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Topic: Diff thread sept 17th. to sept 30th Picks are closed!! - page 4. (Read 7083 times)

hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    59,905,746,706 (+0.96%)
Adjust time:    After 815 Blocks, About 5.6 days
Hashrate(?):    453,913,113 GH/s

with the remaining time it can reach even and maybe 3%?
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'


http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20    124   so we are   - 35 blocks  as of last night.

Sept 21    130  so  we are -49

Sept 22    162  and that is plus 18  so we are at -31

Sept 23    155 plus 11   brings us to    -20

Sept 24    137 minus 7  brings us to  -27  as of 10 pm last night

Sept 25.    167 plus 23 brings us to -4 as of 10 pm Friday


  

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (+0.42%)

we made 1194 blocks and have 822  left.


This is about 4-5 days. .  If s-7 ships the weekend may slow shipping so sat and sun may be decent.  Then a big jump on Monday
hero member
Activity: 689
Merit: 501

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20    124   so we are   - 35 blocks  as of last night.

Sept 21    130  so  we are -49

Sept 22    162  and that is plus 18  so we are at -31

Sept 23    155 plus 11   brings us to    -20

Sept 24    137 minus 7  brings us to  -27  as of 10 pm last night

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (-0.42%)

we made 1089 blocks and have 927 left
+0.06% right now.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
In terms of hashnest and other internal Bitmain mining facilities, I expect those folks received their S7 boxes in the last couple of months. Wherever they were selling used S5's from, had already received an S7 replacement.

Are you saying that the worst hashrate spike is behind us? Smiley

No, I am just saying that Bitmain has been enjoying reduced energy costs as they phased in S7's over the last couple of months. The S7, and all the other new gear are going to push difficulty plenty hard. In terms of percentages, it probably won't be as bad as 2013-2014, only because the hashrate and difficulty are so high already . I wonder if the ASIC vendors are thinking the market could cool considerably as the halving approaches next year. Best to make them $$$$ now, while the selling is good.

I think we can quit worrying about a difficulty decrease for a while. It was keeping awake at night....  Smiley Smiley

I think bitmain would have been pretty easy to use them internally.  I still think they kept S5+ design as they could easily do internal S7+'s.  They can use 3 S7's and one controller.   

I still am not sure we are done with the 5 percent increases.  I think batch 2 or internal S7's will do a decent spike yet.  And when ever SP50 becomes something shipped out... that will sting chances are on difficulty raise.
alh
legendary
Activity: 1846
Merit: 1052
In terms of hashnest and other internal Bitmain mining facilities, I expect those folks received their S7 boxes in the last couple of months. Wherever they were selling used S5's from, had already received an S7 replacement.

Are you saying that the worst hashrate spike is behind us? Smiley

No, I am just saying that Bitmain has been enjoying reduced energy costs as they phased in S7's over the last couple of months. The S7, and all the other new gear are going to push difficulty plenty hard. In terms of percentages, it probably won't be as bad as 2013-2014, only because the hashrate and difficulty are so high already . I wonder if the ASIC vendors are thinking the market could cool considerably as the halving approaches next year. Best to make them $$$$ now, while the selling is good.

I think we can quit worrying about a difficulty decrease for a while. It was keeping awake at night....  Smiley Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1068
In terms of hashnest and other internal Bitmain mining facilities, I expect those folks received their S7 boxes in the last couple of months. Wherever they were selling used S5's from, had already received an S7 replacement.

Are you saying that the worst hashrate spike is behind us? Smiley

Probably not, it's highly likely Bitmain will ramp up production and drop the price sharply on S7. I speculate on this because other companies now came up with a retort for the S7 and i'm afraid Bitmain is going to have to beat them in quantity over quality with a S7+ or such.

Basically Spoondoolies is comming out with a 0.15W/GH, bitfury something even lower. So i'm not sure when they will be available by the unit or if at all but they are obtainable as bulk, so you will probably be seeing resellers sell those to home-ish/small miner operations relatively shortly after their release.

Basically what i'm saying is, we're looking at another hardware war and i don't think this could equate to a low difficulty increase in any way.
legendary
Activity: 3654
Merit: 8909
https://bpip.org
In terms of hashnest and other internal Bitmain mining facilities, I expect those folks received their S7 boxes in the last couple of months. Wherever they were selling used S5's from, had already received an S7 replacement.

Are you saying that the worst hashrate spike is behind us? Smiley
alh
legendary
Activity: 1846
Merit: 1052
In terms of hashnest and other internal Bitmain mining facilities, I expect those folks received their S7 boxes in the last couple of months. Wherever they were selling used S5's from, had already received an S7 replacement.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Bitwisdom still does not seem everyone has gotten their S7's

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    58,800,027,102 (-0.90%)
Adjust time:    After 985 Blocks, About 7.0 days
Hashrate(?):    445,562,864 GH/s

I keep expecting to see it and a big jump.   But has not happened yet.

Beside, i doubt that the first batch included thousands and thousands of S7s. By that i mean 1000 S7 is still only 5PH/s, so its not even 1% raise.

It might have been only hashnest that received 1k unit and there were a few more thousands units sold and shipped but that sound a bit of a feat in 10 days, so i'm guessing it would not be something like 5% raise just from Batch 1 S7.

Did someone work out how many S7 orders they took by following the blocktrail?

Around 600 but I stopped checking.  So it may be up to 1000.

The big thing I wonder is how many they will have internally.   It seems like with their own mines and hashnest it would be quite a few.

