Topic: Do you believe in gambling experts predictions? - page 12. (Read 9786 times)

Quote from: Hispo on July 18, 2024, 11:39:28 AM

Why should I believe ? 9 out of 10 picks from so called "experts" are wrong because they are being paid from bookies to actually give false predictions. It's way better to simply forget that sports experts exist and just focus on your own predictions based on your own calculations and so on.

Even AI predictions at Euro went so wrong like 7 out 10 calls were wrong so no matter who makes the predictions , they always tend to be wrong. Grin

Bookies pay experts to cause chaos in news sources because prediction is a matter of what the data will be like and which way it is leaning, as long as one side is reputable enough, the data will be scrambled, once the information is so misleading, the bettors will not have the same opinion, and the advantage suddenly belongs to the house when there is more chaos, the money flow is more uneven and the chance of taking it all is higher by betting odds and handicap. Expert is just an illusory title that many people create, a shell used only to lure prey

Exactly, the word expert in gambling is a scam word because they know that is the only way they can use to get money out from people's pockets who want to make profit from gambling without knowing what gambling is all about. I see those predictions as luck just the way a gambler will make his own predictions and be lucky by winning huge. If I know a gambler that is not claiming to be an expert and we puts heads together to predict a match, if he has more ideas than me on that match, I can bet on what he concludes after some discussions on the match but if you claim to be an expert, I turn deaf ears on you.

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It is concerning to me how so many people believe Artificial intelligence technology is magic and could actually predict the future on matches. At the best, one could train an artificial intelligence for it to get an accurate analista on the statistical performance on some teams through time, but it cannot predict the future, obviously.

To me, there is no reason to blindly follow the prediction of some so-called gurus or analists who pretend to have a good source for them claims. They are either people trying to deceive others for an ulterior motive or are people who does not actually understand the implications of giving out guesses as if they were accurate.

AI isnt a soccer or other future-predictor. The tool is like a hammer or calculator. People who assume it can predict games are mistaken. AI crunches numbers, not tea leaves.

AI can provide useful data based on historical data. Team A scores more against Team B under specific conditions. Thats not voodoo, thats just stats. However, no AI can forecast a player's illness or a sudden rainstorm.

And those so-called "experts"? Acknowledge them with caution. Many are trying to sell you something or advance their own agenda. They may not be wicked, but overconfidence can mislead. Blindly following them is like gambling your life savings on a coin toss. Use your brains. AI is simply one weapon in your arsenal.

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Why should I believe ? 9 out of 10 picks from so called "experts" are wrong because they are being paid from bookies to actually give false predictions. It's way better to simply forget that sports experts exist and just focus on your own predictions based on your own calculations and so on.

Even AI predictions at Euro went so wrong like 7 out 10 calls were wrong so no matter who makes the predictions , they always tend to be wrong. Grin

It is concerning to me how so many people believe Artificial intelligence technology is magic and could actually predict the future on matches. At the best, one could train an artificial intelligence for it to get an accurate analista on the statistical performance on some teams through time, but it cannot predict the future, obviously.

To me, there is no reason to blindly follow the prediction of some so-called gurus or analists who pretend to have a good source for them claims. They are either people trying to deceive others for an ulterior motive or are people who does not actually understand the implications of giving out guesses as if they were accurate.

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Why should I believe ? 9 out of 10 picks from so called "experts" are wrong because they are being paid from bookies to actually give false predictions. It's way better to simply forget that sports experts exist and just focus on your own predictions based on your own calculations and so on.

Even AI predictions at Euro went so wrong like 7 out 10 calls were wrong so no matter who makes the predictions , they always tend to be wrong.

It is natural that no matter how great experienced predictions are made, mistakes are bound to happen in gambling. I usually don't bet on an experienced guy because no matter how experienced he is, he can never predict the dynamics of a game. Therefore, if an experienced person makes a prediction out of nine games, maybe 50% will be right and the other 50% will be wrong. But as much as you should bet according to your own research and verification because what you research in this case can lead to good results in your betting.

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Why should I believe ? 9 out of 10 picks from so called "experts" are wrong because they are being paid from bookies to actually give false predictions. It's way better to simply forget that sports experts exist and just focus on your own predictions based on your own calculations and so on.

Even AI predictions at Euro went so wrong like 7 out 10 calls were wrong so no matter who makes the predictions , they always tend to be wrong. Grin

Bookies pay experts to cause chaos in news sources because prediction is a matter of what the data will be like and which way it is leaning, as long as one side is reputable enough, the data will be scrambled, once the information is so misleading, the bettors will not have the same opinion, and the advantage suddenly belongs to the house when there is more chaos, the money flow is more uneven and the chance of taking it all is higher by betting odds and handicap. Expert is just an illusory title that many people create, a shell used only to lure prey

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Quote from: LUCKMCFLY on July 17, 2024, 10:22:55 PM

Even in sports betting, where skill is needed in order for the person to make the right decision, I still do not believe in perfection because your skill can also mislead you to the point where you will think that you have got everything right and will want to put in your all in that single game, but at the end of the day, it will end with a negative result.

