Chrome Browser extension: MtGox trading bot - page 2.

rikigst

newbie

Activity: 46

Merit: 0

Just an advice for those who are operating the bot: if you want to reduce the time sample, while having the same (slow) ema/macd, just multiply all ema parameters by the factor you've divided the time sample with.
E.g.: macd 1h 12/26/9 is the same as macd 5m 144/312/108, same as macd 1m 720/1560/540
This should guarantee the same behaviour, plus you don't have to trade only @ multiples of the (old) timeframe. You'll have to mess around with options.html and MaxSamplesToKeep before, though.
Plus, i've updated the simulation thing, now its output looks better:

Code:

Output of: pluto A = new pluto(price,time,144,312,108,5); A.profit(0.56,-0.56,true)
2013-05-03T18:00:00.000+02:00 BOUGHT @ 92.59999 BTC =10.734342411916026 0.5654848609507588
2013-05-05T08:10:00.000+02:00 SOLD @ 112.91154 USD =1204.7589458210525 -0.573699710766984
2013-05-07T22:05:00.000+02:00 BOUGHT @ 110.03 BTC =10.883671654513552 0.5648415180770835
2013-05-14T22:25:00.000+02:00 SOLD @ 113.7 USD =1230.0486263154817 -0.5613634113015287
2013-05-15T15:15:00.000+02:00 BOUGHT @ 114.5 BTC =10.678326066005143 0.56118574111735
2013-05-27T20:20:00.000+02:00 SOLD @ 125.6 USD =1333.1505673669044 -0.5822878506110936
2013-06-09T19:25:00.000+02:00 BOUGHT @ 100.3537 BTC =13.20480727485369 0.5821903208364937
2013-06-13T23:05:00.000+02:00 SOLD @ 102.33522 USD =1343.2089563845743 -0.5688030244850157
2013-06-15T12:45:00.000+02:00 BOUGHT @ 103.0 BTC =12.962618472293853 0.5688525282485604
2013-06-21T13:55:00.000+02:00 SOLD @ 108.311 USD =1395.5702043365038 -0.5621901633269558

Download: https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13037778/pippo.zip
Download, edit pippomacd.java (uncomment one of the 2 commented sections to get a step-by-step simulation OR find the best threshold values)
eventually change parameters in pluto A = new pluto(price,time,12,26,9,60); (last one is timeframe)
complile

Code:

javac pippomacd.java

run

Code:

java pippomacd

Gimmoroy

legendary

Activity: 1372

Merit: 1000

Quote from: avtogen on June 19, 2013, 01:01:10 PM

I want to use that bot, but little bit confused - my transaction fee on Mt.Gox is standard 0,6%. What threshold should I use for not losing money? Default - 0,25?

This have nothing with Mt.Gox fee. Buy threshold and Sell threshold shows not a percentage of price, but only a relative strength of trend. Method, implemented in this bot, suppose that one can choose a trend value to make a decision to sell/buy and get the profit. It can work only when you don't pay any fee at all.

Also suppose this: price make a big rise. You see a huge trend. You pay all your money (as this bot do). Next day price jump upper and stabilize at high value. Congratulation: you loose all your money ! Grin

I call it "Zhopa".

Definitely, to avoid this shit, bot must have two more options:

1. Thresholds in percentage of price between consequent trade operations
2. Limit of money for single trade operation in percentage of amount

whydifficult

sr. member

Activity: 287

Merit: 250

the 0.25 threshold is for adjusting how flat a trend can be. This strategy doesn't take fees into account because it only tries to predict trends and it doesn't know how far a trend will go (and thus how much profit you'll get).

avtogen

newbie

Activity: 51

Merit: 0

I want to use that bot, but little bit confused - my transaction fee on Mt.Gox is standard 0,6%. What threshold should I use for not losing money? Default - 0,25?

iTrader

newbie

Activity: 56

Merit: 0

neat idea building a bot as a browser add-on! will have to test it out!

whydifficult

sr. member

Activity: 287

Merit: 250

Quote from: Gimmoroy on June 17, 2013, 12:35:44 AM

Is there any particular reason to limit sample fetch with 200 ?

The only reason for the sample fetch is to create initial EMAs, the older the sample the (exponentially) smaller the impact on the first EMA becomes. So if you increase the sample size you are just hammering Mt. Gox for a lot of trade data that impacts your EMAs only by a tiny amount.