Some day I would expect they upgrade S2's to something.  But I think they are still profitable at the low prices chances are that they pay. 
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'

http://btc.blockr.io/charts

Sept 17    143

Sept 18    147   So very close to 1%

Sept 19    127   and as of now we are negative for the real  time number.  - 15 blocks  which is close to -4% !!!

Sept 20    124   so we are   - 35 blocks  as of last night.

Sept 21    130  so  we are -49

Sept 22    162  and that is plus 18  so we are at -31

Sept 23    155 plus 11   brings us to    -20

Sept 24    137 minus 7  brings us to  -27  as of 10 pm last night

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty is at (-0.42%)

we made 1089 blocks and have 927 left
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
Bitwisdom still does not seem everyone has gotten their S7's

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    58,800,027,102 (-0.90%)
Adjust time:    After 985 Blocks, About 7.0 days
Hashrate(?):    445,562,864 GH/s

I keep expecting to see it and a big jump.   But has not happened yet.

Beside, i doubt that the first batch included thousands and thousands of S7s. By that i mean 1000 S7 is still only 5PH/s, so its not even 1% raise.

It might have been only hashnest that received 1k unit and there were a few more thousands units sold and shipped but that sound a bit of a feat in 10 days, so i'm guessing it would not be something like 5% raise just from Batch 1 S7.

Did someone work out how many S7 orders they took by following the blocktrail?

Around 600 but I stopped checking.  So it may be up to 1000.
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1068
Bitwisdom still does not seem everyone has gotten their S7's

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    58,800,027,102 (-0.90%)
Adjust time:    After 985 Blocks, About 7.0 days
Hashrate(?):    445,562,864 GH/s

I keep expecting to see it and a big jump.   But has not happened yet.

Beside, i doubt that the first batch included thousands and thousands of S7s. By that i mean 1000 S7 is still only 5PH/s, so its not even 1% raise.

It might have been only hashnest that received 1k unit and there were a few more thousands units sold and shipped but that sound a bit of a feat in 10 days, so i'm guessing it would not be something like 5% raise just from Batch 1 S7.

Did someone work out how many S7 orders they took by following the blocktrail?
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Bitwisdom still does not seem everyone has gotten their S7's

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    58,800,027,102 (-0.90%)
Adjust time:    After 985 Blocks, About 7.0 days
Hashrate(?):    445,562,864 GH/s

I keep expecting to see it and a big jump.   But has not happened yet.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'

- 3.26% to -3.50%   majestymage


-1.76% to  -2.00%   grn

-1.26% to  -1.50%   Tupsu
-1.01% to -1.25%    philipma1957
-0.76% to -1.00%    Last of the V8s
-0.51% to -0.75%    kolesozw
-0.26% to -0.50%   n30111
-0.01% to -0.25%   tlhIlwI


+0.01% to +0.25%  cakir
+0.26% to +0.50%  Kexkey
+0.51% to +0.75%  zebedee
+0.76% to +1.00%  flikflak
+1.01% to +1.25%  mavericklm
+1.26% to +1.50%  alh --------------- I gave you this as Biodom had your pick sooner
+1.51% to +1.75%  tss
+1.76% to +2.00%  Biodom
+2.01% to +2.25%  HerbPean
+2.26% to +2.50%  edonkey
+2.51% to +2.75%  Questor
+2.76% to +3.00%  ezeminer
+3.01% to +3.25%  wlefever
+3.26% to +3.50%  lolxxxx - corrected
+3.51% to +3.75%  RichBC
+3.76% to +4.00% Mikestang
+4.01% to +4.25% notlist3d
+4.26% to +4.50% torepia - corrected

+4.76% to +5.00% VirosaGITS
+5.01% to +5.25% DanielRo
+5.26% to  +5.50% wpt1wpt1


+8.26% to +8.50% EternalWingsofGod

looks like spot +4.50% to 4.75% was not taken
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
I'm expecting only a little diff raise (+0.26% to +0.50% probably) but all slots are taken. I think -0.50 to -0.25 is my best shot right now. Negative difficulty is still a possibility.

you are the last one in.
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
I'm expecting only a little diff raise (+0.26% to +0.50% probably) but all slots are taken. I think -0.50 to -0.25 is my best shot right now. Negative difficulty is still a possibility.
sr. member
Activity: 305
Merit: 250
-0.01 to -0.25 please.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1000
Bitwisdom slowly going up:

Bitcoin Difficulty:    59,335,351,234
Estimated Next Difficulty:    58,839,841,526 (-0.84%)
Adjust time:    After 1132 Blocks, About 8.1 days
Hashrate(?):    434,365,705 GH/

I think the S7's have hit some door's.   Will be interesting to watch next day or two.
legendary
Activity: 4256
Merit: 8551
'The right to privacy matters'
In case folks haven't seen it, Spondoolies has decided to return fire at Bitmain, with their 100+ TH SP50 monster. Looks to me like the ASIC arms race will resume. No date or price yet on shipment, so I think this adjustment will not reflect any SP50's. Eventually they will show up and push difficulty to new heights.

well there is some hope with these in that no one knows when they drop.  

maybe next week.
maybe next month.
maybe nov.
maybe dec.

an awful lot of money riding on one controller.

I would prefer an Intel nuc as the controller

alh
legendary
Activity: 1846
Merit: 1052
In case folks haven't seen it, Spondoolies has decided to return fire at Bitmain, with their 100+ TH SP50 monster. Looks to me like the ASIC arms race will resume. No date or price yet on shipment, so I think this adjustment will not reflect any SP50's. Eventually they will show up and push difficulty to new heights.
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