Most times in gambling skills don't always really and so thinking that at any point you have become so skilled that you are now to be regarded as one whos going to win really often because of the skill you posses if not a safe path to thread as you are most likely goin to end up loosing and still think you have got your shit together because you are an acclaimed experienced gambler.

These taught of skill been the ultimate in other to get your predications right can actually be really deceptive and would make you get too confident and may forget the place of risk management and end up loosing funds so badly you get and about it and then the next attempt will be in a bid to recover all that has been lost which you may never get to really recover, further more addiction could set in.

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Quote from: Fredomago on July 16, 2024, 02:17:45 PM

Yeah there are some bettors who do that crossing the path without any knowledge about the game, some of them are just doing it for the sake of continue betting while some are trusting predictions where they are subscribed and hope for luck to them the win,

Yes, and I don't know, but I know those who do such things, sometimes they don't give it the importance and go through life as if nothing happened, for them it's fine, personally I couldn't be calm, I would feel like being on a cloud where I could fall at any moment, and that's not healthy, I prefer to make my own predictions and when I have them ready, then I can see what other people's opinions are, because it's good to know how to read them since each person sees the sport from a different point of view, and many of them are very accurate, you should learn from those people.

Yeah, its better to compare your own analysis with those other people who also have that same interest with the sports that you are involve with, it's nice to see that some of the factors on your analysis are also being use by other gamblers who are also betting with the same game, though sometimes in my on experienced I've been move to change my pick while reading or watching factors that being analyze by other gamblers,

some wins and some turned to the other side and leave me regret from changing my picks. But at the end of the day it's me who decide and not someone that claiming to be a so-called experts.

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Quote from: Antotena on July 16, 2024, 04:11:33 PM

Quote from: Doan9269 on July 16, 2024, 12:37:25 PM

Is it not even more better for me in creating a gambling prediction website and give bets predictions for gamblers on the platform and earn from it, since i know that am very sure of myself in having enough years of experience in most of the gambling games being played, but for me to believe in what others are giving, or is it that i cant rely or depend on myself and the ability of what i know about gambling, instead seek after external service for prediction, this is something we can also take charge and do if we really know much about gambling.

Giving out predictions are just ways of extortion from gamblers that understand nothing about betting. If you are so sure of giving betting predictions to people, why not just do it yourself and enjoy the pay out only you. Why not sell your assets and then gamble with it, they wouldn't because they will say their assets is important but they don't realize that it's people money they are putting at risk, there are some people with mindset of trusting people that predicts games with their last card.

It's better to gamble with your own judgement than depend on another gambler. It doubt your judgement when you don't win but when you do it own your own, even if you don't win you will be able to improve and learn from where you make mistakes but people don't want to learn, they only want to make money and this is why they lose money on daily basis.

Many people do not want to do their own prediction because they either do not know the sport they are betting on very well or do not have enough free time to do it. In addition, it is quite problematic to gain experience in a field where randomness has such a high value, even if you have the desire and free time to do your own forecasting. For example, in swimming your experience depends directly on you and the time you spend, experience in betting is very much dependent on randomness, that's why it is so difficult to get it.

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Quote from: LUCKMCFLY on July 17, 2024, 10:22:55 PM

Quote from: Fredomago on July 16, 2024, 02:17:45 PM

Yeah there are some bettors who do that crossing the path without any knowledge about the game, some of them are just doing it for the sake of continue betting while some are trusting predictions where they are subscribed and hope for luck to them the win,

Yes, and I don't know, but I know those who do such things, sometimes they don't give it the importance and go through life as if nothing happened, for them it's fine, personally I couldn't be calm, I would feel like being on a cloud where I could fall at any moment, and that's not healthy, I prefer to make my own predictions and when I have them ready, then I can see what other people's opinions are, because it's good to know how to read them since each person sees the sport from a different point of view, and many of them are very accurate, you should learn from those people.

I agree with you. I think if we make bets based on other people's predictions and we don't know about the sport I think it's a silly decision. I often say that gambling cannot give you more money. There are only choices of winning and losing. It would be ridiculous if you bet on someone else's picks and lose. You don't enjoy anything from your bets. Yes I prefer to make my own predictions and bet on sports I enjoy. These are personal views and I respect everyone's different opinions.

