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Topic: Buy the DIP, and HODL! - page 399. (Read 108321 times)

legendary
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1823
September 26, 2023, 03:02:44 AM
it's not very difficult for Bitcoin to go from $25k to $30k.
Maybe it's not that difficult but we have seen what happened to bitcoin where even increasing the price to $29k seems difficult because there is a lot of pressure to stay at the bottom price. But if the time is right, the bitcoin price will definitely start to increase and reaching $30k or even $40k or $50k will not be difficult and may only take a moment.
Perhaps we shouldn't focus on the Bitcoin price movement right now, what should be considered is how well you're utilizing the opportunity by accumulating more, truly we no that Bitcoin is ranging within some levels, we shouldn't dwell on or trying to determine what the price of Bitcoin in the coming months will be because it can affect your psychology in times of accumulating were as you over invest believing your psychology that Bitcoin price will get to a certain price before some months as such making you invest more in other to accumulate huge before the months you believe that Bitcoin will get to a certain price reach, perhaps you could be affected financially if it doesn't get to the particular price, is obvious that Bitcoin price will spike soon as a result of the halving coming next year and could possibly surpassed the all-time high but nobody knows when is going to be, so we shouldn't allow emotions to cloud our accumulating psychology to invest aggressively there should always be back up plan.


Probably not, but I believe most of us plebs are always checking the price at every hour of every day. I wake up in the middle of the night and check the price. Hahaha.

 Cool

But I have a question for all of you who regularly visit this topic. With the high probability of a recession coming in many regions of the world, do you actually believe that Bitcoin will not be affected by the crash of the legacy markets?

Plus if you do believe that a legacy crash will also cause a Bitcoin crash, wouldn't it be a good idea to wait for the DIP?

It doesn't need an answer. It's something for each of us to evaluate in our own "shower thoughts".
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 10832
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
September 26, 2023, 12:06:46 AM
Of course, we have individual discretion in terms of how much we might need to set aside for our BTC purchases, and even putting aside $10 week could cause people to suffer in a variety of ways, and some things might be easier to suffer through than others.
Yeah of course we have individual choices to decide on how much they are willing to set out for Bitcoin accumulation because is wise for people to invest based on there capital size which is one of the things to be consider, when we talk about investing $10 $20 weekly, it depends on what an individuals salary is because there are some persons investing $5 on a weekly basis can easily affect them at that point based on there salary intake, but perhaps in a case like that the person could program himself in a way that after all there expenditures and if they are still left with some funds and could take them throughout the coming month perhaps since the funds remaining on the reserve account is still enough they can strategize by channeling the next salary in accumulation were as they have a reserve funds that can sustain them to another month, using that method it could actually help someone that earn less salary to be able to accumulate some Bitcoin.
Well and that choice is up to each individual, because only they know about how much money they should allocate to investing, and of course that will still make them okay. Honestly, I hope you won't decide to go overboard with your investments, for example by allocating 50% of your salary. I understand maybe you are very excited to get bigger results, but believe me this is not a good way, but I say this if indeed your finances are not very good then you are desperate to allocate half of your salary for bitcoin, because before starting we must understand that there is also a huge risk there. So we really need to think about making the right decisions, allocating money that you have full responsibility for if it is lost due to fluctuations that occur which are certainly beyond your ability.

Right, the point is always to use your best way of dividing finances from your monthly salary income, if indeed you have unused leftovers then you can allocate them to bitcoin, but still don't let any pressure you feel, the point is not to feel forced and also certainly don't bring greed in terms of investment, the key is how to keep your life going but also by allocating a little of your money to bitcoin, and the key is that I hope you can continue to be consistent.

You seem to be making a decent point, @Dickiy.  There's nothing wrong with being aggressive an/or being overly aggressive as long as you have your expenses covered .. which means that you know that you have your cashflow in order for 3-6 months and an adequate emergency fund that could be for extra kinds of expenses that could come up and are not expected that might include drying up of cashflow and/or increases in expenses for a period fo time that could last 3-6 months or longer..

No bitcoin investor should be putting himself/herself into a position in which s/he could end up losing some of his/her coins at a time that is not chosen.. .so it can take a while to build a bitcoin stash and if you over-do it then you end up losing some of your coins and perhaps being in a worse position because you were trying to be more aggressive than you needed to be and if you had just stacked a wee bit less, then you would not have had ended up losing any coins.

I know that some of the members here like to use the word consistently, and I am not sure if I really like that word, because you can be persistent and continuously making sure that you are investing on an ongoing and regular basis (such as weekly) but there might be some weeks that you are able to invest $100 into BTC and other weeks that you are only able to invest $5, and the part that you were consistent about has to do with your ongoingly monitoring the amount that you are investing so that you are able to be as aggressive that you are able to be in accordance with your budget and your specific situation, but you may or may not end up choosing and/or following any kind of mandate regarding amount that you might end up doing...

