Pages:
Author

Topic: Draw betting strategy - page 3. (Read 495 times)

hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 713
January 17, 2024, 11:03:30 AM
#18
Draw games is difficult to predicts some team even scores at the dying minutes like when match is up to 90 minutes probably extra 5 to 6 minutes was given before you know it the other team will score making it 0.1, which is bad but what do we do, it gambling and we can't apportioned our blames to the game rather its our fault because we can't see the bright future of every game if it was so then it will be very hard for people lose their matches. Like you said, weather condition can actually make people lost their games against their predicted matches.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1914
Shuffle.com
January 17, 2024, 10:14:35 AM
#17
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
In terms of playing it safe, it's sometimes worth even going as far as taking the double chance with the underdog if you can bear betting on odds around the 1.50 - 1.60 range. That's what you'd get if you pick matches with close odds, which is your third tip.

Having a probability comparison is very good but sometimes we forget about luck when betting accidentally.
That's true, even if we've done all the research possible and found the best match to bet on a draw, it can still turn south if one of the players has a bad day(weak defense, turnovers, etc.).
legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 1251
January 17, 2024, 09:35:11 AM
#16
How about

Stop writing essays for (betting-strategy) and start your own experience. I mean, a thousand words will be worthless if you do not use these on real-live. I mean would be nice if you also input this strategy with the result from your betting section.

Example like me, I talk to much about (all-in betting) on stake thread. In other side, I also provided a screenshot winning hundred / thousand by all-in betting. So, not really bullshit at all.
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1775
January 17, 2024, 09:06:01 AM
#15
Draw betting strategy
Of course, all the descriptions and gambling strategies that you mentioned here, certainly don't deny that they are strategies that are often used and often analyzed by gamblers, but I'm sure that some percentages can be used as guidelines, but not 100% to be used as a basis for winning.

I am more confident in luck when we do sports betting, where I have done it based on the weather. statistics and team strength and so on, but what happens on the field is 100% based on my analysis, so whatever we do in the world of gambling, of course it is all based on luck.
sr. member
Activity: 490
Merit: 251
January 17, 2024, 08:43:35 AM
#14
No matter how strategic you could be in gambling, there would never be a reliable source of predictions.
To my highest risk in experiences, drawing predicts seems the most difficult and logical to be predicted instead, predicting winning to any of the teams is best preferable to be considered that the draws.
hero member
Activity: 2632
Merit: 626
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
January 17, 2024, 07:45:24 AM
#13

4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?


No I don't think weather is a contributing factor to why games end in draw. If a game will end in draw it will depend on the scoring status of the team, that is a team that isn't a lover of goals but defends alot then it will affect the chances of multiple goals. Instead of weather, I think I will prefer injury in the team especially where strikers are not fit or if the team in general is not doing well and not performing to the level they should in their previous matches so you can predict draw but not to use weather as a criteria for playing a draw match.
jr. member
Activity: 112
Merit: 1
January 17, 2024, 07:28:39 AM
#12
Weather conditions and games, especially in sports betting, have been talked about and argued by gamblers. When playing outdoor sports like soccer or football, bad weather like heavy rain, strong winds, or high temperatures may affect how the match is played. Due to these conditions, players might have a hard time using their strategies or generating scores.
hero member
Activity: 2464
Merit: 594
January 17, 2024, 06:02:04 AM
#11
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
Weather condition is a complex issue, they can indeed impact gameplay in various sports, including football. For instance, heavy rain can make the pitch slippery, potentially leading to more mistakes and fewer goals, which could increase the likelihood of a draw but this is just one of many factors that can influence the outcome of a match, and its impact can vary greatly depending on the specific circumstances.
hero member
Activity: 1428
Merit: 538
January 17, 2024, 05:55:35 AM
#10
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading

The problem is that the odds will adjust for any winning potential you may have identified in that game. But statistically, you are on the losing end if you play for draws and the odds are around 3.5. You need to get 1 draw correct per every 3 games to be profitable. But you can check the statistics for the Premier League and it is indeed true that the draw is the least likely outcome. It is closer to 1/4 games ending as a draw, which then means you would have to go for odds around 4.0 to be profitable, which makes it riskier again. The math just doesn't work out.
sr. member
Activity: 1204
Merit: 486
January 17, 2024, 05:52:24 AM
#9
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
Having a probability comparison is very good but sometimes we forget about luck when betting accidentally. when it comes to considering the weather  conditions so far I don't pay attention to the details. because it is simple it makes our bets much freer namely when we are able to determine according to the criteria of a particular team sometimes even looking at the condition of the club in several matches is enough. It's true that anything can happen as long as the whistle hasn't been blown so realistically we just need to be ready for the 3 options of losing, winning or drawing. meanwhile other probabilities that need to be considered take quite a long time. bet responsibly and be able to accept defeat gracefully.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1298
Lightning network is good with small amount of BTC
January 17, 2024, 05:45:31 AM
#8
Draw no bet is just an alternative I mentioned just Incase you are not playing a single game and you are staking high
It reduces the risk a little bit
I will prefer to go for straight win or first half win. I do not like to select anything like draw or draw no bet. It is not the type of selection that I go for. But it is easy for me to analyze a match and look for a better team to go for straight win. If the odd is small, I go for first half win if it is worth it.

