Topic: Bet on favorites early in the week & underdogs late in the week strategy... - page 2. (Read 266 times)

Why would a strategy like this work? The only scenario where this can be succesful, is when there are mass manipulation of different games or fights.

I think this is just a Sport betting myth and not something that can be statistically proven. If this was true... everyone would be doing this and casinos would have gone bankrupt.

If you are regularly betting on sports, you will know this thing. It's a rule of a thumb since most bettors would choose to bet on the favorites spread compared to the underdog, so when the line is available, they'll hammer it until the spread will increase to balance the bets. That's why betting early gives you an advantage.

The key here is "line movement".

Check this NBA lines, https://www.sportsline.com/nba/odds/... and see its movement.

I am no expert too so I might try this one. Never heard of it before but it somehow caught my attention. Maybe, I will first have a trial and error or analyze if it does happen by checking on the games in this week to come.
Did they say if this is applicable in every sport? Then the timeline too? This should be Eastern Time right? An example would be like this day. It's a Sunday night in the US while it's Monday morning in other places of the world. So it's the first day of the week against the last day of the week.

I think it's Eastern Time because right now underdogs are winning in NBA. It's Sunday. Some underdogs kept the game close and if we take the + spreads we will win it.
I am putting this in my sticky notes so that I won't forget it. I mean I will add this to my consideration before putting my bets and after analysis. I have been losing some of my games so I'd take any strategy that I will see when it comes to sports betting.
Thanks for sharing @ChiChiBitCTy.

I'm a little bit bothered to call this rule of thumb. I mean, something is considered rule of thumb because it is generally right or accurate, therefore widely accepted. But I highly doubt the accuracy of this strategy. Surely, sports bettors don't just place a bet based on which player or team is the favorite and which is the underdog. Actually, it's only now that I heard of this approach or strategy in sports betting. I'm also not a professional bettor myself, so I could have missed this strategy. But I guess, now that I've learned it, I still won't apply it on my bets.

It may even work out well for you. There's nothing to lose by giving the strategy a shot. If you bet on favorites early in the week or underdogs late in the week, you will typically examine your choices since we base our decisions on how the odds for favorites and underdogs are moving in sports betting. Having said that, it's crucial to remember that there are many complicated sports betting strategies out there and that winning at betting often requires an in-depth understanding of the particular sport, team, and betting markets. Like any gambling, there are risks associated with sports betting, and there is no surefire way to be successful.

It doesn't really matter the strategy you are using, everyday isn't a win day and they means that even with the best strategy you are not guaranteed of winning yet until you have won your game and it's been paid out they you can be sure for certain that your strategy worked and is a sure and good one.

Betting on the underdogs latter in the week usually comes with bigger odds meanwhile that of the bigger team reduces as the scheduled day new so if you want to take advantage of the odd then you are advised to make your stake over the week and then not waiting to the day scheduled for the game as by the they will definitely be slight change in the odds which are definitely dynamic. It's always good to explore odds before the scheduled day for the game if you want you possible win to be bigger.

Odds could really be that indeed different if those lines are already available 5 days before the fight or event comparing if its been given on that particular day or day 1 or 2
on which if you are really that assured that a certain player/team could win then that would really be giving out that advantage since you could really be able to earn more
but just like you've said that im also a bettor who do have that flexible betting style on which it could really be that too early or could really be just that having on point.
It would really be just that depending on the assessment whether the bet to take is considerable or something that i could say i'd pass.

It's worth following occasionally if you can wait several days or weeks. Make sure the sportsbooks you use always put up early lines because there are still sportsbooks that put up lines once the match is a day or two away from kickoff. If you're lucky enough, you could get a 5% - 20% difference in winnings because the odds difference between a few points can go for that much.

Unfortunately, I don't follow it due to my flexible betting style, but I always see other gamblers catching good lines whenever they're about to share the picks they've made.

Never came across anything like it before but it piqued my interest.  Makes some sense that the spreads get bigger later in the week so the underdogs become more tempting and  i wonder if anyone's tried using this strategy and actually won more bets.  Could be worth a shot.  If it works, awesome, you found a new way to beat the sportsbooks.  If not, it was an interesting experiment at least.  Maybe some of you sharps out there have thoughts on whether this strategy holds water.  I'm curious what people who know more about betting than me think.

This depends on the sports you are betting and the match scheduled for that specific date. Because the date in general doesn’t affect the match result regardless if it’s favorite or underdog. This is not a rule of thumb in general because the schedule of matches on weekdays and weekends varies.

