Diff thread Jan 13 to Jan 27 picks are closed!

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: adaseb on January 26, 2016, 07:22:46 AM

Old diff

113,354,299,801.47

New diff

120,033,340,651.24

So
0.0556432139065106

5.564% < I have this as wrong

120,033,340,651/113,354,299,801 = 1.058921812 -1 = 5.892% and this as right

I will start a new thread later today.

prize will jump to .2

I finally hit a block with mmpool so I will bump up the prize fund.

I think we had 0.80 left, I will bump it to 1.0 btc. My goal it to keep it going until the ½ ing.

new thread is here

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1341763.new#new

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

Old diff

113,354,299,801.47

New diff

120,033,340,651.24

So

5.8921%

Equivalent to about 1406 Antminer S7 being powered on.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: RichBC on January 26, 2016, 06:55:49 AM

Well I make that it... and my spreadsheet says +5.89% But we will have to wait for the official figure.

Rich

looks to be a carryover.

I will make sure.

I get the diff just under 120

and about 5.88 % jump

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Well I make that it... and my spreadsheet says +5.89% But we will have to wait for the official figure.

Rich

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

Quote from: RichBC on January 26, 2016, 05:54:58 AM

Hmm well I think we are going to drop into the gap...

BTW Nicehash has been paying at around .005BTC/TH/Day since 16:00 Yesterday and if it goes anything like last period they continued for a couple of Days after the Difficulty change at this rate. Worth a look.

Rich

Thx for the tip. Some guy is paying

F #951908 0.0072 1500.00 1024 1495.9757

Wonder if there is some secret alt coin out there.

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Hmm well I think we are going to drop into the gap...

BTW Nicehash has been paying at around .005BTC/TH/Day since 16:00 Yesterday and if it goes anything like last period they continued for a couple of Days after the Difficulty change at this rate. Worth a look.

Rich

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: adaseb on January 26, 2016, 04:55:39 AM

395,136 is the block correct? Then it should be sometime in the next 2-3 hours.

https://bitcoincharts.com/

Blocks   395123
Total BTC   15.128M

Difficulty   113354299801
Estimated   119986918647 in 13 blks

Network total   949831.185 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   7.02 / 513 s

11998/11335 = 5.849%

these are the ones in contention:

+5.4 = flikflak
+5.5 = tennozer

big gap right here

+6.0 = Lituation
+6.1 = kama

Of course 13 blocks can be made in under 1 hour or in more then 5 hours that would get out of the current range.

We can determine the % by dividing the new number by

this Difficulty 113354299801

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Quote from: adaseb on January 26, 2016, 04:55:39 AM

395,136 is the block correct? Then it should be sometime in the next 2-3 hours.

Yes that's what I make it. I think we will finish up around 12:00. +5.89% at the moment. It's going to close to +6% but even at this late stage only needs a few quick or slow Blocks to move it up or down a decimal point or two.

Rich

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

395,136 is the block correct? Then it should be sometime in the next 2-3 hours.

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

We are continuing to push on, last 3 Blocks within 3 minutes. We are at 5.9% now. What I find scarey is knowing that Bitfury is not out there yet and even uncertainty about where Spondoolies is?

An interesting snippet on the Difficulty is that I discovered the other day when trying to reconcile my numbers for precious periods is that there is a bug in the calculation and even though the period is 2016 Blocks, the calculation is done on 2015 Blocks. Had me scratching my head for quite a while before I found this out.

Rich

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: RichBC on January 26, 2016, 03:56:50 AM

Since I posted above we have pushed on a bit, 22 Blocks to go and I make us at +5.83% so my estimate above probably a bit low, however I have seen things pull back in th last few blocks before. Boy this is difficult even when we are nearly there.

Rich

I wish it was under 5, guess I always wish less. But if at the end of this at less then 6 I will be decently happy as it seems crazy jumps are slowing down.

I really want to know machines were being used on the few big ones we had not long ago. I would think a lot of the big guys in it would be waiting on bitfury, or other next gen gear. Although with having coming some might be trying to get every bit of BTC mining they can do before it.

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Since I posted above we have pushed on a bit, 22 Blocks to go and I make us at +5.83% so my estimate above probably a bit low, however I have seen things pull back in th last few blocks before. Boy this is difficult even when we are nearly there.

