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Topic: ckpool.org CLOSED - page 144. (Read 162858 times)

jr. member
Activity: 63
Merit: 1
http://ckpool.org
October 17, 2017, 01:13:56 PM
Welcome to the revolution!

-Fred
newbie
Activity: 29
Merit: 0
October 17, 2017, 12:45:03 PM
Just wanted to pop in and say I built my first little attempt at a rig last night (3 Gekko 2-pacs and a 12 year old laptop) and I will contribute my de minimis hash here.  I've read every post in this thread and I like the philosophy behind this pool.  I'm not  helping much, I know, but I'm not going anywhere else.
full member
Activity: 228
Merit: 100
Mine ON!!!
October 15, 2017, 11:17:00 PM
im in with 30TH
lets get this block
-ck
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1631
Ruu \o/
October 12, 2017, 07:03:01 PM
... This isn't straight forward but you asked so I'll try to simplify it as much as possible.

13 TH is about 180,000 diff 1 shares per minute which is about 260 million shares per day. The current N shares is 2.2 trillion shares. If you look at the current pool work, the top miner is actually about 3,000 times bigger than the 100th miner so you need only 1/3000th of the 2.2 trillion shares. That's about 750 million. So with 1 S9 you should get into the payouts in about 3 days - but then the payout will keep rising too. This would be very different if every miner was the same size. I did this over morning coffee so I may be out but that sounds about right.

This is EXACTLY the kind of answer I was looking for, thank you very very much!
I just came online with an s9 a few days ago and it did not even take 48 hours to get into the payout pool at roughly that hash rate.
Javede
Payout pool yes, but he was asking about top 100 specifically.
newbie
Activity: 2
Merit: 0
October 12, 2017, 07:00:47 PM
... This isn't straight forward but you asked so I'll try to simplify it as much as possible.

13 TH is about 180,000 diff 1 shares per minute which is about 260 million shares per day. The current N shares is 2.2 trillion shares. If you look at the current pool work, the top miner is actually about 3,000 times bigger than the 100th miner so you need only 1/3000th of the 2.2 trillion shares. That's about 750 million. So with 1 S9 you should get into the payouts in about 3 days - but then the payout will keep rising too. This would be very different if every miner was the same size. I did this over morning coffee so I may be out but that sounds about right.

This is EXACTLY the kind of answer I was looking for, thank you very very much!
I just came online with an s9 a few days ago and it did not even take 48 hours to get into the payout pool at roughly that hash rate.
Javede
newbie
Activity: 4
Merit: 0
October 12, 2017, 04:42:41 PM
... This isn't straight forward but you asked so I'll try to simplify it as much as possible.

13 TH is about 180,000 diff 1 shares per minute which is about 260 million shares per day. The current N shares is 2.2 trillion shares. If you look at the current pool work, the top miner is actually about 3,000 times bigger than the 100th miner so you need only 1/3000th of the 2.2 trillion shares. That's about 750 million. So with 1 S9 you should get into the payouts in about 3 days - but then the payout will keep rising too. This would be very different if every miner was the same size. I did this over morning coffee so I may be out but that sounds about right.

This is EXACTLY the kind of answer I was looking for, thank you very very much!
-ck
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1631
Ruu \o/
October 12, 2017, 04:26:25 PM
...
Anyone in the top 100 hashers will always get into the payout queue once they've mined enough shares (and enough keeps changing.)

If you look at http://ckpool.org/pool/ you'll see the current "lns" - Last N Shares is 2241427919578 and the HERP is about the same so it's your proportion of this amount specifically.

To help me visualize this better: could you answer my original question ( how long should one mine at 13TH to get into the top 100 ) assuming (impossibly) that both difficulty and the amount of pool participants stays the same from here on out
As I said it's constantly changing at the moment with the pool N shares still rising so it will change continuously till we reach steady state even if everything else stays the same. This isn't straight forward but you asked so I'll try to simplify it as much as possible.