And, sure maybe we are saying the same thing but just using different words and differing emphases.
hero member
Activity: 1624
Merit: 791
Bitcoin To The Moon 📈📈📈
September 25, 2023, 04:49:54 PM
Of course, we invest in the amount of money that we can afford to lose. The number of money depends on each person, it may be not the same between one person and another person. Each person has a different level of economic, it is depending on the profession or the income to get monthly.
It is necessary to manage finances well so that you can allocate appropriately for bitcoin, otherwise this will be a bit of an obstacle because you never take into account other needs, or you can prioritize other needs when there is still money left over that can be invested in bitcoin by means of the DCA method.

Of course each of us is different in terms of the finances we get, but if you are able to do wisely everything will run smoothly even though there are always a few obstacles but that's not a big problem, the most important thing is that DCA continues every week or month.

Sure, DCA is an effective strategy to do, it helps us to multiply the number of our assets. If we can add $30-$50 in every decline, it will make bigger potential profits in the future.
If you buy bitcoin by decreasing it is not DCA, because DCA at any price when the money is ready, you have to buy it up or down because it is based on the average price.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 269
Fully Regulated Crypto Casino
September 25, 2023, 02:46:16 PM
it's not very difficult for Bitcoin to go from $25k to $30k.
Maybe it's not that difficult but we have seen what happened to bitcoin where even increasing the price to $29k seems difficult because there is a lot of pressure to stay at the bottom price. But if the time is right, the bitcoin price will definitely start to increase and reaching $30k or even $40k or $50k will not be difficult and may only take a moment.
Perhaps we shouldn't focus on the Bitcoin price movement right now, what should be considered is how well you're utilizing the opportunity by accumulating more, truly we no that Bitcoin is ranging within some levels, we shouldn't dwell on or trying to determine what the price of Bitcoin in the coming months will be because it can affect your psychology in times of accumulating were as you over invest believing your psychology that Bitcoin price will get to a certain price before some months as such making you invest more in other to accumulate huge before the months you believe that Bitcoin will get to a certain price reach, perhaps you could be affected financially if it doesn't get to the particular price, is obvious that Bitcoin price will spike soon as a result of the halving coming next year and could possibly surpassed the all-time high but nobody knows when is going to be, so we shouldn't allow emotions to cloud our accumulating psychology to invest aggressively there should always be back up plan.
sr. member
Activity: 826
Merit: 460
September 25, 2023, 01:54:28 PM
Of course, we have individual discretion in terms of how much we might need to set aside for our BTC purchases, and even putting aside $10 week could cause people to suffer in a variety of ways, and some things might be easier to suffer through than others.
Yeah of course we have individual choices to decide on how much they are willing to set out for Bitcoin accumulation because is wise for people to invest based on there capital size which is one of the things to be consider, when we talk about investing $10 $20 weekly, it depends on what an individuals salary is because there are some persons investing $5 on a weekly basis can easily affect them at that point based on there salary intake, but perhaps in a case like that the person could program himself in a way that after all there expenditures and if they are still left with some funds and could take them throughout the coming month perhaps since the funds remaining on the reserve account is still enough they can strategize by channeling the next salary in accumulation were as they have a reserve funds that can sustain them to another month, using that method it could actually help someone that earn less salary to be able to accumulate some Bitcoin.

Well and that choice is up to each individual, because only they know about how much money they should allocate to investing, and of course that will still make them okay. Honestly, I hope you won't decide to go overboard with your investments, for example by allocating 50% of your salary. I understand maybe you are very excited to get bigger results, but believe me this is not a good way, but I say this if indeed your finances are not very good then you are desperate to allocate half of your salary for bitcoin, because before starting we must understand that there is also a huge risk there. So we really need to think about making the right decisions, allocating money that you have full responsibility for if it is lost due to fluctuations that occur which are certainly beyond your ability.

Right, the point is always to use your best way of dividing finances from your monthly salary income, if indeed you have unused leftovers then you can allocate them to bitcoin, but still don't let any pressure you feel, the point is not to feel forced and also certainly don't bring greed in terms of investment, the key is how to keep your life going but also by allocating a little of your money to bitcoin, and the key is that I hope you can continue to be consistent.
jr. member
Activity: 341
Merit: 4
September 25, 2023, 01:32:07 PM
it's not very difficult for Bitcoin to go from $25k to $30k.
Maybe it's not that difficult but we have seen what happened to bitcoin where even increasing the price to $29k seems difficult because there is a lot of pressure to stay at the bottom price. But if the time is right, the bitcoin price will definitely start to increase and reaching $30k or even $40k or $50k will not be difficult and may only take a moment.
member
Activity: 492
Merit: 48
September 25, 2023, 11:20:15 AM
I was impressed by your statement above "keep buying BTC and revalue your position in 3-5 years from now" and yes. I think the DCA investment model should continue. Well, I want to know. Can Bitcoin get back $34,000 by the end of September 2023?
I think it is very difficult to see the price of bitcoin reaching $34,000 in the remainder of this month and even in the next month it is not certain that the price of bitcoin will reach above $30,000 if you look at current market conditions which seem likely to continue to experience a decline in prices. In conditions like today, it is better to set your goals, make a solid plan, maintain discipline, and utilize DCA as a way to gain interesting and dynamic exposure in a more controlled and insightful way. Stick to your plan, regardless of market conditions. Don't be tempted to skip investments or change your amounts if the market is unfavorable. The point is to remove emotion from investing.

