Ahh.. do you really think I haven't gone through this thread I think I have almost read the maximum number of pages, all of the newbies and other members are only discussing the DCA, and I don't think so just DCA is sufficient enough, practically DCA can be an all-rounder but in the market, DAC is not a dead end hope you've got it..
So long as Bitcoin market is concern DCA strategy remains the ultimate strategy for accumulation of Bitcoin because it works not only for beginners but also on more experience people by building their mindset and also expanding their course of knowledge to see the risk involves on accumulation without a good strategy and providing solutions on how to navigate the accumulation process with a risk free and slowly investing with the only amount they can afford.
There are several participants of this thread who are repeating the idea of risk free and guaranteed, and bitcoin is neither risk free or guaranteed, even if you employ DCA or any other method of accumulating it.
No investment is 100% guaranteed. I will always say that, because I am not in the same ship as those that thought that investment is guaranteed 100%, no matter the strategy that is used on the investment, it is still not guaranteed of 100% profit at the end.
Bitcoin investment is 50-50, you may gain profit or not. This is why one needs to look for the strategy that will give you the higher chance of making profit and how to go about it. DCA method and hodli for a long period of time will give you a better chance to make profit than losses.The good thing with bitcoin investment is that you can't totally run at loss, if you are just hodling and accumulating, and as long as you don't sell when it is not your will. You will definitely recover from whatever loss, whenever bitcoin price pumps, and with your regular DCA, I wouldn't call it loss but a change in price.
Why I said that hodlers can't run at loss is because it is impossible for bitcoin price to dip 100%, which is crashing to zero. It is possible for bitcoin price to increase more than 100% and when this happens, it is the number of bitcoin in your portfolio that will determine your profit. This is why every bitcoiner should focus on hodli and using regular DCA to increase their bitcoin investment portfolio because nobody knows what bitcoin will become tomorrow. Who knows, if bitcoiners will be the wealthiest people in the world in future.
You've said it all well about the 50/50 risk and the DCA strategy. But all of that may not work at some point. Bitcoin has had several four-year halving cycles and those cycles have worked very well. So even someone who bought bitcoin in 2017 at 18k could sell that for a nice profit in 2022. But it would take a lot of nerves and four years of waiting. And if for example one day the cycle doesn't work, how many years will you have to wait to make a profit?
In late 2013, when I got into bitcoin, I had a bit of a concern about how long I might be able to stay in bitcoin.. maybe 1 or 2 years, perhaps.. but then the longer that bitcoin has existed, its investment thesis seems to be getting stronger and stronger and stronger, so anyone coming into bitcoin now, should be able to stay in bitcoin 4-10 years or longer.. and the ONLY reason that I put 4 years so low is mostly based on some people being old or having tight investment time horizons because of where they are at in life, and maybe it is a bit misleading to even suggest to invest into bitcoin for such a short period of time, because it merely ends up involving a kind of flipping mentality when bitcoin is likely to be good to serve more as a life long investment that may take several cycles before a person might transition from accumulation to maintenance and then to liquidation.. so any young person should be thinking further out and even several cycles to allow for bitcoin to likely continue to compound upon itself (and yeah surely there are no guarantees that profit will happen, and even going to zero is not a non-zero possibility, even though the longer that bitcoin exists, the more likely that going to zero or even spiraling down to very unreasonable lows seems to have pretty decently low odds of happening.).
Bitcoin has had several four-year halving cycles and those cycles have worked very well. So even someone who bought bitcoin in 2017 at 18k could sell that for a nice profit in 2022. But it would take a lot of nerves and four years of waiting. And if for example one day the cycle doesn't work, how many years will you have to wait to make a profit?
When we talk about Bitcoin investing no one can say that he will make certain profit from investing in Bitcoin. He must plan to hold it for several years or more. Not everyone will be successful in investing but those who follow the directions are more likely to succeed. Investors mentality of taking risks must be needed. DCA is a good strategy so that we can reduce the risk in our investment. This will help reduce my investment risk as well as grow my portfolio in the long run. DCA is an opportunity for those of us who can't invest in Bitcoin for money even if we want. Those who can properly utilize this opportunity are more likely to get good returns from Bitcoin in the long run. There is no alternative to patiently waiting for the desired moment.
Patience and consistency are key for us to take advantage in bitcoin investment. Before we invest, the first step we have to do is good planning, by making it the basis then it will bring something good too. Not only careful planning, but also we must uphold the planning. Because it is not uncommon for me to see people who doubt their own plans, even though, the plans that make them are themselves. Here is the challenge, when we see the market turning red, when we are in a difficult situation in our finances and so on. We must be able to take into account everything, from the smallest to the biggest in this bitcoin investment.
It is true that sometimes everything will go to red and we have to consider whether everything going to red will affect us, and I would think that if we have already decided to invest into bitcoin based on our income and we have chosen a DCA amount, then we just continue to buy bitcoin, and sure if our income or our expenses had changed, then our disposable income has changed, so then in those circumstances, we may well need to make some adjustments, but our investment thesis should not necessarily change very easily when it comes to something like bitcoin.
With bitcoin it should be that anyone studying it should be able to see that sometimes sentiment is up and down, but we should not be basing our strategies on sentiment, but instead more fundamental ideas in which if the price goes down we might want to buy more.. that is if our disposable income has remained constant and/or that we have extra funds upon which we can draw.. which is part of the substance of this thread to talk about ways to have various systems in place in order to potentially be able to buy on the dip..
and sure sometimes, financial circumstances might become so dire (or even change) in such ways that we have to make adjustment to our plans based on our own changed circumstances, and part of the reason that DCA is even stronger than buying on the dip is that we should not have to try to figure out as many unknowns.. DCA allows that we don't get caught up in so much trying to figure out various unknowns that might not even be knowable in the first place, so we mostly focus and structure our approach in regards to the knowables and the more likely to be true aspects rather than getting caught up in possible distractions that end up NOT being very relevant or important when we end up looking back our ability to stay the course..