Betting Diary - Trying out different betting systems every week

maydna

hero member

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Quote from: goaldigger on February 27, 2019, 02:44:02 AM

I see clearly that this theory is correct.

The house always makes you win on the first play thats why there is a phrase beginner's luck. After that, you keep comming back for more with the hope of winning again until you noticed that you just only win once. Too late if you are now bankrupt.

Beginner's luck can always appear to a new gambler even for the second time of playing gambling. And as long as he can follow the house in placing bets, he will have a chance to win in every time he gamble.

The house cannot always win, and so do you. It is about how we can search the right information that will support our prediction in the sports betting and you know what, you can win from the house in many times if you can collect better information than the house.

In the sports betting, who can get as much information will have a big chance to be the winner because he can make a right prediction from the statistic each team so he can decide to choose the right team.

goaldigger

sr. member

Activity: 2310

Merit: 355

I see clearly that this theory is correct.

The house always makes you win on the first play thats why there is a phrase beginner's luck. After that, you keep comming back for more with the hope of winning again until you noticed that you just only win once. Too late if you are now bankrupt.

Trofo

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Asian handicaps are just a way to take your bets more easily. You can accomplish all that staff with bet managing in case your local bookie doesn't support them. Granted you will have to play few tickets instead of one if you want to get same result as 1/4 Asian handicap.

I think I will have to stop with this experiment. It doesen't make sense but I have way more luck with pairs I didn't share with you guys. It is sort of cursed for me I guess. If I put it publicly I lose it. Today I played a nice double of under 2.5 goals on ManUtd-Lpool and Arsenal to win and both passed easily. There is no proof involved but for those of you playing Premier League Pool with me you can check my entered results and at least see that I expected that kind of results.

For those of you who are not part of the pool here on Bitcointalk, you guys don't know what you are missing. Make sure to be here next season

I hope we will have another one.

Pmalek

legendary

Activity: 2730

Merit: 7065

Farewell, Leo. You will be missed!

@Ucy
Asian handicap means giving one team a sort of advantage at match start by the bookies. With asian handicap there are several outcomes of your bet. You can win the bet fully, you can win half, loss half, loss all or have your money returned to you.

There is a lot of information about asian handicaps, here is one resource you can check:
https://www.betshoot.com/asian-handicap-betting/

Ucy

sr. member

Activity: 2576

Merit: 401

Meaning you make profits from gambling? What is this Asian handicap market for? Does it need skills or it pure gambling.? Could you please provide link.

big_daddy

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Tottenham players were too nervous today, and selfish too
This is why they have lost their game, and unfortunately ruined your bet Sad

Trofo

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Week 3 | Day 1

Today I feel like playing Premier League treble for whole bank:

Newcastle 1x @ 1,3
This is very important game for both teams. I believe Newcastle has more quality in the side and they are playing at home. This should be a straight win but I am playing 1x for extra security

Totenham x2 @1,2
Spurs are much better side and great when traveling this season. Again I believe this should be a straight win but playing x2 for more security.

Bournemuth - Wolves 2+ @1,3
This should be encounter with quite a few goals in it. I am playing two or more goals as more secure choice but I belive this will end 2:2 or similar.

Total Odds: 2.028 | Stake: 0.006BTC

Edit: Colored the post. And with this gameweek the Spurs are probably out of title contest. Not that they has a big chance. Everybody sort of expected them to start loosing points sooner or later.

Trofo

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Both games ended with 2 goals scored for guests while home teams didn't managed to score. That ended this week experiment very quickly. Damn, it seems there is some kind of curse on me to miss all the games I write publicly Grin

No matter this is after all only experiment and I started with expectation to lose money so i could argue that things are going according to plan

On a more serious note. Next week I will try betting without restrictions. Based entirely on feeling. If I like one game it will be single. If I like more games, maybe I will play accumulator with 4 games. We'll see. I will probably bet whole bank on day one and if successful half of bank on later days.

Edit:
I tried editing my OP while on the mobile phone and screwed things up rather badly. Is there some archive here on the forum from where I can get a copy of it? If affirmative please copy it here for me or send me via pm so I can recreate the OP. Any time before this post in last 2 days should be ok.

Trofo

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Quote from: Pmalek on February 18, 2019, 05:26:55 AM

@Trofo have you tried betting on Asian handicap markets? Has been profitable for me in the past, only on single bets though and odds off 1.75 and above. I used to put an X amount in my 'betting bank' for every month and bet on Asian handicaps only.

I will play Asian handicaps sometimes but it is not something I am doing on daily basis.

Week 2 | Day 3

After 50:50 results yesterday my bank is currently at 0.00575BTC. Today I will play two games on more goals and both to score

Chelsea - Man UTD -> Both to score and over 2,5 goals @ 2,1 | Stake 0.002875BTC
Chealsea got humiliated at hands of City and will try their best to show good face today. Man Utd lost badly against PSG and will also try to their best today. I am expecting an open game today.

Jong PSV - Twente Ensch. -> Both to score and over 2,5 goals @ 1,7 | Stake 0.002875BTC
This game is from Dutch 2nd league which is one of the leagues with most goals scored per match. H2h is also full of goals and I am expecting another goal fest today.

I will update first post a little later. Just came home from work Grin

Pmalek

legendary

Activity: 2730

Merit: 7065

Farewell, Leo. You will be missed!

