CarlesPuyol, have you ever tried with kinda hybrid martingale going up and down 50-60-70% depending on the odd?$10 base bet just for example:
1st bet: $10 @ 2.00 - LOSS (-10)
2nd bet: $15 @ 2.00 - LOSS (or $16 @ 1.90 or $17 @ 1.80 or $14 @ 2.20 ...etc) (-15 - 10 = -25)
3rd bet: $22,5 @ 2.00 - WIN (22,5 - 25 = -2,5)
4th bet: $15 @ 2.00 - LOSS (-2,5 - 15 = -17,5)
5th bet: $22,5 @ 2.00 - WIN (22,5 - 17,5 = +5)
6th bet: $15 @ 2.00 - WIN (5 + 15 = +20)reset1st bet: $10 @ 2.00 - LOSS (-10)
2nd bet: $15 @ 2.00 - LOSS (-10 - 15 = -25)
3rd bet: $22,5 @ 2.00 - LOSS (-47,5)
4th bet: $33 @ 2.00 - LOSS (-80,5)
5th bet: $49,5 @ 2.00 - LOSS (-130)
6th bet: $75 @ 2.00 - WIN (-130 + 75 = -45)
7th bet: $49,5 @ 2.00 - LOSS (-45 - 49,5 = -94,5)
8th bet: $75 @ 2.00 - WIN (-94,5 + 75 = -19,5)
9th bet: $49,5 @ 2.00 - WIN (-19,5 + 49,5 = +30)from here you can go for 10th bet for $33 @ 2.00 or reset10th bet: $33 @ 2.00 - WIN (30 + 33 = +63)
11th bet: $22,5 @ 2.00 - LOSS (64 - 22,5 = +41,5)
12th bet: $33 @ 2.00 - WIN (41,5 + 33 = +74,5)from here you can go for 13th bet for $22,5 @ 2.00 or resetresetand so on, and so on...This is slower but its safer, right? Or am i completely wrong? Any way you arrange -ev bets is bad. Each bet in sports is independent of the other ones, so they have no impact on each other. Since the bets have no impact, the result of a previous bet should not impact how much you bet on the next one.
If you are good at sports betting, you will make more money by betting straight up, same if you are bad at betting.
As for your particular plan, putting the 2nd bet of 15 @2.00 odds negates the "point" of martingale, if you win that bet, you win 15, leaving you with a profit of 5. The "point" of martingale is that when you finally win a bet, you end up with the same profit as if you won the first bet.
Just bet more on games if you are more confident. The fact of the matter is that Carles lost a big bet on the Spurs because Novak Djokovic needed a tiebreak to win a set after blowing 3 match points. That makes absolutely no sense, but it's what happened.