Topic: Bitcoin Prediction 2024 - 2025 - page 3. (Read 1751 times)

I remember the price went to 70k after the approval not before, am I remembering it wrong? I mean maybe I am, but looking at the dates, it feels like the 70k+ all time high price happened after the ETF became a thing and people started to invest into them, not beforehand so that means ETF was a good thing to increase the price.

In any case, we have it now and that's in the past and I believe with a bull run, not only retail investors like me would keep on investing and there will be hype in the crypto market, but there will also be a lot of super wealthy people who will invest billions into ETF's as well, which in return will make these companies buy bitcoin to cover 1t1 ratio as well. This is why I believe in our future and a 100k+ price.

Fair enough, but then where is the correction point if there is a toping out somewhere around or beyond $150k, then does $100k end up serving as support or not?  And, how should a bitcoin HODLer treat your information (speculation of not too much resistance between $100k and $150k)?  I am not saying that I disagree with you, even though I consider matters a bit problematic when they become too specific and seemingly certain, especially in regards to the future.


You are not describing anything different from previous cycles.


Yes, of course markets tend to prefer certainty, so if we presume that the election (in 2 weeks ^tm) resolves some of the current uncertainty, then sure, I can go along with that thesis without even knowing the results beyond an anticipation that more certainty will be present after the election as compared to the level of certainty that exists prior to the election.

Right now there seems to be some expectations that Trump is the more likely winner, yet surely even that kinds of a potential outcome that is siding towards a certain level of certainty has to have some temperance when it might not be matched up with some level of actual concrete evidence.

We expected the bull run to happen on or just before the approval of the ETF, but the reverse was absolutely the case. We saw a price pump on the market when the news for the Bitcoin ETF to be approved became highly positive, and just after its approval, we saw some drops on the market, and Bitcoin has not reached the $70k level since that drop. 
 
With the way the market is going, if Bitcoin can cross down to $75k again before the year runs out, I think we can be sure of $80k also being secured, but $100k for 2024 is something I'm not certain about, but it can be possible in the 1st Quarter of 2025; it's just speculation anyway, and high hopes should not be put on them.

The Q4 of this year is commonly expected to give Bitcoin a new price mark, the month of October is near to an end and clearly there has been some interesting movement already. Hitting a new all time high just before the year runs out is something we can put in accomplishing, no doubt it will happen and not even bothered to speculate on this short period of movement rather focused on the long bull run featuring 2025.

Where most concerns or expectations should be is in year 2025, above $100k has been accepted as the most realistic target for the price mark,  $150k is also realistic going upward or even not touching the price mark. The most confident aspect is going through the bull run and hitting a new ATH.

If the price of Bitcoin crosses $100K then its price will be likely to go up to $150K. After 2021, the Bitcoin price has been bearish for a long time, which is why bull market momentum will be more likely than any other year. We expect Bitcoin's ETFs trading approval and Bitcoin halving to accelerate bullish movement, which is why the upcoming Bitcoin bull market will be much stronger than other years. If the bull run is interrupted at the end of 2024, then the bull run can be expected in the first quarter of 2025. The bull run of 2024 and 2025 will certainly look different from other's. At the moment if the Bitcoin price rising interrupted in any way we will have to wait until the November US election.

A good way to get a high probability of meeting the expectations of investors by behaving more conservatively in terms of investment is to do DCA. Which increases the accumulation of Bitcoin over time and if we limit our accumulation to $100k, we may be able to reach the desired goal earlier and $220k is a later decision in 4-10 years. The main goal is a concrete decision to accumulate in the long term without considering the price. I completely agree with your opinion that being wrong by behaving more conservatively can give us more expected value than being wrong.

Whatever our guess, we must completely agree with the expected decision to stick with Bitcoin that by sticking to the long-term ongoing process like glue, the growth of our invested capital can be more promising.