Probably the podcast you are listening is pertaining to a specific league that already have matches scheduled available for the whole league. He probably already analyzed all the upcoming matches and notice that most of the game on weekdays and weekends has a specific pattern already.

this is the first time i've heard of a strategy like this and it's quite interesting too. but for me, who only bets a few times a month, i don't really care about strategies like this in betting, because i only bet on strong teams that i think have the potential to win.

but maybe if you are curious about this strategy you can try betting with this strategy with a little capital, and see how this strategy can give you a profit. if you feel that the strategy is good enough, you can continue betting with that strategy and share your experience with all of us here, who knows, the strategy might work well.

It depends on the situation and conditions that occur in the bet. But what is clear is that, whatever the situation and conditions, you need to make sure you place bets only with money you can afford. That's all, and that is the key because whatever strategy you use still depends on the use of the money. If you do as suggested by the podcast but with big money because you want to win big but it turns out you lose, it will only leave you with regret. But if you place a bet with small money, you will not regret it, even if you use the recommended strategy or a different one.

For me depending if you love betting during live I guess, there's no favorites when it comes to that. There's nothing like early of the week or later of the week cause I love to bet now during live, so it would certainly be changed. Well, probably it's fine on other sports but I think basketball has different vibes.

I don't see how this is a strategy because the better teams will always stand a better chance of winning irrespective of when the bet is placed. Maybe the proponents have tested it and it worked for them which is fine for them. I find it difficult knowing when the under-dogs will win a match so I don't force myself taking the risk. I love playing high probability bets and I consider the form of the teams in my selections as that have a way of giving me a clue of their performance. I know the probabilistic nature of gambling so I try to make it be in my favor.

football is hard to predict although bookmakers show who are their favorite, the underdog they think will lose oftentimes win. this is why it's best to just bet when the football match is live. but we all have a different take on this. every time i do this, 1 or 2 out of 5 bets in favor of the favorites lose. sometimes i think i would just bet for the underdog instead for higher returns.

I have never heard about this strategy, and I sincerely doubt that it is a strategy that generates constant profit, in my opinion it is more of a way of testing your luck than betting based on team analysis. You can test this strategy, use little money, something like less than $1 and then draw your own conclusions. After testing this strategy, also test making simple bets using team analysis. start by seeing how each team performed in the last 5 games at home and away and which players were playing in the last 5 games and which is the best 11 of the team and which is the best performance of the team when it is at its peak

This will all allow you to see which is the best and worst 11 on the team and then you just need to wait when they announce the 11 for each team that will play and bet on the team with the best 11. After the game ends, see if you won or not and start comparing whether it's really worth using the strategy you mentioned in this thread or whether it's worth betting on simple bets where you've carefully analyzed each team. The problem with believing in strategies made and published by other people on the internet is that the person has no proof that they are telling the truth and how those people are doing with such strategies that they keep publishing

That's why it's important to always not believe what people say when they talk about strategies that are profitable in gambling, so what the person should do is carry out experiments using little money to prove whether these strategies really work or is that all? lie. and even if the experiments were to work, one should still be cautious, playing with only money that one can afford to lose. The ideal is for the person to create their own strategy and not depend on the strategies of other people who even go so far as to sell things and do not accept being shown proof that the strategy works. so never pay for any strategy related to gambling

They may be right or wrong. In sportbet, I don't think that  there is any particular time in the week that is for the strong or underdogs. What I know is that a strong team has a higher chance of winning the underdog because they are well experienced than the under dogs and they also have quality players, this is why I will not accept with this conclusion.

It is always once in a while that we see underdogs winning a strong team and if it happens like that and you were lucky to bet on the underdog team, you will win a good amount of money. Gambling is based on luck and nobody knows when he will be lucky, this is why you should have you don't need to gamble with an amount that will cause you pain.

Never heard of it before. Isn't this most likely just an edge case that the podcast talked about since, well, it was an edge case so it was a rather rare situation for them as well? Tbf they can just bs their way to describe some random stuff sometimes since it makes no sense (at least to me) how the day of the week would manage to influence the bets. Though I guess you can reason out that the underdogs don't seem too bad compared to the losing teams of earlier matches, so the odds get adjusted based on that. Probably.

I think it depends on specific sports and leagues.

I don't know how teams in those professional leagues in Football behave within a week, but if I take that idea of placing bets on Favorites early in the week and then Underdogs a week later, it might not work and be effective in basketball leagues, especially NBA and to our local basketball league where the ball is always round. I mean, Favorites are always being upset by Underdogs that's why it's even harder to make a parlay betting with only Favorites here in basketball leagues specifically on the NBA.

The odds I think are better when you are earlier. While the match is just a week later the odds could be 1.50 but by the time it's just a day or two the odds could be 1.20 which means you could win bigger but this is not the rule of thumb. The bigger you bet the bigger amount you will win still.

Betting on favorites is still better like they said because the chances of winning is higher than going for the underdog.