Is this really true that you had nearly 500BTC? Do you have any BTC now? more than 1, more than 10? more than 100?
Have you posted about your personal experience of your allegedly losing btc?
Unless, I am mixing you up with someone else, I recall that I had some posting interactions with you previously in which you were talking down bitcoin in a variety of ways, so I would be surprised that you would accumulate so many and then to talk down bitcoin.
Is this your attempt at spreading FUD/disinformation or had you really accumulated nearly 500BTC?
Let's assume, for argument sake, that you really did acquire nearly 500 BTC. It would seem fairly foolish to leave more than 20% (around 100BTC on any exchange) unless you are trying to accumulate BTC (or alts) by attempting price manipulations on a relatively small volume exchange and keeping your whole stash on such exchange in order to maximize manipulation effect or arbitrage opportunities (which would be a risky business)?
I don't lie about this stuff.
I didn't own any BTC, it was all in Alts. I'm no techie so holding them on cryptsy which was never hacked was my best option. Plus I traded a lot.
No, I'm all cleaned out now. Starting from pretty much zero.
Read my riddle thread, I've been calling for Bitcoin going over $10,000 then over $100,000 since 2013. I was the one who called Bitcoin hitting $1200 correctly in 2013, saying it would match gold in 12 months. I've been telling everyone lately to not fall for games to dump their BTC cause the bankers are using propaganda to scare everyone out before the big run this year.
I'm ULTRA bullish on Bitcoin but there is much more going on and that's where my criticism comes in.
Cheers!
Likely I was getting you mixed up with someone else, and surely sometimes it is difficult to understand some of the claims that people make regarding their own portfolios, situations or experiences because sometimes there is just misinformation floating around out there that claims to be based on actual experiences, but instead is based upon some fabrication of facts/experiences.
Now, predicting is another thing. It surely seems difficult to predict with any precision, but we should be attempting to distribute our portfolios in accordance with our views of probabilities, our timeline, other diversification and our tolerance of risk.
At this point, I have my bitcoins spread out amongst various exchanges and wallets, and surely there is both 3rd party risk and risk regarding the overall ongoing value and bitcoin politics. I find it very difficult to imagine losing any significant portion of my bitcoins, but surely it remains possible and even probable that there will be some losses here and there.
So far, most of my BTC losses have been due to some bad timing and/or acting or failing to act (which is more about failing to realize gains rather than actual losses).
Recently, I had one situation in which I was scammed out of about 3BTC, and in that sense, I had really thought that I had received payment of fiat and payment of fiat was irreversible.. and at that point, I transmitted my irreversible BTC payment and the fiat payment did not go through (even though I really clearly thought that the fiat payment was in a "irreversible" status). Anyhow, that particular bad transaction of mine ends up being a learning experience that I hope not to repeat that gets absorbed into my cost of doing business in BTC and my average price per BTC goes up because of that loss (fucked up outcome). Even through my years of being involved in BTC, I have run into various costs, and I have undergone various kinds of risks, including various 3rd party risks. Somehow, i hope to make up for my various losses and costs of engaging in the bitcoin investment arena to pay off and over the years through BTC price appreciation and continued trading of BTC my losses, costs and expenses will be absorbed.. and profits will significantly outweigh costs.
So, yeah, in the end, there are a lot of risks and fucked up things that make matters complicated and sometimes difficult to sort through the bullshit and to figure out possible future BTC performance and to invest accordingly.