Topic: Bet on favorites early in the week & underdogs late in the week strategy... (Read 255 times)

Yes because there's no fool proof strategy that could help us win in sports betting. As experts said, you only need to win more than 52% to be profitable in the long run, that is considering you are discipline with managing your bankroll. This method here could potentially make you profitable as it works most of the time, it may not be a major strategy, but it's vital in order to get somehow a good advantage.

Playing early in the week and late in the week has advantage and also disadvantages. Sometimes people play games early in the week when the odd is high and it provides a higher chances of winning big. but if you play on weekends the odd might reduce. Morover the high odd gives you a higher amount if won.
But the disadvantage is that most people who study games and odd will tell you that you can only understand the odd by weekend because if it increases from maybe the initial 2 odd to maybe 3.5 odd on weekends that is to say you are at risk of loosing. because the higher the odd the riskier the game. So that is what I understand about playing ealy the wek and later in the week.

For a moment if we agree to this theory, this means that the under dogs will perform better in the later part of the week and win matches.
Also, it means that the strong teams will usually perform bad in the start of the week and their performance will deteriorate over the week. This is just strange logic which i fail to understand.

Maybe that broadcaster experience this once or twice and he decided to make it public as a "Rule of Thumb" but actually this never happens consistently.

I won't take this as a betting tip but just for my confirmation, i will see and compare the results of the matches played throughout the week and determine if this theory is really true 

Efficient indeed to do so, however odds are changing from time to time if you will be betting mid game. I tried it before and rewards ain't that decent to go low and if you will be increasing your wager, things might still go off simply because nothing's assured. Not because star players won't be there perhaps on the opponent team, then it would be an assured winning bet. Bench players could still step up and not to mention that sometimes star players are on bricks-- yes I am referring to sportsbetting in particular with NBA. And my conclusion only is; everything's possible to both winning and losing outcomes and that's just how gambling works. Luck will always be the determinant of the outcome no matter how good our analysis is. No one could control the game other than players themselves. Even with other sports such as in boxing in particular with handicaps; moving to other weight classes.

So what to do then? then just bet with moderation in particular with your wager. If you happened to win, then maintain your amount of wager and follow your limitations. In this instance, you won't suffer from huge loss and would more likely make your betting experience more efficient.

Possibly some normal distribution shenanigans where data wouldn't make sense on its own but would start showing some patterns when you compare it with a larger sample size. Although honestly this will be the first time that I have heard of it, and if not for the probable statistical relevance that this could bring I'm immediately going to can it and call it bollocks lol. Cause there's no real rhyme or reason as to why every game for that matter would favor giving the dub to crowd favorites on the first half of the week and the underdogs on the latter when the distinction between the two isn't even based on any level of technicality in the first place. It's like the whole shit is screaming bullcrap to me but I'm trying so hard to try and make sense of it lol.

In any case I might try this strategy just for the hell of it, and since it's going to be a mini-experiment of sorts I would say I'd look at a sample size spread out between 6 weeks just to make sure that there's just enough data that we could put a pin on it in the earliest possible time without interfering with the supposed normal distribution hoobla that I just talked about previously. I'll let you guys know most likely.

Ima a wait until the game is about to start kind of guy.  People get thrown on injury reports or is deactivated in nba or baseball for rest and it screws everything else up.  Yeah it can work in your favor but when I'm sports gambling I like the most information I can possibly get.

Taking a bet early in sportbook does not make any difference to me but the spread is what is going to be different since to be quick is more profiting with higher odds than coming late which the odds might have reduced. Any strategy that seems to work for us is what we should follow and we don't have to necessarily go for the rule of thumb.

I don't even care about all this rules because they only existed to increase our profits if only we are fortunate to be on the winning side. Some can still follow any of these files and end up losing e en with all the strategies and rule of thumb that must have been followed. The best thing is for us to follow and work on what will give us the kind of results we are looking for.

The professional means the gambler may know how to react to the every situation in the gambling,he know when to withdraw to avoid of the complete loss in the gambling.The casino game in the gambling was the peculiar one,because it based on the prediction.If you made the win,it was essential to withdraw the funds after sometime.Because the reverse algorithm of the gambling site will take all your money to the loss.Instead leaving the gambling with the capital and minimum profit will be the far better option to the gambler.


