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Topic: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It - page 917. (Read 3917543 times)

legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1008
people are holding shares...
few weak hands will buy back soon.

I feel the price is overvalued right now. They will buy back at lower price probably, below BTC3

I sold majority of my holdings at BTC3.47 yesterday.

I disagree with this statement. Granted, in Bitcoin mining everyone is always looking for a month to 3 month ROI. However, I feel like with this security having so much future potential (mining hardware at cost + hardware sells + generation2 chips), ~30% APY is a completely reasonable price for one share.

Also, there is quite a bit of buy support above 3 BTC, with 192 bids above 3 BTC on Bitfunder (I don't visit the other exchanges so I'm not sure about elsewhere.)

I sold as well.

Took my profit and now will invest in AMC.
I suggest you read this thread: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/pb-ratio-or-how-to-not-get-raped-in-the-bitcoin-securities-markets-241415

people are holding shares...
few weak hands will buy back soon.

I feel the price is overvalued right now. They will buy back at lower price probably, below BTC3

I sold majority of my holdings at BTC3.47 yesterday.

I disagree with this statement. Granted, in Bitcoin mining everyone is always looking for a month to 3 month ROI. However, I feel like with this security having so much future potential (mining hardware at cost + hardware sells + generation2 chips), ~30% APY is a completely reasonable price for one share.

Also, there is quite a bit of buy support above 3 BTC, with 192 bids above 3 BTC on Bitfunder (I don't visit the other exchanges so I'm not sure about elsewhere.)

You realize that several companies are coming out with 28nm hardware in 3 months or so, while AM is THINKING about developing 56nm hardware. Once the 28nm asic hardware hit, they will blow the 120nm current AM hardware right out of water (basically 10 times more power efficient than AM hardware while producing much less heat and occupy much less space).

3 month ROI sounds about right, I'm definitely not going to gamble on 3 year ROI, actually I think there's a 90% chance AM share will be worth below BTC1 in one year
1. Companies have promised to come out with hardware in 3 months. There's a big difference. I'm not saying they won't succeed, only that a promise is all it is.

2. ASICMiner is not just thinking, they are actively developing, and have written that October is the release date at the earliest. That's far from thinking about it.

3. KNCMiner uses a 28 nm process. Here's what their latest update says:

Quote
So it is with great pleasure that we can finally announce our Jupiter is now a 400 GH/s device and therefore Saturn is a 200 GH/s device.

[...]

We have previously specified the power consumption of the Jupiter device at a 1000 watts. We have now received indication from our chip manufacturer that this may be lower.

[...]

So until you hear from us again on this, we would like to reaffirm that Jupiter will be less than 1000 watts and Saturn less than 500 watts.

So power usage might be less, but they only promise, at most 400 MH/J. The ASICMiner Blades are 10 GH/s at 80W, so that's 125 MH/J, or only 3.2 times less than KNCMiner - and we're comparing a 130nm process to a 28nm process here!

The thing is, 28nm is not magic. It is not a magic button you push that makes all chips produced at this node size use little power. The designers have to pay special attention to power usage, as is clearly shown by both BFL's real power figures and KNCMiner's promised power estimates.

So if KNCMiner is only, say, 4 times less power hungry than the current ASICMiner 130 nm chip, will ASICMiner's 55nm chip completely eat away this advantage? I don't know, but I'd say the odds are pretty good that going from 130nm to 55nm will give you a 4-fold increase in power efficiency, making ASICMiner on par with KNCMiner's 28 nm technology.
full member
Activity: 163
Merit: 100

I just have this feeling that the ASICminer stock is a bit bubbly right now. I sold 40 TAT microshares yesterday and having mixed feelings about it. I may never be able to buy them back at the price I sold them for but then again I may buy them back at a lower price if the bubble bursts.


You want to see a bubble burst? Keep an eye on Basic mining.


I noticed that. How is a mining bond doing under 100 GH/s valued at over BTC5000? Do they have a huge amount of pre-orders or is that a pure bubble?
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
It's not dropping too fast and i think it will go back up quite quick.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
Invest & Earn: https://cloudthink.io
The way I see it, with the current track record of ASICMINER the bar is set REALLY high for competition.  So many of these new companies are probably getting funded by people who feel they "missed the boat" with asicminer and they want to get that experience.  I myself invested some in AMC just because I can afford to, and diversification never hurts...  But honestly here the second they make any mistake that makes them look weak compared to ASICMINER money will run.

