[Avalon ASIC] Batch #2 pre-Sale Thread - page 2.

organofcorti

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Poor impulse control.

Quote from: ebereon on March 28, 2013, 08:47:12 PM

Quote from: organofcorti on March 28, 2013, 08:41:34 PM

Has anyone *not* gotten confirmation of purchase from Avalon yet? Please tell me I'm not alone here.

I was with you until last week. I just asked support from walletbit last week and then I got the confirmation from walletbit after 1 day or 2.

Got confirmation from WalletBit - but not from Avalon. You?

ebereon

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Quote from: organofcorti on March 28, 2013, 08:41:34 PM

Has anyone *not* gotten confirmation of purchase from Avalon yet? Please tell me I'm not alone here.

I was with you until last week. I just asked support from walletbit last week and then I got the confirmation from walletbit after 1 day or 2.

organofcorti

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Poor impulse control.

Has anyone *not* gotten confirmation of purchase from Avalon yet? Please tell me I'm not alone here.

ThiagoCMC

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฿itcoin: Currency of Resistance!

BIG NEWS!

AVALON is about to ship my orders to someone else!

Look!

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.1696954

HELP!!!

muyuu

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The question is whether you will recoup your investment or not.

loshia

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Quote from: nightwolf92 on March 20, 2013, 06:45:44 PM

My only questions are:

If I order an Avalon in Batch 3... I will eventually at some point in time get a unit?

Sure you will get it.

nightwolf92

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My only questions are:

If I order an Avalon in Batch 3... I will eventually at some point in time get a unit?

organofcorti

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Poor impulse control.

Quote from: Bowjob on March 17, 2013, 08:34:06 PM

Quote from: organofcorti on March 17, 2013, 07:34:41 PM

Quote from: rudrigorc2 on March 17, 2013, 09:26:21 AM

Quote from: organofcorti on March 17, 2013, 04:14:14 AM

Quote from: Integ on March 17, 2013, 04:07:10 AM

Quote from: yxt on March 17, 2013, 04:00:57 AM

from a good source?

Yes, crystal sphere.

Signs point to yes

Hey organofcorti, any big changes regarding the network hashrate predictions you made?

My quote above was referring to an answer I got using a Magic 8-Ball rather than the crystal sphere Integ used.

As for your question, the mining Difficulty and the network hashrate are both a little bit less than I expected in the "9.11 ASIC choices" post. This could be due to fewer Avalons than expected, a drop in hashrate due to the hard fork, or ASICMiner not increasing hashrate as expected. Or something else.

But we're pretty close the estimates in the post.

How BFL not shipping? You factored in BFL shipping, right? So far they have not, so that means Avalon ASICs are profitable

I assumed BFL customers wouldn't start to receive their ASICs until 31st March.

In case you didn't read the post, here are the assumptions:

Quote

1. Assumptions
These have again been changed to reflect the current guesses about ASIC manufacture. Avalon and BFL shipping dates have been adjusted, and ASICMiner has only 8 Thps left to add to the network hashrate. I'm using the not yet confirmed Avalon "batch 4" again in order to extrapolate data further.
*Arrivals are constant. Rather than modelling arrival times, I'm assuming a constant rate of hashes per second added to the network for each of the batches.
*Batch 1: 250 units arrive arrive from 11th March to 17th March.
*Batch 2, 3 and 4: 1.2 Thps per day delivered from 1st April to 1st July.
*BFL delivers 2000 Ghps per day (~35 SC Singles per day) from 31st March to 1st July.
*ASICMiner delivers 8 Thps evenly from 4th March until 31st March (the hashrate increase for ASICMiner has slowed recently)
*Initial difficulty = 4 367 876
*Initial network hashrate = 33 975

The estimates stand, I think. We're not far off.

Bowjob

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Activity: 294

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Quote from: organofcorti on March 17, 2013, 07:34:41 PM

Quote from: rudrigorc2 on March 17, 2013, 09:26:21 AM

Quote from: organofcorti on March 17, 2013, 04:14:14 AM

Quote from: Integ on March 17, 2013, 04:07:10 AM

Quote from: yxt on March 17, 2013, 04:00:57 AM

from a good source?

