There is not a set formula for mining profitability. I thought your analysis was interesting HR. However, it didn't match my real world data using scrypt ASIC. Mining can't be analyzed as an independent activity from trading or from a larger systemic approach to investing, supporting, and engaging with DGB. I spent a significant amount of money on my current ASIC rig. Around the time it was delivered, the support forums for the company were filled with people saying that it could never be profitable. Here I am, 2 calendar years later, and I'm still theoretically in profits mining DGB. I say theoretically because I don't sell to pay for operating costs.
Your work with support and analysis is fantastic. It is a huge benefit to have you working on behalf of DGB.
To directly address the points in your previous post ... GPU (and CPU) can be profitable. Clearly it's not the best choice if you try to compete directly with ASIC. But, it can squeak out a a profit with the non-ASIC algorithms when it is done with care and thought in the process of mining DGB. ASIC mining is not necessarily bad. Neither is GPU or CPU necessarily good. ASICs are a part of our world.
At DGB we have a great diversity of mining and support within our community. The diversity adds value to DGB.
We all get frustrated sometimes. It happened to me from December through January. I just felt like no matter what I wrote here or tried I was pissing into the wind. I was disheartened, but it wasn't about DGB.
We are here as a DigiByte community to support and encourage and grow. Everyone here contributes and adds value to our community. We disagree. We agree. We argue. We build. We develop. We support. We are all committed to the success of DGB. I think it's great that we have seen some new members of the community expressing interest in mining and supporting DGB. To all the new members of our community ... we are here to help you. DigiByte has a bright future. I believe we will have plenty of challenges on the way, but we'll get there.
The analysis was done using The Blocks Factory data using national average US electricty costs and can be confirmed by anyone with basic math skils wishing to do so. (You can pass that on to Jombley so he does't feel hurt.) The results show that SHA mining is profitable at current prices (on an ex-hardware investment basis) and the clear implication is that GPU mining could be profitable if SHA were NOT present since price would adjust accordingly.
Nice to see someone actually addressing the matter head on and logically BTW. :-)
Another possibility to make the playing field even leveler so as to increase relative profitability between algos, and thereby further incentive "average guy" mining and a more widely distributed and secure network in turn, would be to reduce SHA payouts by 75% and scrypt by 25%.
Everything would truly be equal then, and those beloved SHA miners would still be a part of the "community", BUT WITHOUT SUBSIDIZED FAVORITISM!
Anyone have a problem with the concept of equal opportunity? Especially considering it's even in DGB's best interest?
Doubters and out of hand disqualifiers, confirm the numbers on your own, or if you're too lazy, just ask the Devs if those payout differences are correct or not - they should know . . . and if they don't, it's high time they did!
Again, the raw data is there for anyone with the courage to look and the ability to do basic math. There's no subjectivity involved, much less mystery.
I've crunched the numbers, partly because I was curious, and partly because I'm a nice guy who wants to lend a hand.
At current rewards, in order to mine 5000 DGB with modern SHA-256 ASIC equipment, you'll need ~2.4 kWh. With modern Scrypt ASIC equipment you'll use ~7.5 kWh. And with the GPU algos (all very similar) you'll consume ~9.9 kWh.
As you can see, there is quite a bit of difference between SHA-256 and GPU, but whether that difference is enough to cover your fixed hardware investment or not, that is if you buy an Antminer or not and can reach ROI, for example, is up to you to figure out.
The difference between scrypt ASIC and GPU is much less pronounced, but if you've already got a gaming rig set up, it probably won't take too much convincing to just use what you've got and get with installing and configuring your miner since we're only talking about 30-40 cents a day of difference.
Edit: I've always been in favor of rotating out SHA-256 and substituting it with a more widely distributed friendly algo BTW.
And between here and there, some 80 posts or so, much of which is reactionary nonsense meant to distract attention away from something possibly extremely beneficial for DigiByte, there are other other bits and pieces of information and words to the wise.