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#Get Data from bitcoincharts
bitfloor<-read.table("http://bitcoincharts.com/t/trades.csv?symbol=bitfloorUSD&start=0",
sep=","
)
##Convert Times from Unix
times=matrix(nrow=nrow(bitfloor), ncol=6)
time.string=NULL
for(i in 1:nrow(bitfloor)){
timeStamp<-ISOdatetime(1970,1,1,0,0,0) + bitfloor[i,1]
date<-strsplit(as.character(timeStamp), " ")[[1]][1]
yr<-as.numeric(strsplit(date, "-")[[1]][1])
mo<-as.numeric(strsplit(date, "-")[[1]][2])
day<-as.numeric(strsplit(date, "-")[[1]][3])
ToD<-strsplit(as.character(timeStamp), " ")[[1]][2]
hr<-as.numeric(strsplit(ToD, ":")[[1]][1])
min<-as.numeric(strsplit(ToD, ":")[[1]][2])
sec<-as.numeric(strsplit(ToD, ":")[[1]][2])
times[i,]<-cbind(yr,mo,day,hr,min,sec)
time.string<-rbind(time.string,as.character(timeStamp))
}
bitfloor<-cbind(times,bitfloor)
colnames(bitfloor)<-c("Yr","Mo","Day","Hr","Min","Sec","UnixT","Price","Vol")
##Set First Timestamp bitfloor was open after hack
post.hack.open.time<-as.numeric(head(
bitfloor[which(bitfloor[,1]==2012 & bitfloor[,2]==9 & bitfloor[,3]==21),],
1)[7])
##Divide into pre and post hack data
pre.hack.bitfloor<-bitfloor[which(bitfloor[,7]post.hack.bitfloor<-bitfloor[which(bitfloor[,7]>(post.hack.open.time-1)),]
#Generate cumulative volume and fees
pre.hack.bitfloor<-cbind(pre.hack.bitfloor,
cumsum(pre.hack.bitfloor[,8]*pre.hack.bitfloor[,9]),
cumsum(pre.hack.bitfloor[,8]*pre.hack.bitfloor[,9])*.005
)
colnames(pre.hack.bitfloor)[10:11]<-c("cumUSD.Vol","cumFee")
post.hack.bitfloor<-cbind(post.hack.bitfloor,
cumsum(post.hack.bitfloor[,8]*post.hack.bitfloor[,9]),
cumsum(post.hack.bitfloor[,8]*post.hack.bitfloor[,9])*.003
)
colnames(post.hack.bitfloor)[10:11]<-c("cumUSD.Vol","cumFee")
#
##Set Timestamp of first payout
payback.time.one<-as.numeric(head(
bitfloor[which(bitfloor[,1]==2012 & bitfloor[,2]==12 & bitfloor[,3]==1),],
1)[7])
##Split into pre and post payout
pre.payout.one<-post.hack.bitfloor[which(post.hack.bitfloor[,7]post.payout.one<-post.hack.bitfloor[which(post.hack.bitfloor[,7]>(payback.time.one-1)),]
#Generate cumulative volume and fee data
pre.payout.one[,10:11]<-cbind(
cumsum(pre.payout.one[,8]*pre.payout.one[,9]),
cumsum(pre.payout.one[,8]*pre.payout.one[,9])*.003
)
post.payout.one[,10:11]<-cbind(
cumsum(post.payout.one[,8]*post.payout.one[,9]),
cumsum(post.payout.one[,8]*post.payout.one[,9])*.003
)
#
##Get months from unix timestamps
month.labels=data.frame()
for(y in 2012:2013){
for(m in 1:12){
unixT<-bitfloor[which(bitfloor[,1]==y & bitfloor[,2]==m),7][1]
month.labels<-rbind(month.labels,cbind(unixT,month.name[m]))
}
}
month.labels<-month.labels[which(!is.na(month.labels[,1])),]
month.labels<-month.labels[2:nrow(month.labels),]
##Misc
est.payed.back<-.017
Total.Value.Stolen<-25000*tail(bitfloor[,8],1)
Total.Value.Payed<-est.payed.back*Total.Value.Stolen
##Make Plots
png("bitfloor.png", height=800, width=1300, pointsize=15)
layout(matrix(c(1,1,1,3,2,2,2,4), 2, 4, byrow = TRUE))
plot(bitfloor[,7],bitfloor[,8], type="n", xaxt="n",
xlab="Time",
ylab="USD/BTC",ylim=c(0,(max(bitfloor[,8])+5)),
main="Bitfloor Price History"
)
axis(1,at=as.numeric(as.matrix(month.labels[,1])),
labels=as.character(month.labels[,2]))
lines(pre.hack.bitfloor[,7],pre.hack.bitfloor[,8], col="Green")
lines(pre.payout.one[,7],pre.payout.one[,8], col="Red")
lines(post.payout.one[,7],post.payout.one[,8], col="Blue")
abline(v=payback.time.one)
plot(pre.hack.bitfloor[,7],pre.hack.bitfloor[,11], xaxt="n",
xlab="Time",
ylab="Cumulative Fees Generated (USD)",
xlim=c(min(bitfloor[,7]),max(bitfloor[,7])),
ylim=c(0,max(pre.hack.bitfloor[,11],pre.payout.one[,11],post.payout.one[,11])),
type="l", lwd=3, col="Green",
main=c("Bitfloor Cumulative Fee Revenue",
"Before Hack Rate= 0.5%, After Hack= 0.3%")
)
axis(1,at=as.numeric(as.matrix(month.labels[,1])),
labels=as.character(month.labels[,2]))
lines(pre.payout.one[,7],pre.payout.one[,11],
type="l", lwd=3, col="Red"
)
lines(post.payout.one[,7],post.payout.one[,11],
type="l", lwd=3, col="Blue"
)
abline(v=payback.time.one)
barplot(c(
Total.Value.Stolen,
Total.Value.Payed
),
ylab="USD", ylim=c(0,1.1*Total.Value.Stolen),
names.arg=c(paste("Value Stolen=", Total.Value.Stolen),
paste("Value Payed=",Total.Value.Payed)),
col=c("Red","Green"),
main=paste("Estimated Payed Back=",100*est.payed.back,"%")
)
barplot(c(
max(pre.payout.one[,11]),
max(post.payout.one[,11])
),
ylim=c(0,1.1*max(c(max(pre.payout.one[,11]),max(post.payout.one[,11])))),
ylab="Fees Generated (USD)",
names.arg=c(paste("Hack to First Payout=", round(max(pre.payout.one[,11]),1)),
paste("Since=",round(max(post.payout.one[,11]),1))),
col=c("Red","Blue"),
main=c("Fees Generated Since Hack",
paste("Constant Buying:",round(sum(0.003*post.payout.one[,9]),1), "BTC"),
paste("Buy Now:",round(max(post.payout.one[,11])/tail(post.payout.one[,8],1),1),"BTC")
)
)
dev.off()