Yes, crystal sphere.

Signs point to yes

Hey organofcorti, any big changes regarding the network hashrate predictions you made?

My quote above was referring to an answer I got using a Magic 8-Ball rather than the crystal sphere Integ used.

As for your question, the mining Difficulty and the network hashrate are both a little bit less than I expected in the "9.11 ASIC choices" post. This could be due to fewer Avalons than expected, a drop in hashrate due to the hard fork, or ASICMiner not increasing hashrate as expected. Or something else.

But we're pretty close the estimates in the post.

How BFL not shipping? You factored in BFL shipping, right? So far they have not, so that means Avalon ASICs are profitable

organofcorti

donator

Activity: 2058

Merit: 1007

Poor impulse control.

Quote from: rudrigorc2 on March 17, 2013, 09:26:21 AM

Quote from: organofcorti on March 17, 2013, 04:14:14 AM

Quote from: Integ on March 17, 2013, 04:07:10 AM

Quote from: yxt on March 17, 2013, 04:00:57 AM

from a good source?

Yes, crystal sphere.

Signs point to yes

Hey organofcorti, any big changes regarding the network hashrate predictions you made?

My quote above was referring to an answer I got using a Magic 8-Ball rather than the crystal sphere Integ used.

As for your question, the mining Difficulty and the network hashrate are both a little bit less than I expected in the "9.11 ASIC choices" post. This could be due to fewer Avalons than expected, a drop in hashrate due to the hard fork, or ASICMiner not increasing hashrate as expected. Or something else.

But we're pretty close the estimates in the post.

rudrigorc2

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Quote from: organofcorti on March 17, 2013, 04:14:14 AM

Quote from: Integ on March 17, 2013, 04:07:10 AM

Quote from: yxt on March 17, 2013, 04:00:57 AM

from a good source?

Yes, crystal sphere.

Signs point to yes

Hey organofcorti, any big changes regarding the network hashrate predictions you made?

organofcorti

donator

Activity: 2058

Merit: 1007

Poor impulse control.

Quote from: Integ on March 17, 2013, 04:07:10 AM

Quote from: yxt on March 17, 2013, 04:00:57 AM

from a good source?

Yes, crystal sphere.

Signs point to yes

Integ

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!

Quote from: yxt on March 17, 2013, 04:00:57 AM

from a good source?

Yes, crystal sphere.

yxt

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from a good source?

Integ

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!

Omg, only one word about the beginning of deliveries of Batch 2 Roll Eyes

Apparently, ngzhang working in the not wanting power, probably, the second edition will be something fantastic, like Butterflies Cool

Bogart

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Quote from: cedivad on February 17, 2013, 12:28:02 PM

Quote from: PsychoticBoy on February 17, 2013, 12:21:32 PM

They NEED your money to assemble batch #1.

Go give your hard earned to the Chinese but do not expect anything (except a headache) from them in return!

Who cares? batch #3 orders will pay for batch #2 customers.

(lol)

lol, bitponzi!

You know, I'm OK with it, so long as they don't plan to continue operating like that forever.

Developing an ASIC is an enormously difficult and expensive job, and I'm glad to help contribute to the effort, in exchange for a share of the sweet rewards.

I got my batch 1 Avalon yesterday, and am looking forward to delivery of my batch 2.

Tinua

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Quote from: SolarSilver on March 13, 2013, 09:05:31 AM

..............
If you place an order with Avalon next week for batch #3, it will ship out in April
..............

April? They're currently not even finished with Batch 1 Undecided

SolarSilver

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Quote from: 01BTC10 on March 13, 2013, 07:23:33 AM

You're a bit late. Maybe batch #3 will open someday.

Yes, I meant the batch #3 ordering

Now that they have delivered considerably more machines (batch #1) all over the world, a lot more people will realize Avalon is capable of delivering faster than BFL

If you place an order with Avalon next week for batch #3, it will ship out in April
If you place an order with BFL next week, it will ship out somewhere in the summer

el_rlee

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