Rich

kama

full member

Activity: 140

Merit: 100

Estimated 120074384376 in 23 blks

is it equal to what % ?

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Just up in the UK, 162 Block Yesterday. We are at +5.6% at the moment, 36 Blocks to go and I think we will land between +5.6% & +5.8%

Just noticed that is where the Big Gap is

We will see....

Rich

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: mavericklm on January 26, 2016, 12:00:52 AM

Estimated Next Difficulty:    120,576,340,401 (+6.37%)
Adjust time:    After 117 Blocks, About 17.5 hours
Hashrate(?):    967,826,093 GH/s

Wishing i don't win and it gets under 6%!

that is not correct info

we have 49 blocks left

https://bitcoincharts.com

/Blocks   395087
Total BTC   15.127M

Difficulty   113354299801
Estimated   119683746461 in 49 blks

Network total   863908.508 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   6.39 / 564 s

mavericklm

hero member

Activity: 742

Merit: 500

Estimated Next Difficulty:    120,576,340,401 (+6.37%)
Adjust time:    After 117 Blocks, About 17.5 hours
Hashrate(?):    967,826,093 GH/s

Wishing i don't win and it gets under 6%!

Later edit: bitcoinwisdom is stuck! sorry, i didn't realise!

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: adaseb on January 25, 2016, 10:40:46 PM

It will definately be around +6% this period.

https://bitcoincharts.com

Blocks   395074
Total BTC   15.127M

Difficulty   113354299801
Estimated   119639392273 in 62 blks >>>>>>>>>> this is 5.5% and is real time number.

Network total   899439.865 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   6.65 / 541 s

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

is stuck at block 117

so with 62 blocks left 6 to 13 hours to go.

+4.0 = wlefever
+4.1 = d57heinz
+4.2 = HerbPean
+4.3 = alh
+4.4 = ACAB
+4.5 = Zebedee
+4.6 = tss
+4.7 = ezeminer
+4.9 = Kexkey +4.9 = ailikun my error so both can keep this pick and both would get .1
+5.0 = Valkir
+5.2 = blindminer
+5.4 = flikflak
+5.5 = tennozer

big gap right here

+6.0 = Lituation
+6.1 = kama

+6.5 = ingiltere
+6.6 = fr4nkthetank

the contenders are above:

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

It will definately be around +6% this period.

d57heinz

legendary

Activity: 1453

Merit: 1011

Bitcoin Talks Bullshit Walks

Quote from: edonkey on January 25, 2016, 06:55:42 PM

Quote from: ?? on ??

The price is recovering pretty significantly from the recent downturn.

I think my cat was relying on a lower price helping keep the difficulty flat. Perhaps there won't be any fishy treats in it for him this time...

Why in the world did you repost my exact words from 5 days ago?

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.13622452

Not that I object if someone else lets their cat guess the difficulty Wink

its funny you said that. . I was going to bust him out but i couldn't remember which user used the cats. Now i remember was you:).. When i checked his post count he had like 40 for the day and was all over btctalk not adding anything of any value just spamming the board... was odd for sure.. Thanks for clearing that up:)

Best Regards
d57heinz

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: mwizard on January 25, 2016, 08:22:12 PM

Quote from: notlist3d on January 25, 2016, 07:38:01 PM

Bitwisdom is pretty constant:
Bitcoin Difficulty:    113,354,299,801
Estimated Next Difficulty:    120,576,340,401 (+6.37%)
Adjust time:    After 117 Blocks, About 17.5 hours
Hashrate(?):    967,826,093 GH/s

Sadly Bitcoinwisdom is currently stalled. Note the last Updated time.

Bitcoin Difficulty:   113,354,299,801
Estimated Next Difficulty:   120,576,340,401 (+6.37%)
Adjust time:   After 117 Blocks, About 17.5 hours
Hashrate(?):   967,826,093 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 8.9 minutes
3 blocks: 26.9 minutes
6 blocks: 53.7 minutes
Updated:   6:10 (6.2 hours ago)

Other info bitcoincharts.com

79 blocks to go.

Topic: Diff thread Jan 13 to Jan 27 picks are closed! (Read 8810 times)