This image shows the importance of older data versus newer data in EMA, the specific numbers depend on the weight factor (ie 10 and 21).

Gimmoroy

legendary

Activity: 1372

Merit: 1000

Is there any particular reason to limit sample fetch with 200 ?

EmBison

newbie

Activity: 9

Merit: 0

Still would love to see a setting to not trade until Gox's 0.6% commission has been cleared. As Goomboo's said, without volatility, day-trading profits on Gox are quickly lost cross-over trade commissions.

sukiho

hero member

Activity: 514

Merit: 500

Was working fine but when I changed from 15 mins to 30 and then back to 15 its calculating the moving averages wrongly. I removed and reloaded but still doing it.

edit: just now I changed to 30 and back to 15 and its now working properly, altho I had done that several times before with no effect. I also tried an older version of the bot and it was showing the same wrong moving averages and still is, so its all a mystery to me. maybe it was using some of the 30 min data to calculate the 15 moving averages?

2nd edit: restarted my computer and it was doing it again, changed to different sample intervals and it eventually fixed itself. something to watch for I guess, always turn off trading if you are making changes and check that it is calculating the moving averages correctly before starting trading again

3rd edit: problem back again and wont go. Im using long moving averages, like over 80, maybe the data collected doesnt go back far enough to make a long moving average accurate?

Lucko

hero member

Activity: 826

Merit: 1000

Quote from: rikigst on June 09, 2013, 05:21:55 AM

Quote from: Lucko on June 08, 2013, 05:23:58 PM

Do you fill like sharing?

I would relay love to have some simulation tool so I can setup bot more easily...

https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13037778/share.7z
Download, edit pippomacd.java (uncomment one of the 2 commented sections to get a step-by-step simulation OR find the best threshold values)
eventually change parameters in pluto A = new pluto(price,time,12,26,9,60); (last one is timeframe)
complile

Code:

javac pippomacd.java

run

Code:

java pippomacd

I was away so this is the first time I see this... Thanks for that.

rikigst

newbie

Activity: 46

Merit: 0

Since macd version of the bot sold too early this week, is it possible to have buy and sell thresholds proportional to the macd value? E.g. sell threshold should decrease (increase in absolute value) when macd is positive, and viceversa. Same way, buy threshold should allow easier buys when macd is positive and should not allow to buy w/ macd is negative

rikigst

newbie

Activity: 46

Merit: 0

Quote from: Lucko on June 08, 2013, 05:23:58 PM

Do you fill like sharing?

I would relay love to have some simulation tool so I can setup bot more easily...

https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/13037778/share.7z
Download, edit pippomacd.java (uncomment one of the 2 commented sections to get a step-by-step simulation OR find the best threshold values)
eventually change parameters in pluto A = new pluto(price,time,12,26,9,60); (last one is timeframe)
complile

Code:

javac pippomacd.java

run

Code:

java pippomacd

sukiho

hero member

Activity: 514

Merit: 500

Quote from: conspirosphere.tk on June 08, 2013, 02:35:37 PM

Quote from: sukiho on June 08, 2013, 01:21:47 PM

the market cannot be predicted, all you can do is follow

How about making some educated guesses?

I think the only educated guess you can make is that the current trend will continue until it doesnt, which is what this trading method is based on

Lucko

hero member

Activity: 826

Merit: 1000

Do you fill like sharing?

I would relay love to have some simulation tool so I can setup bot more easily...

rikigst

newbie

Activity: 46

Merit: 0

Quote from: Lucko on June 08, 2013, 04:24:44 PM

How are you doing this?

I wrote a small script, getting data from bitcoincharts.com

Lucko

hero member

Activity: 826

Merit: 1000

conspirosphere.tk

legendary

Activity: 2352

Merit: 1064

Bitcoin is antisemitic

Quote from: sukiho on June 08, 2013, 01:21:47 PM

the market cannot be predicted, all you can do is follow

How about making some educated guesses?

sukiho

hero member

Activity: 514

Merit: 500

you can set some good settings with crazy ivan, but if the trend doesnt change you are doomed

the market cannot be predicted, all you can do is follow

rikigst

newbie

Activity: 46

Merit: 0

MACD simulation w/ (buy threshold = 0.48, sell threshold = -0.1) timeframe = 60m

Code:

