/400k shares]


AM Hashing (Mh/s)     Mh/s Per Share     Total Mh/s
6,000,000                            15                    1,500
12,000,000                          30                    3,000
50,000,000                         125                  12,500
62,000,000                         155                  15,500
200,000,000                       500                  50,000
262,000,000                       655                  65,500

The last row is the row I would like to bring attention to. friedcat has mentioned the last 200 Th/s would take 2-3 months to deploy, putting that in the same range of early-mid BFL range and Avalon batch 3. Owning 100 shares will be the equivalent of Avalon Batch 3 or a BFL Single SC at full deployment. Even at a difficulty of 100 million, that will still equate to ~2.5 BTC/wk (for 100 shares). There are plenty of things that have not been accounted for, but the question is: Which of the three will get their product out of the door first? ASICMiner, Avalon, or BFL?

Feel free to correct my numbers if you think I'm incorrect about my calculations.

hero member
Activity: 499
Merit: 500
When ASICMINER gets 50 TH up and ready through, solo mining looks like a better idea.

I honestly would have thought that, with 10% of the network hash power behind it, solo mining would have been a no-brainer compared to the cut the pools take.  Maybe it's not worth the hassle of effectively running our own pool. 

http://blockchain.info/pools

There are a significant number of pools with ~10% hash power.  And I couldn't agree more - with another 50TH behind us, it seems ludicrous to pool mine (unless the pool mining is spread across pools to explicitly avoid any one pool having a majority of hash power).
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