Already, we know that the Bitcoin price is very dynamic, and it is not easy to accurately predict the price of Bitcoin in a week or month time because there are some factors that contribute to price spikes, and you can't really tell what will happen next month. About a week ago, Bitcoin went from $25k+ to $27k just in an interval of hours. That's to say that the volatility of Bitcoin can be very strong at times depending on what's causing the price to rise, and it's not very difficult for Bitcoin to go from $25k to $30k.

...and sometimes I also think there seems to be something strange if I see a spike in Bitcoin prices in a short time born without notice and unexpectedly and that often happens if I pay attention some time ago to what the main driver is. Can someone explain briefly and clearly even though we know that volatility is a common thing in the market and that is also a moment that can be exploited in the process of purchasing the DCA model by many BTC buyers.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 524
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
September 24, 2023, 05:26:16 PM
I was impressed by your statement above "keep buying BTC and revalue your position in 3-5 years from now" and yes. I think the DCA investment model should continue. Well, I want to know. Can Bitcoin get back $34,000 by the end of September 2023?
I think it is very difficult to see the price of bitcoin reaching $34,000 in the remainder of this month and even in the next month it is not certain that the price of bitcoin will reach above $30,000 if you look at current market conditions which seem likely to continue to experience a decline in prices. In conditions like today, it is better to set your goals, make a solid plan, maintain discipline, and utilize DCA as a way to gain interesting and dynamic exposure in a more controlled and insightful way. Stick to your plan, regardless of market conditions. Don't be tempted to skip investments or change your amounts if the market is unfavorable. The point is to remove emotion from investing.

Already, we know that the Bitcoin price is very dynamic, and it is not easy to accurately predict the price of Bitcoin in a week or month time because there are some factors that contribute to price spikes, and you can't really tell what will happen next month. About a week ago, Bitcoin went from $25k+ to $27k just in an interval of hours. That's to say that the volatility of Bitcoin can be very strong at times depending on what's causing the price to rise, and it's not very difficult for Bitcoin to go from $25k to $30k.
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 268
September 24, 2023, 05:05:21 PM
An analysis of the last 90 days Bitcoin price chart shows that Bitcoin was around 30K to 26K. If the next 90 days continue to be like this then those who are investing using DCA are basically finding the deep price of Bitcoin. Price is not a big factor in this regard be it 26k or 30k. This is an opportunity for those who are buying to hold Bitcoin and growing their portfolios. Market conditions can change at any time, but Bitcoin investors must be patient. Whether the market goes 34K or more in the next few days that is not a big factor. We should have low expectations rather than big hopes.
It seems we often over emphasize the use of DCA strategy on one direction such as accumulating using smaller amounts of money but we should also consider the factors or forces that could make our DCA strategy go wrong, because even with DCA strategy you can invest aggressively, because I had a similar experience while using DCA strategy in which I was consistently accumulating without a back up plan that could help me financially when the need aris, little did I no I was accumulating aggressively so I had a serious urgent need of money and at that present time I had nothing on me so I panicked I was stressed out thinking of a way out because I have no plans of selling the Bitcoin I had already accumulated and at the same time I need an urgent money so I was disoriented, so after I scale through that I realized one thing that DCA is just a strategy to enhance our experience but how we utilized the strategy is totally depends on our mindset.
sr. member
Activity: 1498
Merit: 443
September 24, 2023, 05:01:20 PM
Indeed, when investing there is no pressure on how much you can afford. However, if we want a high ROI, it's a good idea to increase the DCA investment model in terms of installments and I think if one month is $10-20 it will feel like a long time. If possible, just inject a little more value, is it above $30-50 per each decline because I see BTC is still dreaming a lot.
Of course, we invest in the amount of money that we can afford to lose. The number of money depends on each person, it may be not the same between one person and another person. Each person has a different level of economic, it is depending on the profession or the income to get monthly.

Sure, DCA is an effective strategy to do, it helps us to multiply the number of our assets. If we can add $30-$50 in every decline, it will make bigger potential profits in the future.

