When taking (pre)orders, you can generally bet against vendor claims for rather obvious reasons. Bitfury however is one of the few exceptions so far, delivering their asics pretty much on target (what was it, one day late?) and on spec (also in a different league than the competition, outclassing 28nm competitors with a 55nm design).
Nope even Bitfury missed their estimated specs. Their first chip was supposed to reach 5 gh/s and couldn't even go past 3 gh/s. It's a great chip but I think AM's chip easily on par even though was a "failure".
Bitfurys Rev.1 chip is 14 sq mm so they get ~4000 chips per 300mm wafer. The chips would need be underclocked to ~1.8 gh/s to achieve 0.75 j/gh at the wall so they would get ~7.2 TH/s per wafer.
In comparison AM get's ~23.5 TH/s per wafer at 0.75 j/gh. (It was supposed to be 40 TH/s at 12.8 gh/s per chip)
Bitfury probably cannot even produce 55nm hardware for the price AM is selling it for.
They got their money from VCs and only released this information long after securing the funding. They have very little incentive to lie or even exaggerate. If it where a bluff intended to scare competition, it would be too late to have a meaningful impact.
That's actually not true at all. They release their roadmap on Sep 15 and announced that they secured the $20m investment on Oct 9. It was clearly a strategic move.
They will need to make massive improvements to their design if they expect 0.2 j/gh without it being ridiculously expensive.