https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,019,593,143,047 (-7.60%)
Adjust time: After 40 Blocks, About 7.2 hours
Hashrate(?): 7,517,993,954 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.8 minutes
3 blocks: 32.5 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 13:55 (4.2 minutes ago)
maybe 8pm EST
Topic: Difficulty contest Sept.18 Prize a sealed Trezor wallet. Picks are closed. - page 2. (Read 3740 times)
October 01, 2017, 12:59:59 PM
October 01, 2017, 11:57:07 AM
Wow I was way off but I'm certainly not complaining!
I'll second that from further off
October 01, 2017, 10:48:28 AM
Wow I was way off but I'm certainly not complaining!
September 30, 2017, 01:21:16 PM
Looking for sure to be a pretty good decrease.....
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,041,497,382,391 (-5.61%)
Adjust time: After 169 Blocks, About 1.3 days
Hashrate(?): 8,147,419,773 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.7 minutes
3 blocks: 31.9 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 12:25 (6.7 minutes ago)
Based on the interesting link provided by abeandund, it looks like several hours ago, there was a huge drop in BCC difficulty. A couple of hours after that. there was a massive influx of hash rate. That increase obviously didn't come from hardware being installed and deployed, nor was it likely "idle hardware". It obviously was existing hashrate that was re-deployed. So until the next upward BCC adjustment, or the next BTC adjustment down, I expect BCC will have very short confirmation time because it's massive hash-rate (for now).
This is such an interesting dynamic to watch, though probably not good for BTC long term.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,041,497,382,391 (-5.61%)
Adjust time: After 169 Blocks, About 1.3 days
Hashrate(?): 8,147,419,773 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.7 minutes
3 blocks: 31.9 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 12:25 (6.7 minutes ago)
Based on the interesting link provided by abeandund, it looks like several hours ago, there was a huge drop in BCC difficulty. A couple of hours after that. there was a massive influx of hash rate. That increase obviously didn't come from hardware being installed and deployed, nor was it likely "idle hardware". It obviously was existing hashrate that was re-deployed. So until the next upward BCC adjustment, or the next BTC adjustment down, I expect BCC will have very short confirmation time because it's massive hash-rate (for now).
This is such an interesting dynamic to watch, though probably not good for BTC long term.
this dynamic shows all coins are truly alt coins.
what it means for BTC I have plenty of ?'s and not many answers.
I think it is good for all coins overall.
487706 (Main Chain) 2017-09-30 18:08:06
485856 (Main Chain) 2017-09-18 06:31:16
1850 coins made in 13 days 11.5 hours
12 x 144 = 1872
11.5 x 6 = 69
0% diff = 1941 blocks we are at 1850 so we are 91 blocks short of 0%
September 30, 2017, 12:41:52 PM
Looking for sure to be a pretty good decrease.....
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,041,497,382,391 (-5.61%)
Adjust time: After 169 Blocks, About 1.3 days
Hashrate(?): 8,147,419,773 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.7 minutes
3 blocks: 31.9 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 12:25 (6.7 minutes ago)
Based on the interesting link provided by abeandund, it looks like several hours ago, there was a huge drop in BCC difficulty. A couple of hours after that. there was a massive influx of hash rate. That increase obviously didn't come from hardware being installed and deployed, nor was it likely "idle hardware". It obviously was existing hashrate that was re-deployed. So until the next upward BCC adjustment, or the next BTC adjustment down, I expect BCC will have very short confirmation time because it's massive hash-rate (for now).
This is such an interesting dynamic to watch, though probably not good for BTC long term.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,041,497,382,391 (-5.61%)
Adjust time: After 169 Blocks, About 1.3 days
Hashrate(?): 8,147,419,773 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.7 minutes
3 blocks: 31.9 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 12:25 (6.7 minutes ago)
Based on the interesting link provided by abeandund, it looks like several hours ago, there was a huge drop in BCC difficulty. A couple of hours after that. there was a massive influx of hash rate. That increase obviously didn't come from hardware being installed and deployed, nor was it likely "idle hardware". It obviously was existing hashrate that was re-deployed. So until the next upward BCC adjustment, or the next BTC adjustment down, I expect BCC will have very short confirmation time because it's massive hash-rate (for now).
This is such an interesting dynamic to watch, though probably not good for BTC long term.