I think time is running out, if you want to increase the installment value of BTC purchases, maybe now is the time.
Yes, the price of Bitcoin is rather cheap lately. It is only around $26k, it falls from $30k in the last few months. I think it is the best time to add more Bitcoin, it may be increasing again to $30k if this year is over. There is no many months left, only 3 months until the end of this year. When we reach the early of 2024, the price of Bitcoin probably begins to increase again gradually.

sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 433
HODL - BTC
September 24, 2023, 02:44:57 PM
As I already stated, I don't consider sentiments to be a very good thing to attempt to figure out what to do and/or how to attempt to maximize the amount of bitcoin that you are able to accumulate without getting mislead into some baloney mumbo-jumbo that may or may not be correct... so you may well not end up accumulating more BTC because you end up getting your measures of sentiment (or whatever people are telling you about sentiment) wrong.

Fuck sentiment.  It is not that helpful, even if you believe that it is.. and even if you want to strategize your BTC accumulation approach what you believe sentiment to be.
You are very correct, and I also hate the sentiment thing because, it will make you not to have your own strategy that will be flexible with the price of bitcoin as it goes up and comes down. and deprive you from accumulating the number of bitcoin that you want fast. It is better that if one wants to accumulate bitcoin within a long period of time, the DCA method will help that person to stay more focus and well prepared towards accumulating and this plan can be achieved. But when sentiment is involved, it will become a distraction and that will make one lose focus towards his goal.
It could also be affecting your psychological mind especially continuing to involve market sentiment will certainly hinder your DCA accumulation, which is clear now I don't think about any sentiment I want to go with accumulation without any interference.
Sentiment will always hinder, if this continues to be involved you will think about the price even though the price is now on the decline, continue to think about its volatility ahhh sentiment for someone who is doing DCA for me is a hindrance.

It is better to keep accumulating without thinking about anything, when you are ready to buy with the DCA strategy at any price - whether up or down is free because the nature of DCA is to buy at an average price.

Leave your worries about sentiment behind, it's better to focus on the goal of accumulation.
sr. member
Activity: 882
Merit: 258
September 24, 2023, 01:38:16 PM
I was impressed by your statement above "keep buying BTC and revalue your position in 3-5 years from now" and yes. I think the DCA investment model should continue. Well, I want to know. Can Bitcoin get back $34,000 by the end of September 2023?
I think it is very difficult to see the price of bitcoin reaching $34,000 in the remainder of this month and even in the next month it is not certain that the price of bitcoin will reach above $30,000 if you look at current market conditions which seem likely to continue to experience a decline in prices. In conditions like today, it is better to set your goals, make a solid plan, maintain discipline, and utilize DCA as a way to gain interesting and dynamic exposure in a more controlled and insightful way. Stick to your plan, regardless of market conditions. Don't be tempted to skip investments or change your amounts if the market is unfavorable. The point is to remove emotion from investing.
An analysis of the last 90 days Bitcoin price chart shows that Bitcoin was around 30K to 26K. If the next 90 days continue to be like this then those who are investing using DCA are basically finding the deep price of Bitcoin. Price is not a big factor in this regard be it 26k or 30k. This is an opportunity for those who are buying to hold Bitcoin and growing their portfolios. Market conditions can change at any time, but Bitcoin investors must be patient. Whether the market goes 34K or more in the next few days that is not a big factor. We should have low expectations rather than big hopes.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 509
September 24, 2023, 01:04:26 PM
As I already stated, I don't consider sentiments to be a very good thing to attempt to figure out what to do and/or how to attempt to maximize the amount of bitcoin that you are able to accumulate without getting mislead into some baloney mumbo-jumbo that may or may not be correct... so you may well not end up accumulating more BTC because you end up getting your measures of sentiment (or whatever people are telling you about sentiment) wrong.

Fuck sentiment.  It is not that helpful, even if you believe that it is.. and even if you want to strategize your BTC accumulation approach what you believe sentiment to be.
You are very correct, and I also hate the sentiment thing because, it will make you not to have your own strategy that will be flexible with the price of bitcoin as it goes up and comes down. and deprive you from accumulating the number of bitcoin that you want fast. It is better that if one wants to accumulate bitcoin within a long period of time, the DCA method will help that person to stay more focus and well prepared towards accumulating and this plan can be achieved. But when sentiment is involved, it will become a distraction and that will make one lose focus towards his goal.
Consistently looking at the market sentiment before buying is itself a sign of panic and lack of strategy. When I was not using DCA method, I spend too much time on the chart looking for dips and setting price level alerts. This comes with serious anxiety, pain and consume so much time.

On a second thought, market sentiment can be deceptive sometimes considering how volatile Bitcoin is. The prolonged consolidation should not make us forget so fast that Bitcoin can jumb $2k -$5k within a day; that is how volatile Bitcoin can be. How will someone using market sentiment to make investment decision cope with this level of volatility?