Just because you have a more conservative estimate, that does not cause you to be more "realistic" than someone with a less conservative prediction, even though your odds of being correct might end up being greater, and sure if you are wrong, then there can be some value to being wrong towards being more conservative rathe than being wrong and getting expectations too high.

I mentioned that number only counted from Bullish in 2017 ath around $ 20k with 2021 around $ 69k, and yes, it is a very narrow price range, but that does not mean that the price of Bitcoin cannot pass from $ 220k and I just want realistic unlike the previous 4 -year cycle where there are many high predictions even if I'm not mistaken the lowest price prediction is $ 400k and it turns out it not passing $ 100k.

The period between 2009 and 2024 has passed no one thought that the value of Bitcoin would increase at such a high rate and we as small investors expect it to touch $100K within this year. Since the beginning investors have been chasing such huge values ​​based on assumptions and achieving success that is like a dream.

As per your opinion if Bitcoin price touches $160K by 2025 then it will be a breakthrough and we can expect it. If we can keep our minds in that time frame, buying a lump sum should put our investments in a strong position.

What would happen if the BTC price were to go to $160k or higher in 2025 are you still going to have any BTC remaining in your investment portfolio? or are you a trader and you don't have an investment portfolio? Perhaps you would be selling most or all of your BTC somewhere between $110k and $120k in 2025 in the event BTC prices might go there within your expected timeline?

This is why I'm a firm believer of the 4-year cycle and this isn't happening on crypto markets alone, but it's also happening on other big markets as well.
On the flip side, I still believe that there's a chance that the 4-year cycle might be broken at some point in the future. Not this time, but maybe after 2 decades? or 10 years who knows.

Nevertheless, many are expecting for Bitcoin to reach $100,000 this upcoming bull run. TBH, I expected that it will happen during the last bull run in 2017, but we know what happened at that time. Now the chances of it getting reached will be much higher because the bull run hasn't started and yet we are seeing the price of Bitcoin slowly reaching the $70,000 price mark by the time I'm making this post. A $100,000 peak price per Bitcoin prediction for me is a bit conservative. I guess the peak will be at around $110,000-$120,000. That will be my prediction for the upcoming bull run that might happen this year and next year as well.

Always be ready for what will happen in the crypto market for the next months because that will be the most exciting months, but be ready for the worst thing to happen still. Who knows the crypto market might surprise us again.

There are two possible things that can happen with Bitcoin price because of what you have explained which is price making a new all time high even before the halving, representing a major deviation from the 4 years cycle. One of the things that will happen may be price rising very high beyond the expectations of people, like above $100k which is the target of many people. This is the most likely option that will happen. The other option will be price hovering just around the current all time high of $73k in a prolonged consolidation until second half of next year before we start seeing some major retracements. This is the least likely option. But whatever happens, I still believe that market will still make a new all time high before we see any major correction.

I thinking getting enough Bitcoin in our portfolio is more important at this point than knowing for certainty what the price will be because no one can actually know what direction the market will chose. So to avoid regrets, it is better to be well positioned in Bitcoin holding while waiting for the market to show its hands.

I will agree with you that the pattern of BTC's historical cycle (in terms of 4 years) is not guaranteed to repeat, and surely there are a lot of BIGGER players who are out there trying to fuck around with the BTC price to either cause people to believe that the cycle will not repeat and/or attempting to cause the cycle to NOT to repeat, and those material and/or propaganda efforts are likely not going to undermine the cycle theory as much as maybe any of us might want to believe - even though many of us recognize and appreciate that nothing is guaranteed in bitcoin price dynamics or other matters trying to rely upon what may or may not happen in the future, while at the same time, there is no reason to be totally dismissing and/or poo-pooing cycle theory as if its chances of happening were no greater than random, which clearly does not seem to be the case, and anyone overly trying to play their hand to poo poo cycle theory seems to be more likely than not to have fun staying poor.

