Author

Topic: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It - page 405. (Read 3917543 times)

newbie
Activity: 7
Merit: 0
Will their be usb sticks 4sale, too?
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500

You seem to think lowering voltage can guarantee higher efficiency. Show me some proof. Has it ever occurred to you that chip manufacturers may have already set voltage as low as possible without diminishing returns?

You repeat over and over that it has to work because "physics" and yet in reality there is not a single person with an asic who acheived less than 0.5w/gh at the chip level.


Here's some proof, oh yeah and BTW our chip on 55nm achieved that "less than 0.5W/Ghash" back in june 2013 Smiley

sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
Without going into the debate with competitors too much - from what is observable from the progression in bitcoin mining IT is that gen3 equivalent hardware from AM and "next-gen" hardware will likely co-exist long-term (> 2 years). This is because there are 10-fold variations in energy prices dependent on location and still large bitcoin price fluctuations, which gives mining a timing value. As such one may expect the less efficient hardware to migrate into areas of low electricity costs and opportunistic mining, while high-efficiency hardware goes into high-cost areas (e.g. through supply and maintenance chain issues) and sustained mining. This will make the overall hashing power of the network much more elastic.

The bottom line is that while gen1 or gen2 ASICs may come to an abrupt death, the gen3 ASICs will likely fade out smoothly.

I have been saying this for a while.  Someone recently pointed out that in some parts of the developing world, in remote as fuck areas, the government subsidies electricity to the point where it is far cheaper then it should be in an effort to attract industry.  There are very few takers as who wants to have a factory stuck in the middle of Africa.  But bitcoin mining....

So who wants to do the leg work and get an ASIC farm set up in one of these areas!

You seem to have neglected the fact that you would have to cool these machines. Thats a lot easier to do in a colder country.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
I have been saying this for a while.  Someone recently pointed out that in some parts of the developing world, in remote as fuck areas, the government subsidies electricity to the point where it is far cheaper then it should be in an effort to attract industry.  There are very few takers as who wants to have a factory stuck in the middle of Africa.  But bitcoin mining....

So who wants to do the leg work and get an ASIC farm set up in one of these areas!

Uh, it's not just remote areas.. I'm paying .05 kw/h (no delivery cost) in the US. Of course the place that has this cheap power is a very small town with the town running things. Maybe this isn't as cheap as you're referring to, but it has allowed me profitability when most are unprofitable.

Was thinking of opening a second site that I found available as it's cheaper than upgrading my 400 amp 3 phase service to go to another location with existing available service. This majority of the town also uses electricity to heat their houses in the winter.

full member
Activity: 141
Merit: 100
Also, in some places in the world (e.g. France), heating is done with electricity.
Since heating is done with electricity anyway, it would seem to make sense to swap the electrical resistance with cheap bitcoin mining ASICs.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
Invest & Earn: https://cloudthink.io
Without going into the debate with competitors too much - from what is observable from the progression in bitcoin mining IT is that gen3 equivalent hardware from AM and "next-gen" hardware will likely co-exist long-term (> 2 years). This is because there are 10-fold variations in energy prices dependent on location and still large bitcoin price fluctuations, which gives mining a timing value. As such one may expect the less efficient hardware to migrate into areas of low electricity costs and opportunistic mining, while high-efficiency hardware goes into high-cost areas (e.g. through supply and maintenance chain issues) and sustained mining. This will make the overall hashing power of the network much more elastic.

The bottom line is that while gen1 or gen2 ASICs may come to an abrupt death, the gen3 ASICs will likely fade out smoothly.

I have been saying this for a while.  Someone recently pointed out that in some parts of the developing world, in remote as fuck areas, the government subsidies electricity to the point where it is far cheaper then it should be in an effort to attract industry.  There are very few takers as who wants to have a factory stuck in the middle of Africa.  But bitcoin mining....

So who wants to do the leg work and get an ASIC farm set up in one of these areas!
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
Unlimited Free Crypto
If you liked my sloth comment get me a cup of coffee or beer

(1LophieEaKWKtqGWoTDp5TDhB7rGjneHep),

make my day  Wink
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
I find the thought of jimmothy being a sloth highly amusing. Imagine a sloth, literally the animal, sitting in front of a computer researching ASIC specifications and investing in ASICMiner.
And I, personally, like his optimism!
legendary
Activity: 2996
Merit: 1136
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
Jimmothy is a troll, just put him on ignore. Please don't quote him because it forces the rest of us to read him.