Perhaps, most of the people watching market sentiment are scalpers who are just looking for quick profits.
member
Activity: 492
Merit: 48
September 24, 2023, 12:14:24 PM
Of course, we have individual discretion in terms of how much we might need to set aside for our BTC purchases, and even putting aside $10 week could cause people to suffer in a variety of ways, and some things might be easier to suffer through than others.
Yeah of course we have individual choices to decide on how much they are willing to set out for Bitcoin accumulation because is wise for people to invest based on there capital size which is one of the things to be consider, when we talk about investing $10 $20 weekly, it depends on what an individuals salary is because there are some persons investing $5 on a weekly basis can easily affect them at that point based on there salary intake, but perhaps in a case like that the person could program himself in a way that after all there expenditures and if they are still left with some funds and could take them throughout the coming month perhaps since the funds remaining on the reserve account is still enough they can strategize by channeling the next salary in accumulation were as they have a reserve funds that can sustain them to another month, using that method it could actually help someone that earn less salary to be able to accumulate some Bitcoin.

Indeed, when investing there is no pressure on how much you can afford. However, if we want a high ROI, it's a good idea to increase the DCA investment model in terms of installments and I think if one month is $10-20 it will feel like a long time. If possible, just inject a little more value, is it above $30-50 per each decline because I see BTC is still dreaming a lot. I think time is running out, if you want to increase the installment value of BTC purchases, maybe now is the time.

Yeah.. good point. fuck ethereum.. and other shitcoins.  

I had not even noticed that dumb-ass chart is not even about bitcoin.  Ethereum surely is not relevant to this thread.  The tail does not wag the dog... and the only dog that I see is bitcoin.

Grin Grin That's right, you are not wrong, because if I pay attention to the thread being discussed in the context of this conversation, it is BTC, not other elements. Yes. Your language/statements have layered meanings and if interpreted visually they can be misguided.
sr. member
Activity: 672
Merit: 337
September 24, 2023, 11:55:01 AM
If you have to invest, it is better to do market research and invest in DCA method. Because the current Bitcoin market low is currently $26532 (could be lower or higher). If there are lows and highs from this scenario then you should definitely invest using DCA. For a working person, apart from the monthly expenses, it is definitely better to use the DCA method weekly with the remaining money as the investment itself should be busy. As the depreciation experience is persistent that creates more attraction as exposure to profit in an attractive and dynamic manner. So I support the DCA method as the best method.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 269
Fully Regulated Crypto Casino
September 24, 2023, 11:01:43 AM
Of course, we have individual discretion in terms of how much we might need to set aside for our BTC purchases, and even putting aside $10 week could cause people to suffer in a variety of ways, and some things might be easier to suffer through than others.
Yeah of course we have individual choices to decide on how much they are willing to set out for Bitcoin accumulation because is wise for people to invest based on there capital size which is one of the things to be consider, when we talk about investing $10 $20 weekly, it depends on what an individuals salary is because there are some persons investing $5 on a weekly basis can easily affect them at that point based on there salary intake, but perhaps in a case like that the person could program himself in a way that after all there expenditures and if they are still left with some funds and could take them throughout the coming month perhaps since the funds remaining on the reserve account is still enough they can strategize by channeling the next salary in accumulation were as they have a reserve funds that can sustain them to another month, using that method it could actually help someone that earn less salary to be able to accumulate some Bitcoin.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 364
Baba God Noni
September 24, 2023, 07:43:46 AM
As I already stated, I don't consider sentiments to be a very good thing to attempt to figure out what to do and/or how to attempt to maximize the amount of bitcoin that you are able to accumulate without getting mislead into some baloney mumbo-jumbo that may or may not be correct... so you may well not end up accumulating more BTC because you end up getting your measures of sentiment (or whatever people are telling you about sentiment) wrong.

Fuck sentiment.  It is not that helpful, even if you believe that it is.. and even if you want to strategize your BTC accumulation approach what you believe sentiment to be.
You are very correct, and I also hate the sentiment thing because, it will make you not to have your own strategy that will be flexible with the price of bitcoin as it goes up and comes down. and deprive you from accumulating the number of bitcoin that you want fast. It is better that if one wants to accumulate bitcoin within a long period of time, the DCA method will help that person to stay more focus and well prepared towards accumulating and this plan can be achieved. But when sentiment is involved, it will become a distraction and that will make one lose focus towards his goal.
legendary
Activity: 2716
Merit: 1092
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
September 23, 2023, 05:06:02 PM
I was impressed by your statement above "keep buying BTC and revalue your position in 3-5 years from now" and yes. I think the DCA investment model should continue. Well, I want to know. Can Bitcoin get back $34,000 by the end of September 2023?
If you want a price of $34,000 at the end of this month in Bitcoin it may be very difficult for you to find it because currently the price of Bitcoin is still below $27K so you may have to have more time to see a price like that again seen in Bitcoin. Because there is only a week left in this month, it is less possible to expect an increase of $8,000 in just seven days. So it's better for you to continue doing DCA by considering some of the suggestions that are here rather than thinking about prices that still seem difficult to achieve in a very short time.
@bestcoins1, like you already know that Bitcoin has it own potentials, so if the price of Bitcoin can increase up to $34,000 or above we can't tell for now because we still have more days before the end of the months of this September.
It can be difficult to predict the price of Bitcoin but that doesn't mean that Bitcoin can't reach the actually Amount we are not expecting it to reach in the nearest future, as we already know the price of Bitcoin is about $26,500k it is not a big deal for Bitcoin to move above $30k if it wants to move in a skyrocket ways, although I am not yet an investor but I know how impressed Bitcoin can grow sometimes.
The price of Bitcoin will continue to change every day or every hour so the increase in Bitcoin will be followed by an increase in purchasing volume which will make the price of BTC soar up. To find the best entry, only use the DCA method of accumulating BTC throughout the investment we make. For those of you who have just joined the Bitcointalk forum, of course you have a high enough emotional level to expect the price continue to rise at the end of each month. But that is not a bad theory because if you have BTC in your portfolio it will make you more confident in continuing to hold BTC because it is driven by your level of aggressiveness in predicting the price of BTC will rise higher in the coming years.

