Topic: Can a social or casual good guesser make better gambling prediction carrier? (Read 940 times)

You can't compare that funny game you played with your friend and the real gambling. Gambling is not a game of guesses. Try to involve money in that game you have played and let's see if the outcome will be the same. No gambler in the world keeps up with their gambling career by having just an excellent guessing skill.

Also to add to that, there are called "odds" in gambling. It's easy to make just guesses with Favorites but what about the odds?
   

The lack of demos in gambling is not encouraging but I understand the plight of casinos too. It is going to discourage a lot of people if they are not making money through demo gambling, and this will not even make them deposit their money. They would rather use the money for other purposes instead of wasting it. Because you cannot see danger in front of you and you will still force yourself into it. But when you start directly with live gambling, you get to take the risk immediately, and if you are not sensitive, you might just continue to lose the money and keep depositing all the same until you get addicted if care is not taken.

But for those gamblers who are sensitive and wise, they should limit the risk because there was no demo to practice gamble with care. They can be gambling with just $1, while some may even go lower than that if their casinos allow it. This is another means of testing the platform you are playing with, the options they have, the game itself and your gambling expertise. You can have the time to manage and improve in yourself as well before it becomes better. By doing this also, I do not believe that the gambler who is sensitive and such that has created good expertise, budget and plans towards gambling can regret it so much.

You are completely correct and I totally agree with you, guessing somethings in real life is very easy most of the time, but if the person should make the mistake of believing that he or she has become a master at guessing, and thinks he or she will do very well in gambling, then, the shock such a person might experience after some serious of loses in gambling, will be too hard for him or her to bear.

Even highly professional traders, with all the sophisticated machines  used for all sort of market analysis, and research, still lose some trades, and some one actually believes he or she can do well in gambling simply because he or she guessed something in real life right multiple times, this is completely no way to determine if someone will do well in gambling not, for gambling is completely different from guessing things in real life.

I can say for sure that if he takes up another challenge in he may not be lucky enough to win even in his next five - ten trials so it's mainly that he was just lucky, gambling has a whole lot to do with been lucky and just a few when it comes to skills so the scenerio you mentioned was some one just been totally lucky and nothing more, they weren't been a professional because there were no analysis upon which he should base his picks rather they were just mare guess which could mean it could have gone wrong at some point except for luck, he could get a second trial and out of the ten predictions be may get only about two correctly.

Even with Experienced gamblers they still at some point have to relay on luck to be able to pull through certain predictions because they will most definitely not get it correctly just by depending on their skills alone.

They can, if they know how to manage risks they will be fine, but don't expect such people to always be correct with their predictions, predictions always have two possibilities, wrong and right.

I will advise you to just learn how to be a responsible gambler first instead of you trying to find the best guesser, moreover, is there such thing as a best guesser? Because when something is labeled as best it means it never almost fail, but in gambling you will surely fail, that's why lowering our risks is the only way to be in gambling and avoid hurting yourself.

In gambling, stop comparing yourself to anybody, because they are just like you, we are all trying to find that luck in this space and only those who can keep doing this without hurting themselves will be the best gambler over others that are succumbed to greed.

It is not always possible for guessers to win gambling if they do not have the skills to analyze the match and only rely on their guessing abilities. This is very difficult, especially since we know that there will be lots of surprises in the match that can make the direction of the match change and become unpredictable even for experienced observers. They can keep guessing and placing bets, but they have to pay attention to how much money they can use, considering they don't have good analytical skills. But if they can learn analytical skills over time and predict which team will win, they will probably have a higher chance of winning because they can analyze every match. But we also know that learning analytical skills is not easy and that it takes time to develop good analytical skills.

For sure I think I watched a YouTube video about someone who is just winning at a gambling casino in Las Vegas to the point where he is getting a lot of invites and automatically gets to the VIP room every time because the casino wanted him to actually play hoping that he is actually going to lose his money in the process because he just continues to win on that specific casino.