September 29, 2017, 10:07:21 PM
current picks below are good
-2.6 = Landy1264
-2.5 = pusttiu
-2.4 = HerbPean
-2.1 = buyandhold
-2.0 = HagssFIN
-1.3 =VRobb
-1.2 =philipma1957
-1.0 =vapourminer
-0.5 = Philopolymath correction done
-0.2 = Tomintx
1.2 = generalt
1.7 = buwaytress
2.0 = leowonderful
3.2 = Psi
4.5=abeandund
New contest picks to end at block 516.
gray line on chart is deep in negative territory
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/assets/difficulty/bitcoin-hash_rate.png?1506461403
-2.6 = Landy1264
-2.5 = pusttiu
-2.4 = HerbPean
-2.1 = buyandhold
-2.0 = HagssFIN
-1.3 =VRobb
-1.2 =philipma1957
-1.0 =vapourminer
-0.5 = Philopolymath correction done
-0.2 = Tomintx
1.2 = generalt
1.7 = buwaytress
2.0 = leowonderful
3.2 = Psi
4.5=abeandund
New contest picks to end at block 516.
Experimental Image Contribution:
Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.
Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.
gray line on chart is deep in negative territory
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/assets/difficulty/bitcoin-hash_rate.png?1506461403
so picks are closed now
and all of us are too high
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,049,092,884,488 (-4.92%)
Adjust time: After 465 Blocks, About 3.5 days
Hashrate(?): 7,242,971,777 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.8 minutes
3 blocks: 32.5 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 17:30 (4.5 minutes ago)
we dropped a bit
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,057,789,095,435 (-4.13%)
Adjust time: After 248 Blocks, About 1.8 days
Hashrate(?): 8,153,311,803 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.4 minutes
3 blocks: 31.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.0 hours
Updated: 23:5 (2.0 minutes ago)
September 29, 2017, 05:23:25 PM
While I completely spaced on getting in my pick, the gray trend line on bitcoinwisdom looks like we have had a bunch of hash rate arrive, presumably re-purposed from BCC mining. Is there a good way to tell if that's accurate? Is there a "BCC wisdom" equivalent? It would seem you could better correlate a BTC hashrate increase with a recent positive jump in BCC difficulty, and then the reverse when BCC difficulty drops.
Just some random thoughts......
fork.lol is a handy site for this http://fork.lol/pow/hashrateJust some random thoughts......
or this one to see if/when anyone is on the cash chain: https://statocashi.info/dashboard/db/mining?orgId=1
September 29, 2017, 03:06:08 PM
While I completely spaced on getting in my pick, the gray trend line on bitcoinwisdom looks like we have had a bunch of hash rate arrive, presumably re-purposed from BCC mining. Is there a good way to tell if that's accurate? Is there a "BCC wisdom" equivalent? It would seem you could better correlate a BTC hashrate increase with a recent positive jump in BCC difficulty, and then the reverse when BCC difficulty drops.
Just some random thoughts......
fork.lol is a handy site for this http://fork.lol/pow/hashrate Just some random thoughts......
September 29, 2017, 02:18:52 PM
While I completely spaced on getting in my pick, the gray trend line on bitcoinwisdom looks like we have had a bunch of hash rate arrive, presumably re-purposed from BCC mining. Is there a good way to tell if that's accurate? Is there a "BCC wisdom" equivalent? It would seem you could better correlate a BTC hashrate increase with a recent positive jump in BCC difficulty, and then the reverse when BCC difficulty drops.
Just some random thoughts......
Just some random thoughts......
September 29, 2017, 08:30:54 AM
Drifted to about -5.0%
heh. good for btc miners, sucks for us contestants
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,050,635,868,389 (-4.78%)
Adjust time: After 359 Blocks, About 2.7 days
Hashrate(?): 7,655,696,572 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.7 minutes
3 blocks: 32.0 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 9:25 (4.6 minutes ago)
We still could have a winner
The gray line is rising
the shift back to btc is happening:
September 29, 2017, 07:52:49 AM
Drifted to about -5.0%
heh. good for btc miners, sucks for us contestants
September 28, 2017, 10:42:11 PM
Drifted to about -5.0%
September 28, 2017, 04:32:43 PM
current picks below are good
-2.6 = Landy1264
-2.5 = pusttiu
-2.4 = HerbPean
-2.1 = buyandhold
-2.0 = HagssFIN
-1.3 =VRobb
-1.2 =philipma1957
-1.0 =vapourminer
-0.5 = Philopolymath correction done
-0.2 = Tomintx
1.2 = generalt
1.7 = buwaytress
2.0 = leowonderful
3.2 = Psi
4.5=abeandund
New contest picks to end at block 516.
gray line on chart is deep in negative territory
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/assets/difficulty/bitcoin-hash_rate.png?1506461403
-2.6 = Landy1264
-2.5 = pusttiu
-2.4 = HerbPean
-2.1 = buyandhold
-2.0 = HagssFIN
-1.3 =VRobb
-1.2 =philipma1957
-1.0 =vapourminer
-0.5 = Philopolymath correction done
-0.2 = Tomintx
1.2 = generalt
1.7 = buwaytress
2.0 = leowonderful
3.2 = Psi
4.5=abeandund
New contest picks to end at block 516.