Time								usd						btc					       diff
2013-05-03T00:00:00						1000.0						0.0						0.0
2013-05-03T00:00:00						1000.0						0.0						0.0
2013-05-03T01:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.07894804296003655
2013-05-03T02:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.1919168100900856
2013-05-03T03:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.45449287871551486
2013-05-03T04:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.9144313378542058
2013-05-03T05:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.0871810377153248
2013-05-03T06:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.1284601500215456
2013-05-03T07:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.17063344253074
2013-05-03T08:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.2625232658389423
2013-05-03T09:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.6251546590215333
2013-05-03T10:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.5000100059268082
2013-05-03T11:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.7448607774316072
2013-05-03T12:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.9976637716832348
2013-05-03T13:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-2.0305163551036283
2013-05-03T14:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-1.3116823367708959
2013-05-03T15:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.5201589752570923
2013-05-03T16:00:00						1000.0						0.0						-0.103810458220033
2013-05-03T17:00:00						1000.0						0.0						0.2723329097138169
2013-05-03T18:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.5084281010917773
2013-05-03T19:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.5640251803027593
2013-05-03T20:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.5717219239919622
2013-05-03T21:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.8280745278599106
2013-05-03T22:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.8410224122371647
2013-05-03T23:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.0324788543768326
2013-05-04T00:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.3864464157979828
2013-05-04T01:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.1797473714131412
2013-05-04T02:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.195077217301813
2013-05-04T03:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.1613427515546366
2013-05-04T04:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.1022450060748425
2013-05-04T05:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.0674670248984264
2013-05-04T06:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.0372761658958447
2013-05-04T07:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.2712619040602013
2013-05-04T08:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.4634905779016631
2013-05-04T09:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.5021122487083005
2013-05-04T10:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.3263884710333824
2013-05-04T11:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.1303780803948853
2013-05-04T12:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.05816253301648
2013-05-04T13:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.0534099474392844
2013-05-04T14:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.1565937844990708
2013-05-04T15:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.2568842430333136
2013-05-04T16:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.3944012739777392
2013-05-04T17:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.5733944121358763
2013-05-04T18:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.467229849107583
2013-05-04T19:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						1.2863544128953077
2013-05-04T20:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.9757923648710612
2013-05-04T21:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.9155676874536646
2013-05-04T22:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.7515118303639071
2013-05-04T23:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.6018955420125366
2013-05-05T00:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.372703690055516
2013-05-05T01:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.21332490745862728
2013-05-05T02:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.20058612101290738
2013-05-05T03:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.3254629217011728
2013-05-05T04:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.353975066218075
2013-05-05T05:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.28539037396046835
2013-05-05T06:00:00						0.0						10.734342411916026						0.10618139577376937
2013-05-05T07:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.1909209037641927
2013-05-05T08:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.7448756704194127
2013-05-05T09:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.8764454664762484
2013-05-05T10:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.183113094409137
2013-05-05T11:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.1731128015480183
2013-05-05T12:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.120039570219467
2013-05-05T13:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.056295545568559
2013-05-05T14:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.9112709207706025
2013-05-05T15:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.5828208957530402
2013-05-05T16:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.35808159502500625
2013-05-05T17:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.2117869321415648
2013-05-05T18:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.06449092932531131
2013-05-05T19:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.09377173794993231
2013-05-05T20:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.06689007178064299
2013-05-05T21:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.07946292199234231
2013-05-05T22:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.06647668234336418
2013-05-05T23:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.017210157772281475
2013-05-06T00:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.07901522141356733
2013-05-06T01:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.044814796530148845
2013-05-06T02:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.0705375289415054
2013-05-06T03:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.06511312169337105
2013-05-06T04:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.10705855532496854
2013-05-06T05:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.12278257777177093
2013-05-06T06:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.1542720696764118
2013-05-06T07:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.3138170147136552
2013-05-06T08:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.3250108152612298
2013-05-06T09:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.3514134437157868
2013-05-06T10:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.3361598140253749
2013-05-06T11:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.28123797667134764
2013-05-06T12:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.1952832114321474
2013-05-06T13:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.18392573250879976
2013-05-06T14:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.024582910534220206
2013-05-06T15:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.2958521805251383
2013-05-06T16:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.44705244897562285
2013-05-06T17:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.45704714058855234
2013-05-06T18:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.4827664477220361
2013-05-06T19:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.4840786074014151
2013-05-06T20:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.7374955111214334
