Topic: Do you believe you can win on sports betting by analyzing a betting lines only? (Read 582 times)

When you believe that everything is all about luck, then there's no reason to analyze the game as what we work hard would still be useless.

Perhaps try to change your perspective in sports betting as it's not the same as the games with a house edge, here there's a real chance that we will succeed as a sports bettor, and although some may so negative about the word "succeed" in sports betting, if you believe on it, nothing will stop you.

I'm sure you've search search some strategies that could help you win, there are lots of videos in youtube, and even you can find some testimonies from people who claim they are making money in sports betting, so if those interest you, you wouldn't say that sports betting is just all about luck.

There's no assurance that any bet will win, that's true. But, it only needs a bit of luck, I mean it's not really a big factor. Sports is a talent-based game, there are players who are really good at what they do so it enhances the chance of winning if they are part of the team that you are betting for. The only problem that I could see is if there are spreads that need to be guessed.
In basketball, there are heavy favorites that need to win by 10+ points just so we could get at least 1.60 - 1.80 in profits. That's where it gets messed up because sometimes the underdogs are fighting back trying to prove that they can win games so spreads like -10 are sometimes not covered although the favorite team will win. But, picking the win-only bet is not that profitable. Most of the time it's 1.10 - 1.20 only. High-risk gamblers would not accept this kind of bet thinking it's a waste, they'd rather take the spreads and see if it will be covered. That's where luck comes in. Analysis of which team will win the game and a bit of luck to cover the spread or take the lowest profits and just be satisfied with it.
Anyway, there are a broad of choices to bet on now in any sport. Boxing doesn't only have picking the boxer who will win, you can also guess the round on when it can end. I think that's cool for those who really love their preferred sport. Having more options is better so they won't be forced to choose on one pick only.

This is what makes bettors not place bets before the team they are betting on plays, if they bet when the game is still far away, this will cause losses, there are still changes in the composition of players, there are still changes in odds at any time from the casino bookie, no one can do it guess which players will be fielded if the match has not yet taken place, but we can first analyze the players who are injured so that we can confirm whether the player will be absent for several matches.

Of course, bettors prefer to bet when they know which players the coach will field before the match starts. This can minimize losses. Indeed, this alone is not enough to win because defeat can still happen even though we have used skills, but at least with this can increase your knowledge and experience in the field of sports betting and strengthen your skills to bet carefully and not carelessly.

In my opinion, there is no good and consistent strategy or analysis in sports betting, because everything is a factor of luck and analysis can only improve the quality of our knowledge in sports and bring little chance of winning. However, that doesn't mean that every analysis you get will always win.

Because no matter how good the analysis is, sometimes it doesn't match expectations because anything can happen in the field. It is difficult to achieve consistent success in sports betting, and there is no foolproof strategy and analysis that guarantees consistent winning because luck is a factor.

Well, one of the things I can say about this is that I see sports bets as much more feasible to win, because it is one of the ways you can win by having a good analysis of the games, of course, there are those in the world. sports experts are the ones who analyze each thing, each player and the players' scheme in their tactics, in their strategies, I would say that it is much easier to win in sports betting than in the same games that are roulette, slots, because If everything is based on luck, strategies can also be applied, but things can work or they cannot work, I would believe that when things are tried to be done better, obviously they look for ways to win, it is obvious, it is In our nature we always seek to win, I could think that in each game we can apply strategies and those strategies are what we should do if we believe in them, personally, I do believe in strategies.

When emphasis is placed on the things that we must accept, it is that in the game, internal games are difficult to win, in sports betting you can do analysis or things that we have always done to get a good analysis, the case From the analysis we can get a lot, in the articles, in all kinds of things that have to do with making a better approach towards the depth of the sport, that is why I compare it with trading, because it depends a lot on what we think. , and according to what we think, what we decide is that you win or lose, obviously if you lose it is because our analysis was never correct and that many things must be corrected, it is normal, that is why we have to do things well measures, sometimes it is difficult because if we mix feelings it is hard to bet, because money will be lost, and the least we want is that, we must always insure our money.