Experimental Image Contribution:
Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.
Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.
gray line on chart is deep in negative territory
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/assets/difficulty/bitcoin-hash_rate.png?1506461403
so picks are closed now
and all of us are too high
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,049,092,884,488 (-4.92%)
Adjust time: After 465 Blocks, About 3.5 days
Hashrate(?): 7,242,971,777 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.8 minutes
3 blocks: 32.5 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated: 17:30 (4.5 minutes ago)
September 28, 2017, 08:45:24 AM
A few more blocks and picks close.
September 28, 2017, 04:38:38 AM
-2.5 = pusttiu
September 27, 2017, 03:23:40 PM
current picks below are good
-2.6 = Landy1264
-2.4 = HerbPean
-2.1 = buyandhold
-2.0 = HagssFIN
-1.3 =VRobb
-1.2 =philipma1957
-1.0 =vapourminer
-0.5 = Philopolymath correction done
-0.2 = Tomintx
1.2 = generalt
1.7 = buwaytress
2.0 = leowonderful
3.2 = Psi
4.5=abeandund
New contest picks to end at block 516.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,062,529,697,732 (-3.70%)
Adjust time: After 642 Blocks, About 4.8 days .................... picking ends at 516
Hashrate(?): 6,784,077,715 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.8 minutes
3 blocks: 32.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:
gray line on chart is deep in negative territory
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/assets/difficulty/bitcoin-hash_rate.png?1506461403
-2.6 = Landy1264
-2.4 = HerbPean
-2.1 = buyandhold
-2.0 = HagssFIN
-1.3 =VRobb
-1.2 =philipma1957
-1.0 =vapourminer
-0.5 = Philopolymath correction done
-0.2 = Tomintx
1.2 = generalt
1.7 = buwaytress
2.0 = leowonderful
3.2 = Psi
4.5=abeandund
New contest picks to end at block 516.
Experimental Image Contribution:
Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.
Let's see how this holds up over time.
If it works well enough, feel free to quote it Phil.
Bitcoin Difficulty: 1,103,400,932,964
Estimated Next Difficulty: 1,062,529,697,732 (-3.70%)
Adjust time: After 642 Blocks, About 4.8 days .................... picking ends at 516
Hashrate(?): 6,784,077,715 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 10.8 minutes
3 blocks: 32.2 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:
gray line on chart is deep in negative territory
https://bitcoinwisdom.com/assets/difficulty/bitcoin-hash_rate.png?1506461403
September 27, 2017, 02:37:37 PM
Let's go with an even number guess. 
-2.0 = HagssFIN
-2.0 = HagssFIN
September 27, 2017, 12:57:15 PM
6.9 spread so far. -2.4 to +4.5
is this one of the biggest spreads the contest has had?
The way things are going right now not surprised spread is pretty large. I guess EDA is just a "feature" of BCH now and it's just a cash cow for miners. At least it's delaying difficulty rises somewhat for us regular miners.is this one of the biggest spreads the contest has had?
Not sure about it and the effect it will have on prices.
I now mine both coins as I don't want to get smacked by a huge price swing on either coin.
One thing about bcc if you feel lucking you can solo mine it with a better chance of a block.
I solo mine it 4 or 5 hours once a week.
no the diff is 8x lower.
so 14th on bcc is like 112th on btc
September 27, 2017, 12:42:13 PM
6.9 spread so far. -2.4 to +4.5
is this one of the biggest spreads the contest has had?
The way things are going right now not surprised spread is pretty large. I guess EDA is just a "feature" of BCH now and it's just a cash cow for miners. At least it's delaying difficulty rises somewhat for us regular miners.is this one of the biggest spreads the contest has had?
Not sure about it and the effect it will have on prices.
I now mine both coins as I don't want to get smacked by a huge price swing on either coin.
One thing about bcc if you feel lucking you can solo mine it with a better chance of a block.
I solo mine it 4 or 5 hours once a week.
September 27, 2017, 11:49:50 AM
6.9 spread so far. -2.4 to +4.5
is this one of the biggest spreads the contest has had?
The way things are going right now not surprised spread is pretty large. I guess EDA is just a "feature" of BCH now and it's just a cash cow for miners. At least it's delaying difficulty rises somewhat for us regular miners.is this one of the biggest spreads the contest has had?
Not sure about it and the effect it will have on prices.
I now mine both coins as I don't want to get smacked by a huge price swing on either coin.
One thing about bcc if you feel lucking you can solo mine it with a better chance of a block.
I solo mine it 4 or 5 hours once a week.
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