Every BTC Holder of course hopes for big profits in the investment they make, whether they are old investors or new investors, of course they have the same target in Bitcoin investment. Even in previous years we only viewed BTC as a means of payment online without any stronger knowledge to hold it in the long term. So at the moment I see several users in this thread giving a strong narrative of continuing to hold BTC and never selling it if their target has not been reached. Therefore, as a beginner, you must be able to take advantage of the opportunity you have to buy BTC and hold it in the long term.
sr. member
Activity: 182
Merit: 152
Sibi Dabo,,,,,,, Teme Ini Na Sime
September 23, 2023, 12:55:49 PM
I was impressed by your statement above "keep buying BTC and revalue your position in 3-5 years from now" and yes. I think the DCA investment model should continue. Well, I want to know. Can Bitcoin get back $34,000 by the end of September 2023?
If you want a price of $34,000 at the end of this month in Bitcoin it may be very difficult for you to find it because currently the price of Bitcoin is still below $27K so you may have to have more time to see a price like that again seen in Bitcoin. Because there is only a week left in this month, it is less possible to expect an increase of $8,000 in just seven days. So it's better for you to continue doing DCA by considering some of the suggestions that are here rather than thinking about prices that still seem difficult to achieve in a very short time.
@bestcoins1, like you already know that Bitcoin has it own potentials, so if the price of Bitcoin can increase up to $34,000 or above we can't tell for now because we still have more days before the end of the months of this September.
It can be difficult to predict the price of Bitcoin but that doesn't mean that Bitcoin can't reach the actually Amount we are not expecting it to reach in the nearest future, as we already know the price of Bitcoin is about $26,500k it is not a big deal for Bitcoin to move above $30k if it wants to move in a skyrocket ways, although I am not yet an investor but I know how impressed Bitcoin can grow sometimes.
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 10832
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
September 23, 2023, 11:20:04 AM
Your phrasing of this sounds weird because I had actually gotten my average price per BTC below $500, but the mistakes that I made along the way, had caused the average price per BTC to double... so it is like losing half of your stash, and if you had gotten 4.2 BTC for $2,100, so your average cost per BTC would have had been $500, but when you end up losing half of them, the total costs may well have stayed in the same ballpark, but the quantity of BTC ends up being 2.1 BTC rather than 4.2 BTC, and so therefore your average cost per BTC ends up being $1k per BTC rather than $500 per BTC due to mistakes that were made.
I did not meant to rephrase things, but I got the point, we all made mistakes on we regret later but also learn from them too and by time we don't make those mistakes anymore, I don't know what mistakes you made that yours stash become half, but the suggestions you have made to me, emphasize the importance of emergency funds and you have always mentioned that, it means, you must be stuck in some that kind of emergency state. I'm just assuming. I hope you will not mind.

I am describing with vagueness and with hypothetical on-purpose, and I think that the overall point is that there are a variety of ways that mistakes can be made - especially the longer that we might be in bitcoin, and perhaps the more adventurous that we might be with some of our ways of using bitcoin and/or storing bitcoin.  Some of my problems/mistakes had to do with sim card swap situations, which I already described at various times in my forum life.. maybe not in this thread and I don't even necessarily think that it is a good idea to get into specifics here and then sometimes leaving some value with various third parties can lead to losses, such as I had some coins on BTC-E in 2016/2017 and then also with Bitfinex in 2016, and some of the direct transactions that I made had some losses involved with coins not going through, wrong amounts, sometimes scandalous (or opportunistic behaviors of others... so maybe some of my own mistakes might be framed as having had gotten involved at all, even though there is some value that comes through having experiences, and surely, there could be worse mistakes that involve buying and selling behaviors.. or other kinds of portfolio management that might come from transacting and then figuring out whether and when replacement might need to occur.. which I am not even going to suggest to have had been day-trading).

We learn from various mistakes, and the extent that we have been put into any kind of emergency state from losses of BTC might have to do with how much was lost, and then even some pretty big mistakes that I had did not completely remove considerable appreciation in the overall value of coins held.  

