Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward. - page 8.

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 11:22:30 PM

does this fix it? been drinking watching the world series so my math can slip a bit.

-0.2 -0.20 to -0.11
-0.1 -0.10 to -0.01
0.0 +0.00 to +0.09
+0.1 +0.10 to +0.19
+0.2 +0.20 to +0.29

those are all equal correct?

I think they are. It's a bit less convenient on the negative side since you have to remember that -0.2 goes to -0.11 and not to -0.29 but we're less likely to use those negative ranges so we should be ok.

mavericklm

hero member

Activity: 742

Merit: 500

Estimated Next Difficulty:    65,891,692,097 (+5.84%)
Adjust time:    After 1375 Blocks, About 9.1 days
Hashrate(?):    499,238,409 GH/s

Sad

Also cold weather is getting in: Temperatura acum: -3˚C

The .1 range seems fine! Wink

valkir

legendary

Activity: 1484

Merit: 1004

oups too late for this one Tongue

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4116

Merit: 7849

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 11:22:21 PM

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

10-29-2015 153 blocks + 9
10-30-2015 167 blocks + 23 so +32 blocks
10-31-2015 149 blocks +5 +37
11-01-2015 150 blocks +6 +43

we are a bit slower on the first day of the weekend
and still okay for sunday

Bitcoin Difficulty:   62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:   65,986,943,064 (+6.00%)
Adjust time:   After 1386 Blocks, About 9.1 days
Hashrate(?):   493,066,155 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.4 minutes
6 blocks: 56.7 minutes

we have 630 blocks made should be 587 so we are plus +7.32%

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4116

Merit: 7849

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: suchmoon on November 01, 2015, 11:07:09 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 10:27:05 PM

I like Kexkey's idea of smaller ranges a lot. along with making picks run from 600 to 1200 vs 300 to 1000

right now -10 to +10 IS ABOUT 80 slots

-10 to + 10 would be 200 slots.

realistically at block 600 -10 or +10 would be esay to rule out so your logical picks would be well under the 200 between -10 to +10

right now -10 to -2 are very unlikely so between -2 and +10 are only around 48 ranges under the new rules it would be more like 120 ranges.

opinions are welcome

I like it. We can simplify the picks too. Instead of expecting +3.01 to +3.25, +3.26 to +3.50 etc the picks can be simply:

+3.0 phil
+3.1 suchmoon
+3.2 edonkey's cat

etc.

which would easily and intuitively translate to:

+3.00 to +3.09
+3.10 to +3.19
+3.20 to +3.29

etc.

Basically you guess the percentage to one decimal place A.B and you win if the actual percentage ends up being anything that starts with your number i.e. A.Bx

Just need to figure out the 0.00 situation. Perhaps have the whole -0.09 to +0.09 range as a single pick. This one would have a higher chance to win.

does this fix it? been drinking watching the world series so my math can slip a bit.

-0.2 -0.20 to -0.11
-0.1 -0.10 to -0.01
0.0 +0.00 to +0.09
+0.1 +0.10 to +0.19
+0.2 +0.20 to +0.29

those are all equal correct?

^^^
I like the above not sure about the blue below

we can go from -10 to +10

I simply make a list with all ranges. if we drop under -10 or over + 10 we roll the prize over.

if no one picks a winner inside -10 to + 10 we roll the prize over.

Mikestang

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

+7.76% to +8.00% Mikestang

suchmoon

legendary

Activity: 3654

Merit: 8909

https://bpip.org

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 10:27:05 PM

I like Kexkey's idea of smaller ranges a lot. along with making picks run from 600 to 1200 vs 300 to 1000

right now -10 to +10 IS ABOUT 80 slots

-10 to + 10 would be 200 slots.

realistically at block 600 -10 or +10 would be esay to rule out so your logical picks would be well under the 200 between -10 to +10

right now -10 to -2 are very unlikely so between -2 and +10 are only around 48 ranges under the new rules it would be more like 120 ranges.

opinions are welcome

I like it. We can simplify the picks too. Instead of expecting +3.01 to +3.25, +3.26 to +3.50 etc the picks can be simply:

+3.0 phil
+3.1 suchmoon
+3.2 edonkey's cat

etc.

which would easily and intuitively translate to:

+3.00 to +3.09
+3.10 to +3.19
+3.20 to +3.29

etc.

Basically you guess the percentage to one decimal place A.B and you win if the actual percentage ends up being anything that starts with your number i.e. A.Bx

Just need to figure out the 0.00 situation. Perhaps have the whole -0.09 to +0.09 range as a single pick. This one would have a higher chance to win.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4116

Merit: 7849

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 08:26:37 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 05:43:18 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 10:57:56 AM

Quote from: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 06:41:10 PM

-1.26% to -1.50% Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy
+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee

Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

" can you pick x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always

-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of the member

"Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

So other then mine:

I won't do any advance reservations.

Please do not pm me and ask for them.

I like Kexkey's idea of smaller ranges a lot. along with making picks run from 600 to 1200 vs 300 to 1000

right now -10 to +10 IS ABOUT 80 slots

-10 to + 10 would be 200 slots.

realistically at block 600 -10 or +10 would be esay to rule out so your logical picks would be well under the 200 between -10 to +10

right now -10 to -2 are very unlikely so between -2 and +10 are only around 48 ranges under the new rules it would be more like 120 ranges.

opinions are welcome

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4116

Merit: 7849

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: Kexkey on November 01, 2015, 09:06:59 PM

+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey

Game is getting popular, that's cool! Phil, maybe we should change for 0.10% or 0.20% slices instead of 0.25%, that would open more slots.

