Betting on political events | Bitcointalksearch.org

betswift

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Quote from: shasan on September 07, 2024, 09:54:26 PM

Quote from: Aanuoluwatofunmi on August 06, 2024, 07:20:58 AM

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on, people will no mind on the procedures or dip dipper than the main subject in consideration for them to be able to bet, as the presidential race is getting closer and tougher, some will prefer making their bets on this, because they wanted to ascertain their own personal convictions towards the condition ahead on bet.

You are right for those who play for fun only. But who plays to make money a large investor can't play for those events which can be manipulated. As the site can manipulate even large investors can manipulate the result. As a result, the gambler might be a loser for the manipulation.

Yeah, I agree, it can be manipulated, but not because of the bets placed for it, but rather because of other factors Grin

It all boils down to luck still, as it wouldn't manipulated just because you placed on B instead of A.
It's my opinion, of course.

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on September 08, 2024, 12:32:54 AM

I see now that many bookmakers have started accepting bets on political events. I see political betting ads on many popular resources, for example, on Coingecko. If these bets are advertised, it means that they are supposed to be popular or may be popular. And this is true. The presidential elections in the USA are quite a resonant event. But the elections in France, Great Britain or Germany, for example, can be just as resonant. Although, in my opinion, only or mainly presidential elections or elections of the prime minister are of interest. Party elections are usually not accompanied by much interest.

elections in the states are always a very bright and discussed event, besides Trump is a serious showman and he will definitely not miss the opportunity for any PR, and where there is resonance and a lot of media, there will always be bookmakers. In addition, many residents of other countries also follow this event because it is really interesting. I have never taken part in this kind of bets, but I have thoughts this time.

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Quote from: shasan on September 07, 2024, 09:54:26 PM

Quote from: Aanuoluwatofunmi on August 06, 2024, 07:20:58 AM

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on, people will no mind on the procedures or dip dipper than the main subject in consideration for them to be able to bet, as the presidential race is getting closer and tougher, some will prefer making their bets on this, because they wanted to ascertain their own personal convictions towards the condition ahead on bet.

You are right for those who play for fun only. But who plays to make money a large investor can't play for those events which can be manipulated. As the site can manipulate even large investors can manipulate the result. As a result, the gambler might be a loser for the manipulation.

Choosing from the selected site to earn money is much more uncertain in terms of expected profit for a gambler which is a guarantee of more profit for developers. Most of the gambling sites manipulate which makes the experienced gamblers lose and I think the developers set the gambling algorithm in such a way that they can read the gamblers preconceptions and accordingly a gambler loses. Not only do they force gamblers to lose but in some cases they allow gamblers to win which attracts them to gambling.

hyudien

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on September 08, 2024, 12:32:54 AM

I see now that many bookmakers have started accepting bets on political events. I see political betting ads on many popular resources, for example, on Coingecko. If these bets are advertised, it means that they are supposed to be popular or may be popular. And this is true. The presidential elections in the USA are quite a resonant event. But the elections in France, Great Britain or Germany, for example, can be just as resonant. Although, in my opinion, only or mainly presidential elections or elections of the prime minister are of interest. Party elections are usually not accompanied by much interest.

Now anything that is an opportunity, people will take advantage of it to make it something that can be bet on, one of which is in political events. This is not the first time we have seen politics become a bet, because in previous years this was also done, especially when entering a political year in the US.
This kind of betting is usually not only done by gambling platforms, but also between individuals, many do it personally and what they bet is not playing around, it can have a large nominal value. I once saw someone betting during the regional elections where I live. They are supporters of each candidate, especially at that time the candidates they bet on had almost the same electability.

Julien_Olynpic

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I see now that many bookmakers have started accepting bets on political events. I see political betting ads on many popular resources, for example, on Coingecko. If these bets are advertised, it means that they are supposed to be popular or may be popular. And this is true. The presidential elections in the USA are quite a resonant event. But the elections in France, Great Britain or Germany, for example, can be just as resonant. Although, in my opinion, only or mainly presidential elections or elections of the prime minister are of interest. Party elections are usually not accompanied by much interest.

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Quote from: Mpamaegbu on September 07, 2024, 11:44:33 PM

Quote from: Aanuoluwatofunmi on August 06, 2024, 07:20:58 AM

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on...

