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Topic: Does martingale really works? - page 77. (Read 123303 times)

legendary
Activity: 3038
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Crypto Swap Exchange
August 12, 2014, 08:05:26 AM
Aslong as you got enough money and patience it usually works alright, but for me with out the patience and the money it hasnt worked wonders  Cheesy
The enough money is usually infinite. It totally depends on the varience, whether you are going to hit a long streak within a period of time or not. In the long term, you should run out of money as the streak is probably going to be as long as 20-30.
member
Activity: 112
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August 12, 2014, 07:59:16 AM
Aslong as you got enough money and patience it usually works alright, but for me with out the patience and the money it hasnt worked wonders  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 3514
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
August 12, 2014, 07:34:11 AM
Even with unlimited money, you can't kill a casino that uses the kelly criterion. You can simulate that with computers. (Casinos without limits is a different story)

With unlimited money you can buy the casino and then still kill it! Grin

Haha. Thinking outside of the box.

Still martingale never works. Not even in theory.

It may not work in theory, but could work out in practice... Wink
member
Activity: 297
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Life is beautiful !
August 12, 2014, 06:28:19 AM
if you win. it just your luck. use martiangale or not. your fortune winning you at that time
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
August 12, 2014, 05:15:57 AM
martingale sometimes work if u have many bitcoin
sr. member
Activity: 448
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August 12, 2014, 04:24:15 AM
Even with unlimited money, you can't kill a casino that uses the kelly criterion. You can simulate that with computers. (Casinos without limits is a different story)

With unlimited money you can buy the casino and then still kill it! Grin

Haha. Thinking outside of the box.

Still martingale never works. Not even in theory.
legendary
Activity: 3514
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
August 12, 2014, 02:53:45 AM
Even with unlimited money, you can't kill a casino that uses the kelly criterion. You can simulate that with computers. (Casinos without limits is a different story)

With unlimited money you can just buy the casino and then still kill it! Grin
legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 1036
August 12, 2014, 02:13:12 AM
I had a losing sequence of 17 bets over 50 so yeah it doesn't work in the long term.
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
Changing avatars is currently not possible.
August 12, 2014, 02:10:10 AM
Even with unlimited money, you can't kill a casino that uses the kelly criterion. You can simulate that with computers. (Casinos without limits is a different story)
legendary
Activity: 3514
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
August 12, 2014, 02:07:50 AM
I made from 0.3 -> 5 BTC in 10 hours with martingale on PrimeDice.
It were so freakin crazy.. that "ride" raised my total wagered to 113 BTC.

Then I cashed out and lost it all back 3 weeks later.. 

My highest bet were around 1.25 BTC.

Martingale is always a losing strategy in the long-run.. if you don't have unlimited money supply.

If you have unlimited money supply, why would you need "More" money? You already have unlimited.

What about the thrill to ruin the casino? Grin

Do you know who runs the big casinos?

No, I don't. But surely it doesn't matter much for him who has an unlimited supply of money... Grin
legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1000
August 12, 2014, 01:43:37 AM
It sure works.
If you have unlimited funds and casino has no bet limits.
Otherwise not for long, usually.
legendary
Activity: 2044
Merit: 1005
August 12, 2014, 01:24:44 AM
I made from 0.3 -> 5 BTC in 10 hours with martingale on PrimeDice.
It were so freakin crazy.. that "ride" raised my total wagered to 113 BTC.

Then I cashed out and lost it all back 3 weeks later.. 

My highest bet were around 1.25 BTC.

Martingale is always a losing strategy in the long-run.. if you don't have unlimited money supply.

If you have unlimited money supply, why would you need "More" money? You already have unlimited.

What about the thrill to ruin the casino? Grin

Do you know who runs the big casinos?
legendary
Activity: 3514
Merit: 1280
English ⬄ Russian Translation Services
August 11, 2014, 10:49:29 AM
I made from 0.3 -> 5 BTC in 10 hours with martingale on PrimeDice.
It were so freakin crazy.. that "ride" raised my total wagered to 113 BTC.

Then I cashed out and lost it all back 3 weeks later.. 

My highest bet were around 1.25 BTC.

Martingale is always a losing strategy in the long-run.. if you don't have unlimited money supply.

If you have unlimited money supply, why would you need "More" money? You already have unlimited.

What about the thrill to ruin the casino? Grin
member
Activity: 66
Merit: 10
August 11, 2014, 07:14:51 AM
martingale dont not really work on long run.. just need to know when to stop and dont be greedy  Smiley

Agree, especially if you are willing to use martingale system in online casino, you can lost 20 more times in a row so don't even try It, and in a short run yes you can win so when you made some profit leave.
member
Activity: 82
Merit: 10
August 11, 2014, 07:08:05 AM
martingale dont not really work on long run.. just need to know when to stop and dont be greedy  Smiley
member
Activity: 297
Merit: 10
Life is beautiful !
August 11, 2014, 06:33:31 AM
somebody says if we play much will loss much and vice versa. with martingale or not
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
August 09, 2014, 09:05:52 PM
martingale will fail you. I've used that when i start gambling and it only busts me in the end
legendary
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1333
August 09, 2014, 08:28:21 PM
Yea, but in "theory" martingale would work if you have a unlimited money supply. But not on PrimeDice Tongue

Martingale only works if you have unlimited money AND no house limit. Since every reputable casino has a house limit, having infinite money isn't enough!
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
August 09, 2014, 06:44:02 PM
I made from 0.3 -> 5 BTC in 10 hours with martingale on PrimeDice.
It were so freakin crazy.. that "ride" raised my total wagered to 113 BTC.

Then I cashed out and lost it all back 3 weeks later.. 

My highest bet were around 1.25 BTC.

Martingale is always a losing strategy in the long-run.. if you don't have unlimited money supply.

If you have unlimited money supply, why would you need "More" money? You already have unlimited.

Also, no, even then, the expected value is still negaive.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
August 09, 2014, 06:39:49 PM
Yea, but in "theory" martingale would work if you have a unlimited money supply.

It's really a mathematical question, but it wouldn't work "in theory". "In theory" if you had an unlimited money supply, then "in theory" your losing streaks could be infinitely long.

Martingale doesn't make the odds any better, nor do they make them any worse. The problem with it is it encourages you to divide up your bankroll into the smallest possible bits. That is bad because it makes it harder to accomplish a given objective (say to double your bankroll).

Just Dice had a martingale player win an unprecedented 32 times in a row. "In theory" those odds are comparable to winning the Mega Millions Jackpot. But he won less than 5 cents because he was playing martingale.
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