@Trofo have you tried betting on Asian handicap markets? Has been profitable for me in the past, only on single bets though and odds off 1.75 and above. I used to put an X amount in my 'betting bank' for every month and bet on Asian handicaps only.

aoluain

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ok so you are playing a new system, 50:50 on two single games.
Todays result was a 50% win.

Valencia - 0 - Espanyol - 0
Spal Ferrara - 1 - Fiorentina - 4

Tomorrow needs to be 100% win - no pressure!!
Good Luck.

Trofo

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Quote from: Trofo on February 16, 2019, 05:37:29 AM

RB Leipzig to win @1,7
Studgart is in big problems and RB Leipzig should have quite an easy match here. H2H is also very match in favor of the visitors.

Hoffenheim-Hannover both to score @1,7
Maybe I should have played both to score and over 2.5 goals here but decided on a little safer bet. Hoffenheim is playing very attacking football and I expect result like 3:1 here. They also conceded goals in almost every match this season.

Yesterday I had one good and one bad tip which resulted in a current bank of 0.0051

Week 2 | Day 2

Valencia - Espanyol -> Valencia to win @ 1,8 | Stake 0.0026BTC
Valencia is playing much better in recent weeks and Espanyol is terrible in away games. This should be an easy win for home side.

Spal Ferara - Fiorentina -> Fiorentina to win @2,30 | Stake 0.0025BTC
This one is a little bit more risky but I expect Fiorentina to get all the points today. Usually I skip the early games because they are full of surprises. Let's hope this one will go as expected

I wanted also to play villareal - Sevilla -> draw but made that bet only in fiat so I am not showing it here

big_daddy

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Quote from: Trofo on February 16, 2019, 05:37:29 AM

Week 2

This week I will play only single games with odds of at least 1.5. I will start with wagering 50% of the bank on every tip. If it goes well I will probably start putting 33% or 25%. Risk management is awful but I can't be bothered to place bet smaller then 0.003 BTC Grin

RB Leipzig to win @1,7
Studgart is in big problems and RB Leipzig should have quite an easy match here. H2H is also very match in favor of the visitors.

Hoffenheim-Hannover both to score @1,7
Maybe I should have played both to score and over 2.5 goals here but decided on a little safer bet. Hoffenheim is playing very attacking football and I expect result like 3:1 here. They also conceded goals in almost every match this season.

I will follow you on this one adding Rijeka - Hajduk both to score @1.85 (edit: using price boost @1.91)
Both teams has weak defense and on todays adriatic derby will be a max offensive on both sides

Ucy

sr. member

Activity: 2576

Merit: 401

It is interesting to see that you are doing fine with your strategy.
Would you encourage other gamblers to try this out.
Hopefully it becomes something we coud copy someday?

Trofo

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Week 2

This week I will play only single games with odds of at least 1.5. I will start with wagering 50% of the bank on every tip. If it goes well I will probably start putting 33% or 25%. Risk management is awful but I can't be bothered to place bet smaller then 0.003 BTC Grin

RB Leipzig to win @1,7
Studgart is in big problems and RB Leipzig should have quite an easy match here. H2H is also very match in favor of the visitors.

Hoffenheim-Hannover both to score @1,7
Maybe I should have played both to score and over 2.5 goals here but decided on a little safer bet. Hoffenheim is playing very attacking football and I expect result like 3:1 here. They also conceded goals in almost every match this season.

Trofo

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Quote from: big_daddy on February 15, 2019, 06:19:26 AM

Quote from: Trofo on February 14, 2019, 11:54:41 AM

I think Dinamo has good chance of getting positive result today. I will probably play x2 or dinamo to score. I always pick regular win or double chance. I don't have good reason for it but I just don't like to see draw no bet on my ticket Grin

good game yesterday it was
from 1 to 2 first/second half, it's something smelly here, maybe el Maminjo has some fingers in this jar Cool

Quite possible. Maybe he needs more money for some lawyers wages. If you guys don't know what we are talking about here, don't worry it is local Croatian reference.

big_daddy

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Quote from: Trofo on February 14, 2019, 11:54:41 AM

I think Dinamo has good chance of getting positive result today. I will probably play x2 or dinamo to score. I always pick regular win or double chance. I don't have good reason for it but I just don't like to see draw no bet on my ticket Grin

good game yesterday it was
from 1 to 2 first/second half, it's something smelly here, maybe el Maminjo has some fingers in this jar Cool

Trofo

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I think Dinamo has good chance of getting positive result today. I will probably play x2 or dinamo to score. I always pick regular win or double chance. I don't have good reason for it but I just don't like to see draw no bet on my ticket Grin

big_daddy

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What do you think about this bet today?

FC Viktoria Plzen - GNK Dinamo Zagreb
Draw No Bet - GNK Dinamo Zagreb
@1.81

imstillthebest

full member

Activity: 1638

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Quote from: xWolfx on February 13, 2019, 01:00:03 PM

Oh yeah make sure to split your bets so you can bet a lot more times with the amount of money you are going to spend, that is definitely the best way to go to have fun yourself and possibly have more chances of winning. Since the more you do it the more possibilities of figuring out better strategies to try out in the future.

i didnt know that gambling can also be diversify because at first i thought that diversifying funds was only possible for investing and on trading . the only problem is that the fee's you will spend will be double because most gambling sites are only built with single type of games , that is why you need to deposit again your funds on other gambling websites .

Topic: Betting Diary - Trying out different betting systems every week (Read 525 times)