Anything can constitute an item of bet and that's what makes betting/gambling abstract in the sense of no exchange of goods is involved unlike what's in trading. It's a fantasy (so to say) to be satisfied and that's how sites come up with the mechanism to enable bettors satisfy themselves. It's not a bad idea including political events on betting sites. At least that should get bettors to be politically aware of their surroundings too. I like the idea.

Actually bookies doesnt really include politics kind of lines just because they do want to have some awareness about political side of things but rather they are really just that simply included all the things on which they do know that they could make money into or they would really be spreading out or would really be included on whatever things on which they could see that they could be able to make money from.

On personal point of view about betting on politics then it will really be always getting in line with someones personal point of view or choice on whom they do want to become the president or whatever that do talks about candidacy and it will really be just that basing up on what you choose and your bet will really be that basing or would really be according into that one.

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Quote from: Aanuoluwatofunmi on August 06, 2024, 07:20:58 AM

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on...

Anything can constitute an item of bet and that's what makes betting/gambling abstract in the sense of no exchange of goods is involved unlike what's in trading. It's a fantasy (so to say) to be satisfied and that's how sites come up with the mechanism to enable bettors satisfy themselves. It's not a bad idea including political events on betting sites. At least that should get bettors to be politically aware of their surroundings too. I like the idea.

shasan

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Quote from: Aanuoluwatofunmi on August 06, 2024, 07:20:58 AM

Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on, people will no mind on the procedures or dip dipper than the main subject in consideration for them to be able to bet, as the presidential race is getting closer and tougher, some will prefer making their bets on this, because they wanted to ascertain their own personal convictions towards the condition ahead on bet.

You are right for those who play for fun only. But who plays to make money a large investor can't play for those events which can be manipulated. As the site can manipulate even large investors can manipulate the result. As a result, the gambler might be a loser for the manipulation.

Aanuoluwatofunmi

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Betting can come in any form, as long as its part of what constitutes an invent, a program or a game to bet on, people will no mind on the procedures or dip dipper than the main subject in consideration for them to be able to bet, as the presidential race is getting closer and tougher, some will prefer making their bets on this, because they wanted to ascertain their own personal convictions towards the condition ahead on bet.

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Quote from: Wakate on August 01, 2024, 12:11:24 PM

Political events is one of the ways to make fats money from gambling and it has been long that gamblers had been betting on these kind of political events. We don't know what the final outcome would look like whether people are going to vote more for Trump or Harris. This election is going to be very competitive and we all anticipating on what the election is going to look. Trump has been campaigning of supporting Bitcoin and cryptocurrency at large while Harris has no interest in Bitcoin and could even fight against the adoption of crypto when he finally becomes the president of the United States. I know that Trump has more supporters for now and we don't really know the outcome of this election.

I don’t think Kamala Harris is not interested in Bitcoin at all. I’ve seen media reports that Kamala’s husband is a crypto enthusiast. It’s really funny… How can a presidential candidate whose husband is a crypto enthusiast not be interested in Bitcoin? Well, maybe it’s not that she’s not interested, it’s just not part of her campaign strategy. Sure, her husband owns Bitcoin, and in fact, she herself is therefore also an indirect supporter of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. But why can’t she openly come out in support of Bitcoin? Maybe she’s a prisoner of the Democratic Party… Either way, sooner or later we’ll see the Democratic Party come out in support of Bitcoin as well.

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Quote from: Spaceman1000$ on August 01, 2024, 11:51:22 AM

Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 22, 2024, 01:52:28 AM

I propose to discuss bets on political events in this topic. Some bookmaker organizations offer such bets. In order not to engage in their advertising, I will not mention their names, but you can easily find them on the Internet using various queries such as “Betting on political events” or even “Betting on non-sports events”. Strictly speaking, political betting is a type of betting on non-sports events. I don’t know whether the moderator will allow this topic to remain in gambling discussions or move it to the politics section. But in my opinion, it is more logical to leave this topic here, because despite political forecasts, we are talking specifically about gambling.
Why has betting become a symbol of sports games? This is not true. We can argue about any event - political, musical, economic, even esoteric. However, political events, such as elections in the United States, have the greatest liquidity. Perhaps a separate topic should be created for non-sports disputes that are also not political.
Here I propose to discuss all political events in all countries on which bets are placed, and not just political events in the United States.