I thought he is a "sloth" not a "troll" Cheesy

^_^ That made me smile a bit well played Lophie it is a sloth.
As for the technical discussion mining is dynamic since it follows that increased processing power is constantly required to mine.
Factoring in energy costs to determine if something is profitable always needs to be taken into account.
Example time it takes for chips to hit mass scale can seriously be impact profits with a month or two in this space.
That said FC should be fine based on the timescales we know.
donator
Activity: 994
Merit: 1000
Although there is a 10-fold variation in electricity prices, mining will only be feasible for the top few percent.
I never understood the tendency to view mining cost projection in terms of a static equilibrium. It's dynamic and electricity prices are just one factor. Please enlighten me if you think mining doesn't fall into the realm of steady state systems (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Steady_state).

It really doesn't make much sense to mine with $0.2+/kwh.
Of course it makes sense - at least for the latest and more efficient equipment. You have to compare the opportunity cost of shipping and maintaining hardware at a remote location with the opportunity to keep it local. Relocation is a major effort and the timing is essential for the lifetime yield of new hardware.
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 509
Without going into the debate with competitors too much - from what is observable from the progression in bitcoin mining IT is that gen3 equivalent hardware from AM and "next-gen" hardware will likely co-exist long-term (> 2 years). This is because there are 10-fold variations in energy prices dependent on location and still large bitcoin price fluctuations, which gives mining a timing value. As such one may expect the less efficient hardware to migrate into areas of low electricity costs and opportunistic mining, while high-efficiency hardware goes into high-cost areas (e.g. through supply and maintenance chain issues) and sustained mining. This will make the overall hashing power of the network much more elastic.

The bottom line is that while gen1 or gen2 ASICs may come to an abrupt death, the gen3 ASICs will likely fade out smoothly.

I agree with your end game prediction about hardware distribution and that gen3 will fade out much slower than previous generations but I don't think it will take 2+ years. The market will be flooded with 14nm asics by then.

Although there is a 10-fold variation in electricity prices, mining will only be feasible for the top few percent. It really doesn't make much sense to mine with $0.2+/kwh.
donator
Activity: 994
Merit: 1000
dude, you really could cause an argument in an empty room. chill down.

You do realize I was defending your favorite company which you speak about at every chance right?

Am I wrong to think that spondoolies next gen will be in an entirely seperate class of asics compared to what is currently on the market?

Without any testing or a single shred of evidence do you really think current gen asics can be simply undervolted to reach below 0.38w/gh while still being cost effective?
Without going into the debate with competitors too much - from what is observable from the progression in bitcoin mining IT is that gen3 equivalent hardware from AM and "next-gen" hardware will likely co-exist long-term (> 2 years). This is because there are 10-fold variations in energy prices dependent on location and still large bitcoin price fluctuations, which gives mining a timing value. As such one may expect the less efficient hardware to migrate into areas of low electricity costs and opportunistic mining, while high-efficiency hardware goes into high-cost areas (e.g. through supply and maintenance chain issues) and sustained mining. This will make the overall hashing power of the network much more elastic.

The bottom line is that while gen1 or gen2 ASICs may come to an abrupt death, the gen3 ASICs will likely fade out smoothly.
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 509
dude, you really could cause an argument in an empty room. chill down.

You do realize I was defending your favorite company which you speak about at every chance right?

Am I wrong to think that spondoolies next gen will be in an entirely seperate class of asics compared to what is currently on the market?

Without any testing or a single shred of evidence do you really think current gen asics can be simply undervolted to reach below 0.38w/gh while still being cost effective?
hero member
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
Unlimited Free Crypto
Jimmothy is a troll, just put him on ignore. Please don't quote him because it forces the rest of us to read him.

I thought he is a "sloth" not a "troll" Cheesy
donator
Activity: 290
Merit: 250
Jimmothy is a troll, just put him on ignore. Please don't quote him because it forces the rest of us to read him.
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Quote
Everyone else understands that 20nm, if ever they get it working and yields become reasonable, should provide lower production cost per GH as well as better power efficiency

I'm dense? Your repeating the same useless argument over and over that they "could" increase efficiency but haven't.

