Do you expect next batch of S9 to go for sale below 2000$?
Because the profitability is down from before? I think news sources created a media frenzy which caused it.
I got a feeling it wont be below 2000 though.
I hope mining didficulty drops. It is way too high now.
While I can't comment on the S9 price, I feel qualified to comment on difficulty.
I expect difficulty will continue to rise, until it "catches up" with BTC price. I think the best you can hope for is a slowing in the rate of increase, as long as the price stays in the $11,000 range. Since 2013, I haven't seen a sustained decline in difficulty that lasted more than 2-3 cycles. I have a seen it "plateau" for a few months, but that didn't last more than 6 months or so. Now that folks have seen that BTC can spike to $20,000 I think it will be a while before folks give up on the dream of "getting rich". I expect that mining hardware will command a good price for a while. FOMO will take months to dissipate in my opinion.
The media should stop sensationalizing things as if it is so easy. Those ebay prices are juz nuts high.
The thing is if btc price has to keep going up alot for mining to be decently profitable, it would be far better to juz buy btc than mining equipment.
Last year btc went from 800 to 10k now. Thats a 12x increase and difficulty increased to the point mining is only so profitable now.
If btc has to increase 12x again for mining to be decently profitable at end of year, wont it juz be better to buy btc than to mine??
And it is not likely to increase 12x this year it seems. If price doesnt increase but difficulty increases, this isnt gonna be good.
Lets hope bitmain retains the monopoly. More manufacturers and difficulty increasing is the last thing needed right now.
Just my opinion and I could be wrong.