Let's say for example in late 2016 to early 2017, a person might have held 40 BTC, and so when the BTC prices were around $1k, s/he had $40k in value in his/her holdings and also if the average costs were $500, then the amount invested would have been around $20k, but then a bunch of mistakes happen all at once and half or nearly half of all of the coins are lost or stolen.  Think about it, all through 2015 and 2016, the 40BTC would have been valued around $10k to $20k, so when the BTC price went up to $1k in late 2016 and early 2017, the BTC portfolio had doubled in value, so 100% profits, and so if we are looking at 2017 and 2018 and BTC prices thereafter, the 20 BTC continued to stay above the $20k invested, and even mostly stayed above the $40k at the time of the loss, so the loss was likely ONLY a temporary blip in the dollar value of the coins, and sure there could be whining about "I could have had 40 BTC, but wha wha wha, I only have 20 BTC", but what good is that going to do?..

Maybe through the next 6-7 years, the BTC holdings goes from 20 BTC to 25 BTC, and maybe more value is injected during that time (maybe another $40k-$60k in order to get 5 more BTC?.. or maybe ONLY an additional $5k is injected to get from 20 BTC to 25 BTC that keeps the average cost per BTC to remain at $1k-ish), but there also could be thoughts that "I am never going to get back to 40 BTC," but where was the "emergency" exactly?  

Sure a short time during the losses of going down from 40 BTC to 20 BTC, there could have been feelings of loss and emergency.. but there also could be feelings of futility in trying to get the value of the lost 20 BTC back or the waste of time and energy to even think about getting back 20 lost BTC, because merely having 20 BTC in the remaining portfolio still seems to be enough since the then current holdings of 20 BTC would still be considerably profitable throughout 2017, 2018 and even at all points thereafter, and so there may well would not have necessarily have been any long-lasting sense of any emergency based on the portfolio continuing to be quite profitable, whether we are talking ONLY about the initial $20k that had been invested or even if we might include some of the additional value that had ended up getting injected in the subsequent 6-7 years.

If someone owns 25 BTC right now and has around $75k invested, then s/he is feeling pretty good with an average price of $3k per BTC, and I am saying that I still like to calculate my own average cost per BTC to be around $1k per BTC and even suggesting that it is probably even less than $1k per BTC, yet I still like to round up to $1k per BTC (or to give a ballpark calculation of $1k per BTC) for ease of calculation purposes.

PS: I am actually quite late to reply, the problem is, my laptop was not working due to some exceptional errors and some blue screen issue. So, I have to use my old one and I just swapped the hard drives so I could access this account back. It is hard to read and make replies to you, that's why I thought I should wait for the laptop. I hope you won't mind late replying.

No problem... Just needing to remember what we were talking about... and not wanting to deviate from the topic of this thread too much.. but it tends to be o.k. to have some deviation if the topic still kind of relates and does not really contradict the thread topic.

I understand that newbie bitcoiners (and maybe even just people who might have some of their own investing rookie-ness) sometimes might panic and/or start to feel that they need to take emergency measures to make up for any losses that they might have had suffered at various points in time in their bitcoin accumulation journey.. maybe they failed/refused to invest in bitcoin, so they feel like they have to make it up or maybe they had gone through some losses and/or made some mistakes and feel that they need to get back to where they were.. which it seems to me that many times those kinds of behaviors are problematic, because we should mostly (if not exclusively) continue to try to follow better practices when managing our BTC accumulation strategies and/or even when getting into the maintenance stages of our BTC... so if we might have gone through some kinds of losses that kick us out of BTC maintenance stage and we end up back in accumulation stage, then sure we have to deal with those kinds of situations, but we should still be trying to put ourselves into a kind of normal state and not feeling that we are in any kind of an emergency status merely because some mistakes had been made along the way...

..and yeah, of course, some mistakes are worse than others and more difficult to recover from than others... so there could be some instances in which any of us might feel that we are in a short-term emergency status, but hopefully, we are able to get into a state in which we are NOT in an emergency status for any kind of period of time that last for than a few months .. and sure some times our situation might not allow us to get out of the emergency status, but my own circumstances never did rise to that level of emergency status, including that I could have lost all of my BTC and I still would have been albe to keep up my then standard of living.. sure I would not be in as good of a position as I am today, but my BTC were not needed for any of my then monthly and/or yearly expenses including that I already had various cash cushions including emergency funds that I had available, even when my BTC reduced in half and could have reduced in full.. which the second case would have got me more concerned about a potential emergency status.. and like I suggested, my BTC (in terms of their dollar value) did not really lose value for any extended period of time based on how the BTC price was moving in late 2016 and into early 2017 and through the subsequent passage of time.. we can see from the BTC price charts that we pretty much got over $3k per BTC in late 2017, and so far, the BTC price never went below $3k again.

hehe, this laptop works directly, and during writing this reply, I mistakenly unplug the charger and end up losing the reply Which I wrote at first, Now I am writing it again. Unfortunately, the last reply was not saved.  Lips sealed

That sucks.

