Topic: Does bitcoin price increase after halving? - page 7. (Read 1028 times)

Actually Bitcoin Price was never instantly surging after the halving, it needs few months even a year for the Bitcoin to actually reach new all time high after the previous halving. And what makes the price surging is not the halving itself it's the reduce of mining rewards which cause the reduce of additional supply while the demands for Bitcoin is increasing, that's what make the price surging. So, in another more simple word, there is no guarantee that Bitcoin price will increase after halving.

Will it halving the pump or not? no one knows as we can say halving the supply of the bitcoin will cut again and many people say when halving comes invest at that time actually they are not wrong because base on the history of the bitcoin we know after halving the price pumps for this coming year does a chance it will happen or not, it's on the future and nothing wrong to accumulate tho. Of course, like others we would like to see that the bitcoin will overtake the price from the previous 65k. There a WO you can check most of the people share their speculations. 

You have provided a correct picture of the price potential associated with halvings - but halvings are not the only reason why bitcoin prices rise. There are many other factors that support price increases – so price declines and volatility don't just depend on one or two things.

I agree that halving can push the price up due to increased investor interest in bitcoin - halving is also considered one of the good fundamentals for expecting profits from investment. If you believe halving can bring more profits to your investments – then don't ignore the current opportunity.

If you aren't buying bitcoin for long term investing halving shouldn't affect your trading practice. It's a problem when you're buying to trades quick sells for profit so it's going to directly affect your portfolio. There isn't a formula we're able to use to predict what's going to happen.

Liquidity is already bleeding out, money is out of crypto right now it seems and normally it's expected that after Bitcoin halving there will.be massive adoption, it's possible and it's expected but halving can't do this alone, there must be new money coming into the space after the halving, or else it will remain a FOMO and it will expire.

Miners will make less Bitcoin per block and that's not good for them but on the other side it's scarcity by nature, yes it makes sense, but recessions are still possible, not until money printers start working fully back again I don't think new money will come into crypto but we can always hope for the best.

I think it's best to prepare yourself past the next halving, things could still get slower after the halving, and many assets will go even lower, set your mind on what will happen after the halving as pumps won't instantly happen after the halving.

See comparison of current cycle, next halving and previous halvings and past cycles. An article about Bitcon 4-year cycle

In this current time and this cycle together with a coming halving, halving progress is nearly completed, with about 84% loading. Bitcoin price movement is very seasonality and this article about Seasonality with 4-year cycle and halving cycle can help to understand this characteristic of Bitcoin more.

We can not calculate next all time high of Bitcoin price but is it a matter if we buy it now about $26,000 and take profit when it reclaims its 2021 all time high ($69,000)? Even with that humble target price, we already have good profit and don't have to wonder what will be its next all time high.

It can be said that everything you say is true. Because for bitcoin investors, the halving cycle is always something they have been waiting for. Because usually when Bitcoin has experienced a halving cycle, it will usually be followed by a bullish market. Because in this bullish market many bitcoin investors are selling their assets. For example, you can look at bitcoin's halving cycles in recent years. As far as I know, after one year of the bitcoin halving cycle, there was a high increase in the market price of bitcoin. Apart from that, it's not just the price of bitcoin that has increased. However, several other crypto coins were also affected by the bullish market and experienced quite high price increases.

So basically the bitcoin halving can be said to be a sign of a very bright season for bitcoin investors and cryptocurrency investors. Because at that time, bitcoin/crypto investors have the potential to gain very promising profits.

But despite all that, caution must still be applied. Because all bitcoin investors or crypto investors. no one knows for sure whether the next Bitcoin halving cycle will be the same as the previous halving cycle. Because all of that only contains the habits of bitcoin/crypto investors and predictions that always happen every four years regarding bitcoin. So in essence, all predictions and all habits that usually occur can change. And in conclusion, you must always be careful and always analyze Bitcoin independently. Because that way, at least you can overcome all the worst possibilities that might happen to Bitcoin.

Maybe now it's very good to save it and buy it even though the price increase in the market is not significant and it's just moving at that price, at least we have a lot of patience in investing our funds in Bitcoin, and plan everything without using personal money or daily money. your day, at least it doesn't interfere with your life needs in the future, because everyone or you also know that Bitcoin price movements follow a four-year cycle in which the price of Bitcoin will most likely soar high, whether you believe it or not, that's true. So what do you say about using unused money to invest in Bitcoin, rather than using money for life's necessities because that will disrupt your investment in the future...

Nobody is aware of this. The price of Bitcoin might begin to rise in the market as early as three months before the halving, depending on the favorable news that occurs during those times. It may also occur after the halving, but there is no assurance that it will happen.

Anyway, isn't its a smart idea to prepare ourselves to save Bitcoin or other crypto's that we believe will offer us a return when the next halving or bull run occurs by next year?

It is hard to guess the accurate prediction about btc price after halving but history says that after every btc halving btc price soars to its high. look at the above chart and which show clearly that halving have very good impact on btc price. looking at the current price which is more than down 1.5x from ATH the chances of increase in price is high, However, nothing can be said confirmed because many other factor has also effect on btc price

Besides the having Bitcoin Spot ETF approvals news and FTX postponing the refund are some factors which I think could bring positive movement in btc price, Whales still have lot of extra stable coins and looking for right time. Microstrategy and other have high believe and they are increasing number of btc and we are also hoping so.

Of course it is the safest thing but from what has happened in the past after the halving there will be an increase that will occur and also if we look at the current developments with strong support there should be no need to be afraid and no need to hesitate.
In my opinion, there will most likely be an increase in prices and in fact I am very confident about that, but as you said, it is true that it is much better for us to use unused money so that we don't panic when things are slow or don't happen.

No one has a crystal ball to know what will happen in the future, so asking questions about the future is impossible to answer. But if you believe in bitcoin, believe that history will repeat itself, then you have the right to hope that bitcoin will increase in price and have a new ATH. But you should also think about historical scenarios that will not repeat themselves because the future is unpredictable. But even if that happens, don't worry too much because that doesn't mean there won't be any more price increases. If we look at the growth that bitcoin is achieving, the price increase is only a matter of time.

If we look at the history of Bitcoin halving, there has indeed been a significant increase in the price of Bitcoin. But that happens a few months after the halving occurs, like in 2016, where the price was at $653 in July and only reached its ATH price in December 2017 at $18k.

Then, after 2016, Bitcoin experienced another halving in May 2020. In that year, the price of Bitcoin was at $8788 and only experienced a price increase at the beginning of 2021. It finally reached its new ATH in April at $60k and in November priced at $65k in 2021.

So, looking at that history, the price of Bitcoin may increase again after the halving. And history will likely repeat itself. But whether it will happen a few months after the halving or one year after the halving is still a mystery.

We can't predict that it will happen again. Most of us are really expecting this kind of increase after the halving but still there are times that we think that it may not do a bull run but we still have hope because mining bitcoin is getting harder and harder.

Whether the price of bitcoin goes up or not after halving I still hold my bitcoin until the price goes up because it is my investment and nothing will happen to me if the price doesn't reach it. That is why you should always invest what you can afford to lose so that you won't be expecting much.

Bitcoin supply is constantly increasing. The thing that decreases is the rate of it. Meaning after the halving the rate at which new coins are added to the total supply is decreased by 50%. That can also mean less new coins being sold by the miners every day which means less sells pressure on the market. And we all know that less sell pressure means easier rise as there would be "less resistance".

So it is not just "positive feelings" that leads to rise after the halving.

Looking at the past halving events, it is obvious that the BTC price increased after the halving. In 2024, it is expected that the BTC price will increase after the halving. At what pace the price will pump and to what extent, can not be predicted. 

In the past three BTC halving events, the price has significantly increased after the halving. After 1st halving in 2012, the price rose from $12 to nearly $1000 after a year. The second BTC halving in 2016 increased the price from $670 to the previous ATH of $19,700 in December 2017 (1.5 years after halving). The third and most recent halving occurred in 2020 when the BTC price was nearly $8800. BTC reached the new ATH of $69,000 after 1.5 years in November 2021. 

Although the price increase was not sudden and took around 12 to 18 months to reach the ATH, one thing is clear, the price increases after halving.

Yes just because it increased in the past doesn’t mean it’s going to increase again. This is similar to Nov 2018 when everybody assumed Bitcoin would rally because usually November at the time was a bullish month but instead the complete opposite happened.

So with the halving it can be the same situation. It should rally but it doesn’t mean it always will.

At least that is what has happened in several halvings and the four-year cycle has become an event that many traders and investors have been waiting for because that is where they will start taking profits, and usually traders will be more active because that is what I experienced in the past several four-year cycles.
However, changes may occur because currently Bitcoin is more popular than it was a few years ago, and many big institutions and whale are involved so they have the ability to influence the market and retail is better prepared for all the possibilities of whether or not the four-year cycle will occur.

Of course it will increase, I see many people having doubts because they are either new or don't know anything about psychological mass manipulation, let me explain :
If I walk into a city and start telling people I have found a river which we can find gold by searching it and if a few people go there and actually find some gold, all I need is for them to come to the city and tell people about the gold they could find.

Now people would rush for gold and they even find gold mines because river surface has no gold anymore, they dig the ground.

I just successfully manipulated a whole city, while I didn't lie, but I didn't tell them that they have to dig through a mountain to get to the real gold mine either.😉 

There is always a previous cycle where the price jumps significantly after halving a few months - there is no guarantee whatsoever we can only be optimistic that the price increase is due to the next halving memontum if the price does not go up then we have to be a little patient the opportunity to go up is still there whatever it is.

Many people have tried to accumulate bitcoin holdings including myself, but there is nothing wrong not because the potential of bitcoin is clearly still there, especially by associating with hype it is clear that this will soar.

But the event remains much awaited by bitcoin holders.