Placing a bet on a political event especially elections is a very big risks to be involved with as a gambler except you are gambling with minimal money that wouldn't affect you if the results doesn't go your way.

political events like elections are always characterized by too much interest by the powers that be, so you see a situation where results are sometimes manipulated by the electoral umpire aided and orchestrated or championed by the powers that be, so sometimes you see a popular candidate with clear cut projection that he will win, and at the end of the day the result will be manipulated and he will lose out. So as a sportsman I wouldn't want to bother myself or give much credence to bet on political events.

Unlike our conventional sports like football where I can easily predict that Chelsea might win Everton due to their antecedent as a club that has a criteria, and I'm doing so without the referee which is the umpire not being biased and he will be neutral unlike political events.

Political events is one of the ways to make fats money from gambling and it has been long that gamblers had been betting on these kind of political events. We don't know what the final outcome would look like whether people are going to vote more for Trump or Harris. This election is going to be very competitive and we all anticipating on what the election is going to look. Trump has been campaigning of supporting Bitcoin and cryptocurrency at large while Harris has no interest in Bitcoin and could even fight against the adoption of crypto when he finally becomes the president of the United States. I know that Trump has more supporters for now and we don't really know the outcome of this election.

Spaceman1000$

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Quote from: Julien_Olynpic on June 22, 2024, 01:52:28 AM

I propose to discuss bets on political events in this topic. Some bookmaker organizations offer such bets. In order not to engage in their advertising, I will not mention their names, but you can easily find them on the Internet using various queries such as “Betting on political events” or even “Betting on non-sports events”. Strictly speaking, political betting is a type of betting on non-sports events. I don’t know whether the moderator will allow this topic to remain in gambling discussions or move it to the politics section. But in my opinion, it is more logical to leave this topic here, because despite political forecasts, we are talking specifically about gambling.
Why has betting become a symbol of sports games? This is not true. We can argue about any event - political, musical, economic, even esoteric. However, political events, such as elections in the United States, have the greatest liquidity. Perhaps a separate topic should be created for non-sports disputes that are also not political.
Here I propose to discuss all political events in all countries on which bets are placed, and not just political events in the United States.

Placing a bet on a political event especially elections is a very big risks to be involved with as a gambler except you are gambling with minimal money that wouldn't affect you if the results doesn't go your way.

political events like elections are always characterized by too much interest by the powers that be, so you see a situation where results are sometimes manipulated by the electoral umpire aided and orchestrated or championed by the powers that be, so sometimes you see a popular candidate with clear cut projection that he will win, and at the end of the day the result will be manipulated and he will lose out. So as a sportsman I wouldn't want to bother myself or give much credence to bet on political events.

Unlike our conventional sports like football where I can easily predict that Chelsea might win Everton due to their antecedent as a club that has a criteria, and I'm doing so without the referee which is the umpire not being biased and he will be neutral unlike political events.

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Quote from: Silberman on July 30, 2024, 01:28:22 PM

Quote from: LUCKMCFLY on July 28, 2024, 09:12:41 AM

Quote from: Hispo on July 21, 2024, 06:12:02 PM

Many of those who though Biden would bring them a good win were wrong at bit waiting for the election to get closer, and now they are paying the consequences for it.

That is something very iterative, and although I am not a political expert, do you think that now the Democrats have or are at a disadvantage with respect to Trump? Trump is now the oldest politician in the USA, and he is obviously preceded by his intellect, to be honest I don't know much about Kamala, I haven't seen what her career is very well, well seeing the previous candidate Biden, there is more information about him, it is a fact that it is like that, only people in the USA know or should know much more detail about her, although to be honest, I think Trump has a lot of favoritism.

As we know the election system on the US is unique and the candidate with the most votes will not necessarily win, and on the states which could go either way Trump seems to have a small advantage, however the issue for Harris is that those are states in which the message of Trump can possibly reach more people than her own, so it will be difficult for her to mount a comeback on those states, meaning that even if Harris is doing a better job than Biden, it is not certain that could be enough to stop Trump from reaching the presidency again.

Well, from my observations so far, Trump has been a better candidate for the next president of the US, Harris like you said, is trying her best but Trump, being a past president seem to know how to play the game much more than any other runners for the next president of the United States, only person I thought would have given Trump a good run was Biden, but unfortunately, he stepped down after the Trump shooting incident.