That is a simple fix should work. We combine your idea say

.10% ranges and shift from blocks 300-1000 to 600-1200

should slow the rush a bit and leave room for picks

Kexkey

full member

Activity: 237

Merit: 100

Smile while thinking.

+7.51% to +7.75% Kexkey

Game is getting popular, that's cool! Phil, maybe we should change for 0.10% or 0.20% slices instead of 0.25%, that would open more slots.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4116

Merit: 7849

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 05:43:18 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 10:57:56 AM

Quote from: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 06:41:10 PM

-1.26% to -1.50% Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1
+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee

Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

" can you pick x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always

-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of the member

"Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

So other then mine:

I won't do any advance reservations.

Please do not pm me and ask for them.

EternalWingsofGod

hero member

Activity: 700

Merit: 500

Quote from: sloopy on November 01, 2015, 07:55:28 PM

First opening. I have to get here sooner Wink

Ha-ha this thread has grown a lot more popular, its also due to the increase in Bitcoin prices.
The correlation between the amount of interest people have in mining is similar to the number of people who make picks in the thread at any point in time Wink

All the likely targets were taken so I'll strategize this round and use time advantage in case some serious hash appears before the picks close.
Aka an above 10% prediction. Or just let it close naturally Wink

sloopy

hero member

Activity: 700

Merit: 501

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=905210.msg

+7.26% to +7.50% sloopy

First opening. I have to get here sooner Wink

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4116

Merit: 7849

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: notlist3d on November 01, 2015, 07:33:48 PM

Bitwisdom keeps goig up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    65,672,791,064 (+5.49%)
Adjust time:    After 1423 Blocks, About 9.4 days
Hashrate(?):    484,451,571 GH/s

I hope this changes but the wave of new miners might just finally be hitting us. Price is around 327 so still pretty good on that front.

We are plus six or seven blocks for just today so that is about five percent.

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Bitwisdom keeps goig up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    62,253,982,450
Estimated Next Difficulty:    65,672,791,064 (+5.49%)
Adjust time:    After 1423 Blocks, About 9.4 days
Hashrate(?):    484,451,571 GH/s

I hope this changes but the wave of new miners might just finally be hitting us. Price is around 327 so still pretty good on that front.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4116

Merit: 7849

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: philipma1957 on November 01, 2015, 10:57:56 AM

Quote from: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 06:41:10 PM

-1.26% to -1.50% Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee

Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

" can you pick x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always

-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of the member

"Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

So other then mine:

I won't do any advance reservations.

Please do not pm me and ask for them.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4116

Merit: 7849

'The right to privacy matters'

please don't do this =========

as it makes switching picks an issue.

I ADDED your pick in the next post

Quote from: ?? on ??

-1.26% to -1.50% Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz
+6.51% to +6.75% Questor <-added my pic here
+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee

HerbPean

legendary

Activity: 1638

Merit: 1005

Hashrate(?): 500,036,826 GH/s

Firt time we hit the 500 on bitcoinwisdom.

ezeminer

legendary

Activity: 2184

Merit: 1118

Lie down. Have a cookie

So here's a rough sketch if you're interested.

along the top it will be the 0.0x number
and along the side it will be the 0.x0 number

With a little nicer of a table than this,
-------------------------------------------------
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
-------------------------------------------------
| 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
-------------------------------------------------------

Then you'd be set for 100 contestants.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4116

Merit: 7849

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: philipma1957 on October 31, 2015, 06:41:10 PM

-1.26% to -1.50% Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00% HerbPean

+0.76% to +1.00% lolxxxx
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% wlefever
+1.51% to +1.75% dukeneptun
+1.76% to +2.00% isvicre
+2.01% to +2.25% cakir
+2.26% to +2.50% Zz
+2.51% to +2.75% The Young Turk
+2.76% to +3.00% DanDan
+3.01% to +3.25% ACAB
+3.26% to +3.50% DanielRo
+3.51% to +3.75% kripto para
+3.76% to +4.00% ingiltere
+4.01% to +4.25% edonkey
+4.26% to +4.50% adaseb
+4.51% to +4.75% ezeminer
+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% smiletyson
+5.26% to +5.50% Notlist3d
+5.51% to +5.75% Biodom
+5.76% to +6.00% tss
+6.01% to +6.25% LGD2Business
+6.26% to +6.50% d57heinz

+6.76% to +7.00% Last of the V8s
+7.01% to +7.25% wpt1wpt1

+8.01% to +8.25% RichBC
+8.26% to +8.50% freedomno1

+9.51% to +9.75% zebedee

Note I got a pm asking me to put in a pick before the picks started.

lets say I was asked

" can you pick x.xx% to x.xx% in advance for me? ? "

I can not do this it is not fair to the others.

I am the only one that puts in a pick in advance and it is always

-1.01% to -1.25% philipma1957

This was done last year because of the member

"Seriouscoin" I have kept my pick up because it worked to still his nasty posts.

So other then mine:

I won't do any advance reservations.

Please do not pm me and ask for them.

Topic: Diff thread oct 29th to Nov 12th picks are closed!! With a bonus reward. - page 8. (Read 8700 times)