[DOTA2] PGL Arlington Major 2022 Prediction Thread

Coin_trader

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Congratulations to Team Spirit! I’m really expecting this to happened after the beat Aster on the lower bracket finals. Team Spirit is so good on analyzing there enemies and manage to do reverse sweep for a successful revenge to LGD in Riyadh Master Finals and Arlington Major Finals.

See you again on the Regional qualifiers for another action pack Dota2 matches. Wink

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Aster show an impressive performance on Game 2, They didn’t give a chance to Team Spirit to recover or get the tempo to avoid what happened on Game1. Juggernaut is still got a proper farm that’s why the net worth advantage of Aster is not that huge. Aster just manage to win all the team fights and they didn’t allow Storm Spirit to recover on the early game first blood. I think Team Spirit can still overturn the result if they win a single clash and get the bounty to Ori.

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Quote from: KTChampions on August 14, 2022, 12:20:04 PM

Aster is playing in a rather murky manner and because of that I lost my first bet on them when they were 12-2 up in the first game. Now the score is 20-6 and they seem to win the second map for sure, but the gold advantage is only 4k. In general, I bet on the final victory of the TS, I hope I guessed right. I don't think TS will let Aster beat itself on two maps in a row in the same style.

Yeah, likely that they're going to win the 2nd map so this is going to take to map 3. 29-7 as of watching right now and there will be the decider match.
Whoever wins this battle for the grand finals is already tired of this series and LGD still got the advantage so I guess everyone is going to cry out loud for LGD as the champ on this major. Welp, this is just my opinion and the game and the tournament hasn't ended yet.

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Aster is playing in a rather murky manner and because of that I lost my first bet on them when they were 12-2 up in the first game. Now the score is 20-6 and they seem to win the second map for sure, but the gold advantage is only 4k. In general, I bet on the final victory of the TS, I hope I guessed right. I don't think TS will let Aster beat itself on two maps in a row in the same style.

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Quote from: Boristhecat on August 14, 2022, 10:27:32 AM

Quote from: Coin_trader on August 14, 2022, 09:51:57 AM

-skip-
9 minutes to go for the Lower Bracket Finals between TS and Aster. I’m torn to choose between Aster -1.5 or over 2.5 map. Huh

Live bets show practically the same odds of teams:

Team Spirit 1.80

Team Aster 1.95

In my opinion, in this scenario, it is more reliable to take a total over 2.5. In general, the game looks like it is completely random, so I will not place bets here, but just enjoy the game (although I prefer LoL).

Yeah, I decided to bet on over 2.5 even the odds is bit small compared to -1.5 and I’m so glad I didn’t become greedy on choosing my bet because Aster lose on game 1 with an upset result. I’m still not confident on my over 2.5 map because I feel like that this game will gonna be a reply of there upper bracket match TS sweep Aster. TS is so good on recovering an early game deficits. I really like Aster draft but Team Spirit manage to capitalize on there error committed on the mid game which cause the snow ball of gap of Team Spirit.

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Quote from: Coin_trader on August 14, 2022, 09:51:57 AM

-skip-
9 minutes to go for the Lower Bracket Finals between TS and Aster. I’m torn to choose between Aster -1.5 or over 2.5 map. Huh

Live bets show practically the same odds of teams:

Team Spirit 1.80

Team Aster 1.95

In my opinion, in this scenario, it is more reliable to take a total over 2.5. In general, the game looks like it is completely random, so I will not place bets here, but just enjoy the game (although I prefer LoL).

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Quote from: Coin_trader on August 13, 2022, 03:15:59 AM

Interesting turn of events, Beastcoast manage to beat the powerhouse EEU team. They will have a very good run if they manage to take down OG later today because I believe that they can beat Aster if they manage to go on the next round. This North American team is very unpredictable due to there insane team fights and pick off.

Actually Beastcost is easy to counter because there pos1 has limited hero pool. OG might experience difficulty to defeat them but I don’t see any reason for OG to lose on this team besides Yuragi will repeat his game play against LGD on upper bracket. OG with Ceb is very strong on this crucial fight on Lower Bracket. I think there only problem is the team that will lose between LGD and TS on the upper bracket finals.

Beastcoast gave OG a good fight but in the end, They can’t close the series on ending OG to Game 3. They made a statement on Game2 that they can use too OG draft against them and it works. I’m really looking forward for K1 to use his signature hero Wraith King but they still use Ursa that easily countered by OG using Arc Warden.

9 minutes to go for the Lower Bracket Finals between TS and Aster. I’m torn to choose between Aster -1.5 or over 2.5 map. Huh

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Quote from: Coin_trader on August 13, 2022, 03:15:59 AM

Interesting turn of events, Beastcoast manage to beat the powerhouse EEU team. They will have a very good run if they manage to take down OG later today because I believe that they can beat Aster if they manage to go on the next round. This North American team is very unpredictable due to there insane team fights and pick off.

In the mean time, LGD and TS rematch on the upper bracket finals is so intense. I believe the one who will on this match will be the champion for this major because the remaining team on the lower bracket can give a hell of rounds to loser team on upper bracket.

I'm surprised that VP lost to Beastcost yesterday but that long pause was sketchy and the pick of Phoenix after kinda made it clear that BC will win the series. Now , will they survive next game against OG ? Uhm , if they play like yesterday , a true SA dota 2 game , they have big chances to surprise OG as well.

I think we all wait for PSG LGD vs Team.Spirit right ? revenge spot for LGD.

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Interesting turn of events, Beastcoast manage to beat the powerhouse EEU team. They will have a very good run if they manage to take down OG later today because I believe that they can beat Aster if they manage to go on the next round. This North American team is very unpredictable due to there insane team fights and pick off.

In the mean time, LGD and TS rematch on the upper bracket finals is so intense. I believe the one who will on this match will be the champion for this major because the remaining team on the lower bracket can give a hell of rounds to loser team on upper bracket.

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It's been a while since I bet on dota 2 games, the last several months I mainly focused on CSGO matches for my bets. Watched a few Arlington Major games and got excited again. Looking at the bookmaker quotes I saw that LGD PSG is a total favourite to win tonight. Their teams looks strong and they play very well together, so far they only lost one map to OG in the tournament. But there is almost no upside for betting on them with quotes around 1.3 - 1.4. The odds for the OG vs beastcoast match are very similar to LGD PSG match, both OG and LGD PSG seem like a clear favourites in their match today. Whereas the overall tournament match winner seems to be LGD clearly. I wonder why the odds for LGD winning the tournament are higher than their odds of winning today. I will stick with OG and LGD for todays game but will use my winnings for a bit more aggressive bets for tomorrow, a small bet on Team Aster or OG would make a huge profit.

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Unexpected thing that the Fnatic cannot make it into the TI 11 because of the 0.5 DPC difference points and its the day that there's no kuroky and Puppy in the direct invite for sure the qualifiers will become of the the bloody game for them, just a guess that the LGD will another secure the Top 5 again with this time, or else they are the one get the Aegis now for the third time.

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Quote from: Coin_trader on August 12, 2022, 01:19:03 PM

Outsider vs Beastcost is now live!

Beastcoast with the unexpected reverse sweep, K1's Wraith King doing some work together with their Snapfire support, and Outsiders drafting after game 1 didn't look that great as it felt like they were running out of options going for the Puck support in the game 2 and Juggernaut couldn't last long enough during game 3.

Also, Aster manages to edge out Entity in the final map, they shut down Entity's priority picks on the offlaner (Visage and Night Stalker) and then in the final map even though Aster was down early the scaling was too much on the side of Aster as the game dragged on.

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It's sad but Boom didn't find a way to get the game 3 to advance on the next round. I'm pretty sure Boom is very outdrafted on there game 3 picks because they can't find a way to locate dazzle and kill him without giving his grieves to enemy core heroes. Even Jackyyy is having a hard time to kill him quickly that punish his team mates on the back lines.

Entity is the better team on this league and still not bad for Boom to forced game 3. Outsider vs Beastcost is now live!

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Quote from: Eternad on August 12, 2022, 11:01:58 AM

Quote from: Coin_trader on August 12, 2022, 10:21:01 AM

Right now Boom and Entity is having there fight. I’m hoping for Boom to win this time because they are so good on this kind of crucial fight on lower brackets. I knew Entity is a very strong opponent to beat but I still believe Boom can get em.

What a messed game for Boom, They got the early advantage over Entity but they gave it up easily by having a greedy team fight on Entity area without any clear vision. Storm Spirit moves is always greedy and I feel that he is very intimidated on how Entity mind games him on by taunting him to be distracted on the game. He didn’t do anything game changer in the game even catching Entity back lines.

Entity line-up is so good on pushing and late game which Boom allowed to happened exactly what’s planning. Fishman baiting them to react so that they will leave Lycan free farm. I think this is over and this is the farthest place SEA teams on this event.

It is too early to tell. We still have game 3 to watch and as I see in their draft, Boom is setting up pretty well. This could be another epic DOTA match. Entity countered the Booms tank with Necro but their core is quite lacking. I favor Boom on this draft. Let's see if they can carry this good draft to a win in game 3.

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Quote from: Coin_trader on August 12, 2022, 10:21:01 AM

Right now Boom and Entity is having there fight. I’m hoping for Boom to win this time because they are so good on this kind of crucial fight on lower brackets. I knew Entity is a very strong opponent to beat but I still believe Boom can get em.

What a messed game for Boom, They got the early advantage over Entity but they gave it up easily by having a greedy team fight on Entity area without any clear vision. Storm Spirit moves is always greedy and I feel that he is very intimidated on how Entity mind games him on by taunting him to be distracted on the game. He didn’t do anything game changer in the game even catching Entity back lines.

Entity line-up is so good on pushing and late game which Boom allowed to happened exactly what’s planning. Fishman baiting them to react so that they will leave Lycan free farm. I think this is over and this is the farthest place SEA teams on this event.

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Lower Round 1 Result

I’m surprised about the outcome of this Lower Round 1 because I thought Fnatic will beat Beastcoast because they have TSM core players that knew how Beastcoast plays. Boom on the other hand manage to take down Team Liquid which I’m expecting to have a recovery game after the group stage which didn’t happened. Matumbaman being off on previous tournaments makes his chemistry with team become shaky.

Right now Boom and Entity is having there fight. I’m hoping for Boom to win this time because they are so good on this kind of crucial fight on lower brackets. I knew Entity is a very strong opponent to beat but I still believe Boom can get em.

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Quote from: boltz on August 11, 2022, 06:04:11 AM

I was on the other boat even if I knew Entity are a great team that is currently in a great form as well. Nevertheless , EG played good only 1 map and 15 minutes from map 3 and with this play style they shouldn't win and the best team won yesterday. Now , can Entity make it further in this major ? Well , I think they can as Boom are shifting from great games to bad games from map to map.

EG's drafting looked lost during that third game against Entity as they didn't have any answer to the early pressure while Crit had to throw his body multiple times to stall the game and avoid bigger casualties whenever Entity decides to invade. I also think Entity will win against Boom since they 2-0'd them during the groups and the odds are slightly leaning in their favor as well.

That series between OG vs PSG.LGD was so good, I didn't expect the series to be this close and that final map nearly went to the side of OG but that Dazzle from the side of PSG.LGD was the difference maker and a big issue for the side of OG during team fights.

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Quote from: boltz on August 11, 2022, 06:04:11 AM

Quote from: vennali on August 11, 2022, 12:02:58 AM

Quote from: icalical on August 10, 2022, 11:49:35 PM

EG defeat was predictable tho, at least for me, they have been perform poorly in this tournament, since day 1. They keep pushing RTZ to play heroes that he is not comfortable with and end up affecting the whole gameplay since he is the pos 1. And also I think the new offlaner haven't got the good chemistry with the team yet.

At the moment, I think Entity are a better team than EG anyways. Arteezy factor is always there but I haven't seem him hard carrying his team like he used to before. Teams anyways knows his playstyle and either try to ban his heros or know exactly what to do to mess with him. In a classic Entity fashion, they lose game 1 and get kinda stomped and they come back and stomp the next 2 games. They probably are just testing out strats for game 1 and get to what they've prepared for the next 2 games I suppose. That is to preserve their strats for longer period of time.

I was on the other boat even if I knew Entity are a great team that is currently in a great form as well. Nevertheless , EG played good only 1 map and 15 minutes from map 3 and with this play style they shouldn't win and the best team won yesterday. Now , can Entity make it further in this major ? Well , I think they can as Boom are shifting from great games to bad games from the map to map.

Today the EG does not make a good performance base on my observations they have good drafting but when it comes to the execution of the skills and making hunt to pick up kills and team fight doesn't make the real EG even though they win the game they want to chase and makes the game loses because of too much extension than doing the objectives.

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Quote from: dothebeats on August 11, 2022, 03:08:01 AM

Also, still can't decide between PSG.LGD and OG. Both are good teams on my book, though PSG.LGD's odds aren't that attractive. I think I'll lean on the over 2.5 maps just to be safe.

Game 3 of PSG.LGD vs OG is running at the moment and it looks like that OG can actually win this one as they have a significant gold lead at the moment. Of course LGD always has the potential to make 1 or two 2 teamfights in a row and to regain the lead in the match. Still it is surprising to me, that OG is able to deliver such a tight and open game against LGD because the chinese team pretty much looked unbeatable so far in this tournament and also in the Riyadh Masters which was only 2 weeks ago or so.
I can also imagine though that PSG.LGD is not really going all out today because the loser is not eliminated but only goes to the lower bracket.

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Quote from: vennali on August 11, 2022, 12:02:58 AM

Quote from: icalical on August 10, 2022, 11:49:35 PM

EG defeat was predictable tho, at least for me, they have been perform poorly in this tournament, since day 1. They keep pushing RTZ to play heroes that he is not comfortable with and end up affecting the whole gameplay since he is the pos 1. And also I think the new offlaner haven't got the good chemistry with the team yet.

At the moment, I think Entity are a better team than EG anyways. Arteezy factor is always there but I haven't seem him hard carrying his team like he used to before. Teams anyways knows his playstyle and either try to ban his heros or know exactly what to do to mess with him. In a classic Entity fashion, they lose game 1 and get kinda stomped and they come back and stomp the next 2 games. They probably are just testing out strats for game 1 and get to what they've prepared for the next 2 games I suppose. That is to preserve their strats for longer period of time.

I was on the other boat even if I knew Entity are a great team that is currently in a great form as well. Nevertheless , EG played good only 1 map and 15 minutes from map 3 and with this play style they shouldn't win and the best team won yesterday. Now , can Entity make it further in this major ? Well , I think they can as Boom are shifting from great games to bad games from map to map.

Topic: [DOTA2] PGL Arlington Major 2022 Prediction Thread (Read 625 times)