In the first few years after I got into bitcoin it seemed that quite a few guys wanted to try to get 100 BTC, but at some point a common BTC accumulation target became 21 BTC, and then it got down to 10 BTC, and then recently even 1 BTC was seeming unattainable by a lot of newbie normies, so many times many forum members were talking about setting BTC accumulation target levels that were manageable and symbolic, so that is where 0.21 BTC comes in, and my claims (admissions) of having more than 3x the amount that some newbie normies were trying to reach for their beginning BTC accumulation target levels.

It is already starting to make sense to start talking about these BTC accumulation level targets in terms of satoshis, whether the goal might start out to be 1million satoshis, and then maybe become 21 million satoshis and then maybe to shoot for higher levels after reaching those amounts and then considering bitcoin whales as those persons who have more than 1 billion satoshis.
That's because when you must have started the price of BTC were lower and people must have set higher BTC targets just because they can really buy them easily, but in relative to that, it is quite hard to accumulate 100 BTC for a normal person. That's why people are now talking in satoshi, they know they can not deal in BTC terms that's why.

You emphasized the importance of wishes getting expand, I recently read a topic in economic section, where the OP was conveying the message that, one must not fulfill his wishes that are so unnecessary instead they should invest that fund. But I think, if a person have a wish to not buy something or waste money on unnecessary things instead he wish to invest more then I think he should not ignore that wish.  Wink

Of course, we have individual discretion in terms of how much we might need to set aside for our BTC purchases, and even putting aside $10 week could cause people to suffer in a variety of ways, and some things might be easier to suffer through than others.... Do I buy a brand new laptop or do I buy a used one or do I repair my current one, and sure sometimes even with the laptop there can be considerable differences in prices, yet there might not be enough utility to spend $6k on a laptop versus spending $600, and sure it would be nice to have the extra funcionality.. but are you in a position to really get value out of that $5,400 extra that could end up going into BTC instead, and if you don't really need another laptop for 3 years, then the $5,400 may well have had been better spent on BTC rather than upgrading from a $600 to a $6k laptop... and yeah, maybe you could do a little bit of both, and if you choose to buy a $2k laptop, you still might be being a bit frivolous, but you still might have $4k that you can invest into BTC because you chose to defer some of your present gratification and hoping that you end up getting more future gratification by having that $4k invested into BTC rather than invested into a fancier laptop.

Once I decide how to put it together and to post it, then maybe i could provide link here.. but it is going to be more able sustainable selling. which this thread is not talking about. ..............
I will be waiting for that link, either this thread is relevant or not, we can at least share the links I hope.

Many times we can share links, especially if the topic was mentioned and/or might be indirectly related to the topic of the thread... Sharing a link tends to be a more accepted way of sharing a somewhat divergent topic... and yeah, I have been personally practicing with my little scheme.. but it sometimes can take a while to figure out how to discuss it.. and even to figure out whether I want to discuss it... I might even decide to put it in my investment ideas thread.. but yeah, I haven't posted it yet.

I meant to say "reevaluate," so that was a typo (or a freudian slip).... Oh?  I see that you did not paraphrase me properly.. here's what I said:  "keep buying BTC and reassess where you are at 3-5 years from now".. Reassess and revalue are not really great synonyms in the context in which I used the word, but yeah, reevaluate would work as another way of saying what I said.
Maybe the above is straight forward, here is the explanation and what you said is "keep buying BTC and reassess where you are at 3-5 years from now" if I'm not mistaken in interpreting it, it also means continuing to make regular purchases without being too affected by long-term price fluctuations short and next step, evaluate the investment portfolio and ensure that the investment does not run away from the initial goal and is in accordance with long-term plans, especially now.

Yes.  That is a fair way of re-describing some things that I had been trying to say - because essentially, if we might be brand new to investing (and/or trying to employ some kind of a BTC accumulation strategy), we likely need to reassess from time to time, and surely if we have a decently solid plan from the start that might involve going from zero to something hopefully substantial, we might not even end up with half of a years salary saved up in 3-5 years, but we might be in a better position to reassess where we are at and if we might need to make some tweaks..

versus trying to plan things out for 10-20 years and not reassessing or even if we make too many changes in the short terms or try to time the market and the dips, we might not really be in a position in which timing dips is even a good use of time versus just regularly buying $10-$100 per week and accumulating over several years and then looking at we are at in terms of BIGGER picture considerations and being more informed about having had accumulated some bitcoin versus starting out with none and not really having too many options when we are starting.. and even when we are starting, it might even take more than a year before we have anything that is approaching an meaningful amount...of course, depending on how much discretionary income we are able to allocate towards BTC accumulation.. but even if we feel that we are able to allocate even more towards BTC accumulation.. even $1k per week, we still might feel that we are making slow progress, even after a year or two.. .
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