Can a social or casual good guesser make better gambling prediction carrier? - page 3.

Hirose UK

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Quote from: Porfirii on January 25, 2024, 02:05:52 AM

Quote from: Hirose UK on January 25, 2024, 12:28:21 AM

-snip-

Bingo!

Like in financial markets, past performance is not indicative of future results. Inductive reasoning cannot guarantee that your predictions will be correct, because real life has too many variants that could impact the final results.

The best approach for those who like gambling is to take it easy, I guess. Like the football fan who likes to add a little thrill to the match by placing a little bet. Dreaming about providences or scientific methods which ensure success is a big mistake.

What is clear is that betting, especially on sports or football, really requires knowledge and skills to make reliable predictions, this does not guarantee victory but it will be much better.
I have said it and of course experience and knowledge can be much better than just relying on luck, gambling with enjoyment on football match will really feel if can win it and of course it is proud team.
In fact, all this is not only about sports betting but also other bets such as lotteries, if buy tickets with random numbers without predictions will not be able to increase chances of winning.
We gamble using money and it not easy to get money, isn't it?
From here we have to think that betting with full consideration and good predictions will be able to minimize losses and provide confidence in what is being bet on.

Vladv26

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Quote from: EluguHcman on January 24, 2024, 07:15:54 AM

Funny enough my dear gamblers, something artrageous just happened within i and colleagues at work where we engaged on a "guessing and challenging game" daring ourselves in such a critical and lucky guesses.
E.G, *Guess where I am from.
*How many kids do you think I have?
* How many hours/minutes do you think I drives from my house to work?
* What high institution do you think I attended?
* What is my 2nd childs shoe size?

These is a scenero of such game. Behold dear gamblers, someone in our midsts was able to make an exact 10 right guesses out of this challenge meanwhile others could even make count of a single right guess

This opted one of us to say to the champion that.... Oh wow, man, you are professional guesser. Maybe someone like you could be a professional gambling predictional.

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?

Never entice someone to start gambling just because they are a lucky person. Guessing a correct outcome/answer is not a skill, it's mainly luck and luck always runs out at a certain point especially on the long run. Besides that you can't just become a professional gambler overnight because you think you are good at guessing. It's a profession and it may take years and years of research, dedication and experience before you can start earning money constantly. Even with all of that, you still can't guarantee you'll become a successful professional gambler since probably only about 5% of all gamblers can honestly say they are net profitable in their entire career.

_act_

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Quote from: Fundamentals Of on January 26, 2024, 03:36:12 AM

Gambling carrier by just guessing? I don't think there will ever be somebody who will excel in this kind of job.

If someone is lucky and won huge amount of money at once, that is luck. But you are right because OP means long term. The longer someone is gambling, the more often, the higher the losses. That is just how gambling is, be it casinos or bookies.

Quote from: Fundamentals Of on January 26, 2024, 03:36:12 AM

If it is somebody who analyzes sports matches and players and their probability in winning their games, then it could be treated by bettors seriously.

People are only thinking they can do better with sport betting because they are able to make analyzes and speculate what the outcome of a match could be. But if someone makes sport betting a carrier, that is a failure that the person is getting himself into, be it in casino or sport. Gambling should be just for fun and use little amount of money for it.

Fundamentals Of

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Gambling carrier by just guessing? I don't think there will ever be somebody who will excel in this kind of job. If it is somebody who analyzes sports matches and players and their probability in winning their games, then it could be treated by bettors seriously. But if it is plainly guessing, giving predictions without basis, just picking random numbers out of thin air, will bettors even risk their money on them? I mean anybody can just make a guess if it is just a random guess. Of course there's luck but when it comes to luck anybody can try theirs rather than relying on somebody else's.

Obim34

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Quote from: arjunmujay on January 25, 2024, 04:40:42 AM

Quote from: Obim34 on January 25, 2024, 04:25:38 AM

You know, when talking about sportsbet, it's not like gambling in general, which only relies on luck.
maybe in games like blackjack or other casino games, you can just rely on luck to win the game. but it's different from sportsbet, besides luck still has a chance, understanding the statistics and development of the team's game is the main key that you should know. by understanding that, surely victory becomes closer and profits can become bigger.

Yes, in that field of casino, blackjack and most of the games played on a betting platform can be won by luck through making guess. Sometimes it requires not only luck but careful analysis before playing, personally I may not be too good to guess, that's why I prefer sports betting so I can be able to use their previous stats to predict games.

bluebit25

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Quote from: EluguHcman on January 24, 2024, 07:15:54 AM

(...)Behold dear gamblers, someone in our midsts was able to make an exact 10 right guesses out of this challenge meanwhile others could even make count of a single right guess

This opted one of us to say to the champion that.... Oh wow, man, you are professional guesser. Maybe someone like you could be a professional gambling predictional.

