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Topic: Brian123321's Sports Betting Picks | All Sports | Full Tracking Inside (Read 25778 times)

full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
June 6

Phoenix Mercury -5.5

full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
add:

Washington Mystics -4
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Activity: 126
Merit: 100
Angels +113
Miami +122
Cincinnati +110
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Merit: 100
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
WNBA:

Tulsa Shock +5

MLB:

Angels +112
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
May 26

WNBA

Chicago Sky -2.5
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Merit: 100
May 25

Cincinnati +137
Leake
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Merit: 100
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
New York +9 was second
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Merit: 100
first WNBA game was Washington -5.5
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Activity: 126
Merit: 100
I am going to make a few changes to the purchasing rules.

I am going to throw out the two option thing and condense it to a single option.

-If you purchase plays on any given day and i do not finish above 50% i will send a full 100% refund of the purchase price. 
-On top of that i will make future days prices 1/4th of the listed price until i show a profit.  If i happen to not go above 50% you will again receive a full 100% refund of the price you paid and this will continue on until i show you a profit.  You are not forced to play the next plays i have.  If you happen to not be around and cant make plays on the next day that is fine.  Whatever day in the future you choose to purchase will be 1/4th of the price if i did not go above 50% the original day you purchase.

If you have any questions about these changes please ask.  I will be around most of the day to answer.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
Here is link to page with the post where i outline the rules for purchased plays

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=502049.600
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
I have a couple of WNBA plays.

Price for the plays is 0.025 BTC

If you are interested in purchasing and have not purchased before send me a PM and ill send you a unique address.  Once payment is received i will send you plays.  If you have purchased before send to the address i have already provided you.  If you have any question navigate back a couple pages and look for the huge post i made about purchasing WNBA plays.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
May 23

Most likely no baseball plays tomorrow.


There are four WNBA games tomorrow.  If i have a play(s) for sale tomorrow ill post in here as soon as i can.  All games are late afternoon/night games.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
finished the day 1-0

mlb 1-0

san fran game ended up getting postponed
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Activity: 126
Merit: 100
Since it is a trial run im actually going to go ahead and hold off from posting the plays in this thread.  You can view them in the spread sheet if you care to look.  If it shows some decent results over the next month or so maybe ill start to post them here.  Tomorrows plays will not be up until after games start.  I am tired right now and dont care to swift through all the games.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
I am going to start using another system, two total.

The plays for the first system are what i have already posted.  This second system is a 2 game chase (i know, i am hugely against any kind of martingale progressive betting strategy but its only a 2 game chase).  

I am going to find a way to keep these total separate from the first system.  On my tracking sheet i have rolled up the first system into the existing unit totals i had for baseball.  I am going to leave it like that.  For this second system i am going to keep it totally separate since its a chase system.  The record will be separate and the units won/loss will be separate.  I am going to be making an additional tab on my spread sheet for this system alone.  You can find the results of this system by viewing that tab.

I think the only thing you will notice different on that tab is a column called "Chase Game." This column shows what game of the chase i am on.  The only two things that will show up is this column as "A" and "B."  A corresponds to the first game in the chase and if that game loses then you will see B for the next days game.

If game one of the chase loses i double the bet in game to to win a profit of one unit.

For example, lets say for a new chase which would be game "A" i am betting on a team to win at a line of -120.  So i would be betting 1.2 units to win 1 unit.  If i lose that game then the next day i will have a "B" game.  Lets say the line for that game is -130.  So i would be betting to win what i lose in the "A" plus more to show a profit of 1 unit.  So in this example i would be betting to win 2.2 units so my bet would be betting 2.86 units to win 2.2 units.  If i win this game i have won back the money i lost in the "A" game and made the 1 unit profit i was going for.  If i lose both games thats the end of the chase and i move on.  I do not continue the chase.

When posting these System 2 plays ill try to put the unit amounts in the bet, especially for the "B" games to make it easier for anyone who is interested in following.

I can see that i do have at least one of these System 2 plays tomorrow.  I am going to go through the rest of the board before posting it to see if there are any others.
What is the backtesting ROI for past 5 years of this 2 game chase system? Preferably each year ROI.

I dont have any backtesting for this system.  Its why i will be basically betting nothing on these plays.  If the system ends up finishing +50 units it will not even make the slightest bump in my bankroll and if the system loses 50 units it will not make the slightest dent.  Its basically a trial run.

hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 502
I am going to start using another system, two total.

The plays for the first system are what i have already posted.  This second system is a 2 game chase (i know, i am hugely against any kind of martingale progressive betting strategy but its only a 2 game chase).  

I am going to find a way to keep these total separate from the first system.  On my tracking sheet i have rolled up the first system into the existing unit totals i had for baseball.  I am going to leave it like that.  For this second system i am going to keep it totally separate since its a chase system.  The record will be separate and the units won/loss will be separate.  I am going to be making an additional tab on my spread sheet for this system alone.  You can find the results of this system by viewing that tab.

I think the only thing you will notice different on that tab is a column called "Chase Game." This column shows what game of the chase i am on.  The only two things that will show up is this column as "A" and "B."  A corresponds to the first game in the chase and if that game loses then you will see B for the next days game.

If game one of the chase loses i double the bet in game to to win a profit of one unit.

For example, lets say for a new chase which would be game "A" i am betting on a team to win at a line of -120.  So i would be betting 1.2 units to win 1 unit.  If i lose that game then the next day i will have a "B" game.  Lets say the line for that game is -130.  So i would be betting to win what i lose in the "A" plus more to show a profit of 1 unit.  So in this example i would be betting to win 2.2 units so my bet would be betting 2.86 units to win 2.2 units.  If i win this game i have won back the money i lost in the "A" game and made the 1 unit profit i was going for.  If i lose both games thats the end of the chase and i move on.  I do not continue the chase.

When posting these System 2 plays ill try to put the unit amounts in the bet, especially for the "B" games to make it easier for anyone who is interested in following.

I can see that i do have at least one of these System 2 plays tomorrow.  I am going to go through the rest of the board before posting it to see if there are any others.
What is the backtesting ROI for past 5 years of this 2 game chase system? Preferably each year ROI.
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