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Topic: Critical Levels - EW analysis - page 43. (Read 355110 times)

full member
Activity: 145
Merit: 100
April 30, 2015, 04:14:14 AM
Until 1480 the count is not invalidated, am i right?
legendary
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
April 30, 2015, 03:21:36 AM

Looks like we reached your target now on OKCoin.


It was a triangle thrust. good triangle form and characteristically sharp. we could see a little higher from here but the fact that we have just penetrated the upper trendline doesnt bother me, the complete count is very strong. Upside is very limited here.

Do you anticipate 240-245?

No not that high. 240 would be a push.

Im going to make a prediction now that will will smash through 240 very easy, the market is just sat below charging up for another run.  Lets see if im wrong in a few days Smiley

This could be the day, hang onto your hats folks $230 breaking is a good sign no?
sr. member
Activity: 404
Merit: 500
April 30, 2015, 03:12:33 AM
yeah this is invalidated
newbie
Activity: 29
Merit: 0
April 30, 2015, 03:05:36 AM
... Invalidation at 1440.

Invalidated?
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
April 29, 2015, 06:55:12 PM
If we have another weeks rest, the count will have changed, it could be bullish. wave iii waits for no man.
You mean it could become bullish short term or long term? To be clear, a temporary upward correction or a trend reversal?

probably only short/medium term
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1035
April 29, 2015, 02:29:26 PM
If we have another weeks rest, the count will have changed, it could be bullish. wave iii waits for no man.

This is what I was thinking.

If we get consolidation, that would be bullish, I'm selling for now though
legendary
Activity: 861
Merit: 1010
April 29, 2015, 01:45:17 PM
If we have another weeks rest, the count will have changed, it could be bullish. wave iii waits for no man.
You mean it could become bullish short term or long term? To be clear, a temporary upward correction or a trend reversal?
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
April 29, 2015, 01:41:51 PM
If we have another weeks rest, the count will have changed, it could be bullish. wave iii waits for no man.
Ok. I was thinking one week at the absolute max, but yes even only a few days should do it.
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
April 29, 2015, 01:38:54 PM

Personally I think it needs one more week of consolidation ($210-$230) before the next big move, when we will be forced to exit the big triangle.

I think so too.  A dull sideways trend.



On another note, your profile pic -- i was just watching 'Indie Games' the other day. Featured your character.

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1942884/
Yes! That's the character from "Braid", featured in the movie. If you haven't played that game give it a try (on Steam you should find it), it's genius stuff Wink



legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
April 29, 2015, 07:45:08 AM
If we have another weeks rest, the count will have changed, it could be bullish. wave iii waits for no man.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
April 29, 2015, 06:15:33 AM

Personally I think it needs one more week of consolidation ($210-$230) before the next big move, when we will be forced to exit the big triangle.

I think so too.  A dull sideways trend.



On another note, your profile pic -- i was just watching 'Indie Games' the other day. Featured your character.

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1942884/
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
April 29, 2015, 04:45:30 AM
Holding tight isnt easy when primary waves tend to retrace 50-62%, so even though the last dump was rather deeply retraced (btce is no longer subject to this analysis!) it fits in rather well with the dominant count. Invalidation at 1440.



Personally I think it needs one more week of consolidation ($210-$230) before the next big move, when we will be forced to exit the big triangle.

I welcome a premature start of the next crash tho Grin
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
April 29, 2015, 04:27:02 AM
Holding tight isnt easy when primary waves tend to retrace 50-62%, so even though the last dump was rather deeply retraced (btce is no longer subject to this analysis!) it fits in rather well with the dominant count. Invalidation at 1440.


legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
April 24, 2015, 01:52:59 AM
incoming!
8up
hero member
Activity: 618
Merit: 500
April 23, 2015, 12:44:36 PM
With the form of the triangle and thrust alone, I would be confident in looking for a medium term top here, but the potential of the dominant count is devastatingly bearish. it would be (iii) of iii to follow. What follows will be interesting to watch.

It looks indeed possible for a wave (iii) of iii to play out. The RSI on the 12h and 1D charts are set for a nice fall, and if you look at the 3D chart you can get a glimpse of the potential drop that will follow if the RSI shifts direction and goes back down (PS I am not suggesting this to be a terminal move but just using the image to show the correlation with previous sharp falls).



So, let the games begin. I am sure the market appreciates another down leg. At least I do.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
103 days, 21 hours and 10 minutes.
April 23, 2015, 12:01:05 PM
With the form of the triangle and thrust alone, I would be confident in looking for a medium term top here, but the potential of the dominant count is devastatingly bearish. it would be (iii) of iii to follow. What follows will be interesting to watch.

It looks indeed possible for a wave (iii) of iii to play out. The RSI on the 12h and 1D charts are set for a nice fall, and if you look at the 3D chart you can get a glimpse of the potential drop that will follow if the RSI shifts direction and goes back down (PS I am not suggesting this to be a terminal move but just using the image to show the correlation with previous sharp falls).



Looks very bad especially if you look at okcoin and huobi (they are practically pinned) bitfinex only looks a tad better.
sr. member
Activity: 261
Merit: 250
April 23, 2015, 11:50:02 AM
With the form of the triangle and thrust alone, I would be confident in looking for a medium term top here, but the potential of the dominant count is devastatingly bearish. it would be (iii) of iii to follow. What follows will be interesting to watch.

It looks indeed possible for a wave (iii) of iii to play out. The RSI on the 12h and 1D charts are set for a nice fall, and if you look at the 3D chart you can get a glimpse of the potential drop that will follow if the RSI shifts direction and goes back down (PS I am not suggesting this to be a terminal move but just using the image to show the correlation with previous sharp falls).

legendary
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
April 23, 2015, 03:44:59 AM

Looks like we reached your target now on OKCoin.


It was a triangle thrust. good triangle form and characteristically sharp. we could see a little higher from here but the fact that we have just penetrated the upper trendline doesnt bother me, the complete count is very strong. Upside is very limited here.

Do you anticipate 240-245?

No not that high. 240 would be a push.

Looks like your correct.  We just got near 240 (239) and a 5k wall popped up right there along with heavy ask's going all the way up.

This move might not be over yet, we are still sat nicely under 240, the wall was needed to stop the move up yesterday but might not be so successful today/tomorrow.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
"to be or not to be, that is the bitcoin"
April 22, 2015, 05:20:54 PM
I'm just going to quietly leave this here  Wink

https://1broker.com/m/r.php?i=3589


Thanks for thread, as always

What's the big deal? I was trading bitcoin with plus500 more than a year ago.

the only big deal is that I only recently discovered it, so if no one had heard of it as I hadn't, I wanted to share my referral link  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1057
bigtimespaghetti.com
April 22, 2015, 12:57:09 PM
I'm just going to quietly leave this here  Wink

https://1broker.com/m/r.php?i=3589


Thanks for thread, as always

What's the big deal? I was trading bitcoin with plus500 more than a year ago.
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