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?

I see the problem as just a fun game of speculation, not gambling. There is no need to make excuses to label it as a form of gambling, there are many ways to entertain and in this story I find it really interesting about how to build a game. Maybe someone's personal perspective sees it as gambling games, because gambling simply exists in their minds and they will find similarities even though the similarities are not connected.

Simplify your colleagues' stories, and try asking them directly to see if they think the same as you. Like from a certain angle you will be seen as someone who is criticizing a colleague in another environment, and like the topic you are creating, I will answer "NOT ENOUGH"

klidex

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Quote from: moneystery on January 25, 2024, 04:58:16 AM

i don't think that a social or casual good guesser can pursue a career in prediction gambling because seeing how prediction gambling doesn't purely rely on just guessing, but it is related to how someone can predict the outcome based on the data and information they collect, so it's not just based on his guess alone it had a solid basis.

usually betting predictions are based on statistics and probability, so that if someone just guesses, they might lose their chance to win the game. but people who are good at predicting, they will be able to predict based on their observations and analysis, so that they state a prediction not just just guessing but more than that.

Yes, this is like what I said before guessing is only intended for fun and joking, while for gambling we can't just guess because we also need predictions that make us brave enough to make a decision to bet. For those who good at guessing and being right, they cannot use gambling as a job or make bets because if not it is based on strong analysis then the guess can be wrong, indeed gambling requires luck but we also need effort in carrying out the activity so that we don't just guess randomly.

It is true that if we bet on sports, we need accurate analytical predictions, such as seeing which players are appearing, whether key players are present in the match or just used as backup options. So we have to analyze first before placing a bet to bring us luck, even though the prediction is not necessarily correct. , but the most important thing is that we don't just guess and rely on luck coming our way because sports betting requires effort which is not easy.

temple

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Quote from: EluguHcman on January 24, 2024, 07:15:54 AM

Funny enough my dear gamblers, something artrageous just happened within i and colleagues at work where we engaged on a "guessing and challenging game" daring ourselves in such a critical and lucky guesses.
E.G, *Guess where I am from.
*How many kids do you think I have?
* How many hours/minutes do you think I drives from my house to work?
* What high institution do you think I attended?
* What is my 2nd childs shoe size?

These is a scenero of such game. Behold dear gamblers, someone in our midsts was able to make an exact 10 right guesses out of this challenge meanwhile others could even make count of a single right guess

This opted one of us to say to the champion that.... Oh wow, man, you are professional guesser. Maybe someone like you could be a professional gambling predictional.

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?

If the person has no clue who you are and has no further information, then we are simply talking about luck here. Nobody can become a professional lottery player because they once won the jackpot. Now there are a few things someone could take into account through social engineering. Maybe there are some indicators that can be derived from the words you choose, the topics you comment on, perhaps your nationality and the time you spend online. But if all of this is unknown to someone and they blindly gave some guesses, then there is nothing skillful about it if they just picked their answers randomly. One could always stick with the most typical statistics, like average number of kids an some other data, but I doubt it would be possible for someone to reasonably guess 10 correct answers.

oktana

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If he’s good at guesses then he can be good at gambling games in which you have to guess. People who are good with numbers too have the same advantage. But as long as his guessing isn’t just random but he puts things into consideration. For example, if he guessed the second child’s shoe size on the factor that the second child would be around let’s say 6Y.O then that’s a good guess and I’d say it qualifies. If he applied that kind of thinking to gambling, he’d definitely win than most gamblers.

Synchronice

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Quote from: EluguHcman on January 24, 2024, 07:15:54 AM

Funny enough my dear gamblers, something artrageous just happened within i and colleagues at work where we engaged on a "guessing and challenging game" daring ourselves in such a critical and lucky guesses.
E.G, *Guess where I am from.
*How many kids do you think I have?
* How many hours/minutes do you think I drives from my house to work?
* What high institution do you think I attended?
* What is my 2nd childs shoe size?

These is a scenero of such game. Behold dear gamblers, someone in our midsts was able to make an exact 10 right guesses out of this challenge meanwhile others could even make count of a single right guess

This opted one of us to say to the champion that.... Oh wow, man, you are professional guesser. Maybe someone like you could be a professional gambling predictional.

