First to pick
+6.0 = adaseb
Topic: Dec 18 to Jan 1 diff thread setup picks are now Closed!!! - page 11. (Read 7572 times)
+6.0 = adaseb
And off we go.
I for one will wait a bit to pick.
I for one will wait a bit to pick.
One more block and we open up for picks!
I say everyone should wait a while and have a better chance at the 0.416 coins.
I say everyone should wait a while and have a better chance at the 0.416 coins.
Finally a decent day. Only +2.7% looks like its finally stabilizing.
It seems like a point it has to... but I don't know. I mean there should be only so many slots out there to put miners in, and so many data centers. But I'm unsure what to expect at this point.
I think it's likely everyone will be pumping out chips for the near future. And if bitfury stuff is true... they likely will have huge advantage on next gen gear.
so up to 920 would be smoking jump.
could this happen?
numbers are better.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty ---------------- (+13.34%)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 93,448,670,796
Estimated Next Difficulty: 105,919,226,878 (+13.34%)
Adjust time: After 1491 Blocks, About 10.1 days ----- when this goes to 1416 picks will open
Hashrate(?): 717,388,583 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.3 minutes
6 blocks: 58.6 minutes
Updated:
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 93,448,670,796
Estimated Next Difficulty: 104,899,208,688 (+12.25%)
Adjust time: After 1418 Blocks, About 9.7 days ------------ We start soon!
Hashrate(?): 727,711,687 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.8 minutes
Updated: 12:0 (5.1 minutes ago)
Finally a decent day. Only +2.7% looks like its finally stabilizing.
It seems like a point it has to... but I don't know. I mean there should be only so many slots out there to put miners in, and so many data centers. But I'm unsure what to expect at this point.
I think it's likely everyone will be pumping out chips for the near future. And if bitfury stuff is true... they likely will have huge advantage on next gen gear.
Finally a decent day. Only +2.7% looks like its finally stabilizing.
I think we should allow for one roll-over, and if no one wins the second time it resets back to 0.1. This is just supposed to be "for fun", so no reason for the prize to get crazy high and shorten the length of time we all can play.
On another note, a few months ago I posted that we might see 100G difficulty by the end of the year and most people scoffed at the idea; I wasn't too far off so far, and if things go the way they are going we will be well over 100G by 2016.
On another note, a few months ago I posted that we might see 100G difficulty by the end of the year and most people scoffed at the idea; I wasn't too far off so far, and if things go the way they are going we will be well over 100G by 2016.
yeah I am the first to say a high rollover is exciting but a certain point it is too high
prize is too big . This thread has given away more then 3btc in coins and gear. Maybe we allow for one more full rollover if it happens. But ideas are welcome.
We are funded for Dec Jan and Feb . So one more rollover is easy enough to do. If someone hits it problem solved.
prize is too big . This thread has given away more then 3btc in coins and gear. Maybe we allow for one more full rollover if it happens. But ideas are welcome.
We are funded for Dec Jan and Feb . So one more rollover is easy enough to do. If someone hits it problem solved.
Well, it depends on how much you are OK to roll over .
There are two ways:
1-) Roll over to certain amount like 0.4 or 0.5 then again if no one guesses exactly, then;
a) give all to closest one i.e. give all to 1 person
b) divide all among two closest guessers
c) give some portion of the prize to closest one and continue to rollover(ex: if prize 0.5 then give 0.1 to closest and rollover for next time that next prize will be again 0.5
2-) Give some portion if anyone doesnt guess exactly each time and rollover remaining. Again it depends on how much you want to rollover. Give 50% of the prize each week if you want max prize is 0.2 BTC. If you want max prize is 0.3 BTC then give 1/3 (33%) of the prize to the closest ad so on.
My choice is second one. I think it can be still exciting w/o getting unwanted interference (.i.e. new/suspicious accounts ) while people hope to get some prize
Btw, it seems that diff. still continues to rise with high rate.
Well we have 1.316 in funds.
https://blockchain.info/address/1ni1F2Bp4PBdpvsagyfoQCJ5AVCg2ty18
So with this one up to .416 we have 9 more adjustments that we can do.
I think I will:
A) let it roll one more time a max of 0.516 then award it to the closest pick.
B) the remaining will max at 0.300 then award to the closest pick.
