Sent TF an e-mail with no reply still...
My offer was essentially - If you owe CL users X BTC, and you only have Y available - You should give everyone (Their balance)*(Y/X) BTC. It's really as simple as that. If the issue is that there are a lot of funds loaned out, then give people two options ... the first would be exactly what I said above... and the second would be to wait for a few months for the loaned funds to be returned. Then after the few months, he'll have Z funds now and whoever chose the second option will get (Their balance)*(Z/X) ... with 'X' being updated based on the number of people who were paid out with the first option.
I was giving him the benefit of the doubt, but at this point it is very clear that this was a scam.
Many people on the forums have requested numbers - He has provided none except that Inputs IO '4100BTC' number. I've requested very specific statistics in e-mail inquiries to no avail as well. The only reply I got from e-mail was a few weeks ago saying that I'd get a mass e-mail for all CL users. That never happened.
If someone is in the position of being hacked - I think that they would want to be as transparent as possible to their user base. It's clear that TF does not have that same philosophy though, seeing as he took a significant amount of time to even
report the hack to his users - allowing for more people to create Inputs IO accounts and deposit money into an already-compromised system.
Additionally, TF is being very hush hush - giving some people 100% refunds, while giving other people refunds in the 10-20% ranges based off of the current BTC/USD ratios. And by 'current' BTC/USD ratios - I mean that he's using the highest BTC/USD ratio from the past few weeks to make sure that he's giving away as few BTC as possible.
It's a simple application of Occam's Razor - "
Among competing hypotheses, the hypothesis with the fewest assumptions should be selected.". It seems to me that it requires a lot fewer assumptions to arrive at the hypothesis that TF is being deceptive... at least compared to the number of assumptions that you'd have to make to explain his behaviors when dealing with a so-called legitimate 'hack'.
Anyways, that's my 2 cents. I'd like to be proven wrong - but I don't see it happening. It's rather disheartening to see that my first attempt at 'investing' BTC resulted in a pretty hefty 100% loss of funds. I guess the only real way to 'invest' in BTC at this point would be to put some in a paper wallet and forget about it for a few years.