2013-05-06T21:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.9571895244356451
2013-05-06T22:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.1786161012657548
2013-05-06T23:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.3253016889300142
2013-05-07T00:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.3184022607958554
2013-05-07T01:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.2730849284500945
2013-05-07T02:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.251050040017617
2013-05-07T03:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.3619859679018462
2013-05-07T04:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.3620077047735384
2013-05-07T05:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-1.238931163245598
2013-05-07T06:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.8604758792784866
2013-05-07T07:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.5826836950249272
2013-05-07T08:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.5016017546166871
2013-05-07T09:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.287571022794926
2013-05-07T10:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.0886190920620746
2013-05-07T11:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.08270438355750005
2013-05-07T12:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.05552917669177439
2013-05-07T13:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.24482691244910637
2013-05-07T14:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.3587901427438638
2013-05-07T15:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.5101548940322008
2013-05-07T16:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.30909893218571194
2013-05-07T17:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						-0.04684043625719868
2013-05-07T18:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.05630148559666698
2013-05-07T19:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.12211493491174376
2013-05-07T20:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.2010251476937494
2013-05-07T21:00:00						1211.0377765699543						0.0						0.38735550068634916
2013-05-07T22:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.5419851267462187
2013-05-07T23:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.6862815387706858
2013-05-08T00:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.7332791486898914
2013-05-08T01:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.7564362801024785
2013-05-08T02:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.9458168910842178
2013-05-08T03:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						1.0814614416225712
2013-05-08T04:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						1.0651042842508094
2013-05-08T05:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.9185331918354263
2013-05-08T06:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.6686526370066885
2013-05-08T07:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.5372119129837355
2013-05-08T08:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.6193248533773233
2013-05-08T09:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.5498714218739641
2013-05-08T10:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.3814583829333379
2013-05-08T11:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.27047056670139946
2013-05-08T12:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.21783444776391475
2013-05-08T13:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.11277958265878182
2013-05-08T14:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.060853001198525714
2013-05-08T15:00:00						0.0						10.993347487767439						0.077010089873088
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2013-05-25T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.41318435755520616
2013-05-25T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.40052448251285666
2013-05-25T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.36662384347042587
2013-05-25T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.36489240075354296
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2013-05-25T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.25389612819430835
2013-05-25T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.14149886546500234
2013-05-25T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.105664222597995
2013-05-25T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.17444119206808684
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2013-05-26T03:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.052769534725107634
2013-05-26T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.06811925722343037
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2013-05-26T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.02172400818176924
2013-05-26T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.020457884987895116
2013-05-26T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0365565303449105
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2013-05-26T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.17219620451568435
2013-05-26T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.16108881819042242
2013-05-26T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.22897394587750164
2013-05-26T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.28919569157577807
2013-05-26T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.22636803730749452
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2013-05-27T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.09752587321420204
2013-05-27T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.12400572349014556
2013-05-27T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.10943666552965994
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2013-05-27T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.13127062674371304
2013-05-27T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.10826513981417395
2013-05-27T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.07027143685493165
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2013-05-27T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.20677022422383912
2013-05-27T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.17829556903791577
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2013-05-27T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.42985971288599734
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2013-05-27T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.5638273647255952
2013-05-27T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.44721408950972286
2013-05-28T00:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.33172287790136973
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2013-05-28T02:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.2321620421267497
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2013-05-28T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.19899989145714939
2013-05-28T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.2060855017033298
2013-05-28T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.19122732499143105
2013-05-28T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.11397559291353265
2013-05-28T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.043760663890391946
2013-05-28T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.09555346038113213
2013-05-28T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.13067588189659923
2013-05-28T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.14900670466239116
2013-05-28T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.18614384226671551
2013-05-28T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.21501392529673147
2013-05-28T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.15437633400960993
2013-05-28T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.037693002726450944
2013-05-28T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.07390592599890088
