Topic: Can a social or casual good guesser make better gambling prediction carrier? - page 7. (Read 1011 times)

Being a person who is good at guessing and being a person who is good at gambling predictions are two different things. If someone is good at guessing, for example, clothes size, age, etc., basically they have a feeling about it. Meanwhile, in gambling predictions, it is much more difficult, where people not only play by feeling here, but also by luck, analysis and deep knowledge of what they are going to predict. And because of this, not many people have a successful career in gambling predictions because it is more difficult and not just a mere guessing.

Someone can also perfect these questions and they base these on the looks and the history of the people they interact they have a special skill when it comes to looking for details that will make them good at guessing, I have seen that on one show and when asked he answered that he's not sure if he will be able to perfectly guess what's coming up on games like dice because that's two different situations.


What you're friend has is just for entertainment it's very different when there's money involved, and there's pressure to win or to guess what will come out, your friend may be good at guessing, but I doubt he will be good at gambling, because if he knows he is that good, he already employed his skill in gambling and already made money from gambling, but he knows that what he's doing is for fun and he's not taking it seriously and try to monetize his skill.

Maybe yes and maybe no. Maybe it's just a coincidence. There are many other possibilities. But if he wants to be a professional guesser in gambling especially in sports betting, I think he needs more skills because sports betting is not as easy as he thinks. A person must have many sources of information to collect various information for analysis until he finds clues for choosing his team. But if he just guessed, maybe he wouldn't win very often but who knows, if he had a high level of luck, maybe he could win. To find out, you can test it by giving him a list of sports bets and telling him to guess and you can place a bet on his prediction. This was to see if what he did before could work well. If not, he might have guessed it correctly by pure chance.

A good guesser can only be good at guessing and not in gambling. Gambling is based on luck and that is the nature of gambling, because when you are not lucky, you will never win. This is why most gamblers losses more than they win.

On the other hand, gambling is very difficult to guess right because you are predicting what will play out in future, but guessing is what you know more about, and you can use from the knowledge that you have to guess, and get it right. Some people are not good at guessing, and they will never try to guess on anything, but those same set of people can gamble and win big because it happened that they gamble on their lucky day.

We used to play this game as kids back then but it is easy to guess if you are close to somebody that you know. I'm not sure it is possible to guess 10/10 without the person knowing everything about you. It's like saying because you and I are on the same campaign, I know your favorite food and where you go everyday. It's impossible because I don't know you and I'm not close to you, that your friend that has 10/10 might have a cheat code that you guys don't know. 


I'm not sure about that. It's illogical to make that kind of assumption base on one game that you play. It possible that the guy knows about you guys and you guys don't just know and it possible that he is just lucky to have that day but my kind is telling me that something is off about that 10/10 of predictions, it is not possible unless there is some hints the guys who was using for his guys and it turn out that you were all impressed by his predictions but I'm not, something is off. You can't try such logic in real gambling that involves money.

Some people will not listen but think that they are special and that they can make better guesses and also think they can be good and make money from gambling. They will think like they are special because they think special. When they start to gamble, their losses will begin. Gambling should not be a carrier, or a way of making money or a way of thinking you can get rich through it. Gambling should just be for fun and nothing else.

That is the meaning that is often said by many people, gambling is part of the fun, that is what is meant on the other hand, to the point that even guessing can be used as a form of betting/gambling, isn't that entertainment and fun for those who are always looking for fun, My understanding is that gambling can be born in our everyday environment, for example: what my friends did on the side of the road, guess what type of car will pass in the next 15 minutes.

Such guesses sound strange and ridiculous, but that is the fact that the fun has no limits for those who like to gamble with whatever is in front of them, the choice of governor and president alone can be made into a guess.

We can't tell if he will be a successful gambler, even though he is a good guesser on something, or even in many things your friend has to play to see his chances when it comes to playing in casinos, there are many contributing factors for a gambler to become successful in gambling and not only being a good guesser he may be a good guesser on some stuff but when it comes to gambling where you face a house edge, your guessing skill may not work.
Gambling involves a lot of things, not only skill in analysis, luck, and of course discipline, it's not that you are good at gambling but also how you manage your bankroll and funds that makes one a good gambler.
  

Recently one of my local bet monitoring sites (think of it like oddspedia) introduced a section of the website where tipsters can sign up and have their tip history tracked by the public, in a way this makes them more trusted.

So the thing is, there are several people that signed up over the last three months. Some of them are fairly well known in sport betting communities for having their own shows. Also some unknown anons signed up too.
Funnily enough, the more well known the tipster, the worse the return on investment. The anons have some stable albeit small success so far. I think this website is going to delete that section soon because it exposes the well known tipsters really bad.

So yeah, I think big tipsters are mostly frauds and any simpleton can make better predictions just by casually guessing or picking something based on his own experience.

In theory yes.In practice whatever type of guesser he may be or whatever magic he may use it can never and I truly mean never fight his way to beat the "God" refereee that impacts the event with his decisions.

You would be just losing time and anyone else trying to have better chances with such persons that as long as referees will be there making mistakes impacting the game and not giving an absolute fuck about the consequences I doubt there will be winners or better guesser type of persons,we lose all because of the referees.

Well, I think that gambling is basically just luck.  While it's pretty crazy that your coworker guessed right so many times in your game, there's a difference between making guesses based on what you know about someone versus the randomness of gambling. 

