+1.99% right now.
Biodom head to head with HerbPean.
17 more blocks to be solved.
Topic: Diff thread sept 17th. to sept 30th Picks are closed!! - page 2. (Read 7041 times)
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,388,544,073 (+1.77%)
Adjust time: After 56 Blocks, About 8.8 hours
under 2% is pretty good!
Adjust time: After 56 Blocks, About 8.8 hours
under 2% is pretty good!
Looking pretty good for Biodom. tss needs to hit PAUSE for a couple of hours, or Herb will need to light up his undelivered S7's..... 
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,416,209,406 (+1.82%)
Adjust time: After 57 Blocks, About 8.9 hours
Hashrate(?): 446,301,366 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.2 minutes
6 blocks: 56.4 minutes
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,416,209,406 (+1.82%)
Adjust time: After 57 Blocks, About 8.9 hours
Hashrate(?): 446,301,366 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.4 minutes
3 blocks: 28.2 minutes
6 blocks: 56.4 minutes
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
Sept 17 143
Sept 18 147 So very close to 1%
Sept 19 127 and as of now we are negative for the real time number. - 15 blocks which is close to -4% !!!
Sept 20 124 so we are - 35 blocks as of last night.
Sept 21 130 so we are -49
Sept 22 162 and that is plus 18 so we are at -31
Sept 23 155 plus 11 brings us to -20
Sept 24 137 minus 7 brings us to -27 as of 10 pm last night
Sept 25. 167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday
Sept 26 152 plus 8 brings us to plus 4 as of 10 pm sat
Sept 27 144 even we are plus 4 blocks as of 1130 pm sun
Sept 28 140 -4 and how about that a big fat 0 - or +
Sept 29 170 + 26 blocks so we are now + 26 blocks
Sept 30 154 + 10 so we are +36
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+2.02%)
This is about 11.4 hours. .
1944 blocks are made normal is 1908 so we are around (+1.88%)
Sept 17 143
Sept 18 147 So very close to 1%
Sept 19 127 and as of now we are negative for the real time number. - 15 blocks which is close to -4% !!!
Sept 20 124 so we are - 35 blocks as of last night.
Sept 21 130 so we are -49
Sept 22 162 and that is plus 18 so we are at -31
Sept 23 155 plus 11 brings us to -20
Sept 24 137 minus 7 brings us to -27 as of 10 pm last night
Sept 25. 167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday
Sept 26 152 plus 8 brings us to plus 4 as of 10 pm sat
Sept 27 144 even we are plus 4 blocks as of 1130 pm sun
Sept 28 140 -4 and how about that a big fat 0 - or +
Sept 29 170 + 26 blocks so we are now + 26 blocks
Sept 30 154 + 10 so we are +36
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+2.02%)
This is about 11.4 hours. .
1944 blocks are made normal is 1908 so we are around (+1.88%)
we made about 145-146 blocks today. so under 2% looks possible.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+2.19%)
Adjust time: After 86 Blocks, About 13.6 hours
+0.76% to +1.00% flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% alh --------------- I gave you this as Biodom had your pick sooner
+1.51% to +1.75% tss
+1.76% to +2.00% Biodom
+2.01% to +2.25% HerbPean
+2.26% to +2.50% edonkey
+2.51% to +2.75% Questor
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% wlefever
looks like the winner will be from the ones above.
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty (+2.19%)
Adjust time: After 86 Blocks, About 13.6 hours
+0.76% to +1.00% flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25% mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50% alh --------------- I gave you this as Biodom had your pick sooner
+1.51% to +1.75% tss
+1.76% to +2.00% Biodom
+2.01% to +2.25% HerbPean
+2.26% to +2.50% edonkey
+2.51% to +2.75% Questor
+2.76% to +3.00% ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25% wlefever
looks like the winner will be from the ones above.
Perhaps well as it is was left hanging out to dry this round ha-ha guess it was a tad to soon to call that.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,677,521,610 (+2.26%)
Adjust time: After 177 Blocks, About 1.1 days
Hashrate(?): 463,788,308 GH/s
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,677,521,610 (+2.26%)
Adjust time: After 177 Blocks, About 1.1 days
Hashrate(?): 463,788,308 GH/s
so, you are telling me there is a chance...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-9IgLueodZA
Thats how I feel about my S7's shipping on time, haha!
