Edit: WI lost another wicket.
I believe the same but still 5 more game to go for them. so my options are open for 4th team (semis)
Australia
India
New Zealand.
For world cup winner, my list still same, not tweaking anything yet.
1. England
2. India
3. Australia
Because only these teams can play good cricket in all 100 overs (same match) on their good day. Other than those teams, no one comes close IMHO
Kiwis are playing good cricket, but I have my doubts in this regards, they have a habit of choking similar to South Africa when competing in big matches.