Gambling is primarily luck-based, the element of chance plays a significant role in determining results that makes it challenging to develop a permanent winning strategy. Gamblers need to exercise caution and avoid investing more than they can afford to lose. The emotional toll of significant losses can be intense that can lead to serious consequences that has been evidenced by stories of gamblers facing financial ruin and other tragic suffers.

Analyzing and predicting chances to win in gambling can be deceptive, because prepared strategies may fail due to the unpredictable nature of gambling. The reality appears that luck remains a significant factor in determining results, despite the efforts being done by gamblers to analyze and make informed decisions. Acknowledging the lack of a permanent winning strategy, understanding the role of luck, and adopting responsible gambling practices are essential for anyone engaging in gambling activities.

Yes gambling has no permanent winning strategy. The strategy that gives you winning today might become so disappointing to you the next time and that is because it is luck base. We don't have to put all into gambling to avoid breakdown of emotions like we have some stories of gamblers committing suicide because of losing his money. Analysis and predictions do fail but many people don't look at that, they so rely on what they have analysed thinking it must have to go their own way and they bet so hugely but winning is always short term because the house edge works against the player.

Betting lines means you don't look at the statistics anymore?

Well, it's hard to tell as personally I haven't done that myself. Maybe it will work for some using their experience in sports betting but most of us probably are not doing that. As we continuesly gamble on sports, we try to experiment on different method to win, but the harsh truth is that until now, we haven't found the right method to win consistently.

We may win, but it's only for short term wins, actually many can do that but few are only capable of winning long term.

It's a nuanced conversation, isn't it? While odds might provide insight into the bookies' thinking, they are not perfect. More so than the true strengths and shortcomings of the participating teams, they represent public opinion. This is where your point about doing one's homework shines! Gaining knowledge about the teams, their past results, injuries, and even the weather can significantly change the betting environment. It's not about chance; it's about being astute and knowledgeable

But let's not dismiss the odds entirely. When paired with in-depth personal analysis, they can be a helpful tool. Odds can reveal features we might miss or reveal underlying currents in public opinion. For example, in the match you highlighted between Girona and Barcelona, the odds were probably influenced more by Barcelona's history than by their present performance. Here, a wise bettor looks past the obvious and explores the true forces at work. Isn't it all about finding balance? referring to the odds rather than the gospel as a guide. Combining logical, hard facts with the frequently unexpected nature of sports is the art of prudent betting

But at least we can find out the approximate names of the players that the coach will field from the analysis or data that we obtained previously. And that can be an estimate for us to place a bet by choosing the team that can win. And that also includes the surprise factor that we won't know until the game starts. But those of us who already have data from previous matches can estimate which team we can choose so that we won't have difficulty choosing the team.

Yes, some people place bets before the match starts. But they should do an analysis first so they have the basics about selecting their team. If later there is the latest data released by each team, we have to make adjustments to the selection of teams to bet on. This requires experience in order to determine the team because even if one team is favoured, it will not always win, especially if there is a surprise factor that the other team will provide.

Usually if we bet on sports betting before or a few days before the game in order to get good odds we never know the name of the player their coach will field, that's why sometimes the annoying thing is when a favorite team that we have bet on all turns out to only lower the second tier players make the team worse than imagined, it is difficult to guess even though we can analyze it because the favorite team can lose to a team from the bottom of the board and that happens very often.

But to avoid that, people usually prefer to bet a few minutes before the match or bet directly while the match is in progress so they know which players will be fielded and at the same time look at the opposing team including seeing the strength of both, even though we are good at analyzing it still comes back to luck because without that it will be difficult to win.

It is even baseless for someone to say they would want to be betting based on the odds provided by the bookmakers, it's not professional and could mostly misleading. Honestly, I had thought of this many times and I have had discussions about it among friends as well, but in the end, we realized that it would amount to cowardice and the person misleading himself in gambling. The best is to learn how to follow the teams and games of choice and know how to use what you know to bet rightly. This will give you pride and assurance in what you are doing and not introduce what I term "gambling in gambling." That's the way I see it. The person who would see the odds of teams and would just use it to bet without any analysis is actually gambling on that particular bet, such will continue to rely on the bookmaker's resolve which might be their defeat.