Probably, I would still suggest that none of us should be putting too much weight in regards to relying on cycle theory having to become true, but we should not be poo-pooing it either, and there are ways to do more than one thing at the same time in regards to getting out of the tendency that many of us have to gravitate towards black and white thinking.  Surely many of us longer term bitcoiners will still suggest that there remain an overwhelming large majority of normies who continue to fail/refuse to sufficiently/adequately prepare themselves (financially and/or psychologically) for UPpity BTC prices, and so getting some bitcoin (getting off of zero) is likely a way better strategy than failing/refusing to get started, and sure, even though I recommend that newbies work towards getting to a target of between 5% to 25% of their quasi-liquid investment portfolio into bitcoin, yet it is way better for low coiner and/or no coiners to get off zero and/or to work their way into something comfortable for themselves rather than failing/refusing to act to work on getting a bitcoin stake - including that if some folks might be on zero or close to zero in regards to whatever bitcoin they currently hold, it could take them 1-2 years or more to even get themselves to whatever target amount of BTC that ideally they should be striving to reach... and yeah. .each person has to decide for himself, including decisions to stay on zero or to stay a low coiner are also decisions that have consequences that may or may not end up being regretted later down the road.

It is 3-4 years actually,like this year in which Bitcoin price climbed even before the halving happens so that means there are different scenarios each season of halving.
But what we need to be thankful is that we are all ready to what will come (of course aside from weak and noob)

Of course we can see the peak momentum in the Bitcoin market this mid 2024-25 when the peak Bitcoin price will just touch the target.  And it is very likely to rise to $150,000, bitcoin market those who are not yet touched by investment are quickly connected to investment.  We can use this month of October as a stepping stone to hit the highest price in the Bitcoin market.

It is very true, newbies should be told that first of all they have to know that when putting money into btc it has to be clear that it is very volatile, that they cannot withdraw that money on the downside because obviously they will have losses, and that is not the idea, the idea is that they can have benefits, and for that you have to have a lot of patience and discipline, there is no other way, whoever wants to see it that way it seems clear to me , but whoever wants to make a short-term investment, well I think that is not called investment, or perhaps high-risk investment? In the alts they can do it but they will probably lose the money, and that is not the idea either.

Lots of people mentioning $100,000 as a price target. We hit $69,000 in the last bull market of 2021.

$100,000 is close to a guarantee. We are going much higher.

Yes, you hit the nail on the head, a war despite all the bad things it brings can be said that when it happens there are some things that stop , for example if it affects the markets that go down in price , because it is Obvious that emotions are something that affects everything , we as human beings have shown that thanks to emocoins we act , and those who are behind the market even if they use bots , those who handle them are humans and emocoins are the ones who in the end , even if they say no, are the ones who influence making decisions, there is no other way, it is a fact that it is always like that, generally when an Analysis is done in this way the money always moves , but the fundamentals can make anyone lose money.

It's not a possibility, that's how Bitcoin is throughout history, and that is what we call a 4 year cycle, after halving, as the supply is getting limited, and so the demand is pushing higher, making the price really go up and rally and then we established a new all time high. And with that, if the cycle continues, by 2025, we will see another new all time high, around 6 digits as majority of us here have predicted. I do agree though that the result of the US election might bring that positive momentum in the market, and just like what we have seen this week, we have a rally and this run could sustain itself up to November and maybe by that time, we will be seeing $70k and at the end of the year, $80k is doable and then 2025, 6 digits could be established, so the future looks bring to all of us.

actually you may be correct but one thing is that the Circle of Bitcoin for 4 years does not have a particular value of increment they are increment come in different way sometimes bitcoin may be added with three to five digit in value or 10 digit for increment but you predicting that in 2025 bitcoin may reach approximately 180,000 to 220,000 it is quite unfortunate that nobody can know what Bitcoin will the land or price up in 2025 it is obvious that the value might not reach to our expected value because bitcoin is unpredictable despite that we are believing in four years cycle that does not grantee that the price may sky rocket to 220,000 for me I know that bitcoin will increase but such value I don't think that bitcoin will ascertain such value