Perhaps well as it is was left hanging out to dry this round ha-ha guess it was a tad to soon to call that.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,677,521,610 (+2.26%)
Adjust time: After 177 Blocks, About 1.1 days
Hashrate(?): 463,788,308 GH/s
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,677,521,610 (+2.26%)
Adjust time: After 177 Blocks, About 1.1 days
Hashrate(?): 463,788,308 GH/s
so, you are telling me there is a chance...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-9IgLueodZA
Perhaps well as it is was left hanging out to dry this round ha-ha guess it was a tad to soon to call that.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,677,521,610 (+2.26%)
Adjust time: After 177 Blocks, About 1.1 days
Hashrate(?): 463,788,308 GH/s
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,677,521,610 (+2.26%)
Adjust time: After 177 Blocks, About 1.1 days
Hashrate(?): 463,788,308 GH/s
http://btc.blockr.io/charts
Sept 17 143
Sept 18 147 So very close to 1%
Sept 19 127 and as of now we are negative for the real time number. - 15 blocks which is close to -4% !!!
Sept 20 124 so we are - 35 blocks as of last night.
Sept 21 130 so we are -49
Sept 22 162 and that is plus 18 so we are at -31
Sept 23 155 plus 11 brings us to -20
Sept 24 137 minus 7 brings us to -27 as of 10 pm last night
Sept 25. 167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday
Sept 26 152 plus 8 brings us to plus 4 as of 10 pm sat
Sept 27 144 even we are plus 4 blocks as of 1130 pm sun
Sept 28 140 -4 and how about that a big fat 0 - or +
Sept 29 170 + 26 blocks so we are now + 26 blocks
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+2.07%)
we made 1802 blocks and have 214 left.
This is about 1.4 days. .
that 2.07% is off by 0.60% as the real time number of 1802 blocks made vs 1776 = +1.464%
So with the weekend over and a ton of s-7's turning up we have had a 1.46% jump in 1 day. so if we wail away and have a second 170 block day we could push 3% this jump.
Sept 17 143
Sept 18 147 So very close to 1%
Sept 19 127 and as of now we are negative for the real time number. - 15 blocks which is close to -4% !!!
Sept 20 124 so we are - 35 blocks as of last night.
Sept 21 130 so we are -49
Sept 22 162 and that is plus 18 so we are at -31
Sept 23 155 plus 11 brings us to -20
Sept 24 137 minus 7 brings us to -27 as of 10 pm last night
Sept 25. 167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday
Sept 26 152 plus 8 brings us to plus 4 as of 10 pm sat
Sept 27 144 even we are plus 4 blocks as of 1130 pm sun
Sept 28 140 -4 and how about that a big fat 0 - or +
Sept 29 170 + 26 blocks so we are now + 26 blocks
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+2.07%)
we made 1802 blocks and have 214 left.
This is about 1.4 days. .
that 2.07% is off by 0.60% as the real time number of 1802 blocks made vs 1776 = +1.464%
So with the weekend over and a ton of s-7's turning up we have had a 1.46% jump in 1 day. so if we wail away and have a second 170 block day we could push 3% this jump.
Difficulty is still not looking to bad on bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,756,105,068 (+2.39%)
Adjust time: After 223 Blocks, About 1.5 days
Hashrate(?): 452,368,788 GH/s
So appear not a lot of S7 plugged in like I was afraid of. Maybe we have till batch 2 and 3 before another 5 jump hopefully.
Price is hanging around 237. So not bad, hopefully we have a nice slow increase.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,756,105,068 (+2.39%)
Adjust time: After 223 Blocks, About 1.5 days
Hashrate(?): 452,368,788 GH/s
So appear not a lot of S7 plugged in like I was afraid of. Maybe we have till batch 2 and 3 before another 5 jump hopefully.
Price is hanging around 237. So not bad, hopefully we have a nice slow increase.
If I am reading things right, we might also get a brief respite for the 1st half of the next adjustment. Supposedly Bitmain will be on holiday Oct 1 through Oct 8th. While I expect stuff that is shipped will arrive, there should be a 1 week hiatus on S7 production. I have to beleive that will manifest itself in some positive way (e.g. smaller difficulty increase).