If they can't acheive less than 0.5w/gh while still below $0.2/gh wafer cost then it is meaningless. And I doubt they can or they would have already.

And does "everyone" include nvidia? They seem to think 20nm wafer costs are too expensive.

Quote
simply by lowering clocks and voltages from near the top of the schmoo plot to somewhere lower. The same will work for your GPU, for your CPU (both of which will in fact do this automatically when mostly idle)

You seem to think lowering voltage can guarantee higher efficiency. Show me some proof. Has it ever occurred to you that chip manufacturers may have already set voltage as low as possible without diminishing returns?

You repeat over and over that it has to work because "physics" and yet in reality there is not a single person with an asic who acheived less than 0.5w/gh at the chip level.

Why? Laziness?

dude, you really could cause an argument in an empty room. chill down.
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 509
Quote
Everyone else understands that 20nm, if ever they get it working and yields become reasonable, should provide lower production cost per GH as well as better power efficiency

I'm dense? Your repeating the same useless argument over and over that they "could" increase efficiency but haven't.

If they can't acheive less than 0.5w/gh while still below $0.2/gh wafer cost then it is meaningless. And I doubt they can or they would have already.

And does "everyone" include nvidia? They seem to think 20nm wafer costs are too expensive.

Quote
simply by lowering clocks and voltages from near the top of the schmoo plot to somewhere lower. The same will work for your GPU, for your CPU (both of which will in fact do this automatically when mostly idle)

You seem to think lowering voltage can guarantee higher efficiency. Show me some proof. Has it ever occurred to you that chip manufacturers may have already set voltage as low as possible without diminishing returns?

You repeat over and over that it has to work because "physics" and yet in reality there is not a single person with an asic who acheived less than 0.5w/gh at the chip level.

Why? Laziness?
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040
Here is the specs https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitmine-coincraft-series-users-thread-troubleshooting-efficiency-oc-495357. Again you need evidence that lowering voltage to increase efficiency is possible and because it works with cpu/gpus doesn't necessarily mean it has to work with bitcoin asics. I have yet to see bitmain/hashfast claiming anything below 0.6w/gh which they would happily do if it were possible. I assume they have already tested the chips to find out the maximum efficiency so they can advertise such. Why would they not?

Maybe if you tried reading a bit more carefully, I wouldnt have to repeat myself over and over. How many times did I explain that to increase power efficiency you have to lower the voltage? Didnt I specifically say "Got a link showing that power effiency does not increase quadratic with voltage?"  Now, where in your first link does it show they changed the vcore? Nowhere. for whatever reason, that poster only changed the clock.  Did he not have access to the vcore settings, did he not bother trying, is it a firmware or PCB issue preventing him from changing it, I dont know nor do I care. In no way does it refute my "theory".

As for Bitmain, I never said they could achieve <0.6W on a 55nm design. Given that they already claim 0.68W/GH at the chip level, they probably can, but only I gave them as an example of doubling power efficiency without as much as a chip revision, simply by lowering clocks and voltages from near the top of the schmoo plot to somewhere lower. The same will work for your GPU, for your CPU (both of which will in fact do this automatically when mostly idle) and for pretty much any asic with programmable clock ever created because its a direct result of effects inherent to CMOS technology combined with Ohms Law.. If you dont believe me, see if I care.


Quote
I understand very clearly the difference. What I don't understand is why KNC would RUSH to the newest node size (spending more than necessary simply to be first) when they could simply lower voltage and save millions? Wouldn't it make sense to wait until 20nm is cheaper since production cost is nowhere near a limiting factor as of now? Only reason I can think of for doing this would be that they are limited to 0.6w/gh (at cost effective $/gh).

My god you are dense. You are the only one who ever claimed that the only reason KnC is moving to 20nm is to achieve <0.6W/GH. Everyone else understands that 20nm, if ever they get it working and yields become reasonable, should provide lower production cost per GH as well as better power efficiency.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1094
Learning the troll avoidance button :)
I just noticed that I have received no dividends in April.

What's the deal?
Waiting on chip sales to restart dividend payouts
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.6329377
legendary
Activity: 1190
Merit: 1001
I just noticed that I have received no dividends in April.

What's the deal?
Jump to: