Draw betting strategy | Bitcointalksearch.org

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Quote from: Samlucky O on January 30, 2024, 11:31:44 PM

Quote from: Sir_Garry55 on January 17, 2024, 04:26:06 AM

1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent

Bro gambling is a game of luck no matter how you study the both team there is still a high chance of loosing because match prediction is not just a work by mouth or how far you have studied the game but how the game tend a to play in due time. The difference between yesterday and today is that yesterday has passed and today has come . The weak point of players you think might be their downfall for the next match according to your prediction might turn out to be a mere misconception because it will play against your wish.

Besides that, we also have to estimate the surprise factor that will appear in the middle of the match. This surprise factor can ultimately change the direction of the match and favour the other team, making our bet lose. Indeed, we can study the results of each team's matches to get or estimate how strong they are, but we also must remember the surprise factor that will emerge from each team. The team that is not seeded sometimes loses to the team that is seeded because they have something to fight the dominance of the top team. They will also play carefree against the underdog team because many underestimate their strength.

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Quote from: letteredhub on January 29, 2024, 04:42:02 PM

Draws are not easy to surface in matches as it's difficulty to happen is what makes the bookies to regularly provide a high and attractive odd size to draws option in all matches. What I think about draws is that since they are very difficult to make out it will be nice and safer to make single bets on it then multiple or accumulative bet which will quite make your chance more blurry. In all the tips to a draw outcome in a match as listed by op I can only agree with him about the aspect of history between a two team. In football a history has the tendency of repeating itself more often then not.

It true that draw is not easy to happen, but for match between strong team, draw will definitely have greater chance of happening, so there is very low odd for draw and relatively high odd for the two teams competing.
As gamblers, we have to be smart in analyzing match like this.
Personally, if there is match between two big team, the best way is to watch the match at least until the first half is over, after that I will analyze the progress of the match for the second half and take double chance bet.
This does not guarantee victory but can minimize losses and increase the chances of winning, as gamblers we risk our own money and in any case must always try to protect it by optimizing the chances of winning and minimizing the chances of losing.
Nobody wants to lose, therefore we ourselves have to be smart in making strategies and predicting how to bet.

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Quote from: Sir_Garry55 on January 17, 2024, 04:26:06 AM

1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent

Bro gambling is a game of luck no matter how you study the both team there is still a high chance of loosing because match prediction is not just a work by mouth or how far you have studied the game but how the game tend a to play in due time. The difference between yesterday and today is that yesterday has passed and today has come . The weak point of players you think might be their downfall for the next match according to your prediction might turn out to be a mere misconception because it will play against your wish.

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Quote from: letteredhub on January 29, 2024, 04:42:02 PM

Draws are not easy to surface in matches as it's difficulty to happen is what makes the bookies to regularly provide a high and attractive odd size to draws option in all matches. What I think about draws is that since they are very difficult to make out it will be nice and safer to make single bets on it then multiple or accumulative bet which will quite make your chance more blurry. In all the tips to a draw outcome in a match as listed by op I can only agree with him about the aspect of history between a two team. In football a history has the tendency of repeating itself more often then not.

I actually think its the most complex game to engage in although it has mouth-wattery odds that you can barely say no to but the risk is extremely very high as achieving the exact prediction of draws from games is not easy.

To even consider the fact thst most draws were never the anticipated outcome of such games, it makes it even more complicated.

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Personally, I don’t particularly like games where there is a draw and also those betting options in which a draw is the third outcome of the game. Simply because in this case, the probability that your bet will win is only 33.33%, while the probability of the opposite scenarios - one team winning or the other winning - is a total of 66.66%. Perhaps the best solution would be to choose betting options in which we bet on a draw or victory for one team. Of course, the odds compensate for this inequality, but in the game you should maximize all the odds on your side. That's why I like species in which there is no draw. The classic option is tennis.

letteredhub

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Draws are not easy to surface in matches as it's difficulty to happen is what makes the bookies to regularly provide a high and attractive odd size to draws option in all matches. What I think about draws is that since they are very difficult to make out it will be nice and safer to make single bets on it then multiple or accumulative bet which will quite make your chance more blurry. In all the tips to a draw outcome in a match as listed by op I can only agree with him about the aspect of history between a two team. In football a history has the tendency of repeating itself more often then not.

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Quote from: odunybiz on January 19, 2024, 05:49:55 PM

Do you really know the meaning of draw no bet? It has nothing to do with game ending in draw. It is used to guide your game when you think your favorite should win a game but still think the game may end in draw. If the match later ends in draw, you get a refund.

Refund is one of the good things gambler keen on hearing because there's no significant odds to grab, rather sticking to the winning team and also doing everything within one's reach to ensure profits is the end result. Draw no bet is one of the safe options to triggered in betting, I've observed some crucial matches and this option is the best option to play, to secure good odds and also be on the safer side. Remember, this odds are entirely important for the gambler because they're open to receiving good profits as long they're apply to significant phases.

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Quote from: alegotardo on January 19, 2024, 07:34:37 PM

I believe you are referring to Football, so I will talk about it too.... we know that it is not the intention of either team for a draw to occur, both teams will always do everything they can to win and gain more points and climb the table classification. However, the fact is that around 25% of games in the world end in a draw, if we converted the implied probability into odds, it would give a fair odds of 4.00.

However, this is a macro view of the draws market as smaller championships tend to have a higher percentage of draws in the match, such as, for example, Iran's Azadegan League in which 39.38% of 2023 games ended in a draw. The most competitive leagues, such as those in Europe or Brazil, tend to have a relatively smaller number of draws.

Therefore, my additional tip is that people should choose smaller, less disputed championships to bet on draws.

If an underdog plays a favorite, they may hope to draw the match, but this does not mean that it is easy to determine which match may be a draw. This is a complex strategy and somewhat reminded me of black or red in roulette, but this is an even more complex option, since in this case three outcomes are possible and not two (zero is a little different).

So I don't see why this strategy would work. Everything will depend on chance and your luck will decide here, which makes the chances of winning very low.

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Yes… of course what you say can help someone increase their chances of winning. However, we need to remember that there is no single strategy that can provide a hundred percent guarantee that every time we place a bet we will win. So it would be wiser if we were able to accept the final result, regardless of winning or losing.

We must be able to accept the final result of a bet, regardless of winning or losing. Even though in the past we have tried as much as possible to increase the chances of winning, either by using strategies and careful analysis techniques or other methods that can increase the chances of achieving a win. Being able to accept the final result with grace can help us maintain emotional balance and avoid impulsive reactions that could lead to irrational betting decisions. By understanding that the outcome of betting cannot always be predicted, we can take a more calm and rational approach to our betting experience. Therefore, stick to a realistic goal and maintain a balanced attitude, both when winning and losing.

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Quote from: Sir_Garry55 on January 17, 2024, 04:26:06 AM

1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading

Sorry, but point number 1 is complete nonsense. In any game, the draw odds very rarely go below 3. I just checked the next two rounds (average of 20 games totaling 60) in La Liga, EPL and Bundesliga and there are no draw odds lower than 3 anywhere.
If the probability even sometimes approached 85% percent, then you would see the odds of 1.2 quite often, but before the game I’m sure no one had ever seen such an odds. In live, such a coefficient can be seen approximately 10 minutes before the end of the game (if equal teams are playing).
Regarding everything else, I can say that bookmakers also take into account all these options, so the odds do not always compensate for the risk, you need to look for additional options to make your bet profitable.

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Draw doesn't happen on a daily basis. Odds are also high for the same reason and therefore bets doesn't need to be too high 'coz that's high risk high reward. I never tried betting on draw because of the low probability that it will happen. No team or player statistic will determine its occurrence other than the game itself. Teams won't prefer it as well since things are competitive in the first place. However, betting and winning on draws are rewarding. It will now be just the gambler's preference and decision whether he/she would bite that risk of losing with a higher chances, or not betting at all into it due to high risk.

Quote from: bitbollo on January 19, 2024, 05:51:18 PM

I don't see any really helpful strategy for get draw bets or having a better statistics on this. Generally these results are really hard to be achieved. I will try to focus more in draw no bets (the opposite of a draw bet). In the past I was betting a lot with exchange and final score results. Of course draw are the highest Sad

like 0-0 (odds around 10-12 in each match... a kind of holy grail of draw betting)

Draw no bets indeed is a better option however won't be that rewarding given that it is just some sort of insurance on your bet and the biggest reward is refund of your bet.

Quote from: rachael9385 on January 29, 2024, 08:16:04 AM

Quote from: wallet4bitcoin on January 19, 2024, 06:15:28 PM

Quote from: odunybiz on January 19, 2024, 05:49:55 PM

Do you really know the meaning of draw no bet? It has nothing to do with game ending in draw. It is used to guide your game when you think your favorite should win a game but still think the game may end in draw. If the match later ends in draw, you get a refund.

There is no kind of option that bet companies will not avail users all in the avenue to offer services.

This kind of betting offer is obviously a genius one and gamblers are gonna love it, they'd hope to bet and still have the slightest chance of either wining or getting their invested sum back.

They believes that the more the options also the more gamblers come to them to gamble, just think, how can a gambler sees an option that he thinks will make his predictions so easy and will kotake an attempt to choose it?
That's not so possible, so the more options that they bring the more gamblers visits, IMO there are people who like some options that the draw, straight winning and over goals, so if the company didn't have such options at first and all of a sudden they brings it, those options lovers will bet on those options.

Well yes, more betting option means more gamblers. If it is just a straight win or lose options, why will they choose you over the other providers? A site needs to accommodate as may gambler's preferences as possible. It is the same with parlays and side bets on fiat based online gambling sites which gives alternative positions for the players if they are not sure of the winning team; they could still bet with player performances and the likes.

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Quote from: wallet4bitcoin on January 19, 2024, 06:15:28 PM

Quote from: odunybiz on January 19, 2024, 05:49:55 PM

Do you really know the meaning of draw no bet? It has nothing to do with game ending in draw. It is used to guide your game when you think your favorite should win a game but still think the game may end in draw. If the match later ends in draw, you get a refund.

There is no kind of option that bet companies will not avail users all in the avenue to offer services.

This kind of betting offer is obviously a genius one and gamblers are gonna love it, they'd hope to bet and still have the slightest chance of either wining or getting their invested sum back.

They believes that the more the options also the more gamblers come to them to gamble, just think, how can a gambler sees an option that he thinks will make his predictions so easy and will kotake an attempt to choose it?
That's not so possible, so the more options that they bring the more gamblers visits, IMO there are people who like some options that the draw, straight winning and over goals, so if the company didn't have such options at first and all of a sudden they brings it, those options lovers will bet on those options.

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Quote from: Sir_Garry55 on January 17, 2024, 04:26:06 AM

~snip~

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading

I believe you are referring to Football, so I will talk about it too.... we know that it is not the intention of either team for a draw to occur, both teams will always do everything they can to win and gain more points and climb the table classification. However, the fact is that around 25% of games in the world end in a draw, if we converted the implied probability into odds, it would give a fair odds of 4.00.

However, this is a macro view of the draws market as smaller championships tend to have a higher percentage of draws in the match, such as, for example, Iran's Azadegan League in which 39.38% of 2023 games ended in a draw. The most competitive leagues, such as those in Europe or Brazil, tend to have a relatively smaller number of draws.

Therefore, my additional tip is that people should choose smaller, less disputed championships to bet on draws.

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Quote from: odunybiz on January 19, 2024, 05:49:55 PM

Do you really know the meaning of draw no bet? It has nothing to do with game ending in draw. It is used to guide your game when you think your favorite should win a game but still think the game may end in draw. If the match later ends in draw, you get a refund.

There is no kind of option that bet companies will not avail users all in the avenue to offer services.

This kind of betting offer is obviously a genius one and gamblers are gonna love it, they'd hope to bet and still have the slightest chance of either wining or getting their invested sum back.

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I don't see any really helpful strategy for get draw bets or having a better statistics on this. Generally these results are really hard to be achieved. I will try to focus more in draw no bets (the opposite of a draw bet). In the past I was betting a lot with exchange and final score results. Of course draw are the highest Sad

like 0-0 (odds around 10-12 in each match... a kind of holy grail of draw betting)

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Quote from: Sir_Garry55 on January 17, 2024, 04:26:06 AM

2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.

Do you really know the meaning of draw no bet? It has nothing to do with game ending in draw. It is used to guide your game when you think your favorite should win a game but still think the game may end in draw. If the match later ends in draw, you get a refund.

Quote from: Sir_Garry55 on January 17, 2024, 04:26:06 AM

3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen

Most time draw may be predicted if you see that the chances of scoring a goal by the two team is small. There are some team that find it difficult to goal. Imagine what happens when such team are playing when their top striker is on bench due to injury.

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Quote from: Sir_Garry55 on January 17, 2024, 04:26:06 AM

5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

High occurrence of draws? I don't think that is something that can be predicted. I can't comment much about that but if you see past performance of most matches on these specific leagues always end up draw, you can try and risk some money for it.

Since you mentioned there are specific leagues where draws are likely always happen, then I'm sure the odds for a Draw is something that is not interesting to place a bet with since it always occurs. What's your view seeing the odds given on the Draw result regardless of what team is facing each other?

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Quote from: Sir_Garry55 on January 17, 2024, 04:26:06 AM

1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading

85% seems like a number you made up. Or do you have any data to back that up? Because even "defensive team" is a subjective concept that depends on the viewer and the team setup of the day. And while you are on it, what sports is that meant for? All sports? Esports and table tennis too?

And i am not against on finding strategies on betting draws, but i am against of making up statistics. Sure, i too would say that if both teams are playing defense, it could be a more likely a draw, but you can't know that beforehand. Depending on the sport, team spirit and what their manager has planned. Their style is for anyone to guess before the match starts.

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I don't see any strategy in the gambling,it all depends on your luck.I can agree that if you analyse the games carefully,you can get the results correctly.This is not trading where you will say you need a particular strategy that will enable you win,there is no specific strategy in this one,your analysis,your observations,their history will make you get 50 percent of the possible outcome, but it cant guarantee you hundred percent accuracy in results.
The best thing to do in football gambling is to check their head to head record, analyse their current form,and give them a prediction.

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Quote from: Sim_card on January 19, 2024, 03:47:27 PM

It is easy to come up with various ways to see how you can win in gambling, but the question remains, will they work out. Gambling is more of luck than any strategy. This is why you see that slot players hit the jackpot without knowing how. Gamblers win big without much skills in them. Just gamble for fun so that if your strategy did not work out, you will not become sad. On your lucky day, if you gamble, you will win, irrespective of how much that you stake with. If you want to be gambling for profit that is when, it is bad and unethical.

okay, let us put it this way, there are several known betting strategies practiced and explored by gamblers for as long as we remember -
> martingale
> d'alembert
> paroli system
> fibonacci system
> cover-the-table system
and a lot more, and yet, these gamblers are still relying on luck no matter what strategy they employ to their games. they may work for a certain period of time. but if you happen not to get out while you are on the winning side, you will find out quick that such magic of that strategy is already lost.

Topic: Draw betting strategy (Read 502 times)