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Quote from: Fredomago on July 16, 2024, 02:17:45 PM

Yeah there are some bettors who do that crossing the path without any knowledge about the game, some of them are just doing it for the sake of continue betting while some are trusting predictions where they are subscribed and hope for luck to them the win,

Yes, and I don't know, but I know those who do such things, sometimes they don't give it the importance and go through life as if nothing happened, for them it's fine, personally I couldn't be calm, I would feel like being on a cloud where I could fall at any moment, and that's not healthy, I prefer to make my own predictions and when I have them ready, then I can see what other people's opinions are, because it's good to know how to read them since each person sees the sport from a different point of view, and many of them are very accurate, you should learn from those people.

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Quote from: Fredomago on July 16, 2024, 02:17:45 PM

Quote from: LUCKMCFLY on July 16, 2024, 12:37:41 PM

Quote from: Hispo on July 14, 2024, 07:23:41 PM

Can you imagine there are even bettors who want to bet on sports which they do not actually follow nor like ? it is a mixture for disaster. The ideal process is to naturally grow fond of a sport and them bet on it .

Well, I think some people do this just for the sake of betting, I wouldn't feel right doing something like that, because it's like crossing an avenue with a blindfold on, that would be very bad, I wouldn't do it, I think there are people in the world who would do it just to try, the groups I've joined have been tennis betting groups and I know absolutely nothing about tennis, so those are things that don't work for me, my thing is betting on soccer, boxing, and UFC, and I wouldn't feel safe betting on any other sport.

Yeah there are some bettors who do that crossing the path without any knowledge about the game, some of them are just doing it for the sake of continue betting while some are trusting predictions where they are subscribed and hope for luck to them the win, but like what you've said you are just like crossing the hiway with a blindfold, knowing nothing about the game but still pushing yourself and placing your money into something that you don't understand, a pure way of gambling which is something that never be a good habit, the best practice is know what the types of game you are betting as your interest ads up to your opportunities to win.

I think sometimes it is good we should also try to make our own predictions especially when it comes to sport bets so we can also have confidence in ourselves to make money from our one predictions. This is the same way most gambling analyst make predictions. They take a look at the past matches and look at the team or opposite weakness to know what particular team or opponent could do better and earn them money. Sometimes it is good for us to just try and make predictions and see the outcome. It is also good we take a look at the past matches to know what team could win and what the opposite team is capable of doing.

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Quote from: danherbias07 on July 17, 2024, 10:55:51 AM

There are no predictions for gambling which is solely based on chances. Gambling expert? Expert of what?

^ Please note that I'm not talking about sports betting where skill is involved to some extent.

Even in sports betting, where skill is needed in order for the person to make the right decision, I still do not believe in perfection because your skill can also mislead you to the point where you will think that you have got everything right and will want to put in your all in that single game, but at the end of the day, it will end with a negative result.

That's true, and I think we got one story about that in one of the threads here in the gambling discussion. I just cannot find that thread anymore, maybe it's buried somewhere.
Casino, slots, or sports, are all very hard to win, and even with analysis in sports betting, you could still make a mistake in a streak which had happened to me way too much. I am neither an expert nor a professional when it comes to it but still, when you bet on the favorite, it doesn't mean you will win it.
Casino and slot games on the other hand are the worst. The system knows when you are winning and it would just take back everything from you. It's like you are just playing tag with them.

Casino games or sports betting or whatever type it would be as long it would be considered gambling then it is something that cant really be that easily to be win up, this is why it would really be that better that you should really be that making yourself be wary about those probabilities about winning up because there's no such thing about guarantees specially if this one speaks about in connection about betting up something.
We do know that when it comes into this kind of condition on where you would really be that definitely be having those kind of thoughts that those other people are experts but actually they are not.
If they were experts from the beginning then they wont really be bothering themselves on having that kind of hassling on letting other people do follow them with just some amounts.
There's no such sense on such aspect on which we know that on the time or moment that you do find yourself on such condition. This is why it would really be that important that you should
really know on what you are doing or dealing with, specially into this kind of consideration about making up some bets on sports.

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Quote from: EluguHcman on December 31, 2023, 11:04:38 AM

There are no predictions for gambling which is solely based on chances. Gambling expert? Expert of what?

^ Please note that I'm not talking about sports betting where skill is involved to some extent.

Even in sports betting, where skill is needed in order for the person to make the right decision, I still do not believe in perfection because your skill can also mislead you to the point where you will think that you have got everything right and will want to put in your all in that single game, but at the end of the day, it will end with a negative result.

That's true, and I think we got one story about that in one of the threads here in the gambling discussion. I just cannot find that thread anymore, maybe it's buried somewhere.
Casino, slots, or sports, are all very hard to win, and even with analysis in sports betting, you could still make a mistake in a streak which had happened to me way too much. I am neither an expert nor a professional when it comes to it but still, when you bet on the favorite, it doesn't mean you will win it.
Casino and slot games on the other hand are the worst. The system knows when you are winning and it would just take back everything from you. It's like you are just playing tag with them.