13 TH is about 180,000 diff 1 shares per minute which is about 260 million shares per day. The current N shares is 2.2 trillion shares. If you look at the current pool work, the top miner is actually about 3,000 times bigger than the 100th miner so you need only 1/3000th of the 2.2 trillion shares. That's about 750 million. So with 1 S9 you should get into the top 100 payouts in about 3 days - but then the payout will keep rising too. This would be very different if every miner was the same size. I did this over morning coffee so I may be out but that sounds about right.
newbie
Activity: 4
Merit: 0
October 12, 2017, 04:25:45 PM
... how long should one mine at 13TH to get into the top 100...
... on a serious note....
You asking about some deep math, given that we're 67% of expected shares into the current block out of a total expected 4 or 5 blocks. That kind of math is going to be difficult to find someone willing to do it for you (since your calc has the same + - * and / as ours)

I am not asking for a guarantee, nor for some deep math. I am a "facilitator" for someone not too computer savvy who wants to invest in this thing, and is specifically interested in this pool because of the direct-coinbase transaction ( no wallet bullshit, no coloured coins ).

They tasked me to research whether the *outcome* of the math of this pool is legit ( neither of us doubts that the math itself is legit, we've worked with -ck before and trust him ). I've looked through the 27 pages of comments on this thread, and haven't found even a back-of-the-napkin example calculation of what is a rather legitimate question to ask before investig several grand in equipment.

So while I appreciate the sarcasm, I still think that the question has merit, and could use with an *approximate* answer, in case things are really as complicated as they seem.

Thanks in advance!
jr. member
Activity: 63
Merit: 1
http://ckpool.org
October 12, 2017, 04:09:14 PM
It makes my brain hurt even thinking about the formula to answer the question as asked  Tongue

A truer statement has never been said...

LOL

-Fred
hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 552
Retired IRCX God
October 12, 2017, 04:08:52 PM
... how long should one mine at 13TH to get into the top 100...
About this long:

|...|


Edit: on a serious note....
You asking about some deep math, given that we're 67% of expected shares into the current block out of a total expected 4 or 5 blocks. That kind of math is going to be difficult to find someone willing to do it for you (since your calc has the same + - * and / as ours)
newbie
Activity: 4
Merit: 0
October 12, 2017, 04:01:14 PM
...
Anyone in the top 100 hashers will always get into the payout queue once they've mined enough shares (and enough keeps changing.)

If you look at http://ckpool.org/pool/ you'll see the current "lns" - Last N Shares is 2241427919578 and the HERP is about the same so it's your proportion of this amount specifically.

To help me visualize this better: could you answer my original question ( how long should one mine at 13TH to get into the top 100 ) assuming (impossibly) that both difficulty and the amount of pool participants stays the same from here on out
hero member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 552
Retired IRCX God
October 12, 2017, 03:58:32 PM
It makes my brain hurt even thinking about the formula to answer the question as asked  Tongue
-ck
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1631
Ruu \o/
October 12, 2017, 03:55:09 PM
Right on. So meaning is it luck that push me from postpone to payouts  or all of the contributed hashrate previously will accumulate until I am push to payouts?
Mostly hashrate and a small contribution by luck.

Ok, so I seem to be missing something. I have read the explanation on the first page of this thread, and have a rough idea how the calculation works. However I can't seem to answer the following question:

What is the actual formula to approximate when does one get into the 150-member coinbase list, considering the current state of the queue? Let's say I get my hands on an 13TH S9 today, and start mining. At current difficulty/reward I am "gaining" about 0.02 BTC / week. How long should my miner remain plugged to guarantee an actual payout whenever the next block is found?

The reason I ask this is because even the lowest entry in the pool ( at the time of writing it is "18XcjTLs1rkwhgYjncUaKmoYwKpXuvGV17": 0.00014845 ) has a luck of 1.0 ( http://ckpool.org/users/18XcjTLs1rkwhgYjncUaKmoYwKpXuvGV17 ). And that's a payout 135 times(!) smaller than what a weekly "statistical-payout" would be for a 13TH miner.

