Luke-Jr, let me ask you questions:
(1) how many times can can such algorithm-change-tricks be performed? when the algorithm changed, the new ASIC chips will be developed, among them there will be "hoarders", then, are you going to change again?
Probably just once. But by that point, consumer ASICs are almost guaranteed to be online. Obviously if there are still sufficient concerns, the algorithm could be changed again at the expense of all ASICs.
(2) Are you aware of the risk that algorithm-change-trick will split the bitcoin chain?
Yes, that's one reason why the barrier required to do so is high.
(3) Luke-Jr, are you threatening us here? If so, I will post a personal (but not official) analysis:
Please, actually read what I've said before posting an "analysis" of it...
a) I have heavily invested into asicminer. I wish it to be a success. HOWEVER, whether the chips will be mining at 1G/s or 0G/s, I'm not sure. No one is sure. That's why friedcat seeking fund through equity financing tools but not debt tools. We are taking risks to develop the chips. It is fair for us to have profit.
I am also invested in ASICMINER, and hope it is a success. I think that all things considered, our risk is greater by taking the ASIC hoarding approach, even temporarily.
b) I'm a strong believer of bitcoin. As far as I know about friedcat and his partners, all of them are. We want to secure the bitcoin network by honest mining, no matter what Luke-Jr or Luke-jerk think about us.
I'm on your side, no need for ad hominem!
c) IF the chips turns out to be a success, we will be mining at the beginning, How many time we need to cover our investment cost? several days. then we are accumulating profit.
i) the community stay with the existing algorithm, then we will be honst mining on it. Then we enjoy our profit for a while and securing the chain by ourselves. later we sell the chips all around the world. profit and securing the chain with miners all around the world.
ASIC hoarding cannot be considered to be equal with "honest mining", no matter who does it, since it forces the community to trust the person controlling them.
ii) Luke-jerk decided to announce that he had advised BFL's some dark magic, and BFL now decided to play it. and then what will happen?
1) This idea is considered to be evil and dangerous. no one or very little people play with BFL's new algorithm. we continue to do what we do. We will be honest mining, no matter what Luke-Jr or Luke-jerk think about us.
All ASIC vendors, not just BFL, are advised to implement an alternative algorithm in case of emergency. Just having such an algorithm doesn't provide anything that can be "played". Only the Bitcoin economic majority (the final "authority" for Bitcoin) can choose to make use of it or not.
2) It is welcomed by bitcoin community, the blockchain are splited. then, we have 4 options.
- we can continue to wok on the original chain
- we will have our investment cost covered and accumulated lots of profit. Then we just develop our new chips. mining again. with 1,200T hash rates on the new chain. Again, we will be honest mining, no matter what Luke-Jr or Luke-jerk think about us.
- combining previous 2 options into one but somehow interesting: we work on the original chain, at the same time we develop new chips, but the new chips is used to do 51% attack the new chain. We have the money. (Wow, I guess then the existing chain will be attacked at the same time by the other party, it will be very interesting)
- stop investing in this fucking solidcoin style blockchain because I don't want to work with Luke-jerk. I don't think they will achieve huge succeed in anything. Sell the bitcoin we have. I will invest my money back into the fiat world. We decide that the bitcoin concept is already destroyed.
Since consumer ASICs would be online the new algorithm(s) first (as in, immediately), it won't be so simple to 51% attack at that point. If you could, however, I'm not sure any way for Bitcoin to ever really recover - any reason to justify switching to new algorithm(s) is extreme enough that it would never make sense to switch back by force.
P.S. Ignoring kano's nonsense troll attempt