I usually bet on favorites, and when I'm very confident in my bet, I tend to place it early as soon as the line is available.
Based on what I've noticed, favorite lines often move as the game time approaches. For instance, if I bet on the favorite at -3.5, and the line moves to -4.5 nearing the game, it could mean I'm getting value. This adjustment could provide me with an additional point, which would be beneficial if the favorite only wins by 4. However, please do note that this strategy is not guaranteed to work all the time. There are instances when significant line movement only occurs due to a sudden announcement, such as a star player not playing for whatever reasons, or changing from a previously listed doubtful status to active. Such scenarios are typically outliers, making them special cases.
Topic: Bet on favorites early in the week & underdogs late in the week strategy... - page 3. (Read 266 times)
January 05, 2024, 08:02:31 AM
January 04, 2024, 06:09:38 PM
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
Maybe it will work but the question is, are those odds by the Favorites worthy to bet on that specific bet?
Is risky for me to bet a decent amount on low odds compared to high odds. It's like you need to bet a decent on Favorites just to feel the profit. And in the worst case, those Favorites might be stunned by the Underdogs even during the early week.
Though we can do some experiments there and form a conclusion. If you have some extras, why not try to bet on the sequence and see the result. Maybe you can form a sort of betting pattern specifically designed and effective on that specific league.
January 04, 2024, 06:04:51 PM
I guess I should note that this more so refers directly to NFL and College football (🏈). They get a week between each game so typically from what I have seen, this is often how spreads adjust over the week between games, but I’m not sure how often it holds true.
Keep in mind this isn’t as much of a thing for sports and teams that play every couple days or so.
Keep in mind this isn’t as much of a thing for sports and teams that play every couple days or so.
January 04, 2024, 05:57:12 PM
I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
As long as you are using the money that you can afford to lose to gamble. But there would be more loss if you are later betting on underdogs to win in the week. This is because even if the strong team do not win the underdog, the strong team still have the chance to draw the match. The low odd and the draw makes me not to like football betting like casinos. Betting on the underdogs weekly will only bring more losses than expected. But if you have the money you can afford to lose for the loss, that is not a bad idea if the money is just very small.
For sure there would be those people who would really be that testing out this kind of strategy if it does work or not. I agree into those points above that luck wont
really be something similar into each person.If it does work on you but it doesnt mean that it will work on others. So its situational because choices
will differ and sports choices would differ too. This is why it wont really be that precise on what would happen into each person.
January 04, 2024, 04:43:28 PM
I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
Never ever on my betting career or experience on which i did make out such move or strategy on which i do make out some bets basing up in the day of each week on which there's no significant influence if we do speak about probabilities on which it would really be just that on his own ways or methods.If this strategy would be working on him then its good, but we know that not all people would be sharing up with the same luck So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
on every moment and we dont share up on the same bets , unless if he would be sharing up his then people could follow but i do highly still doubt on that.
Do the things or strategies on which you do know that you could be having the advantage because not every strategy would work for you would work into others.
So bare that in mind always.
I agree, but who knows, maybe the OP can try this kind of strategy for quite sometime and see how it does for him? It might be a hit or miss strategy though and so like the countless strategies that we have heard in any sports.
So for me, I doubt this strategy, I think everything is still base on who we like to bet on weekends whether they are the underdog or heavy favorite. At the end of the time, the decision is still up to us, if we put money on the underdog base on our analysis and if they won then good for us. Perhaps being a fan has some advantage as well as you can "read" a potential win or avoid a team if you know that they are going to lose.
January 04, 2024, 04:38:27 PM
I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
Never ever on my betting career or experience on which i did make out such move or strategy on which i do make out some bets basing up in the day of each week on which there's no significant influence if we do speak about probabilities on which it would really be just that on his own ways or methods.If this strategy would be working on him then its good, but we know that not all people would be sharing up with the same luck So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
on every moment and we dont share up on the same bets , unless if he would be sharing up his then people could follow but i do highly still doubt on that.
Do the things or strategies on which you do know that you could be having the advantage because not every strategy would work for you would work into others.
So bare that in mind always.
January 04, 2024, 04:37:00 PM
I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
As long as you are using the money that you can afford to lose to gamble. But there would be more loss if you are later betting on underdogs to win in the week. This is because even if the strong team do not win the underdog, the strong team still have the chance to draw the match. The low odd and the draw makes me not to like football betting like casinos. Betting on the underdogs weekly will only bring more losses than expected. But if you have the money you can afford to lose for the loss, that is not a bad idea if the money is just very small. 
January 04, 2024, 04:33:38 PM
I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
I'm not familiar with this strategy though and this is the first time that I heard about it. Could be true or not, but as gamblers, we might take this into consideration, however, we could have our own analysis in when to bet on the underdog regardless of what time of the week it is or not.So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
So it really depends on whether you will go and used this strategy or it will work or not, hard to say. But if we have follow our favorite sports then we might at least see if there will be a huge upset anytime of the day or the underdogs are live, meaning even if the sports bookies put them in that category, they might pull some miracle and win the game.
January 04, 2024, 04:29:08 PM
I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum). I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic rule of thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it. Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy. Thoughts?
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