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?

How frequently, in a row, does that person guess things? I ask this because I am a little skeptical. What we ask your friend about Barcelona - Sevilla match today, then ask again in one week, then in three months, then in 5 months. What if we ask another games like Real Madrid - Girona today, then again in 2 weeks, 4 months and so on.
I personally don't believe that someone can be that lucky to pick correct games in sports very frequently. If you really have such a lucky friend that most of the time predicts correct outcome, then play lotto, roulette, sports bets, etc, just try, you might win a lot.

Rampagoe004

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Guesses like this are very random. This is not a gamble at all. I guessed something I didn't know from the start. What I know about betting is having rules and knowing what we are betting on. This is like guessing a football player who is not very famous. At least you get a hint like he is a player from Asia who plays in the Indonesian league. At least you have the opportunity to find and analyze the player. You just make bets that are completely undiscoverable because you are anonymous.

Westinhome

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Quote from: passwordnow on January 25, 2024, 07:32:08 PM

Guessing games to gambling games? I don't think that suits to become a gambling predictor when you're just alone as a good guesser. There are a lot or let's say that there's a huge difference between guessing and gambling. You can take a guess for the sports that you want to bet but you will not be good at it because there's no need for you to guess it where in fact that it's not a luck based game.

So, if someone is just casually good at guessing about things, relationships, or just some thoughts. That doesn't mean that he can be a good gambling predictor but who knows, maybe luck is with that person and you can try to do that and see where it is going to go. A person that just casually guess things and then became a gambling predicting expert, wow. That's such a nice jump of personality if you'd ask me.

But, let us just settle things that there are things on this world that if you're at something then you may not be good at anything.

The gambler who want to make a profit from the gambling site should guess the maximum accuracy.Because the gamblers who bet with the more accuracy able to win the particular betting,making the maximum accuracy in the game help the gamblers to make the big win in the game.The random better was considered to be the guessing in the gambling site,but gambling was totally different one.Because the guessing should be made based on the probability and technical knowledge about that particular game.The gamblers should understand the luck also playing huge role in the gambling business,So the gamblers also increase their luck possibility by good deeds.

passwordnow

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Guessing games to gambling games? I don't think that suits to become a gambling predictor when you're just alone as a good guesser. There are a lot or let's say that there's a huge difference between guessing and gambling. You can take a guess for the sports that you want to bet but you will not be good at it because there's no need for you to guess it where in fact that it's not a luck based game.

So, if someone is just casually good at guessing about things, relationships, or just some thoughts. That doesn't mean that he can be a good gambling predictor but who knows, maybe luck is with that person and you can try to do that and see where it is going to go. A person that just casually guess things and then became a gambling predicting expert, wow. That's such a nice jump of personality if you'd ask me.

But, let us just settle things that there are things on this world that if you're at something then you may not be good at anything.

South Park

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Quote from: EluguHcman on January 24, 2024, 07:15:54 AM

Funny enough my dear gamblers, something artrageous just happened within i and colleagues at work where we engaged on a "guessing and challenging game" daring ourselves in such a critical and lucky guesses.
E.G, *Guess where I am from.
*How many kids do you think I have?
* How many hours/minutes do you think I drives from my house to work?
* What high institution do you think I attended?
* What is my 2nd childs shoe size?

These is a scenero of such game. Behold dear gamblers, someone in our midsts was able to make an exact 10 right guesses out of this challenge meanwhile others could even make count of a single right guess

This opted one of us to say to the champion that.... Oh wow, man, you are professional guesser. Maybe someone like you could be a professional gambling predictional.

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?

Assuming that your friend has this ability and this was not simply a matter of luck then your friend should have a future as a detective, private investigator or personality profiler, as those are occupations which could make use of this ability to take even the more subtle hints and make guesses based on that little amount of information, unfortunately for your friend there are not many gambling games in which such an ability will be useful, with the only one that comes to mind in which this will have a use being live poker.

EluguHcman

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Everyone has been kicking against this super guesser not to dare to gamble with that morale aspirations that he is a wonderful guesser. Is there no necessity to ask this guesser to build and ready his emotions to be taken
under control by himself if he must engage in gambling? He could make a different, who know?🤔.
For goodness sake, as long gambling is a game of luck, this dude could also be a great gambler and make a difference giving it a try without the desperacies of chasing profits but of course deriving the same fun challenges with his colleagues.
The fact that his guessing practices does not imply stakes doesn't examine him that he is not fit in for this gambling journey.

coolcoinz

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First thing that comes to my mind after reading your story is that you must be bored at work and have a lot of free time. I'd never be able to play such guessing games at work.