2013-05-28T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.09540348477637366
2013-05-28T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.1272250301995312
2013-05-28T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.1949913395955354
2013-05-28T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.20753182109693213
2013-05-28T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.21082276868868718
2013-05-28T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.21608544284893227
2013-05-28T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.21723264622162258
2013-05-29T00:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.21124787734742723
2013-05-29T01:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.2284922834720162
2013-05-29T02:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.20432674513561422
2013-05-29T03:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.19424088739405354
2013-05-29T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.16451261213712715
2013-05-29T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.10265486703154256
2013-05-29T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.06563820967084635
2013-05-29T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0687568094999201
2013-05-29T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.09077372840901252
2013-05-29T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.10150483389127878
2013-05-29T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.09300326454014848
2013-05-29T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.08356672383364502
2013-05-29T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0911342825199221
2013-05-29T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0965917299914471
2013-05-29T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.07117788828590746
2013-05-29T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.08657017226565836
2013-05-29T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.07856018108448938
2013-05-29T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.08241113651960272
2013-05-29T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.07103073389601199
2013-05-29T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.16836597265831282
2013-05-29T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.22066950664725044
2013-05-29T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.25187196495852593
2013-05-29T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.2534422280054621
2013-05-29T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.2588391769542885
2013-05-30T00:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.22516072903170653
2013-05-30T01:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.181012128121327
2013-05-30T02:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.12220930506796893
2013-05-30T03:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.03559342375853309
2013-05-30T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.022554414942958245
2013-05-30T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.12995731965744048
2013-05-30T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.14555044957655336
2013-05-30T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.13372788629454502
2013-05-30T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.10069320320822767
2013-05-30T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.06736419687128559
2013-05-30T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.0946796595907149
2013-05-30T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04846516815289569
2013-05-30T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04656714718991142
2013-05-30T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.07365327039899516
2013-05-30T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.08014084316939325
2013-05-30T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.05510152322017284
2013-05-30T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.06014885686935977
2013-05-30T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04574476321645321
2013-05-30T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.03247401913280244
2013-05-30T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.07222632307887825
2013-05-30T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.21823372739229385
2013-05-30T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.29911242417359607
2013-05-30T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.2711193214250707
2013-05-30T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.29341653700798015
2013-05-31T00:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.27598118755988826
2013-05-31T01:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.2722045815103462
2013-05-31T02:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.17524669879306892
2013-05-31T03:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.10061962724694008
2013-05-31T04:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04064043356385667
2013-05-31T05:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.006100327888589613
2013-05-31T06:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.011998915690941928
2013-05-31T07:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04553028173987432
2013-05-31T08:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.032303877348469255
2013-05-31T09:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.023500888047665248
2013-05-31T10:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.033781557757369796
2013-05-31T11:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.010389756084071325
2013-05-31T12:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.043286598105633685
2013-05-31T13:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.0724735031912387
2013-05-31T14:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.08956054490781981
2013-05-31T15:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.10784362025113858
2013-05-31T16:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.08323264817814556
2013-05-31T17:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.05148998505602407
2013-05-31T18:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.048037502972040534
2013-05-31T19:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.006909029133105183
2013-05-31T20:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.015490808648944249
2013-05-31T21:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						-0.04656885985966012
2013-05-31T22:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.029337764486532976
2013-05-31T23:00:00						1309.5871097448623						0.0						0.035263547826452565

... and it doesn't buy on june 1st-8th either

Gimmoroy

legendary

Activity: 1372

Merit: 1000

Quote from: rikigst on June 07, 2013, 11:55:08 AM

I've simulated the bot's behaviour, backtesting MACD strategy, in order to find the best threshold values for maximizing the profit.
Test goes from May 3rd to June 6th.
Seems like positive results are impossible with sampling times inferior to 1 hour. Additionally, best threshold values in this case are threshold-buy=0.6%, threshold-sell=-0.4% so ca. 10 times the recommended value of 0.05 .
This bot is not suitable for fast trading!

Have a doubt...

Idea of method is to trade on the end of corresponding trend. Price at the end of trend is more/less close to extreme. So, the threshold should have value, sufficient to be sure the trend is ended. Absolutely newer about .5-.6%.

Your values suitable for reverse method, where bot try to catch extreme price on trend peak. It's absolutely bad idea.

Indicator is indicator, nothing more. It can be just an adviser for trader. Bot logic should be more complicated then to follow the empiric magic. Suitable conditions not equal the fact. With any threshold value.

Topic: Chrome Browser extension: MtGox trading bot - page 2. (Read 72509 times)