C) When funds run out the thread will just go back to spec only.
The only way contest will go past the 1.316 in funds is if mmpool.org hits a block soon as I have more then 8 coins stuck there.
http://mmpool.org/statistics
I am 1) miner there. And with holidays and other expenses I am getting tight on coin. Having a 2788 hour time spell between blocks has killed my coin flow.
Would be nice to see some others point some gear at them. Finally letting a block get hit. I could fund this thread longer.
Back to https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty >>>>>> (+15.45%)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 93,448,670,796
Estimated Next Difficulty: 107,886,841,288 (+15.45%)
Adjust time: After 1589 Blocks, About 10.6 days
Hashrate(?): 724,945,604 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.8 minutes
Updated: 7:30 (3.5 minutes ago)
yeah I am the first to say a high rollover is exciting but a certain point it is too high
prize is too big . This thread has given away more then 3btc in coins and gear. Maybe we allow for one more full rollover if it happens. But ideas are welcome.
We are funded for Dec Jan and Feb . So one more rollover is easy enough to do. If someone hits it problem solved.
prize is too big . This thread has given away more then 3btc in coins and gear. Maybe we allow for one more full rollover if it happens. But ideas are welcome.
We are funded for Dec Jan and Feb . So one more rollover is easy enough to do. If someone hits it problem solved.
Well, it depends on how much you are OK to roll over .
There are two ways:
1-) Roll over to certain amount like 0.4 or 0.5 then again if no one guesses exactly, then;
a) give all to closest one i.e. give all to 1 person
b) divide all among two closest guessers
c) give some portion of the prize to closest one and continue to rollover(ex: if prize 0.5 then give 0.1 to closest and rollover for next time that next prize will be again 0.5
2-) Give some portion if anyone doesnt guess exactly each time and rollover remaining. Again it depends on how much you want to rollover. Give 50% of the prize each week if you want max prize is 0.2 BTC. If you want max prize is 0.3 BTC then give 1/3 (33%) of the prize to the closest ad so on.
My choice is second one. I think it can be still exciting w/o getting unwanted interference (.i.e. new/suspicious accounts ) while people hope to get some prize
Btw, it seems that diff. still continues to rise with high rate.
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
Dec 18 2015 170
Dec 19 2015 150
Dec 20 2015 165
Dec 21 2015
https://blockchain.info/blocks
389456 (Main Chain) 2015-12-21 03:06:21
389433 (Main Chain) 2015-12-21 00:13:17
24 blocks for the beginning of Monday the 21st and should be 18 in 3 hours
So this could be a 180 + day
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty -------- (+15.89%)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 93,448,670,796
Estimated Next Difficulty: 108,295,658,578 (+15.89%)
Adjust time: After 1648 Blocks, About 11.0 days
Hashrate(?): 730,153,186 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.8 minutes
Price is 431 at coinbase. not much good news so far.
Yes its pretty bad yesterday was like +7 and today will most likely be +10% after the large +18% increase its bad for mining equipment.
Look like another big jump so far 
the lowest I can find
https://bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 389403
Total BTC 14.985M
Difficulty 93448670796
Estimated 96038295084 in 1701 blks
Network total 803850.738 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 7.21 / 499 s
The one we use a lot
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 93,448,670,796
Estimated Next Difficulty: 108,803,158,243 (+16.43%)
Adjust time: After 1701 Blocks, About 11.4 days
Hashrate(?): 706,585,108 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.9 minutes
6 blocks: 57.7 minutes
Updated: 14:45 (3.4 minutes ago)
so low number is 96.03 diff a 2.77%
average of the two is 102 diff a 9% jump
higher number is 108.80 diff a 16.43% jump
I am hoping for the 9% jump which is still big and close to 90ph
Look like another big jump so far
well looks like they held off till after diff jump to throw it back on. Net hashrate over last 24 hours is going up currently Net Hashrate 873,007.31 TH/s as per bitcoind.. Only way i can think of that they would do this is to not damage sales.. If they just turned this all on when s7 came out then they would have had to dump price much much sooner!!! Havent seen any crazy swings near 960 th/s again but we are headed that direction today... have to see how high we go before it relaxes again..