Other odds that I go for are over 1.5 and over 2.5. Sometimes I go for under 2.5 if I know the teams are not that scoring in their matches and if their defense are both strong but with no good front players that score often.
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 348
January 17, 2024, 05:35:40 AM
#7
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.

You share some helpful tips but I personally don't like betting on draws because of it high risk. I tested it before and it was profitable if you manage to secure a win because it carries high odds. Although most of these tips are factors that should be considered when making a draw bet but not a guarantee and the win probability is 30-35% averagely and that shows how risky they are. This particular tips I qoute is not well explained. Someone who intend to play draw bet has no business with draw no bet (DNB) because they are opposite of each other. Draw no bet will refund your money if the game eventually ends draw because what you mean is to void your bet if they play draw. Additionally, head to head record also play some role. If two teams have played each other multiple times in the past and a large percentage of those games have ended in a draw, then there's a strong indication that a draw is likely.
jr. member
Activity: 88
Merit: 8
January 17, 2024, 04:49:04 AM
#6
Your title is not accurate because you are talking about 'draw no bet' and not draw.

Taking draw only have higher odds but riskier.

A match having like 3 odds for draw. It looks high but not good at all because as the person will pick draw, there is high chance that the match will not end as draw.

Draw no bet has its own disadvantage which makes me not to go for it. If the team you selected to win do not win, you will be given back you money but no winning. That means you risk your money but you have nothing in return because the team do not win. It also have small odd.

I prefer win or draw. But it has the smallest odd but if the team taken win it draw, the gambler would win the bet.

2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
No refund when the team you selected to win lose. Refund is when the team draw, but the winning amount is not given among. Only when you make profit is when the team wins. It has a smaller odd also.

Draw no bet is just an alternative I mentioned just Incase you are not playing a single game and you are staking high
It reduces the risk a little bit
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 524
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 17, 2024, 04:44:48 AM
#5
A gambler can actually use all of those tactics but still not win their bet as predicted. This is something I do quite often, but it doesn't work all the time; sometimes the draw might come when you least expect it. Draw bets are risky, and a gambler should be wise enough to only stake any amount that will cause them no trouble.

There's a casino in my place that can allow you to stake on different options in just one game. For example, if there's a match between teams A and B and perhaps your prediction is draw, you can stake on your first prediction. If you are not satisfied with the first prediction and you still want to stake on team A to win, you can also stake again on the same game. I don't think all casinos allow that option. In some casinos, it's only an option to stake in a game.

So, what I actually mean is that if the bettors are using such a casino, instead of staking on just draw, they can still stake on two different options, such as draw or home to win.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 516
January 17, 2024, 04:43:56 AM
#4
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
This is seems right because defensive teams have the tendency of playing draw. I hardly play draw though but I used this to analyse matches I will play 3Ways.

2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you a refund.
Seems you are mistaken the DNB option of sports betting. It actually requires that the team you played DNB have to win but if they lose, that particular selection should be voided and your money returned to you. You will lose your money if the team loses the match.

4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?

This is one thing I'm interested in learning about because I feel that weather conditions affect the performance of the player to a large extent. The challenge here is knowing what the weather condition will be per match venue and how to integrate this into the decision making of match selection outcome prediction. Maybe others will make input that will help.

legendary
Activity: 3318
Merit: 1247
Bitcoin Casino Est. 2013
January 17, 2024, 04:43:01 AM
#3
The draw is the most difficult result to achieve and even in those leagues you are referring to here things have changed quite a bit.In Spain Segunda for example as I have not followed the other leagues draws are becoming rare as I see the top teams fighting for a spot in La Liga winning or losing games.I know that when we place draws we start advantaged as the games start 0-0 but most of the time that result ends and changes.
legendary
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1193
Gamble responsibly
January 17, 2024, 04:39:57 AM
#2
Your title is not accurate because you are talking about 'draw no bet' and not draw.

Taking draw only have higher odds but riskier.

A match having like 3 odds for draw. It looks high but not good at all because as the person will pick draw, there is high chance that the match will not end as draw.

Draw no bet has its own disadvantage which makes me not to go for it. If the team you selected to win do not win, you will be given back you money but no winning. That means you risk your money but you have nothing in return because the team do not win. It also have small odd. If draw has 3 odd, expect draw no bet to be around 1.4 odd, but it depends on the teams also.

I prefer win or draw. But it has the smallest odd but if the team taken win or draw, the gambler would win the bet. But the odd is small. If draw no bet is around 1.4 odd, win or draw would be around 1.2 odd

2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
There is no refund when the team you selected to win lose. Refund is when the team draw, but the winning amount is not given among. Only when you make profit is when the team that you selected wins. It has a smaller odd also.
jr. member
Activity: 88
Merit: 8
January 17, 2024, 04:26:06 AM
#1
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading
Pages:
Jump to: