Bitcoin 2022 bear market? - page 7. | Bitcointalksearch.org

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Quote from: Why you bully me on January 16, 2022, 05:07:38 AM

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

Do you want to know what I think? Will you come with me? Alright! If you're worried enough, sell all of your BTC now and go back to sleep. Why are you afraid of market tumbling? It is not always an assurance that BTC price will go up, but you should believe that if it doesn't die in 2020, BTC will never die again because if you were there when the market was super hot and dripping on red, you wouldn't care what analysts compute about history, my dear friend.

Ararbermas

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Maybe on this first quarter, because as the matter of fact we all saw how bitcoin made a good run last year. So this is the part wherein the market will gonna make a correction. Or should i say a normal situation before it continually making good progress.. Just be patient or prepare for the next bull run because for sure, soon or later there will be another good run since market is gradually showing a positive sign. It took time because that's the cycle but 100 percent sure these situation will not last..

Poker Player

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That is the big question. We don't really know anything about how the price is going to behave, just as we didn't know last year, or the year before, etc. What happened is that after the first 8 years of Bitcoin's history, analysts started to draw regularities and assumed that in the future all cycles would be the same, which meant that by 2021 the price would be much higher than it was.

I would say that bear market as such, no. There is a lot of money from big players inside. The price will probably not take off as long as the FED keeps threatening to reduce the dose of drugs to the junkie (the markets), but I believe that in the medium term it will have no choice but to continue injecting.

ven7net

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Quote from: Why you bully me on January 16, 2022, 05:07:38 AM

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

Earlier, I already wrote that I believe that the growth of BTC should have been at the end of 2021, since it was then that the next cycle was coming to an end. After that, in 2022, a bear market should begin, that is, a new cycle where the price falls for the next three years, and another growth occurs in the fourth year. However, as we saw the BTC price increase at the end of 2021, and information appeared, the flight to the moon was postponed either to the beginning of 2022 or the end of 2022. Whether this is so or not, we will see for ourselves.

mindrust

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In bear markets there usually is a 85%+ retraction from the last ATH price. If the history repeats, Bitcoin will surely go below $15k during the next bear market. Of course that's a one big "if" but if you believe in the market cycles, the possibility of that happening isn't far off. So if you are an investor it is probably a good idea to wait and don't buy big pieces yet.

Russlenat

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Quote from: Why you bully me on January 16, 2022, 05:07:38 AM

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

Yes, it was a bull market in 2021, and bull market will not stay forever. Based on history, the bear market stays longer than the bull market so I think if 2022 is for the correction period, then we will likely see a bear market where the market will definitely struggle.

Hold on to the assets you trust, and learn to accumulate if indeed we will experience a bear market.

Saint-loup

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Quote from: Vaskiy on January 16, 2022, 09:07:57 AM

From the past years of bull market, once after every bull market year there used to be a year of bearish move. In such a way this year is gonna be bearish. We don't know to what extent the market will go down in price. As of now the market is quite fluctuating within limits. Maybe the movement upwards or downwards over the next few weeks will decide the trend for the year.

I don't understand how the trending movement in the next few weeks could decide the trend for all the year. Could you explain us how this thing could happen precisely? Buyers and sellers don't look at the trend of the beginning of the year when they decide to buy or to sell, they just look at the current situation and eventually the last big news but nobody cares about this specific period when he trades in my opinion.

Vaskiy

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From the past years of bull market, once after every bull market year there used to be a year of bearish move. In such a way this year is gonna be bearish. We don't know to what extent the market will go down in price. As of now the market is quite fluctuating within limits. Maybe the movement upwards or downwards over the next few weeks will decide the trend for the year.

aoluain

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Quote from: Rikafip on January 16, 2022, 06:37:22 AM

Quote from: Lucius on January 16, 2022, 06:20:51 AM

It seems to me that the smart ones have played the majority again, and while everyone is waiting for some extremely low prices, they are accumulating and waiting for the right moment for a new pump. If you believe what you say, place your buy orders between $16k and $22k, although something tells me you'll get tired of waiting Wink

Maybe I am completely wrong, but I have a feeling that OP would be too scared of buying BTC if it drops between 16-22k, like many others. I mean, he is already talking about bear market just because BTC went down ~35%. Same thing happened last summer, everyone was talking about bear market, while instead BTC made another all time high.

And yeah, I agree that is much better to start buying now instead waiting for some specific prices which may never come. You don't have to immediately buy with everything you have, but DCA is not a bad tactic. At least that's what I am doing.

And when we look back when Bitcoin is $60k there will be those complaining
they didnt buy in the $40k's.

There will always be those calling for the bear market.

Long term we know the Bitcoin price will be higher, it just takes time, buy the dips
and be positive in the future, you dont need to ask the community about that move.

JohnBitCo

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Quote from: Why you bully me on January 16, 2022, 05:07:38 AM

As we have seen the bull market of 2021, history has shown there to be a following of a bear market in the next year (2022). What are your thoughts so far and how do you believe it will play out.

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

Your thoughts?

As per the on chain data and analysis by many experts, no one is willing to accept this as a bear market. Everyone is of the point of view that we may be another big bull run before the start of the bear market. Some people say that cycles are extended. I think that since the marketcap of bitcoin is so high, it won't be easy for bitcoin to either pump hard or dump hard. Bitcoin may move in ranges and movement will be slow.