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A gambling expert brought i and some friends a guaranteed predicted game and asked us to stake a a high amount so that we winning could be huge and so we can give him a percentage of the money at winning.

The problem with such offers is that whatever the outcome the person taking the real risk is always you putting in the money, and the real hustle here is the person getting something out of nothing!!!

But One question I keep asking myself is what happens if this bet doesn't land, do players get the refund off the tipster for a failed service or this is at owners risk kind of business Tongue

Quote from: EluguHcman on December 31, 2023, 11:04:38 AM

I don't believe there could be a 100% guaranteed game but yet my friends who are eager to make profits in the gambling accepted to play the gamed as instructed and at the end of it, they all loosed the game and at then, the rest of us were happy because we didn't play the game else we would had loosed as others.

I want to ask, do you believe in experts gambling predictions?

Lol you were happy that your buddies lost money Tongue

that was evil if you ask me!

Btw, the only sure bets am very well aware of uses mathematics, can actually get you banned for using it because system leverages a difference in market pricing by the Sportsbook & surely works...anything else is just a hustle!

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Quote from: Fortify on July 16, 2024, 04:30:03 PM

It depends what you're looking for really as bookmakers are rather good at predicting correctly. You have to look at the other side of the equation and understand the logistics here, if bookmakers are consistently losing then they are going to start restricting people using certain betting patterns or even figure out themselves the strategy that is costing them money, then they will adapt. If you imagine as well that these bookmakers have very powerful analytics and whole teams working to provide the most effective odds, then an expert will struggle to even hit the 51% of correct bets over time, with improvements made and working against their future predictions all the time.

In fact, I think the dealer must have arranged everything so that he can always win, making it difficult for players to win. Of course, if there is a player who can continuously win, I think the dealer will step in and follow up with the player by asking for details about why he can win continuously, even though gambling wins are certainly not easy to get. The goal of the bookie is to make a profit, so it is impossible for them to allow their players to win continuously.
with those who are said to be gambling experts because they can predict well, I don't think they are 100% correct, it could still be said that there is a greater chance of losing, apart from that luck certainly will not be lost, luck still plays its role and will determine whether their predictions are made or not. will end in victory or defeat. I myself am not really sure about being an expert at gambling or predicting, but if it's luck I believe it's in gambling.

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Quote from: Fredomago on July 16, 2024, 11:25:30 PM

There are no predictions for gambling which is solely based on chances. Gambling expert? Expert of what?

^ Please note that I'm not talking about sports betting where skill is involved to some extent.

Even in sports betting, where skill is needed in order for the person to make the right decision, I still do not believe in perfection because your skill can also mislead you to the point where you will think that you have got everything right and will want to put in your all in that single game, but at the end of the day, it will end with a negative result.

Yeah right even your own skills can lead you to lose your money, as there are factors and incedent that may change the directions of the outcome, something that really affects the game like injuries or coaches not using the players that have that big impacts on the game or off night for players those are things that will affect the outcome so even you are good in analyzing the game there's still chances that you'll lose your pick.

But again, better to use your own knowledge and skills instead of trusting and placing your money to someone's predictions which double the gamble of your money.

Pehaps, you forgot to mentioned circumstances like weather too, cold/hot weather, rain or sunny day, can really affect the performance of most players, depending on which type of weather they like to play in, or dislike.

The fact is that, as long as sports prediction and betting is concerned, there will never be a perfect bet, there will always be some unforseen circumstances that could make or break a gambler's bet, this is where luck 🤞 comes into play, for it is always our responsibility to do our own thorough analysis, research or call it whatever, but after all this, and after placing our bet, it is another thing entirely for luck to play in and make sure the game ends just as we predict it should end, else, we lose our bet.

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There are no predictions for gambling which is solely based on chances. Gambling expert? Expert of what?

^ Please note that I'm not talking about sports betting where skill is involved to some extent.

Even in sports betting, where skill is needed in order for the person to make the right decision, I still do not believe in perfection because your skill can also mislead you to the point where you will think that you have got everything right and will want to put in your all in that single game, but at the end of the day, it will end with a negative result.

You can feels grateful when you have skills in analyzing the match because you will have more chances to win the match. That's why you don't have to depends on the experts to places your bet because they can't always right in their prediction. Besides that, we don't knows who they are and how good their skills to predict the match so we don't have to wait for their prediction.

If you wants to learn more about analyzing the match and can have many sources of information, you will not wait for their prediction because you can analyze by yourself and find the right team. But you needs to practice your skill so you can improve your skills to better. But if people out there still wants to believe the gambling expert prediction, we can't do anything because that will their decision to wait for that expert prediction.

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