The strategy itself not work with the algorithm of the gambling site all the time,the important one was the gambling should change their own strategy many times based on the gambling algorithm changed.The gamblers should have three different strategies to apply for the new game,because the creation of strategies at the game was the hardest part for the gamblers.He need to use the one after another in the same game to make profit.

We know that when it comes to strategy then people would be coming up with different variations and on the time that they would really be able to win then they would really be tending to save up that condition
that they had been able to do on that point. If it turns out that weekend betting is something an underdog could be able to win and ended up on a positive result by someone then it would really be not shocking that they would really be sticking into that principle on which they would really be making it as a strategy.Yes, there would be no solid proofs about for this one to be actually be working yet we do know that people would really be that sticking into something which they do know that it would be working. This is why it would be on someones personal choice whether they would really be sticking into those strategies or not
but pretty much sure that they would really be testing or trying it out if it does work or not. It would really be just that depending into someones interest but pretty sure that there would really be those people
who would really be that curious into this regard.

You're missing the entire point.  This is also a sentiment that I've seen others post here. Yeah of course it has absolutely nothing to do with the outcome of the match per say, it's all about utilizing a strategy to obtain better odds. I think everyone could agree that when placing sports bets, it's advantageous to get the best odds you can.  That's what this is all about.  People seem to be missing the point here.

It's a great strategy that works some times but doesn't work all the time. Sports can go either ways when being played therefore there's not accurate strategy that can be used to win all the time. When I want to pick a team to put my money on, I do background checks on how good the teams has been playing before the game ahead. I look at both teams and weigh their strength and weakness before I decide which one to bet my money on, sometimes I win other times I lose but that's gambling.

I also have another strategy that I use for sport betting, I look at the trend for the game week, if the underdogs are having a good week for the start of the game week, I put my money on the underdogs for the rest of the week but not in all games only for those I feel the underdog have a chance of winning and their odds are too big that I can win huge sum of money by having just one prediction correct.

Yes it could go either way, but most of the time it's the heavy favorites that usually move due to the reason I mentioned above.
It's not perfect because it's not guaranteed, but just like the rule in gambling, we go with the higher chance and that is "most of the time".



Odds or spreads does not really give you the win, it just gives you more winning chance if you are getting a better value. But it's just how to handicap the games, if you are good at it, you'll likely win more using this strategy.

However, as for me experience, since I am not really so good in choosing winning bets, so I don't see the effect, yet.

In sports betting, the movement of betting lines could go either way. It might be true that heavy favorites could get the bulk of bets as soon as the odds are released and early bettors could take advantage of higher odds. But the odds could actually go even higher as the game nears. That's why there are actually pros and cons in betting early as your odds, whether you're with the favorite or underdog, could actually improve later on.

By the way, do you use this strategy? I mean, that you place your bet in the early part of the week if you're with the favorite and later part of the week if you're with the underdog? How has it been? Since you also claimed that it is a rule of thumb, therefore more or less accurate, has it been doing great?

So far, I haven't heard of this betting strategy that involves betting on specific days of the week. I guess it must be sports or even league-specific that has a unique game schedule.


I mean I'm betting regardless of days. Sometimes I bet early; sometimes I bet late. There are times when I think betting on certain odds early is advantageous. There are also times when I wait for a little longer because I believe the betting line would move in my favor.

Generally, the good thing about betting late even if it's the favorite you're betting on is that we aren't sure how things would develop. In NBA, for example, you would learn later on that this and that star player won't be playing. In boxing or MMA, there might be news that the training of a fighter isn't really running well as the fight day nears.

But I'm probably not profitable in gambling, so I might adopt this strategy, after all.  

in MMA where an underdog can win with a slight mistake from the favorite fighter, the odds can change a lot unless they see the favorite is extremely dominant whether on a ground fight or standing. but if the favorite fighter is mainly a boxer kind and his opponent is a wrestler, any of them can win the fight depending on who hits the hardest first. so betting in advance might not really matter much as the odds will just slightly change.

bettors option is to bet on methods of winning either win by KO or win by Submission which the odds can be higher. and so the reason for analyzing the skills of the fighter is necessary.