What stops you from trying to do it for real? You can always try your luck and see how it goes when it comes to sports, but you can also try some street hustles. Try doing what some of those youtubers do when they offer people money if they can't guess something about their personal life and if they do they keep the money and get content for their channel. If you do good, you'll be popular.
What have you got to lose? At worst it will be your time and you'll get laughed at in public.

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Quote from: Fiatless on January 25, 2024, 11:00:09 AM

Quote from: EluguHcman on January 24, 2024, 07:15:54 AM

I am concerned to ask, can such a person build a gambling carrier with such an excellent guessing prohibition? Or he should trash it all and believe that gambling predictions remains a game of luck?

Gambling might include guessing when you don't have so much time to do your analysis and predict accurately. But depending solely on guessing as a gambler will bring you more losses. Gambling might depend on luck to a large extent but it also includes basic skills and experience. Your colleagues should not use his correct guesses as a yardstick that he would be successful in gambling, it was simply just his lucky day. I don't also subscribe to the assumption that gambling could be a career because it shouldn't be seen as a job that brings a steady income. Many gamblers are professionals in different areas of endeavour and use gambling as a form of entertainment.

Guessing is part of prediction most predictions are purely guesses. We don't need to see it as a big thing when people start telling us about there predictions about some games that had profits betting on them. The difference between predictions and guessing has not plenty different that is why sometimes we get deceived by influencers telling us that have already predicted the outcome of a particular match and how the ending would look like. It is a better time for us to start observing different matches and guessing what the outcome would be. There are people that had been making good profits from the betting through guessing so it should not be strange to us again.

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Quote from: topbitcoin on January 25, 2024, 02:44:01 PM

Placing bets just by guessing without a strong enough basis or without carrying out an in-depth analysis, is not a wise strategy if carried out in the long term. Although it is true that luck can play a role in the betting activities you do, and by relying solely on guessing without a clear basis, this can lead to uncontrollable losses. And it's possible that you will lose control when placing a bet.

So to prevent a loss, we try to bet as wisely as possible, because after all betting involves quite high financial risks. So at least we have to have fairly good risk management, as well as understanding odds, learn how odds work in various types of bets. Understanding the odds can help us make informed bets.

And to be able to increase the chances of winning, we must at least be able to combine luck with smart analysis and good strategy.

Some lucky bettors might be able to predict a game or two, but if they take gambling seriously, eventually they'll find out that analysis of available data and using it for their next bets will work more. I know a friend who casually bets on games that he likes, and he gets them most of the time. But due to the belief that he's good at predicting games albeit not knowing anything about the team or sport, he tried his hand in Korean baseball and lost a considerable portion of his profits because he just goes to the odds and do nothing else before locking his bet.

topbitcoin

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Placing bets just by guessing without a strong enough basis or without carrying out an in-depth analysis, is not a wise strategy if carried out in the long term. Although it is true that luck can play a role in the betting activities you do, and by relying solely on guessing without a clear basis, this can lead to uncontrollable losses. And it's possible that you will lose control when placing a bet.

So to prevent a loss, we try to bet as wisely as possible, because after all betting involves quite high financial risks. So at least we have to have fairly good risk management, as well as understanding odds, learn how odds work in various types of bets. Understanding the odds can help us make informed bets.

And to be able to increase the chances of winning, we must at least be able to combine luck with smart analysis and good strategy.

EluguHcman

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Quote from: Ruttoshi on January 24, 2024, 07:31:14 AM

Guessing and gambling are not the same. This is because, when guessing nothing is at stake and you are free to say whatever you like without any implications. Unlike gambling that money is involved, if you want to guess in gambling, you will not feel comfortable because you know that when you are wrong, you lose.

Alright, I understand you clearly and guess you mean to say a social and a friendly guessing game like that without a stake is tolerable and funs at either one fails or wins.
This is adequately a laughable game of emotional refreshment that doesn't offer rewards neither does it insights emotional breakdowns at any cost.
At this juncture, it is differentially not to be compared with gambling which is potentialed to overrule ones emotional controls due to the fact of considering the stakes involved.
Apparently only gamblers whom are fit in to control their gambling emotions can only tolerate with their failures encounters else, failure (lost) in gambling could ruin ones healthy being due to their inability to accept their losts while gambling so, it should be undoubtedly accepted that such a predictive super guesser shouldn't be paraded nor be inspired to be one of those gambling expert predictional.

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