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Topic: Critical Levels - EW analysis - page 47. (Read 355110 times)

legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
103 days, 21 hours and 10 minutes.
April 14, 2015, 07:46:01 PM
Where is the next resistance?  Are we at near resistance right now (~$218) ?  Looks like resistance will be met at 200-210?

it is really hard to say, just keep focused on the bigger picture. At a guess 200 should fight and 180 very likely.

$200 will be exciting to watch  Wink
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
April 14, 2015, 04:07:22 PM
Where is the next resistance?  Are we at near resistance right now (~$218) ?  Looks like resistance will be met at 200-210?

it is really hard to say, just keep focused on the bigger picture. At a guess 200 should fight and 180 very likely.
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
The Golden Rule Rules
April 14, 2015, 03:31:51 AM
Where is the next resistance?  Are we at near resistance right now (~$218) ?  Looks like resistance will be met at 200-210?
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
April 13, 2015, 05:42:58 PM
thanks,

one eye sore here for me is that hypothetical wave ii best takes the form of a triangle (which would be a terminal move to some degree) but it doesnt fit here in any larger time frame..... im interested in what Ryan thinks of this.

.....it doesnt have right of way so to speak because the larger count is still just fine.

If it was indeed a triangle (there really wasn't a market wide consensus), it only fits as a larger 4th and today's dumps was the thrust move to complete 1 of III, or it was part of a complex correction where Y was a triangle. This fits as a wave 2 and uses up all the necessary time for a wave-2. Since these last two larger corrections were so shallow in retracement, just 38.2%, this explosive move was expected by most EWers. If this was just the start of 3 of III then I feel sorry for the bulls over the next month or so.


Now, please do not pull the rug from under us and shutdown this thread. Like Ryan did Shocked


I had good reason to lock my thread and quit making my counts public. When it adversely affects my profitability, that's where I draw the line. Within minutes of posting an update, there would be walls, moves and front running of my charts. once or twice I could just brush off as coincidence, but it was happening frequently and rather than using it to my advantage and ruining my credibility, I decided to close the thread.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
April 13, 2015, 04:57:53 PM
chessnut, I'm curious on what you think that bitcoin will fail? Meaning if we go down to $100 or whatever we won't be seeing prices over, let's say $250, ever again.

Do you think another cryptocurrency could eventually overtake it? Or do you think that bitcoin still has a bright future?

Im an EW analyst not a fundamentalist, but if you really want my view, I think BTC still has a part to play in the world.

chessnut is a whale (or payed by whale) and he wants to get your coins cheap. :-) ... so dump your coins as fast as possible

 Cheesy

As of late I am fast becoming a whale.

[enter Hanlons's Razor]

To be fair, chessnut has got A LOT of calls right. Just have a look at this thread's history. I guess this one seems huge for noob lurkers because - market was bullish, long swaps were up, PSAR  yada BLA Bla BLA - only sanity i found was here, so thanks for the perspective!



Now, please do not pull the rug from under us and shutdown this thread. Like Ryan did Shocked



I have had my ups and downs, and am happy to see net positive results. Now a moments silence for those who have come off second best using EW because of bad luck and bad trading.

Lets keep confidence in our EW predictions at a healthy level, afterall, the fat lady hasnt quite sung yet.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
April 13, 2015, 04:35:35 PM
chessnut is a whale (or payed by whale) and he wants to get your coins cheap. :-) ... so dump your coins as fast as possible
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1035
April 13, 2015, 04:28:10 PM
chessnut, I'm curious on what you think that bitcoin will fail? Meaning if we go down to $100 or whatever we won't be seeing prices over, let's say $250, ever again.

Do you think another cryptocurrency could eventually overtake it? Or do you think that bitcoin still has a bright future?
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
April 13, 2015, 03:16:24 PM
To be fair, chessnut has got A LOT of calls right. Just have a look at this thread's history. I guess this one seems huge for noob lurkers because - market was bullish, long swaps were up, PSAR  yada BLA Bla BLA - only sanity i found was here, so thanks for the perspective!



Now, please do not pull the rug from under us and shutdown this thread. Like Ryan did Shocked

legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
April 13, 2015, 03:13:10 PM
thanks,

one eye sore here for me is that hypothetical wave ii best takes the form of a triangle (which would be a terminal move to some degree) but it doesnt fit here in any larger time frame..... im interested in what Ryan thinks of this.