So I guess there were just really some people that are just super lucky able to do it and continue winning through the games at the 100% win rate, but as we know it is just not that easy I guess it is for sure possible at least but it doesn't really mean that it is going to happen to you as well, Also the chances are just very low if you are going to think about that or risk money for that I would say that it probably wasn't worth it at all. Let's just say that it is possible but there are only a few people that are able to make it possible.

I think he guess you because he know you small or big detail that you missed but gambling game is total different you play against the system or the whole sport game, so in my opinion a casual good guesser dont always win or make a good prediction. Unless the guesser has 10000% luck then I do believe.

I mean if the casual guesser always win they would leaver their main job and start 9-5 for gambling only.

I really don't see any connection between the guy who guessed correctly many times in your story and the ability to gamble. There may be his observations during the game, or he partly understands the preferences and habits of the people he guesses. I bet if he tried it on a stranger, he wouldn't be able to guess it right. Gambling requires more than that, and the psychology of guessing something is innocuous, it's okay to be right but it's okay to be wrong. But with gambling, it directly affects your wallet. Fortune tellers are people with good judgment and can even predict part of the future, but it's not sure they can apply it to gambling and become a professional gambler, right?

If a guesser wins gambling it is luck, I don't see a guesser building a gambling career if such exist, gambling is not for guesser though that's also a strategy but one should not rely on it because it is a mere guessing that can fail like people who knows team's that are in good form.
Gambling should be done just with statistics it is not a sure thing, no matter how good you think you are, you can't be as good as the odd fixers so it is very important for us to know that gambling as it, is a game that no one knows, this is why we should do it without much zeal and seriousness.

No matter how we try to twist it, gambling has no accurate means of increasing our winning chances. It doesn't count if the person is good in guessing or social. The gaming result can return void for the best analyst. Gamblers who listen and wager money using the predictions of football analysts on radio and tv, still come home complaining about losing the game. Not minding the level of such analysts in the football niche. So, whatever a gambler has in mind to do before gambling may not matter or influence the result of the game. Gamblers should learn to play game for the meaning it provides to the human brain. Trying to twist out money is not an easy task. It takes up lots of years of observation and practical. Which still don't add up in manipulating the winning chances of the gambler. The goal is to be smart and fast in change of idea and predictions. It's also part of the game to learn football analysis. Hence gambling provides lots of educational benefits to the gambler, but it's not acknowledged, because of the famous news of winning huge amounts in gambling. When a person doesn't get to win big, he'll begin to neglect and talk bad of gambling. Not realizing that he's learnt some good skills, thanks to gambling. Money hides the benefits of gambling, that gamblers think money is the benefit of gambling.

Yes, that's true because many people still make predictions about a match, whether right or wrong. They will always provide predictions based on their analysis or just guesses. But if they guess a match without analyzing it, they will most likely lose if they place a bet because, with analysis, we can find out how big each team's chances of winning are so that we can choose it as a bet.

Indeed, it will not be easy to build a career in gambling if that is their goal because they must have better analytical skills than other people. It requires a lot of experience and learning how to have good analytical skills from various sources. Those who just guess will find it difficult to win, so they must learn many things to know what analysis is good and correct, even if they can't guess accurately.

You are right in saying that it is better to know how to manage one's money than to place bets using our analysis. Money management is very important to avoid losing much money so they will not experience losses too. We won't always be able to guess correctly, so by managing our money, we can avoid big losses.

Luck would be always the determining factor whether you would really be winning or losing a particular bet.Although when it comes to sports betting then you would really be needing those additional analysis on which it would really be that something that contributive factor on which it could really increase the chance of winning but of course it would really be that different to each other
and some could be able to have those good winning rate and there are some who do loses. Speaking about into those good guessers then i dont say that they wont be having a chance on gambling field but i would say that it would really be that totally different once you do touch up this space on which this isnt something that you would really be just needing to guess
on whose gonna win but rather you would really be needing any other details too.

