Had to wait till I have some more time for the reply, you little JJJ clone
~
Technically not every bearish CPI announcement caused another dump, this is just retrospectively what people perceived to have happened. Can give examples if required...
If the CPI announcement was worse than predicted or it signaled for sure another increase it did trigger a dump, I made that my hobby of having an alarm set for every date, and it never disappointed. The fact that the dump was erased later on, yeah I can agree it bounced back but always when the data was bad news there was an initial red dildo clear as the sky is blue.
I'm not just saying this in hindsight, I stated numerous times in different threads that either $25K breaks and we go to $30K, or we go back to $20K...
As later on this post, you're starting to look at this like no matter if an asteroid hits the planet or a ww3 starts, if the price doesn't go to $30k and it drops to 20000$ it's because of a TA and some lines not because of nukes flying.
So does this then mean that Bitcoin's rise in 2021 was due to impending high inflation (after post covid19 money printing etc)? I'm not very convinced, again, I think this is just 4-year all over again.
Why not blame the rise on normal growth, growth that was supposed to happen as adoption or investment grew themselves and that probably wouldn't have stopped so abruptly in the first place? Why not blame the premature stop on inflation and why not blame the lack of growth while getting more and more exposure to the current bad situation? Tesla shares performed best in their history once Covid entered the scene, does this mean without a new virus spreading around they will return to the same linear pattern as in previous years?
Hey, what's going on with Bitcoin? I thought BTC was correlated with Nasdaq but is currently up 18% over weekend while Nasdaq is flat since Friday! It's almost like Bitcoin is correlated with Nasdaq until it's no longer correlated with Nasdaq...
Of course, and I'm one of the happiest about it, probably I forgot to mention but I like more the aspect of being able to use
BTC as a means of payment and safe storage of wealth than gambling on exchanges and the whole asset point. Just because I was pointing out how the correlation happened and how it went against the whole idea of being a hedge against inflation doesn't mean I was happy even at the moment with it.
A bank failing and the exact tool designed against this acting like it's being affected just as worse by it would be beyond stupid, in the current situation if it would have performed the same it would have been really like the world taking another piss on the whole thing
2022-2023 bear market (with high inflation): Bitcoin drops -77% from ATH after approx one year.
~
For clarity, I'm not questioning why Bitcoin has dropped -77% since ATH, as to me it seems obvious (in hindsight) that this is what Bitcoin does every 4 years and has done so for 12.
You're again oversimplifying things, what was 2021 then?
Was it a bear market since we dropped from 60k, or was it a bull market since we went from 2x?
Again making it sound like this was written in stone it had to go down ~70% because that's what bitcoin does, the trend has already been broken, the second rise over a previous ATH in less than a year, the drop below a previous ATH, you can choose to ignore it but are clear signs history has getting tired of repeating the same story.
Probably you're used to this:
Which one of them was worse?
And to combine this with your other question.
That 86% drop erased $10 billion of value, the current one erased $800 billion!
So...
Did it really perform better? Mark Twain might have something to say about those statistics and percentages.