Best Regards
d57heinz
edit. and here comes the price dump.. selling my coins NOW lol
Such a fickle market.. And to think the ones that have the most market share in terms of hash will continue to grow. so the 7 mil or so bitcoins left we can pretty much divvy it up between all the huge miners.. The question that it leaves me is how will this market not be manipulated when only 5 or so people essentially have all the bitcoins???
was able to cash out at 452.. gonna be a ruff ride for a bit i think..
Best regards
d57heinz
Best Regards
d57heinz
edit. and here comes the price dump.. selling my coins NOW lol
Such a fickle market.. And to think the ones that have the most market share in terms of hash will continue to grow. so the 7 mil or so bitcoins left we can pretty much divvy it up between all the huge miners.. The question that it leaves me is how will this market not be manipulated when only 5 or so people essentially have all the bitcoins???
was able to cash out at 452.. gonna be a ruff ride for a bit i think..
Best regards
d57heinz
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
Dec 18 2015 170
Dec 19 2015 150
Dec 20 2015
https://blockchain.info/blocks
389363 (Main Chain) 2015-12-20 12:57:21
389268 (Main Chain) 2015-12-20 00:09:07
96 blocks today and should be 78 in 13 hours
So this could be a 170 + day
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty -------- (+16.91%)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 93,448,670,796
Estimated Next Difficulty: 109,247,635,615 (+16.91%)
Adjust time: After 1740 Blocks, About 11.6 days
Hashrate(?): 705,106,195 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes
Updated: 8:5 (3.1 minutes ago)
Price is still 455 at coinbase.
Dec 18 2015 170
Dec 19 2015 150
Dec 20 2015
https://blockchain.info/blocks
389363 (Main Chain) 2015-12-20 12:57:21
389268 (Main Chain) 2015-12-20 00:09:07
96 blocks today and should be 78 in 13 hours
So this could be a 170 + day
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty -------- (+16.91%)
Bitcoin Difficulty: 93,448,670,796
Estimated Next Difficulty: 109,247,635,615 (+16.91%)
Adjust time: After 1740 Blocks, About 11.6 days
Hashrate(?): 705,106,195 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes
Updated: 8:5 (3.1 minutes ago)
Price is still 455 at coinbase.
I am late to the mining game but back in 2012-2013-2014 how many ASIC manufacturers were there? There must of been dozens since mining was so profitable.
A lot came out in fall of 2013 when coins went from 90 to 1100
We made 170 blocks yesterday.
Since the day was part old diff and part new diff the 170 reads high if you based it on the new diff.
Today will be the first all 93 diff number.
My guess is we will be under 15.
I think quite a bit of last weeks jump was the bit fury mine going on line.
A lot shared chips at beginning. Look at A1 chips for example. It's hard to tell how many used them in their miner. But it seemed lots more makers of machines then of chips.
Now it seems company makes chips and miner (for most part). So it really does limit it quite a bit more now. I don't see chips being sold like they were during first asics.
I am late to the mining game but back in 2012-2013-2014 how many ASIC manufacturers were there? There must of been dozens since mining was so profitable.
A lot came out in fall of 2013 when coins went from 90 to 1100
We made 170 blocks yesterday.
Since the day was part old diff and part new diff the 170 reads high if you based it on the new diff.
Today will be the first all 93 diff number.
My guess is we will be under 15.
I think quite a bit of last weeks jump was the bit fury mine going on line.
I am late to the mining game but back in 2012-2013-2014 how many ASIC manufacturers were there? There must of been dozens since mining was so profitable.
the huge diff increases can't last,can they?!
I would like to think so but.... S7 & Avalon6 will keep shipping, SP50 may already be out there but I think the big impact is yet to come. Bitfury are going to come on stream sometime in the next few Months. BW.com also in the next Month or two, KNC, A4 etc. There is just so much happening and so much in the wings at the moment. I think we should expect big Difficulty increases for at least the next 2 to 3 Months
Rich
A 1000 th miner at 500 watts with a diff of 55 and a coin price of 230 made about $1.204 in a day. power 7 cents.
A 1000 th miner at 250 watts with a diff of 140 and a coin price of 460 makes about $1.194 in a day. power 7 cents
so a diff of 140 with 2 s-7's
would be like a diff of 55 with 5 s-5's
sadly we are at 93 and 140 is not too far off. but I have to think that it could go to 140 with no issues. as long as price supports it and a coin price of 460 supports it.
Jump to: