Topic: Does bitcoin price increase after halving? - page 4. (Read 1114 times)

So how do you see a bear market? We are moving sideways within a range sometimes. We can't call it a bull market just yet because there hasn't been a major rally. In the crypto neutral market is also considered to be a bearish sentiment. The market is in an accumulation zone right now and this could be the last phase of the bear market we are going to see.

Predictions should be based on facts and historical data. Baseless prediction means it doesn't have any value. It's true that the market is easy to predict in the long run as if you open the monthly timeframe you will see a bullish trend in the bitcoin market.

If you already experienced the previous halving, you will know that there is a sudden change in its price trend and it is incredibly increasing. There is no drama to see other than people are expecting bullish after halving.
Investors are holding and are excited for the next halving because they believe that they could see Bullrun and ATH. Experienced investors and traders already know and have that kind of insight because that is what happened in the past, and this will happen again and again.

That is true, bull run is not just upwards trend, and just because it is not going up right now doesn't mean that we are on a bear run. That one is the one I hate the most, we haven't been on a bear run for a LOOOOOOONG time now and people are still calling this a bear run. It is not, it is something normal and we are not doing anything that goes lower.

If you want to call something a bear market then it should be going down first and if it is going down that would be all that much better. I know that we can't really change anything in peoples perception of the market but not knowing the right terms is something we can help with. It is quite possible to make it easy to predict, there is nothing wrong with that, markets are usually easy to predict for those who are willing to wait years to make a profit.

But don't forget that is just our expectation as bitcoin investors, and there is no guarantee that bitcoin will definitely increase after halving. It's also possible that history won't repeat itself.

Like all of you, I also hope the price will increase after the halving but I also see many people thinking about the “this time will be different” scenario. So, I think that, in addition to setting expectations for a bull season after the halving, we should also have a plan for a historical scenario that will not repeat itself. We need to prepare everything well and not be subjective because we rely on history.

The market generally determines the price according to expectations. During or some time after the halving, the price usually rises because people expect the price to increase. I think the same thing will happen in the upcoming Halving. This is what many people have been waiting for.

Many investors are interested in other people's expectations that the price will increase, other than what will happen during the Halving. That's why the importance of Halving increases even more. Because increasing the number of investors is always good. Investor expectations determine the direction of the market.

It's not about the amount that exists, but the amount that WILL exist because the circulating supply may still keep growing since people will keep on mining more, but less will be mined so less will be available on liquidation. So that means we are going to end up with a result that will be a bit different, and should be important to handle all together. I get that we are going to end up with a result that will not be simple, but we should be trying to make that work one way or another.

So when the amount of mined coins per day drops, that means the amount of bitcoin miners can sell per day will drop too, when that drops that means the buyers could keep on buying the same amount and the price will increase anyway.

usually it will be like that, that's why many people collect as much bitcoin as they can so that when the halving happens, they will sell it at a high price (after the halving), another factor that influences drastic changes in the price of bitcoin after the halving is that the media will highlight it, and the news will spread throughout the world, this is what makes people interested in buying more. another habit of Bitcoin that cannot be eliminated is its price fluctuations. When the price of Bitcoin is at its peak, it is very likely that the price will change drastically not long after that, so an investor or short-term trader will take advantage of the halving moment to try their luck.

Well, most of the Bitcoin Space community knows that no one knows the magician after or before halving. But in my observations of previous halving, because the halving is not over yet, the market is in an uptrend; in short, there is a gradual increase in bitcoin prices.

Therefore, it is possible that again, and when the halving is over, perhaps will speed up the value of bitcoin's in the market.

I have always known bull run to be an upward movement of the bitcoin price to a reasonable price. You have just let me understand that it is only a bull run when there is an upward trend after an upward trend without corrections until a new ATH is attained.  Tnks


This is also my fear. According to you, everything is becoming so easy to predict. If we all are waiting to sell after the halving, who will buy our bitcoin at high price? Should we say uninformed newbies, if so, how populated are they. We know that it is during the bull run that many newbies troops to this industry and they join at the wrong time and the market ends up crashing on them.

To be precise, it is a pre-bullrun created by fomo or maybe as you said, it was created to liquidate the majority of long/short orders in the market.

If based on history, it is true that the bull season will only come after a period of time after the halving, but there have been many questions about whether history will continue to repeat itself and the bull season will still take place after the halving? Because as we see, everything is becoming too easy to predict. Everyone is waiting to sell their bitcoin after the halving, so who will buy our high priced bitcoin?

We should not call it a bull run. These are just some small rallies bitcoin made to create FOMO. Mostly done by exchange to liquidate future traders who open their position with high leverage.

Usually bull run start 3-4 month following the halving. In a bull run we don't see a major correction after rally. Bitcoin rallies and then little bit consolidation and then again rally. This continues till bitcoin cross its previous ATH and made a new one.[/list]

This is not the first time that bitcoin is halving. Other past halvings already had a bull run that accompanied it. So, this time around would not be a different one. Talking about the price increase that accompanies the halving, it happens in two ways which is;

• Bull run before halving
• Bull run after halving

The bull run before the halving does not last very long, it is only a preliminary to the main bull run but people tend to sell here thinking it is the main bull run. The main  bull run  happens few months after the halving and that is the major bull run but it is not everyone that enjoys this bull run because they must have sold earlier.

Bitcoin halving is a what everyone is looking out for in the industry because that's when every individual is more serious about buying Bitcoin for the bull market. Halving is the sign that investors wait for before they start buying which is why the price of Bitcoin will increase after halving. The best time to invest in Bitcoin is before the halving as the price of Bitcoin will still be low by then but after the halving, the price will start increasing due to the bull market.

The price of Bitcoin after a bear market can only reach a new all time high after halving because of the demand of Bitcoin increase always during this time and the amount of Bitcoin coming into circulation is reduced after the halving as less Bitcoin get mined by miners afterwards .

Given in an isolated supply and demand system, with an equal demand but halving supply, it is obvious that the price will increase since the price is inversely proportional to supply while it is directly proportional to demand.

The halving is also one of the major catalysts for a market bull run where the sentiment of the market is highly hyped and the demand for Bitcoin increases due to the influx of new funds from the coming new investors. 

So in general the Bitcoin halving does not only reduce the upcoming supply of Bitcoin in the market, it also triggers a hype sentiment that strengthens the demand for Bitcoin resulting in more inflow of funds.  This is the scenario why Bitcoin rallied after halving.

Let me make a simple illustration for you may be it could help your understanding better.

What bitcoin halving does is to divide bitcoin block reward by half and starched the half away for the public ledger,  so if that is done that means limited bitcoin in circulation and that means scarcity which will trigger an increase in value which is the price and that results into market demand that is called a bull run.

So if you ask me I will say yes Bitcoin halving cycle always give birth to price increase and other value interest for Bitcoin.

Well I can boldly tell you that no one actually knows the correct answer to that question and answers you will get are speculation on stats gather from previous halving event which if you ask can be close to the desired answer. The halving period comes with so many drama and so many investor are currently waiting for the halving to come and go and to see if there is actually going to be a significant rise to the price.

Halving is something that makes all investors to depends on and i think bitcoin price increase starts after halving, I believe lot of investors already filled their bag hoping for the next move as since we all centered our mind that in every bitcoin halving we must gain another AHT in bitcoin this also gives exponential growth to other cryptocurrencies as well. During halving you see almost all the coin doing well and you will think they could last for long without knowing after halving ends then comes bears and lots of coin seems to die instantly because lots of investors have moved their capital away from their investment leaving only empty coin for newer investors.

As long as the decline in coin mining after halving is significant, it will affect the price rise. I think this is the last decline that will affect the price. The next halving will be minor and will have little to no effect on the price. So, in my opinion, enjoy the moment

This is the usual stuff  that do happens on which there would really be some temporal pumps knowing that there would really be those people who would really be that investors or traders on which having those kind of
assumptions when it comes to possible price movement specially if halving event is fast approach or lets say that only a few hours left then for sure there would really be a FOMO thing that would happen where
small pumps or those long green candles could be seen on this particular moment on which it might really be that creating that vibe that this might be a the start of the bull run season but if we do try to look up on the past on what do really happen is that there are bull run kicked in after a few months of post halving season on which it is really that safe to presume that it would really be happening after the halving event.

Lets put up into our minds that there might be that last dip before the market would really be having that its complete u-turn and this is something that you should really be looking upon and trying out to be wise
and utilize those dips for your advantage and you could really be able to maximize your profitablity once the market will really be having that pump. Somewhat it might really be that so easy to be said but
it is really actually hard to be done knowing that there's no way that we could really be able to tell on what are those possible bottoms that we could encounter. If you are that someone whose
really that going for long term then it wont really be that much of an issue for you on whatever market condition you would really be able to encounter of.

For trader and investor, Bitcoin halving is most expected and waiting moment looking for great opportunity with bitcoin will raise to higher price, regarding several edition of halving always success make bitcoin reach to higher price seems another or next halving will give difference thing and bitcoin raise to higher price. Current Bitcoin price seems stable and difficult break out above $30k but with many months left before halving always have enough time for bitcoin when closing with halving get opportunity for raising up.

Next halving expected with Bitcoin potential reaching more than 30% of current bitcoin price right now, seems chance for Bitcoin back above $40k when halving time due last halving bitcoin success reach new ATH and price up drastically.