But on the other hand, I feel sorry to ask this question, but is this really why this thread was started in the first place? To discuss election matters and who possibly have a better chance of winning? I thought the thread was about what we all think about betting on political matters like the coming US presidential elections, or is this all still part of the discussion?

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Quote from: Silberman on July 30, 2024, 01:28:22 PM

As we know the election system on the US is unique and the candidate with the most votes will not necessarily win, and on the states which could go either way Trump seems to have a small advantage, however the issue for Harris is that those are states in which the message of Trump can possibly reach more people than her own, so it will be difficult for her to mount a comeback on those states, meaning that even if Harris is doing a better job than Biden, it is not certain that could be enough to stop Trump from reaching the presidency again.

Yes, I know that the electoral system there is different, I know that the Electoral Colleges exercise a different system, it has much more power, it is a system that I do not understand much, but I know that political power is much greater and has quite a lot of importance, now, the vote of each citizen does have a weight, and the greater the volume of voting I think that a great weight is exerted, but from what I have seen on TV, on the networks, Trump has a lot of power in terms of people, Kamala Harris must be good politically, there is a reason she is there, although to be honest for me Trump's advantage over her is very clear.

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Quote from: LUCKMCFLY on July 28, 2024, 09:12:41 AM

Quote from: Hispo on July 21, 2024, 06:12:02 PM

Many of those who though Biden would bring them a good win were wrong at bit waiting for the election to get closer, and now they are paying the consequences for it.

That is something very iterative, and although I am not a political expert, do you think that now the Democrats have or are at a disadvantage with respect to Trump? Trump is now the oldest politician in the USA, and he is obviously preceded by his intellect, to be honest I don't know much about Kamala, I haven't seen what her career is very well, well seeing the previous candidate Biden, there is more information about him, it is a fact that it is like that, only people in the USA know or should know much more detail about her, although to be honest, I think Trump has a lot of favoritism.

As we know the election system on the US is unique and the candidate with the most votes will not necessarily win, and on the states which could go either way Trump seems to have a small advantage, however the issue for Harris is that those are states in which the message of Trump can possibly reach more people than her own, so it will be difficult for her to mount a comeback on those states, meaning that even if Harris is doing a better job than Biden, it is not certain that could be enough to stop Trump from reaching the presidency again.

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Quote from: $weetne$$ on July 24, 2024, 01:39:38 PM

Quote from: passwordnow on July 22, 2024, 08:19:13 AM

That's true, USA politics is intense and it's even easier today that Joe Biden has already passed his torch to Kamala Harris. Stake's odd for Trump is a clear indication that we know who's about to win and this isn't just for the odds but for the entire world to see. With the Trump's attempt to be assasinated, whoever ployed that just gave him the edge to be liked more by the people. Not just by the Americans but the other countries as well that are following their election period. Less than four months to go until the election come and while others are suggesting that it's still possible for Michelle Obama to get in, IMO, the chance is there but she's not going to have a better chance of winning compared to Kamala and even Biden.

America election is the most anticipated election and you can make a lot of money betting on it, after Joe biden step down and handed over the mandate to Kamala Harris the odd for Donald Trump has increased because everybody knows he is going to be the next president. The donations the democrats are raising does not mean they are going to win the presidential election. They are just trying to make it look like they are still on the race when they have already lost. Americans are not ready to election a woman to be president and not a black woman too. America has only one black president and they would not want the next one to be a woman. Harry Clinton could not win against Donald trump when she was the front runner and she had more chances of becoming the president than Harris.

Connecting with individuals and understanding their priorities. The media is buzzing over Trump's odds after Biden's departure. Yeah, fine. Trump has always made deals and been savvy. If crypto is the next big thing, he'll hop on it. Indeed, its wise. Crypto's the future of finance, and early adopters will profit.

Its not just Bitcoin. Trump's vision for America, economic knowledge, and execution are key. He showed that in his first term and will again.

Some folks are saying America's not ready for a woman president, especially a black woman. Thats absurd. We've watched the country and people's attitudes alter. Strong and intellectual, Kamala Harris has plenty to contribute. Her policies, experience, and future vision matter more than her ethnicity or gender.

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Quote from: Hispo on July 21, 2024, 06:12:02 PM

Many of those who though Biden would bring them a good win were wrong at bit waiting for the election to get closer, and now they are paying the consequences for it.

