While true this can have devastating effects on the economy, as you say most services that have to deal with purchases online are going through a boom and while this is good for them many brick and mortar business are suffering and it is precisely on those businesses where most of the jobs are generated, this means that if this does not change we are bound to see mass unemployment during the next years and this could create social instability which is never good for a country.
It has been almost two weeks since the economy in my country reopened even though the number of sufferers is still high at around 1,300 people per day. Offices have also begun to reopen, July is a new school year. According to my wife, many parents of students who find it difficult to pay the re-registration fee, many are victims of layoffs even the most affected are the middle and upper-middle class. Salary deductions make them have to adjust budged expenses, especially if the largest amount has to be posted to pay installments on a house or vehicle.
One of the medium banks in my country has reportedly experienced liquidity problems because customers are required to inform two days before withdrawing funds above USD 750. If in 34 months the pandemic can shake up small banks, there are fears that the pandemic and lockdown will continue a long time it will spread to other banks and are systemic.
What is clear is that businesses that weaken and die are small and medium businesses that are conventional in nature and do not use technology as a buffer for their business. The small and medium business sector integrated with technology has increased its profits. I had time to think about whether people really experience economic problems if they can still buy tertiary needs. Or many people who only rely on savings or they are really experiencing stress with lockdown so looking for diversion by shopping.
The same is happening in my country and I do not see why it would be different anywhere else, most businesses simply cannot stand being closed down for months, and even if the economy is opened slowly now their costs have gone up while their profits have gone down as people have lost their jobs and they are taking better care of their money even if they still have them just in case they are the next ones to lose their jobs.
If there is a second wave of the pandemic and governments are forced to close the economy once again it is possible the number of unemployed people and bankrupted business could go up exponentially and this could begin to affect banks and put the whole economy system at risk.