people are holding shares...
few weak hands will buy back soon.
I feel the price is overvalued right now. They will buy back at lower price probably, below
BTC3
I sold majority of my holdings at
BTC3.47 yesterday.
I disagree with this statement. Granted, in Bitcoin mining everyone is always looking for a month to 3 month ROI. However, I feel like with this security having so much future potential (mining hardware at cost + hardware sells + generation2 chips), ~30% APY is a completely reasonable price for one share.
Also, there is quite a bit of buy support above 3 BTC, with 192 bids above 3 BTC on Bitfunder (I don't visit the other exchanges so I'm not sure about elsewhere.)
I sold as well.
Took my profit and now will invest in AMC.
I suggest you read this thread:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/pb-ratio-or-how-to-not-get-raped-in-the-bitcoin-securities-markets-241415people are holding shares...
few weak hands will buy back soon.
I feel the price is overvalued right now. They will buy back at lower price probably, below
BTC3
I sold majority of my holdings at
BTC3.47 yesterday.
I disagree with this statement. Granted, in Bitcoin mining everyone is always looking for a month to 3 month ROI. However, I feel like with this security having so much future potential (mining hardware at cost + hardware sells + generation2 chips), ~30% APY is a completely reasonable price for one share.
Also, there is quite a bit of buy support above 3 BTC, with 192 bids above 3 BTC on Bitfunder (I don't visit the other exchanges so I'm not sure about elsewhere.)
You realize that several companies are coming out with 28nm hardware in 3 months or so, while AM is THINKING about developing 56nm hardware. Once the 28nm asic hardware hit, they will blow the 120nm current AM hardware right out of water (basically 10 times more power efficient than AM hardware while producing much less heat and occupy much less space).3 month ROI sounds about right, I'm definitely not going to gamble on 3 year ROI, actually I think there's a 90% chance AM share will be worth below
BTC1 in one year
1. Companies have
promised to come out with hardware in 3 months. There's a big difference. I'm not saying they won't succeed, only that a promise is all it is.
2. ASICMiner is not just thinking, they are actively developing, and have written that October is the release date at the earliest. That's far from thinking about it.
3. KNCMiner uses a 28 nm process. Here's what their latest update says:
So it is with great pleasure that we can finally announce our Jupiter is now a 400 GH/s device and therefore Saturn is a 200 GH/s device.
[...]
We have previously specified the power consumption of the Jupiter device at a 1000 watts. We have now received indication from our chip manufacturer that this may be lower.
[...]
So until you hear from us again on this, we would like to reaffirm that Jupiter will be less than 1000 watts and Saturn less than 500 watts.
So power usage might be less, but they only promise,
at most 400 MH/J. The ASICMiner Blades are 10 GH/s at 80W, so that's 125 MH/J, or only 3.2 times less than KNCMiner - and we're comparing a 130nm process to a 28nm process here!
The thing is, 28nm is not magic. It is not a magic button you push that makes all chips produced at this node size use little power. The designers have to pay special attention to power usage, as is clearly shown by both BFL's real power figures and KNCMiner's promised power estimates.
So if KNCMiner is only, say, 4 times less power hungry than the current ASICMiner 130 nm chip, will ASICMiner's 55nm chip completely eat away this advantage? I don't know, but I'd say the odds are pretty good that going from 130nm to 55nm will give you a 4-fold increase in power efficiency, making ASICMiner on par with KNCMiner's 28 nm technology.