Just take for instance the match between Girona and Barcelona lately, all the sportsbooks I know gave Girona a high odd and gave Barcelona a discouraging odd. This happened despite that I knew that Girona would win, and not only that, all analysis by unbiased experts must be pointing to that fact too. So why give Girona the huge odds? Let me say that even the bookies played on the intelligence of bettors and those who follow this kind of line stuff to wager will definitely lose painfully. But most times, one can still have a good betting through the odds reading if done rightly. As in most cases, the weak teams get the high odds and the strong teams get the low odds. Still, even if anyone would use this approach, it should be used in addition to their own analysis. If done well, it could be other means to better filter their decision before finally picking a side.

There will be surprises in sporting events and we won't know when they will happen. Maybe today there won't be any surprises but who can guarantee that tomorrow there won't be any surprises either? Each team wants to win against its opponents, so there is a tendency for them to hide some of their tactics, players or other things from the public so that they can surprise the opposing team and also the audience.

If we can estimate what surprises the leading team or the opposing team can provide, we can adjust the bet. We may choose the opposing team over our favorite team because we see the opposing team as superior to our favorite team. That is why we must be able to analyze well and find accurate information before we bet.

Yea, talking about surprises they are inevitable in the game of sports we can't overlook that point only that it's not in our control to when and how these surprises should happen. Another stuff that defeats our analysis of a game about the possibility of the results is hard-luck, when a team is experiencing hard luck in a match they can play all they know how to with every skills and tactics they possess but

 still won't be able to score a goal to win the games, a common experience in football games is where you be seeing a lot of shots hitting wood/bar and the game ending in draw eliminating your prediction of a winning outcome in the game. Another is injury in the course of the match but I don't want to stress on that right now.

After watching how Tyson Fury won against Ngannou who really beat him, I have to admit that it's really hard to bet on boxing match because without knockouts, judges can vote for anyone they wish. UFC is also very unpredictable too, one moment you see Alex Pereira beating Israel Adesanya, then Adesanya knocking him out, out of nowhere. Conor Vs Jose Aldo was also very unexpected. Fighting is very unexpected unless it's a match of Khabib or Jon Jones. I don't watch boxing, so can't talk about that.
To be honest, I think that analyzing helps when you beat on team matches, on games like football, basketball, hockey, NFL, Rugby and so on.

boxing still very dificult sport betting analyse, ussualy the big name always win, but boxing promotion and the big boss boxing gambler is easy manipulate match.
so how you can analyse boxing match

Its frustrating when after spending time doing our research drawing information about the current form of the team we are to bet in favour and contrasting against the form of it's opponent and all analysis proves that your favourite team is in great position to thrust in a sweeping win in the game, only later for things to change in the course of the game disorganizing all the supposed outcome of the analysis given. Apart from injuries a key player of the team can be awarded a red card due to a dangerous tackling of his opponent and this can change the formation and early strategy of the team moving from an attacking formation to a defensive one reducing all chances of scoring and winning that match against their opponent that are a complete X1 man.

The favorite team wins in most of the time and thats where a gambler can make some wins. There is no assurance  to make profit however as they could also lose especially on sports like soccer, the tide can turn quickly where the underdog can win.

In boxing, its always the favorite boxer who wins, its the odds that is not making a bettor a big profit.

I believe it is possible to win in sports betting by analyzing betting lines. We can observe when the game between the two teams will be seen by placing the odds between the two teams on the betting platform. The team that is stronger has the lower odds. For example Bangladesh vs India match odds will be 1.5: 5.6. From here it is very predictable which team will win the match. We know of course that India is stronger and more likely to win than Bangladesh. If a man can analyze the batting line then surely he will understand and bet for India. From here I can say that if you analyze the betting line, you can definitely win the bet.

Well for me, the old fashioned way of analyzing every team in a specific sport is still working. I used it with the fight between Magsayo against Avela on boxing and it still works perfectly fine. Though I was not able to place my bet on it but still a win win situation for me.