That is something very iterative, and although I am not a political expert, do you think that now the Democrats have or are at a disadvantage with respect to Trump? Trump is now the oldest politician in the USA, and he is obviously preceded by his intellect, to be honest I don't know much about Kamala, I haven't seen what her career is very well, well seeing the previous candidate Biden, there is more information about him, it is a fact that it is like that, only people in the USA know or should know much more detail about her, although to be honest, I think Trump has a lot of favoritism.

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Quote from: shivansps on July 18, 2024, 10:19:04 AM

Honestly, this is the first time I’ve heard about this, but I like the idea, it’s quite good, interesting and not ordinary. I think that there may be a very high demand for political events. I find these events no less interesting than sports ones. If I had to place a bet, I would bet on Trump’s victory in the upcoming elections and on the fact that Zelensky, before the end of the war, will be made to blame for all the ills of humanity.

Betting on political events is not the first thing. I saw Political betting a long ago on Bitsler. It might be the first discussion but not the event or betting. I think betting should be for political events which can't be manipulated eg: the selection of a person as the candidate can be manipulated based on the decision of the high command or chairman.

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Quote from: o48o on July 24, 2024, 06:53:57 PM

Quote from: passwordnow on July 24, 2024, 03:59:27 PM

They have lost yet until the race is over. I'm saying that because it's not yet over but the obvious is that you're right that it's almost over and Trump is about to win the election.
-cut-
I think whether the candidate is black, white, man or woman or whatever, it is about the platform that they're mentioning through the rallies that are gaining the votes. And that's the reason why Trump is likely getting all the votes and with the assasination attempt, he has garnered more trust from the people.

I don't get why getting shot at would make people trust you more. And so far i haven't seen any polls that it would have affected to, people just seem to think it has.

That's bravery for the people and the thought of why would someone want him down. Instead of him getting criticized, he's got the sentiment of the people and trust that he's willing to die for his country. That's how politics work. Are you from the US? because I am not and I can't speak entirely for it as these are my opinion. And someone from there also has theirs and has got more understanding to the politics that's happening there.

Quote from: o48o on July 24, 2024, 06:53:57 PM

Meanwhile Kamala Harris raised $81 million in the 24 hours right after biden announced withdrawing his candidacy. Majority of her donors are first-time donors, so there's that too. Not to mention that trump is that old confused man now in this race, so playing that card where they laughed biden being old could backfire now. So could their "tough on crime", when Kamala has actually done something about it, and been tough on crime. She has also experience dealing with criminals, so dealing with Trump isn't anything new to her.

Someone who's running the race can have that campaign fund as much as they can. I didn't know the whole context of it as I just knew her as the vice president of Biden and not that much of her affairs.

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Quote from: Huppercase on July 25, 2024, 03:24:07 PM

Quote from: $weetne$$ on July 24, 2024, 01:39:38 PM

America election is the most anticipated election and you can make a lot of money betting on it, after Joe biden step down and handed over the mandate to Kamala Harris the odd for Donald Trump has increased because everybody knows he is going to be the next president. The donations the democrats are raising does not mean they are going to win the presidential election. They are just trying to make it look like they are still on the race when they have already lost. Americans are not ready to election a woman to be president and not a black woman too. America has only one black president and they would not want the next one to be a woman. Harry Clinton could not win against Donald trump when she was the front runner and she had more chances of becoming the president than Harris.

I don't think it's the most anticipated election in the US but the election is now a war between the republicans and the democrats and since they have strong side of battle between them, many people pick interest in it and most importantly one candidate seems to be making Bitcoin as his friends because over the years since Bitcoin has been live, there has never been a candidate that has come straight forward to like Bitcoin like Trump and what may may happen later.

To make the election even spicy, it's now a run up election between a woman and a man which has never happen in the history of US election, a sitting woman as president challenging a man like Trump and she is even confidence in her way of strategies in winning this election. The only thing I'm after is to see what Trump plans for Bitcoin and not abandoned it as soon as he get to office.

Ypu can only partially listen to these people before they get elected. Every race they say things to get the votes but once they are in they do an about face because they don't need votes anymore. These groups find massive groups of people and side with them. Now that crypto has grown large enough it makes sense to lean on them as a platform for more votes.

Topic: Betting on political events (Read 1414 times)