Sound more likely to me that the S7 production is outsourced and they already have 2 whole batches on the way. During the next 2 weeks its Batch 1 that will hit doors, then after that it will be Batch 2 and 3. I don't see much respite here.
The Batch 1 already being in the mail won't pause for a holiday =/
If I am reading things right, we might also get a brief respite for the 1st half of the next adjustment. Supposedly Bitmain will be on holiday Oct 1 through Oct 8th. While I expect stuff that is shipped will arrive, there should be a 1 week hiatus on S7 production. I have to beleive that will manifest itself in some positive way (e.g. smaller difficulty increase).
Looks like Bitmain purchased BTC.com from ole homero lol..
Spooky...
At least they put it to good use. But I think their diff estimate is even worse than BitcoinWisdom's:
https://chain.btc.com/en/stats/diff
Quote
(+4.90%) 62.24 G
Unless they know something we don't, e.g. how many S7++ they are going to deploy today and tomorrow LOL
I would agree chances of S7's in mail and making this jump is slim chance. I do think we will see a jump from orders on S7's just not to that extent.
Sadly BTC around 238 never did hit over 240 last night, which I was hoping for.
Looks like Bitmain purchased BTC.com from ole homero lol..
Spooky...
At least they put it to good use. But I think their diff estimate is even worse than BitcoinWisdom's:
https://chain.btc.com/en/stats/diff
Quote
(+4.90%) 62.24 G
Unless they know something we don't, e.g. how many S7++ they are going to deploy today and tomorrow LOL
seen this posted the other day.. Looks like Bitmain purchased BTC.com from ole homero lol.. Anyway it looks like f2pool got a huge push in hash last few days.. https://chain.btc.com/en/stats/pool?pool_mode=day3
Lost of nice stats and graphs on this site.
edit: chain.so shows us at 511.43 PH/s.. could just be another spike of variance like it was a week back or so.
Best Regards
d57heinz
Lost of nice stats and graphs on this site.
edit: chain.so shows us at 511.43 PH/s.. could just be another spike of variance like it was a week back or so.
Best Regards
d57heinz
pace has picked up
https://blockchain.info/blocks
376674 (Main Chain) 2015-09-29 11:47:30
376588 (Main Chain) 2015-09-29 00:01:33
87 blocks should be 71 in this amount of time this could be a 176 block day
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficultyBitcoin (+2.01%)
Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,527,225,267 (+2.01%)
Adjust time: After 319 Blocks, About 2.1 days
Hashrate(?): 441,035,725 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.4 minutes
6 blocks: 56.9 minutes
Updated: 7:50 (4.1 minutes ago)
https://blockchain.info/blocks
376674 (Main Chain) 2015-09-29 11:47:30
376588 (Main Chain) 2015-09-29 00:01:33
87 blocks should be 71 in this amount of time this could be a 176 block day
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficultyBitcoin (+2.01%)
Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,527,225,267 (+2.01%)
Adjust time: After 319 Blocks, About 2.1 days
Hashrate(?): 441,035,725 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 9.5 minutes
3 blocks: 28.4 minutes
6 blocks: 56.9 minutes
Updated: 7:50 (4.1 minutes ago)
1 block every 10 mins is 6 blocks an hour* is 144 a day,
This may be a horribly stupid question but how do you get the 144 number that it should have been? It seems like it would change which each difficulty change.
*6 blocks an hour x 24 hours a day is 144...
The expected blocks solved per day is irrespective of difficulty, it's what you would expect if a block was solved every 10 minutes exactly.
and cakir explained the other part already.
Night bitwisdom:
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,443,097,899 (+1.87%)
Adjust time: After 379 Blocks, About 2.5 days
Hashrate(?): 438,139,628 GH/s
So I really like that if we could get under 2 that would be amazing. But likely there are still enough batch 1 S7's being delivered we likely will be over 2.
Price around 238. It teased us and got under a dollar away from 240 but never did get to it.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty: 60,443,097,899 (+1.87%)
Adjust time: After 379 Blocks, About 2.5 days
Hashrate(?): 438,139,628 GH/s
So I really like that if we could get under 2 that would be amazing. But likely there are still enough batch 1 S7's being delivered we likely will be over 2.