GreatArkansas

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For me, I have price levels watching before saying we are in a bear market.
Mine is dropping below $20,000 and that's the time I consider we are in a bear market, but with these really small dumps and bounce backs. I don't think we are in a bear market. I expect this 2022 will be long sideways, $30,000 will be the strong psychological price support.

Jawhead999

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Bitcoin could be dump to $16K-$22K but saying Bitcoin will stay in such average price until 2025 is completely wrong! Even technically it's possible because the price depends on demand and supply, but seeing how this world really want to migrated from physical to digital... there should be mass adoption. I'd say average Bitcoin price should be above $50K since $50K is the strong resistance now.

sunsilk

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Quote from: Why you bully me on January 16, 2022, 05:21:36 AM

Isn't that just by only a few months though? Shouldn't be too much of a change.

Yes, there's not that much of a change.

And that's why it could be that the cycle is no longer being followed by the market and bitcoin itself. Having that said, many are speculating about the new ATH by this year.

But there's no confirmation yet, we're just starting out and the year still has a long way to go until we validate and see it happens.

Ebede

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Quote from: michellee on January 16, 2022, 06:03:50 AM

I am not sure if the bear market comes but it could happen but hopefully, that will not happen this year. So far, I still think that is just a correction that always comes to the market after the price reaches the highest price. And the price can rise again this year, especially since much good news comes out to support bitcoin's growth. We all want to see the bull market come again but we also need to be ready if that will not come.

But last year people are saying that this year 2022 bull run will come and till now it have not come, that means we are into bear market because market continuous to fall steady and instead of it to recover it continues going down, i believe that bitcoin can get self by the end of March, because what we are experiencing today is bad.

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Quote from: Rikafip on January 16, 2022, 06:37:22 AM

Quote from: Lucius on January 16, 2022, 06:20:51 AM

It seems to me that the smart ones have played the majority again, and while everyone is waiting for some extremely low prices, they are accumulating and waiting for the right moment for a new pump. If you believe what you say, place your buy orders between $16k and $22k, although something tells me you'll get tired of waiting Wink

Maybe I am completely wrong, but I have a feeling that OP would be too scared of buying BTC if it drops between 16-22k, like many others. I mean, he is already talking about bear market just because BTC went down ~35%. Same thing happened last summer, everyone was talking about bear market, while instead BTC made another all time high.

And yeah, I agree that is much better to start buying now instead waiting for some specific prices which may never come. You don't have to immediately buy with everything you have, but DCA is not a bad tactic. At least that's what I am doing.

I completely agree with your comment. As soon as Bitcoin skyrockets again, everybody wll jump in and we will continue the bull run.

Lucius

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Quote from: Rikafip on January 16, 2022, 06:37:22 AM

Maybe I am completely wrong, but I have a feeling that OP would be too scared of buying BTC if it drops between 16-22k, like many others.

Given that he mentions the year 2025, it is more than clear that he believes in repeating the cycle and that the price will explode again after halving 2024. If this has been the case so far, it is quite normal to believe that the same thing can happen again - although few want to lock up their investment for 3-4 years.

Either way, time is running relentlessly and what seems very far away today will soon become a reality - so while anything is possible, I don't want to believe the price of BTC could fall below $20k, it would take us back 5 years. Like it or not, hundreds of thousands of BTCs today are owned by wealthy individuals and various companies, they have changed the rules of the game and therefore a four-year cycle could be broken.

mk4

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I really don't know because the recent movements haven't been what people expected which is a blow-off top by December. But I have this sort of "belief" that whatever the masses think will happen, won't actually happen.

e.g. if most people expect a bear market at a certain quarter, I'm going to guess that the bear will happen either earlier or later than that quarter.

TheNineClub

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Well, I am not going to predict the price as I am not sure enough to do that, however, I am inclined to believe that the cyclic nature of the market is something to bank on. So as predicted we are heading to a drop in price with a bottom correction and then a return to an upward motion. I'm guessing will be in the down-low during 2022 and 2023 with perhaps returning to upward mobility sometime in late 2023. However, there's also the super cycle theory, but again, I am more inclined to belive the past cycles showed us how things will develop for some time in the future.

Rikafip

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Quote from: Lucius on January 16, 2022, 06:20:51 AM

It seems to me that the smart ones have played the majority again, and while everyone is waiting for some extremely low prices, they are accumulating and waiting for the right moment for a new pump. If you believe what you say, place your buy orders between $16k and $22k, although something tells me you'll get tired of waiting Wink

Maybe I am completely wrong, but I have a feeling that OP would be too scared of buying BTC if it drops between 16-22k, like many others. I mean, he is already talking about bear market just because BTC went down ~35%. Same thing happened last summer, everyone was talking about bear market, while instead BTC made another all time high.

And yeah, I agree that is much better to start buying now instead waiting for some specific prices which may never come. You don't have to immediately buy with everything you have, but DCA is not a bad tactic. At least that's what I am doing.

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Quote from: Why you bully me on January 16, 2022, 05:07:38 AM

I think the bear market is still just starting, btc should now be around 16-22k on average price until 2025.

even if the market crashes today, bitcoin will not fall more than 30k. so what you say will never happen. I'm sure, because I saw yesterday when bitcoin hit 60k for the first time, and in the middle of the year there was a crash. at that time bitcoin never fell to touch 25k, btc only stayed at the price of 30k until it finally continued its rally and touched ATH again.

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