In as much as betting or placing a bet in the earlier part of the week doesn't or cannot alter the outcome of the match I am not bothered placing bet at that time though the odd or spread might be high what matter most to me is picking the sure bets a day before the matches for instance picking my bets weekend matches on Thursday and Friday while picking bets for midweek UCL matches on Sunday and Monday with the aim of accumulating the odds to 3.00 to 4.00 though as from now I will take a close observation of the odds if there are noticeable difference then I might start my pick very early to accumulate more odds.

Well it is generally accurate.  Not sure why you're bothered by it. I thought I'd open this discussion just to see how many here had been utilizing this strategy and what they've seen by doing so.  This is simply how Vegas odds tend to shift over the week, or over time depending on how far apart the match is for whichever sport you're betting on.  "But I guess, now that I've learned it, I still won't apply it on my bets"    I guess you're immune to legitimate gambling strategies?



Of course not, but certainly a decent common "rule of thumb" that could be useful.


This is honestly a pretty silly thing to say.  Yes, it does matter. Any edge you can gain can be extremely helpful.  Of course it doesn't guarantee a win, that's not the point.

Betting on favorites early and underdogs later in the week is a common rule of thumb in sports betting, but it's not a guaranteed strategy. Success often comes from a mix of stats, research, and staying flexible with changing team dynamics. Rather than sticking strictly to rules, it's good to be open-minded and adapt your approach based on what's happening. Finding your own groove through a bit of experimentation is part of the fun and challenge in sports betting.

I don't know much about rules like that because as far as I do, I only bet on teams that I know, whether it's the underdog team or betting on the favorite team. If each of them is clearly inferior in terms of performance to the opposing team, I will not choose it even though it is my favorite team. And if my favorite team has no chance of winning, I won't bet at all.

Maybe they say that because they have had such a good experience with it that they suggest we or their listeners use it too. People who talk on podcasts share their experiences with others, and it's not because they already have the experience that we jump on it. We need to do in-depth research on it if we want to follow them. And if we don't find the truth, we don't follow it and look for what we like or want.

I can't study it carefully, because I didn't fully listen to the podcast you were listening to. you are just quoting the main points from the podcast you listened to, namely the basic rules that must be adhered to when betting on sports, betting on favorites at the start of the week and Under-dogs at the end of the week. my question is, is this rule a definite basis, and is the source who said this an expert in that field? honestly, I'm not familiar with this statement. just like you do, I also always listen to podcasts about sports in my local media. there is a lot of material that I can get, it even becomes knowledge for me to involve in betting. honestly, I'm not sure that I necessarily agree that it's a strategy. ideally, anyone who is a resource person in a podcast that discusses gambling, even with their advice, not necessarily what they say is what they apply or even do.

I'm also not a professional gambler, but I like sports. I rarely listen to podcasts about strategies in sports betting, but I prefer ones that discuss material related to football. because of this, it could be useful points for me personally. for example, I follow several channels such as podcasts that discuss football and also analysis in football. this is important for me, because at least I have an idea of ​​what the coach will implement with his system, patterns and strategies. so, we don't have to bet like "Bet on favorites early in the week & underdogs late in the week strategy" because this is not ideal for me personally. for me the most effective strategy is to know about the sport itself, what I mean is football. in this way, we can study and analyze how a team will play its match. if I explain too long, the community may not agree. well, for me there is no ideal strategy in sports betting, let alone football. because, everything depends on the situation and conditions of a team that will compete. apart from that, there are other variables, and this is where, for me, the art of betting lies.

I am also not a professional gambler I think this strategy is not good enough and also not bad enough either, so far I play sports betting always make sure to use analysis and research in-depth information before betting on matches that are underdogs or really not underdogs, it all comes back Again, it's up to your own luck, don't think that this strategy is also good to use because this method still won't work.

What I mean is that this doesn't mean that the strategy can't work either, sometimes everyone has their own way of gambling, you probably know that every professional bets on gambling based on proper analysis too because without that kind of ability it's difficult to guess which ones are worth betting on. seeded or not seeded, for me betting on big leagues and top teams in the world is better than using a strategy like that.