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Topic: Diff contest Aug 9 to Aug?.Prize a black sealed Trezor wallet. Picks are closed. - page 4. (Read 7433 times)

legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty


Bitcoin Difficulty:   923,233,068,449
Estimated Next Difficulty:   886,978,918,154 (-3.93%)
Adjust time:   After 1 Blocks, About 10.3 minutes
Hashrate(?):   5,658,924,901 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.3 minutes
3 blocks: 30.9 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   


nice drop in a block
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1030
not sure if it is bad or good for coins but it sure as fuck is interesting.
yup.

may turn into the equivalent of altcoin profit switching. massive amounts of hash power flipping back and forth as miners use autopilot profit calculating programs to run their farms.

 That's not new to SHA256 - quite a few altcoins out there already to switch between, though most of them have been TINY compared to Bitcoin (like Namecoin or DGB) and therefore the profitability has bounced a lot on them.


legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Well it dilutes BTC but as long as prices hold  it could make for serious profits.

I sold off some coin today  .38  for 1576 usd

I do not think I will be holding heavy coins I may sell off over the next  2-4 weeks.
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1130
Bitcoin FTW!
Hopefully the November 2X fork won't cause a similar issue or else they'll have even more to slosh between. I guess we'll be seeing BCH for a long time and possibly 2X if the entire community doesn't go with it. Will be interesting for BTC price as well.
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 3614
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
not sure if it is bad or good for coins but it sure as fuck is interesting.
yup.

may turn into the equivalent of altcoin profit switching. massive amounts of hash power flipping back and forth as miners use autopilot profit calculating programs to run their farms.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Looks like hash rate will keep sloshing back and forth:

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/why-bcash-mining-shouldnt-affect-bitcoin-much-bitcoin-mining-could-ruin-bcash/

The reason why miners can do that is the BCH rule that allows for mid-period downward difficulty adjustments. Without that, it would be a lot more costly to keep the BCH chain alive when it's less profitable.

Effectively BCH was designed to enable coordinated miners to manipulate the block rate to their advantage. This will continue forever as long as long as BCH has enough value to make it worth while.

It could well be that this is the only tangible reason why BCH exists. It's not because big blockers wanted it. It's because the large mining pools can profit by it.

not sure if it is bad or good for coins but it sure as fuck is interesting.
legendary
Activity: 1150
Merit: 1004
Looks like hash rate will keep sloshing back and forth:

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/why-bcash-mining-shouldnt-affect-bitcoin-much-bitcoin-mining-could-ruin-bcash/

The reason why miners can do that is the BCH rule that allows for mid-period downward difficulty adjustments. Without that, it would be a lot more costly to keep the BCH chain alive when it's less profitable.

Effectively BCH was designed to enable coordinated miners to manipulate the block rate to their advantage. This will continue forever as long as long as BCH has enough value to make it worth while.

It could well be that this is the only tangible reason why BCH exists. It's not because big blockers wanted it. It's because the large mining pools can profit by it.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Right now, it looks like it will be another roll-over.

Bitcoin Difficulty:    923,233,068,449
Estimated Next Difficulty:    882,157,991,586 (-4.45%)
Adjust time:    After 185 Blocks, About 1.4 days
Hashrate(?):    5,678,041,587 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 10.6 minutes
3 blocks: 31.8 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
   
Updated:    16:40 (6.1 minutes ago)

Looks like going forward, difficulty changes may well be driven more by BCH activity and price, and less by new mining hardware being added, or old miners being removed. Wild times indeed.


the total of the 2 coins is around 8500 ph.

I may radically change  the game

not sure.


alh
legendary
Activity: 1846
Merit: 1052
Right now, it looks like it will be another roll-over.

Bitcoin Difficulty:    923,233,068,449
Estimated Next Difficulty:    882,157,991,586 (-4.45%)
Adjust time:    After 185 Blocks, About 1.4 days
Hashrate(?):    5,678,041,587 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):    
1 block: 10.6 minutes
3 blocks: 31.8 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
   
Updated:    16:40 (6.1 minutes ago)

Looks like going forward, difficulty changes may well be driven more by BCH activity and price, and less by new mining hardware being added, or old miners being removed. Wild times indeed.
legendary
Activity: 2294
Merit: 1182
Now the money is free, and so the people will be
Gentlemen, the difficulty show is just beginning.  Volatility ahead !  Bitcoin core better implement solutions for the mempool soon...if not everyone is in for a rough ride once the spam comes in like crazy and miners switch chains again to mine BCH.  transactions will be costly.
sr. member
Activity: 464
Merit: 301
Wow 3895 ph  on BCC

and BTC  dropped down to 4728 P from around 7100 P
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Yeah  we have really went down due to a huge hash rate switch to BCC!

legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1130
Bitcoin FTW!
Big drop over night

Bitcoin Difficulty:   923,233,068,449
Estimated Next Difficulty:   897,339,478,921 (-2.80%)
Adjust time:   After 218 Blocks, About 1.6 days
Hashrate(?):   5,946,751,039 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.3 minutes
3 blocks: 30.9 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   7:45 (1.8 minutes ago)

Miners switching to BCH finally made their impact. Will be interesting to see what will happen after BCH gets its needed difficulty adjustment and profitability on the chain drops, likely people switching back to BTC.
sr. member
Activity: 464
Merit: 301
Big drop over night

Bitcoin Difficulty:   923,233,068,449
Estimated Next Difficulty:   897,339,478,921 (-2.80%)
Adjust time:   After 218 Blocks, About 1.6 days
Hashrate(?):   5,946,751,039 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.3 minutes
3 blocks: 30.9 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated:   7:45 (1.8 minutes ago)
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Just like Trezor developers, I think add2psu developers are honest too. I have ordered 3 add2psu delay from them and received add2psu instead. After telling them the issue, they sent me replacement order with correct items very quickly. I also learnt this mistake after selling my bag thinking that they are delay ones, and buyer informed me. I have offered him either full or partial refund and he has accepted partial refund.

Organizing a promo to giveaway your free Trezor is a good idea.

Thanks  they (trezor) were good to me  so I am passing the goodness on.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
Just like Trezor developers, I think add2psu developers are honest too. I have ordered 3 add2psu delay from them and received add2psu instead. After telling them the issue, they sent me replacement order with correct items very quickly. I also learnt this mistake after selling my bag thinking that they are delay ones, and buyer informed me. I have offered him either full or partial refund and he has accepted partial refund.

Organizing a promo to giveaway your free Trezor is a good idea.
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1030
wow im stunned that the difficulty is still projected to be high, with all the hashrate moving to the other chain.  just wow.  I cant see my pick there in the list, did it fall through a crack Smiley ? 0.0

 Avalon shipments. Shipments of the various BitFury based miners. At least one major private mine with their own chip seems to have started miner deployments.

 It's NOT all about Bitmain and hasn't been for most of this year - just largely so.

legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 4392
Be a bank
oh i'd kinda given up hope, but...
yay still got that fortune-telling gift Cool
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'

New contest picks  to end at block 516.

Experimental Image Contribution:



Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.

If you are overseas  I will spring for the shipping of the Trezor


-3.0 = isoneguy

-1.3 = VRobb

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  I always pick this number

-1.0 = Last of the V8s

-0.2 = keystroke
0.0 = Fr4nkthetank
0.1 = tomintx
0.2 = mocacinno

0.9 = buwaytress
1.8 = eDonkey

2.2 = vapourminer
2.5 = alh
3.2 = Psi

3.6 = Landy1264
3.7 = pusttiu
5.0 = leowonderful

And look at the diff the gray line has always been under so were  pretty much negative but at the moment it has shot way up!






While I have participated in these before, I have lost my sense of how the range works when we are into negative territory. If as an example, what would I choose for the following:

Estimated Next Difficulty:    922,529,973,147 (-0.08%)

Would that be -.1% -or- 0.0% Huh?

I'll wait a bit to make a guess, but thought I would ask now, since it seems possible to me will be in for decrease in diffiulty.

Thanks for doing this again!!!

-0.1    covers  from -0.1 to  -0.000000000000000001....
0.0     covers  from  0.0 to    0.099999999999999999...
0.1    covers   from  0.1 to    0.199999999999999999...


so -0.08   would be won by  -0.1  not 0.0

@ QuintLeo  pick    you still have some time.

time is up all picks are in and done.

Bitcoin Difficulty:   923,233,068,449

Estimated Next Difficulty:   919,998,488,810 (-0.35%)  

Adjust time:   After 304 Blocks, About 2.1 days
Hashrate(?):   6,284,734,288 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.9 minutes
3 blocks: 29.8 minutes
6 blocks: 59.6 minutes
Updated:   12:0 (2.7 minutes ago)




304 blocks left  we are at -0.35%

contenders below:

-1.3 = VRobb

-1.2 = philipma1957  >>>>  I always pick this number

-1.0 = Last of the V8s

-0.2 = keystroke
0.0 = Fr4nkthetank
0.1 = tomintx
0.2 = mocacinno

0.9 = buwaytress
1.8 = eDonkey

2.2 = vapourminer
2.5 = alh


but  a bigger shift could alter this
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1130
Bitcoin FTW!
Interestingly enough a tweet says Bitmain has or will plan to move 170PH of hashing power to BCH. It won't be the longest chain as it still won't have the most cumulative POW, so don't worry about it too much.
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