Thanks in advance for your time explaining this
It's spread out over the last 5 x diff shares (or herp specifically which is approximately equal to the shares over a long time.) The bigger the pool is the faster that time will clock up but for the moment that is a very long time. However unlike traditional PPLNS it ramps up more quickly since it's score based. Additionally this pool has never yet mined 5 x diff shares so it's still rising so it will ramp up faster again meaning it hasn't currently met equilibrium and the true answer is constantly changing at the moment. On the other hand, guaranteeing a payout you just need to be above the threshold which is really quite easy. Anyone in the top 100 hashers will always get into the payout queue once they've mined enough shares (and enough keeps changing.)

If you look at http://ckpool.org/pool/ you'll see the current "lns" - Last N Shares is 2241427919578 and the HERP is about the same so it's your proportion of this amount specifically.
newbie
Activity: 4
Merit: 0
October 12, 2017, 03:46:01 PM
Right on. So meaning is it luck that push me from postpone to payouts  or all of the contributed hashrate previously will accumulate until I am push to payouts?
Mostly hashrate and a small contribution by luck.

Ok, so I seem to be missing something. I have read the explanation on the first page of this thread, and have a rough idea how the calculation works. However I can't seem to answer the following question:

What is the actual formula to approximate when does one get into the 150-member coinbase list, considering the current state of the queue? Let's say I get my hands on an 13TH S9 today, and start mining. At current difficulty/reward I am "gaining" about 0.02 BTC / week. How long should my miner remain plugged to guarantee an actual payout whenever the next block is found?

The reason I ask this is because even the lowest entry in the pool ( at the time of writing it is "18XcjTLs1rkwhgYjncUaKmoYwKpXuvGV17": 0.00014845 ) has a luck of 1.0 ( http://ckpool.org/users/18XcjTLs1rkwhgYjncUaKmoYwKpXuvGV17 ). And that's a payout 135 times(!) smaller than what a weekly "statistical-payout" would be for a 13TH miner.

Thanks in advance for your time explaining this
jr. member
Activity: 63
Merit: 1
http://ckpool.org
October 12, 2017, 03:21:47 PM
How long, if ever, until old/disconnected workers drop off our individual status pages?

-Fred
-ck
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1631
Ruu \o/
October 11, 2017, 06:05:19 PM
What is the number that follows the addresses that are in the postponed section of the pool work?  is that an accumulation of user/address HERP?
Yes it's HERP.
newbie
Activity: 12
Merit: 0
October 11, 2017, 04:23:26 PM
What is the number that follows the addresses that are in the postponed section of the pool work?  is that an accumulation of user/address HERP?
legendary
Activity: 2483
Merit: 1482
-> morgen, ist heute, schon gestern <-
October 07, 2017, 05:29:59 PM
Right on. So meaning is it luck that push me from postpone to payouts  or all of the contributed hashrate previously will accumulate until I am push to payouts?
Mostly hashrate and a small contribution by luck.

Thank you ck for the confirmation.

Another quetion is, do small mining machine have a chance to get lucky?

Of course they have a chance, otherwise no one would try it.
The chance might be statisticly low, but luck is unperdictible anyway.
The smalest miner ever found a block on solo was a single S3 I think.


 
-ck
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1631
Ruu \o/
October 06, 2017, 09:39:05 PM
Right on. So meaning is it luck that push me from postpone to payouts  or all of the contributed hashrate previously will accumulate until I am push to payouts?
Mostly hashrate and a small contribution by luck.
-ck
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1631
Ruu \o/
October 06, 2017, 06:15:33 PM
I jumped from BTC.com pool to here just to try. I see that my configuration is corrrect as I am seeing that my hashing rate is consistent to what my miner is capable.

But how do you know how much bitcoin are you getting? I mean, yes there is a mark where it will payout, but is there any other way to see whether you are near to payout or not.

Thank you.
If you click on the pool work link http://ckpool.org/pool/pool.work you will see who's scheduled to receive a reward on the next block find under "payouts". If you're in the "postponed" list that means you haven't contributed enough hashrate yet to receive a payout and will be postponed. As you contribute hashrate you can move up into the payout list if a block hasn't yet been found if your hashrate is significant enough. That work page is created dynamically every minute and changes continuously and is an estimate of payout should a block be found this instant.
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