In your guessing game, your coworker likely used stuff he knew about you - your background, your interests, your personality - to make some good guesses.

Gambling is different though.  It's about predicting outcomes based on probabilities - odds that are set up to favor the casino so they always have the statistical edge over the players.  Thats why even really skilled gamblers go through losing streaks.

Gambling is game of  luck, but  sometimes requires experience,skill and a good player not a good guesser. Especially sports games like football, basketball,rugby etc requires analysing and evaluation of teams not how good you are on guessing. These games involves those that follow them up, fan and gamblers familiar to these game. If you are not gambling on games you aware of then you will be good looser in your guessing. Your guessing can only work if you are familiar or know about the games you want to bet.

Such questions as you mentioned as an example to the type of guessing games you guys played in the office can't be compared to gambling, or having to guess the outcome of a sports match, they are completely different.

And here is an explanation, the questions you asked here, as questions someone with good eyes and sense would get right, all it takes is, the person looking at you, and being able to right guess your age bracket, he or she will be able to know if you should be married at that age or not, then if married, he or she would be able to know if you are supposed to have kids at your age or not, etc.
So, in the nutshell, it is a game of the eyes and brains, what the eyes sees, it tells the brain, and the brain tries to use that data to come up with an answer to the question.

This is completely different from sports betting for example, as often times, what you are just looking at is your device screen, you are not seeing the player or players in physical to be able to guess whether he or she, or they are fit enough to beat their opponent, you have and only have to rely on analysis and previous game records to predict of the player or players will beat their opponent or lose to their opponent.

So, to this effect, I would say that for someone to be a good casual or social guesser is not a guarantee of any kind that such a person will do well in gambling.

Well, gambling is a guessing game so he should try it out, but don't expect too much because it's way different than guessing statistics of a human, age, size, and more. Gambling is about predicting the results of the game or guessing the numbers of a Keno game. But I don't think anyone could get that perfectly right because there's a system working underneath everything.
This is why gambling sites put an RTP on casino and slot games. Why? Because anyone could not win anything by merely predicting the numbers. For example, you win x1000 by predicting the 10 numbers. (Although this is really impossible.) Do you really think you could win another in the next rounds to come? Nah, I don't think so. A gambling site will lose business if that happens. They will deplete all that you won first before they give something like that again. Worse, they will take half of your capital before you can win again. That's how online gambling site works. But, he should try predicting a sports game, maybe he will be good at that. Why not put it on trial by betting low amounts? Who knows, maybe you are all right and he has some skills that is unique, you could even call it a mysterious power.

That's how luck works. That's why so called "pro gamblers" can fail just like every other average Joe when they play dice-like luck based games. Your luck doesn't care how smart or hardworking your are. A college student can buy a lottery ticket and win the big prize while a million university professors who bought tickets end up winning nothing.

Considering that none of the participants had any prior knowledge, the game you described is also a luck based game.

The results would change a lot if these people start betting on sports because you can make educated guesses there somehow.

Not really that much of a precise thing that you could really believe on. You should really be knowing the ff. stuffs.

1. Is that someone knowledgeable about into those particular things, or simply into its background?
2. Already have the information and its not really actually that a good guess.

Thinking up on applying it on gambling since you are a good guesser? That doesnt sounds so easy. If you do mold up that kind of idea in mind
on which you are really that believing that you could take advantage since you are really that good when it comes to guessing on which dont get the wrong idea
because dealing up with gambling is really just that pure luck and even if you do able to hit up those 10 guesses with those kind of betting then
dont get yourself that confident because it is really just that happen on that very single moment.

What in the hell did I just read? This is not how gambling works. Not in any freaking way. A bunch of humans making predictions and one person getting it all right doesn't mean that such a person will be good at gambling.

Secondly, the group of your friends are setting the person up to something he may regret which is gambling addiction. This person may want to prove that he can be a great gambler and would throw caution in the air in adhering to responsible gambling.

Yes, he should trash it. He should stick to his guessing where he wouldn't lose money than in gambling.

Despite that gambling is of luck, it doesn't work that way "Guessing skills", and yes, I have seen someone who came to one betting shop my manages, according to the people that see him come there regularly to play visual games, that he doesn't look at the capacity or strength of the teams he wants to choose to bet on, but usually chooses randomly even games with very high odds that you won't expect or believe will win, that most of the time he does that, he games have had more percentage chance of being in the money than when he chooses games based on teams strength or performance.

Gambling is so difficult that a professional guesser will run into financial ruins if he depends on his guessing skills to make predictions. No doubt, instincts can direct us to making good predictions and winning but most of the times we still don't win following instinct.

I have always likened gambling to the saying "Jesus is coming soon" in that you just don't know when He will come and so it is with gambling, you don't know when you will win so guessing will make you lose more.

Sadly, even with the level of information available to experts it is still not an easy adventure to predict accurately not to talk about making prediction dependent on guessing without prior knowledge of what the game is about. You will lose because gambling is not about telling the "shoe size of a kid".

Guessing and gambling are not the same. This is because, when guessing nothing is at stake and you are free to say whatever you like without any implications. Unlike gambling that money is involved, if you want to guess in gambling, you will not feel comfortable because you know that when you are wrong, you lose.

Gambling sometimes involves skills in collaboration with luck, and this makes it something not easy to win. However, someone that can guess right on other events, might guess wrongly in gambling because he might not have that free mind to guess whatever he thinks from his head, because of fear and emotion. Your luck is what gamble is all about.