Price around 238. It teased us and got under a dollar away from 240 but never did get to it.
so far today in 22 hours and 20 min which should be 134 blocks
we made 376576 - 376445 = 132 blocks not that bad
https://blockchain.info/blocks
we made 376576 - 376445 = 132 blocks not that bad
https://blockchain.info/blocks
I always love your updates thank you for doing them. I have wondered how do you get the number we should be at? Is it a website your going to or are you doing some math by hand?
1 block every 10 mins is 6 blocks an hour is 144 a day, so start at midnight being 0 blocks for the day and depending what time of day it is you can easily figure out how many blocks "should have been" solved already. At least I'm guessing that's how he does it.
I really enjoy this thread and the updates, too. Watching the diff is just part of the fun of bitcoin. /popcorn
This may be a horribly stupid question but how do you get the 144 number that it should have been? It seems like it would change which each difficulty change. I'm not clicking on how you get the "should be" number.
And thank you for taking time to help me understand it, I'm just wanting to be able to calculate it myself.
Quote
so far today in 22 hours and 20 min which should be 134 blocks
we made 376576 - 376445 = 132 blocks not that bad
we made 376576 - 376445 = 132 blocks not that bad
Check the date of block 376445; it's 2015-09-28 00:03:37 (First block of the day)
https://blockchain.info/block/00000000000000000c91485e60e4bbf4143c7993c7d53c6e36493dde7b1b99ca
Check the date of block 376576; it's 2015-09-28 22:19:20 (Last block at the given time)
https://blockchain.info/block/00000000000000000b304a89e75f6174f2aeb551fee3338416f020e6fff9e096
Approximately 22 hours and 20 minutes passed between those blocks.
Now; Multiply the hours by 6 and divide the minutes by 10 then calculate the sum: 22*6 + 20/10 = 134 blocks should be found. (That's average, proposed by Satoshi Nakamoto)
But; Check the block count by calculating the difference between block heights: 376576 - 376445 = 132
That shows 2 blocks away from the average.
Wow thank you for doing this! Truly made it easy to understand. I think i now can calculate it. Bookmarked this even
Thanks again for your time doing it. We are less then a dollar away from 240.... crossing fingers for 240 value hopefully in near future.
yeah the explanations above fit pretty much exact. I always like to play with math especially when money gets involved. (hence my accounting degree)
so far today in 22 hours and 20 min which should be 134 blocks
we made 376576 - 376445 = 132 blocks not that bad
https://blockchain.info/blocks
we made 376576 - 376445 = 132 blocks not that bad
https://blockchain.info/blocks
I always love your updates thank you for doing them. I have wondered how do you get the number we should be at? Is it a website your going to or are you doing some math by hand?
1 block every 10 mins is 6 blocks an hour is 144 a day, so start at midnight being 0 blocks for the day and depending what time of day it is you can easily figure out how many blocks "should have been" solved already. At least I'm guessing that's how he does it.
I really enjoy this thread and the updates, too. Watching the diff is just part of the fun of bitcoin. /popcorn
This may be a horribly stupid question but how do you get the 144 number that it should have been? It seems like it would change which each difficulty change. I'm not clicking on how you get the "should be" number.
And thank you for taking time to help me understand it, I'm just wanting to be able to calculate it myself.
Quote
so far today in 22 hours and 20 min which should be 134 blocks
we made 376576 - 376445 = 132 blocks not that bad
we made 376576 - 376445 = 132 blocks not that bad
Check the date of block 376445; it's 2015-09-28 00:03:37 (First block of the day)
https://blockchain.info/block/00000000000000000c91485e60e4bbf4143c7993c7d53c6e36493dde7b1b99ca
Check the date of block 376576; it's 2015-09-28 22:19:20 (Last block at the given time)
https://blockchain.info/block/00000000000000000b304a89e75f6174f2aeb551fee3338416f020e6fff9e096
Approximately 22 hours and 20 minutes passed between those blocks.
Now; Multiply the hours by 6 and divide the minutes by 10 then calculate the sum: 22*6 + 20/10 = 134 blocks should be found. (That's average, proposed by Satoshi Nakamoto)
But; Check the block count by calculating the difference between block heights: 376576 - 376445 = 132
That shows 2 blocks away from the average.
Wow thank you for doing this! Truly made it easy to understand. I think i now can calculate it. Bookmarked this even
Thanks again for your time doing it. We are less then a dollar away from 240.... crossing fingers for 240 value hopefully in near future.
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