.....it doesnt have right of way so to speak because the larger count is still just fine.
Could it possibly have been (iv) of i? Although fib proportions of the subwaves don't seem optimal for this count.

yeah... its not right, form or fibs. but like i said, larger tf gets right of way so its ok. DanV is calling for running flat, meaning there could be a bounce to 230 or so before moar down toward 1300
full member
Activity: 239
Merit: 100
April 13, 2015, 02:31:33 PM
thanks,

one eye sore here for me is that hypothetical wave ii best takes the form of a triangle (which would be a terminal move to some degree) but it doesnt fit here in any larger time frame..... im interested in what Ryan thinks of this.

.....it doesnt have right of way so to speak because the larger count is still just fine.
Could it possibly have been (iv) of i? Although fib proportions of the subwaves don't seem optimal for this count.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
April 13, 2015, 02:12:13 PM
been lurking in here for a while, first post to say: good analysis, good call  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
April 13, 2015, 02:01:50 PM
thanks,

one eye sore here for me is that hypothetical wave ii best takes the form of a triangle (which would be a terminal move to some degree) but it doesnt fit here in any larger time frame..... im interested in what Ryan thinks of this.

.....it doesnt have right of way so to speak because the larger count is still just fine.
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
April 13, 2015, 01:48:45 PM
Good call, chessnut!
This time the 6h PSAR was misleading, and there was no little bounce before the dump.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
April 13, 2015, 01:37:47 PM
full member
Activity: 145
Merit: 100
April 13, 2015, 11:41:10 AM
The sideways is b of II, the c will bring us up and then a big fall  Wink
But maybe i'm wrong Cheesy

I wouldnt count on a proper wave c  Wink

She is almost tipping, the fall could come any time in the next couple of days in the case of wave iii of III, (or C, as the case may be) all counts are aiming for 1300 and below.

https://www.tradingview.com/v/AmRMWlnB/



Yep, and given that this wave 3/C should be at least as large as Wave 1/A, we are looking at a minimum fall to 1150, most likely falling under 1000.
It' s not sure it's also possibile that 3 or c will be less large than 1
EDIT: but i'm not so confident about that Cry
sr. member
Activity: 261
Merit: 250
April 13, 2015, 11:36:29 AM
The sideways is b of II, the c will bring us up and then a big fall  Wink
But maybe i'm wrong Cheesy

I wouldnt count on a proper wave c  Wink

She is almost tipping, the fall could come any time in the next couple of days in the case of wave iii of III, (or C, as the case may be) all counts are aiming for 1300 and below.

https://www.tradingview.com/v/AmRMWlnB/



Yep, and given that this wave 3/C should be at least as large as Wave 1/A, we are looking at a minimum fall to 1150, most likely falling under 1000.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
April 12, 2015, 05:28:12 PM
The sideways is b of II, the c will bring us up and then a big fall  Wink
But maybe i'm wrong Cheesy

I wouldnt count on a proper wave c  Wink

She is almost tipping, the fall could come any time in the next couple of days in the case of wave iii of III, (or C, as the case may be) all counts are aiming for 1300 and below.

https://www.tradingview.com/v/AmRMWlnB/

full member
Activity: 145
Merit: 100
April 12, 2015, 04:59:44 PM
The sideways is b of II, the c will bring us up and then a big fall  Wink
But maybe i'm wrong Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
April 12, 2015, 04:57:45 PM
6h PSAR flipped to bullish today on Bitstamp and could very soon flip on Bitfinex too (Chinese exchanges don't show anymore on bitcoincharts).
There is also a weak bullish divergence in multiple MACD time frames, so going up before taking the big plunge is possible.
Why the Bitstamp 6h PSAR is still bearish on bitcoinwisdom? Shouldn't both site have the same data and formula?

They probably have different closes or different formula

Does RSI always move up with correctives?



RSI usually moves with the price. It's when it diverges that it becomes a good topping/bottoming signal.
legendary
Activity: 861
Merit: 1010
April 12, 2015, 03:31:56 PM
6h PSAR flipped to bullish today on Bitstamp and could very soon flip on Bitfinex too (Chinese exchanges don't show anymore on bitcoincharts).
There is also a weak bullish divergence in multiple MACD time frames, so going up before taking the big plunge is possible.
Why the Bitstamp 6h PSAR is still bearish on bitcoinwisdom? Shouldn't both site have the same data and formula?
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