I am investing in AMC, but a majority of my holdings are going to remain in ASICMINER.  Anyone who dumps ASICMINER shares will find plenty of buyers.

I just have this feeling that the ASICminer stock is a bit bubbly right now. I sold 40 TAT microshares yesterday and having mixed feelings about it. I may never be able to buy them back at the price I sold them for but then again I may buy them back at a lower price if the bubble bursts.

It reminds me of Apple going up to $700 per share and then dropping back to $400. Which made people who sold at the top really happy as they can buy back lower. But then again Apple could have gone to over $1000 and they would have felt really miserable.

Is the AM share price too high or is it too low? Only time will tell.

Current APR is still >40%  and climbing as the share price falls... I would say we are fine.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 501
The way I see it, with the current track record of ASICMINER the bar is set REALLY high for competition.  So many of these new companies are probably getting funded by people who feel they "missed the boat" with asicminer and they want to get that experience.  I myself invested some in AMC just because I can afford to, and diversification never hurts...  But honestly here the second they make any mistake that makes them look weak compared to ASICMINER money will run.

I am investing in AMC, but a majority of my holdings are going to remain in ASICMINER.  Anyone who dumps ASICMINER shares will find plenty of buyers.

I just have this feeling that the ASICminer stock is a bit bubbly right now. I sold 40 TAT microshares yesterday and having mixed feelings about it. I may never be able to buy them back at the price I sold them for but then again I may buy them back at a lower price if the bubble bursts.

It reminds me of Apple going up to $700 per share and then dropping back to $400. Which made people who sold at the top really happy as they can buy back lower. But then again Apple could have gone to over $1000 and they would have felt really miserable.

Is the AM share price too high or is it too low? Only time will tell.
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Sorry for the dumb question, but what is AMC everyone is talking about?

Was added today. 2 million shares need to be bought first before anything will happen to the price at all. It's going real fast though as you can see.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/amc-the-official-active-mining-cooperative-discussion-158806

Edit: forgot the link https://btct.co/security/AMC-PT

bitfunder has had them for several weeks.  I bought in at 0.0008 - https://bitfunder.com/asset/AMC
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
Wow - average hashrate last 6 hrs - 73.06 TH/s

A record methinks?

Was just gonna post that!

http://www.asicminercharts.com/live/

Insane!
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Wow - average hashrate last 6 hrs - 73.06 TH/s

A record methinks?
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 252
Insane luck Grin



19 blocks in the last 6 hours Tongue
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
Invest & Earn: https://cloudthink.io
As others have said, ASICminer really is at an advantage.  For competitors to really hurt us, they first need to get the funds to start an operation.  Most often that will mean a big IPO and then after that they can finally start doing things.  Asicminer before just held back 2,000 coins in funding to fund future development.  No big messy ipo to deal with... they just needed some funds so they cut back on divs a bit.  If ever ASICMINER was at threat of losing 10% of the network I am sure friedcat would cut dividends and build up our buffer.  If anyone has ever watched "The King of Kong" I imagine friedcat as billy... possibly we already have new chips ready to go... but there is no reason to put them out yet, so why show your hand.  Just keep them in reserve and then when someone says "AH HA! Look I'm better then you!" you pull out your development you kept secret and CRUSH them.

The way I see it, with the current track record of ASICMINER the bar is set REALLY high for competition.  So many of these new companies are probably getting funded by people who feel they "missed the boat" with asicminer and they want to get that experience.  I myself invested some in AMC just because I can afford to, and diversification never hurts...  But honestly here the second they make any mistake that makes them look weak compared to ASICMINER money will run.

I am investing in AMC, but a majority of my holdings are going to remain in ASICMINER.  Anyone who dumps ASICMINER shares will find plenty of buyers.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
I sold as well.
Took my profit and now will invest in AMC.

You are now doomed to experience lonely and miserable Wednesdays.


I already regretted it after 2 minutes. Bought back slightly lower and kept my AMC shares as well.
Have invested way more than i wanted to but i'm gonna take the risk.
Making fast money = high risk.

Hm crap, it needs to stop going down now though  Undecided
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
Sorry for the dumb question, but what is AMC everyone is talking about?

Was added today. 2 million shares need to be bought first before anything will happen to the price at all. It's going real fast though as you can see.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/amc-the-official-active-mining-cooperative-discussion-158806

Edit: forgot the link https://btct.co/security/AMC-PT
full member
Activity: 177
Merit: 100
Keep in mind that ASICMINER's shares produce ~1M USD in income monthly for the company. I'm hopeful that they are doing a *lot* to fend off competition.
^ This. Not sure why people think ASICMINER will settle for throwing away all it's good work so far / massive headstart.