Not every game that needs analysing, some gambling games depends totally on luck and your analysis won't help you to win. When you're playing dice games, you don't need analysis as there isn't any that can help you. When you win from playing dice game, you can't repeat the same style you use in playing and expect to win again. Slot games also have the style way of playing as you have to depend on your luck before you can win, with this types of games a good guesser can win.

But when you're gambling through sport betting or other games that depends on analysis, just being a good guesser won't help you as the games need someone that's good at analysing. You can be lucky few times and pick a team that'll end up winning but your luck can't help you always, you have to study the two teams involved in the game and bet on the strongest team to increase your chances of winning.

Correct. Financial capability first.
None of those skills will actually work if you don't have the money as capital to start whatever you want especially in gambling prediction.
There are people who are good at guessing just by looking at the person in front of them, like age, weight, and probably something that could be surprising but it can still be proven by simple logic.
I think OP is just curious about how things would be if that friend of his used that special skill in gambling. But let's be real these days, it would not be as effective as it is when someone is controlling the game behind curtains.
Most gamblers do know that when it comes to playing online casinos. The house will always be the winner because at any combination guess you do, there's still a part of your game where the casino would try to get back what you had won.
You will be shocked at how instantaneous it could be from winning $20 in 2 days to losing it in just hours.
It's true and it's real, they would not run this business just giving away money. A win is just to pump us out and be greedy person but next to it might become a stressful day when they try to get it all back plus your capital.
Also, if your friend knew about this, he might have already tested it out himself and I doubt it is a successful one.

Anyone is a guesser, all gamblers are predictors, with analysis or not, and this still depends on if they are lucky enough that their calling comes as they predicted, I have seen a big football fan who predicted three matches correctly and he won a lot of money on the games, the next season came and he did the same but this time luck isn't on his side, every prediction went wrong.

It will become very hard to build a gambling career if you don't know how to do strong analysis, and mind you it still doesn't stop you from failing, and since this is all luck dependant, even someone who knows nothing about football can place bet and win a lot of money than someone who've been long in the game.

Whatever you think you are good at in gamblIng, put that aside first and know how to manage your bankroll first, even if you are the king of analyst, you are predicting on luck, which equals to been wrong at times and been right at times, you don't want to throw a lot of money into this thinking you will always be right.

People are lazy. Instead of testing, learning, failing, gaining experience, they wait until someone gives them one and only solution, perfect combination, share knowledge that give 100% success. Like OP, he is an average persons, have some average skills, and want us to convince him or make him believe that he is someone special. I dont know what he really expect from this topic. To get an answer like yes or no? If he wants to be better at something, he must do something to convert himself from casual into professional. There is no other way in life to be better.

It makes and does not make sense at the same time, what you are saying is true, someone that does not take the time to train a skill will never reach far as they will be held back by it and their lack of commitment towards it, but it is also true that humans show a disposition towards wanting to obtain the biggest benefits possible with the smallest investment on their part, so many people think like that as it is part of who they are, and that disposition explains why there are so many newbies which know nothing about the market and still want to become millionaires in a short amount of time.

With guessing work? Heck no, such a person can't build a gambling career on that, and you should know that what you and those guys participated in is purely based on instinct and luck, they will not carry you anywhere in gambling.

This might freak you or the other guys if you guessed more accurately on that day, but such luck changes over time. This is why you might do well in such an activity today but might do so poorly in it tomorrow. It means that your luck on the first day is not the same as that on the second day. So do not let this put you in one kind of overconfidence situation that might make you lose your money easily.

In gambling, you learn and understand every aspect of what you want to gamble, then you know the management part and also the limit you can take so that you do not just waste money especially if your plans are not working as expected.

The question already consist of a partial answer. Pay attention to words casual and good. Such people rarely become good at something. I think it is almost impossible for average person to become a professional in something only based on such adjective as average.

I find it confusing, when people without any special skill, without knowing any insiders information, without putting much effort wants to become best or successful at something. Want to be good at gambling prediction - throw dice 20 times and predict number from 1 to 6 most of the time. Simple test is going to answer all questions.