Have you heard the phrase: Success breeds complacency?

Just look at how SDice went down the toilet after hugely successful head start.

You're completely avoiding the facts -- what makes you think that AM is being complacent? You're just arguing to argue.

Any competent business person knows that (metaphorically) when you're winning a race, you don't take your foot off the gas.

Until there's any evidence contrary, then I think the fair thing to do is to not assume anything. Friedcat said we would know more about the next gen eruptors this month or early next, and can expect next gen asics in October (or there abouts.)

at least this is a discussion worth to discuss. however, kokojie, your opinion seems pretty biased by your selling, if I may say  Shocked And you are wrong in so many ways. come on! you can not compare sdice to AM from an operational point of view. But what's most important:

As we all know by now, if someone says he will produce this and that (28 nm whatever) in the next months, it actually means NOTHING!!!

NOTHING! NOTHING! NOTHING!

And even if, it wouldnt necessarily harm AM.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1012
Still wild and free
Sorry for the dumb question, but what is AMC everyone is talking about?
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
I sold as well.
Took my profit and now will invest in AMC.

You are now doomed to experience lonely and miserable Wednesdays.


I already regretted it after 2 minutes. Bought back slightly lower and kept my AMC shares as well.
Have invested way more than i wanted to but i'm gonna take the risk.
Making fast money = high risk.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
Really what better is it to have shares at BTCT.co if it's a PT?
I mean if Bitfunder goes down or WeExchange go down, we are still f*cked when BTCT.co is buying shares from BitFunder as a PT.
Am I missing something here?

You're missing something. Direct shares can be moved to/from BTC-TC.


so play it safe and "pull certs" nice*+1 do you have a pic of the certificates(game cards) they issue...thanks
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500

Black T-shirts are so much cooler than white .... help hide my fat belly as well!
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 1009
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Reminder / Update

ThickAsThieves, VJain, Franktank and myself have put together the next round of questions for the community to vote on.

Once we have a consensus of the top three questions, ThickAsThieves will submit them to Friedcat.

The last round was a big success, so we will continue doing this for the foreseeable future.

The questions are available for voting here:

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1M7wigyDWjKjabHKdC7msaEfXvYaNxtMbbmTIRss8EqU/viewform

Here are the results so far (215 votes):

1) What are the plans regarding the Official ASICMINER Exchange? Have they been dropped? - 2.89
2) Does ASICMINER/Bitfountain intend to create and official website and/or blog outside of the bitcointalk forums? - 2.95
3) Do you have plans for a retail website? - 3.2
4) Does ASICMINER have plans to develop a marketing campaign to extend beyond word of mouth and business on the bitcointalk.org? - 2.88
5) Earlier this year, you committed to a minimum of 10% of the network hashing being represented by ASICMINER, can you update us to the current goals for network % and for total hashpower in 2013 and beyond? - 4.08
6) When can we expect the first financial report? - 3.68
7) Originally, board members were going to receive a test unit of an ASIC mining device. Will you provide this or any other tangible items to board members in the future? - 2.01
8 ) Could we have an official live hashrate meter from ASICMINER? - 3.17
9) For more transparency, is it possible to share a wallet address for depositing income from ASICMINER hardware sales? - 2.99
10) Besides mining, hardware sales, and fees, are there any other potential sources of revenue? - 2.34
(Note: This question was added significantly later in the voting process, therefore, about half of the votes are weighed as "1" due to the fact that half of the voters did not have the opportunity to vote on it.)

Please note: Voting has NOT closed! You can (and should) still vote! We'll keep the voting open for another 24-48 hours, and then we will compile results and submit the questions.

I don't mind being shot down on this but I'm wondering on the (to my mind) "measly" 3-question limit.

These questions are good in that they could all be answered within a minute each by friedcat or one of his staff. Are we that scared of taking up any of AM's precious time we are limiting ourselves to 3 minutes? Couldn't we stretch to 5 or 10 minutes? Him and his staff must spend several hours a week dealing with share transfers. Having to vote to reduce it down to just 3 questions is a bit much imho.
hero member
Activity: 752
Merit: 500
bitcoin hodler

It's all a bit mysterious, though. There is a lack of transparency on what the future plans are at ASICMINER. The China connection is big, but that could work against AM in a second if the Communist Party decided to shutdown BTC-related businesses.
Hah..China is more open to business than the U.S

I guess it's true nowadays...
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